June Live CattleJune Live Cattle supported prices at 104 Friday. There is a downward wedge here but prices came back Friday to negate some of this action. A potential small bullish Gartley pattern is taking shape to push prices down to 101.050 before continuing up. If bulls can continue this markets upward climb look for 104.725 as next potential target. If bears can sag this market, look for 102.700 as their target.
BGI1! trade ideas
June Live Cattle Moving LowerJune Live Cattle fell off the Cypher pattern and moved under the 20 day moving average to close near 38.2% retracement. Possible continuation lower to 50% retracement, then 61.8. Found first support from position 3 of the elliot wave. Next major support at 71.8 level created at th AB leg of the Cypher pattern at 101.050 and July 22 of last year.
Live Cattle correcting before next run upIt looks like Live Cattle is pausing to correct before next run up. On the 2hr renko chart (blksz .50), the charcoal box represents what the 5min renko (blksz .25) expands out to. I think that the 5Min will need to go through a corrective cycle prior to price continuing up.
June Live Cattle Overshot ButterflyJune Live Cattle has completed a Bearish Cypher and Elliot Wave 1-5 position. Look for a possible downward trend to 100.650. Waiting for move below the 20 day moving average for confirmation. There is also a potential butterfly to 111.100 if this markets breaks out of 105.5. The overbought situation may counter any bullish move here.
Live Cattle Rises out of FlagFeb Live Cattle broke out of a flag pattern today and almost reached 116 and the final leg of the Elliot Wave. If we go back to 2016-08-11 and place another Butterfly, the potential upside could be 119 and then 126. This could extend Elliot Wave position 5 to 119. Beyond that you aren't within Elliot Wave general parameters. This market has touched overboughtness and may be coming to another end. Live Cattle still in the Gann Fann of 1/1
Feb Live Cattle Dug itself out of a holeFeb Live Cattle was a disappointment this morning as corn rose, but rallied back to produce a higher price. Look for progression Wednesday. Corn prices surged as sales in corn are up 39% over USDA projection. Cattle market could turn into chop if corn continues higher. Elliot Wave is still intact, but chop could weaken it substantially. Looking for Cattle to continue up and reach top of Cypher and possible continuation to Butterfly.
Feb Live Cattle hits Elliot Wave Position 4Feb Live Cattle ended the day exactly at the 38.2 Fib and Elliot Wave position 4. Look for possible continued down trading if bears want cheaper beef, hammer up at end of day Monday, or up market at the beginning of trade day. Goal 116 top of Elliot Wave and 161% or XA Butterfly.
Feb Live Cattle Sells to PositionFeb Live Cattle sold down to 38.2 retracement from move 3 of the Elliot Wave to position 4. Monday will tell if this is a continuation to position 5 or a continued sell off to 50%. Support from Sept 22 may hold at around 109. Upside potential to 116 completion of the Butterfly.
Feb 2017 Live Cattle Live Cattle traded up to my 113.225 area and completed the Cypher pattern. Look for possible Butterfly to 116 or downward action to position 4 of the Elliot Wave. Watch for hammer green at end of trading day. If red downward action most likely. If green, possible continuation upward to 116. Bulls still in control.