BABA. The buyer shows strengthHello traders and investors!
Let's take a look at what happened since the last post where I suggested considering purchases. You can find the post linked below. Just a reminder, the solid line represents the main scenario, while the dashed line indicates possible price movements to realize the main scenario.
The price has increased by 13%, with the maximum drawdown so far being 5%.
The situation is most clearly visible on the 2-day timeframe. I explained how and why to use different timeframes in a separate article, the link to which is provided below. On the 2-day timeframe, the price has formed a sideways movement where volume accumulation is taking place. Currently, we see 7 points within the sideways movement. The buyer's momentum from point 7 broke through the upper boundary of the sideways movement at 78.34.
If the buyer defends the breakout above the upper boundary of the sideways movement, I expect the first target to be 96.68. This is approximately 18% from the current price. This is the primary scenario.
If the seller absorbs the last buyer's candle and brings the price back into the sideways movement, there is a possibility of retesting the local minimum.
The ultimate target on the weekly timeframe remains the same - 121.3.