BGI1! trade ideas
LIVE CATTLE FUTURES (FEB 2019), 1D, CMETrading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 124.95
Stop Loss (SL) : 125.475
Take Profit (TP) : 123.9
Description
LEG2019 formed Turtle Soup Sell at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Sell Stop at 0.382 Level (124.95) and place stop after 0.618 level (125.475). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (123.9)
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $280,000
Risk Management (1%) : $2,800
Position Sizing
$0.025 = +-$10/std-contract
Commission fee = -$5.8/std-contract
EP to SL = $0.5 = -$210
Contract size to open = 13 standard contracts
EP to TP = $1.1 = +$420
Expected Result
Commission Fee = -$75.4
Loss = -$2,730
Gain = +$5,460
Risk/Reward Ratio = 1.95
Live Cattle Mini H&SDecember Live Cattle is on the last shoulder of an H&S. 20 day MA has become resistance. Fall from this pattern might set live cattle back to uptrend line based on height of the last shoulder. Long term trend is still bullish. If cattle can break 119.350 R1, the H&S would falter and a continued uptrend would take us to R2. Stochastic RSI has crossed over suggesting bullish run. With these two opposing forces we need to wait and see of next move.
Pull back required on the 1W Channel Up.Live Cattle (LE1!) is trading within a long term 1W Channel Up (RSI = 60.152, ADX = 29.000, Highs/Lows = 7.0679, B/BP = 14.6880) that has recently made a Higher High with an obvious Resistance zone at 114.00 - 114.325. Being on overbought STOCHRSI, Williams and CCI, a pull back to a Higher Low (~110.000) is required to sustain a healthy uptrend, which should most likely result in a new Higher High near 116.000 (TP).
Live Cattle Short SetupPrice closed at the top of my bearish order block which is a very strong sell signal. With the RSI turning downward and price making one last push up I would expect price to follow momentum downward very soon. Price has also followed the trend line very accurately, which will soon come to a point. The green box around 115.5 is the next target for a bounce. If price doesn't hold the next green box would be target.
Live Cattle Elliott Wave Idea Live Cattle futures appear to be coming to and end of a multi year correction phase.
If WXY completed at $94.6 then the motive phase may already have begun, however, if the $130 highs seen during 2017/18 were just X2 of WXYXZ then price may fall further; in WXYXZ Z must be equal or longer than X2 which suggests a double bottom at $94.6.
Some details on the waves:
Wave 1; appears to be a leading diagonal >
An ending diagonal for wave 5 of 5 (of 1) >
The big WXYXZ; made up of multiple 3 wave (ABC) structures >
December Live Cattle UptrendLive Cattle is using the green curve support line as launching areas for more upside moves. Looking for a move to R2 and maybe R3. Bulls have been supporting this market for a while now and don't see any end in sight short term. Because of China trade issues, cattle is lower than what it should be by this time of year being bbq season. Right now I have a bearish Cypher. Market could rise beyond this to go for a double top. That would put it near R3. significant break of this green trend line and staying below might signify an end to this upward trend. RSI hasn't been breached yet and is showing the continued rise to top of RSI.
Live Cattle Futures LEV2018 D1Trading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 109.725
Stop Loss (SL) : 110.7
Take Profit (TP) : 106.095, 105
Description
LEV2018 formed Double Repo Sell at 1d time frame. Trade setup with Sell Limit at 0.382 Level (109.725) and place stop after 0.618 level (110.7). Once the position was hit, place take profit before an agreement (106.095) and 105
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $48486
Risk Management (1%) : $484.86
Position Sizing
$0.025 = +-$10 (Standard)
Commission fee = -$2.9/contract (Standard)
EP to SL = $1 = -$390/contract (STD)
Contract size to open = 1 standard contracts
EP to TP#1 = $3.6 = +$1452 (STD)
EP to TP#2 = $4.7 = +$1890 (STD)
Expected Result
Commission Fee = -$5.8
Loss = -$390
Gain#1 = +$1452
Gain#2 = +$1890
Total Gain = +$3342
Risk/Reward Ratio = 8.44
August Live CattleAugust live cattle moved higher Friday. Bear Bat predicted. Next upside target for the bulls is S2 at 108.100. Live cattle likes to double tops so we might see a run up to 115.575. With barbecue season here, this market should have a tendency to move higher, so how much of a decline we will see is unknown at this time.
December Live Cattle Bearish CypherNew pivots for Live Cattle. Now projecting Bearish Cypher. Cattle was in a three drives pattern and the fall today may signal further downside to S2 at 106.475. Cattle made pivot today at 111.050. First target is uptrend line at 109.050. Cattle is under the 20 day MA.
Live Cattle Bearish CypherJune Live Cattle broke through the 20 day MA and stayed below yesterday. Fell further today. Target S1 at 99.475. However we have seen this play before and Cattle at the end of day fought back to post a hammer rejection. Outside target if this plays out is S2 at 96.950. Feeder Cattle index remained steady for a week at 137.5 and yesterday fell 1 point to 136.12. This should be good news for a fall.