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DEEC34 trade ideas

Deere & Company: Trucks/Construction/Farm MachineryKey arguments in support of the idea. • Excessive Optimism Amid a Weak Market. • Economic Uncertainty Driven by Trump’s Policies. Investment Thesis The recent surge in Deere & Co. (DE) stock is difficult to justify. Despite the company’s technological edge, the agriculture equipment market remains weak. Recent earnings from competitors CNH Industrial (CNH) and AGCO Corporation (AGCO) painted a grim outlook for 2025, with both reporting continued sales declines in Q4 2024 and disappointing margin forecasts. Following DE’s earnings release, the stock rallied over 15%, even as the consensus EPS estimate for FY25 was revised downward from $21.86 to $19.43. Industry weakness is further confirmed by AEM reports. Notably, none of the major players provided clear guidance on how tariff increases would impact them, aside from vague hints that pricing adjustments might be necessary. Even if higher tariffs result in a supply shortage for agricultural equipment and spare parts in the U.S., we do not expect significant optimism for the sector. While price adjustments may provide some support, 2025 is shaping up to be a challenging year for farmers: • Tariff hikes could delay interest rate cuts, making it harder to finance new equipment purchases. • Trump has frozen IRA farm subsidies and initiated a deportation program, potentially leading to labor shortages. • According to Bloomberg consensus forecasts, corn and soybean prices are unlikely to rise, further pressuring farm incomes. Price Action & Trading Outlook Historically, DE has traded within a wide range, often experiencing pullbacks after post- earnings rallies, especially when the run-up lacked clear catalysts. While the stock has a track record of beating consensus estimates, the current setup presents a high risk of correction given its elevated valuation multiples and macro headwinds. We anticipate a downside move to $432 over the next two months, with a stop-loss at $505.
NYSE:DEShort
by FreedomHolding
Many reasons to like this chart.I'm very bullish on DE for so many reasons. There is a Bollinger Band contraction pattern with a big bullish candle crossing the midline, highlighted by the yellow O on the chart. This is an entry signal. Demand has increased and will soon absorb the supply at this level clearing the path for higher prices. This is evidenced by the increasing volume of the past 5 trading days and the bigger spread candles of the past 3 days when compared to the candles and volume since the trend top on 1.27.2025. The CCI indicator is also rising confirming that buyers are entering the market. There is a double top forming and if the price breakouts I think $540 is very possible. There was an earnings beat last week with several price revisions by analyst following this stock.
NYSE:DELong
by robinkbrown
Will it be a continued upside? Following CAT?NYSE:DE 's long-term trend has been intact, and the recent break into a new high has sparked a new high for this producer manufacturing stock. However, will Trump's tariffs derail it? Regardless, DE.US could be a long-term play going forward. Price action The stock has broken out of the corrective downtrend channel, confirming the uptrend resumption. The weekly chart shows a strong upside after breaking above the weakened resistance, confirming the ascending triangle. Furthermore, the RSI momentum is strong and the 20, 50, and 200 EMAs are trending strongly. Momentum Long-term MACD's histogram is negative but weak. The signal line is looking to cross above and may resume the upside momentum. The stochastic Oscillator (62, 12, 12) had a crossover at the 50-line and this signal a high potential resumption of the mid-term upside momentum. The rate of change managed to rise sharply above the zero line. Volume and Trend strength are in a healthy stage. Both are displayed by volume and Directional movement index. Potential Risk: The stock is trending near the all-time high with strong parabolic rise. There may be wild and wide pullback, hence my stop loss will be wide.
NYSE:DELong
by William-trading
DE - Invest like a Deere - Why Long Term Matters Under 50For those of you following me for some time you know I am a long term owner of John Deere. At one time the largest position in my portfolio until MPC and NVDA made their runs. However it appears that Deere may be setting up to run again! There are a lot of Furus and Gurus that post trades, sell trades and many of them don't have the money to even take the trades they post. Like gambling, trading (especially leveraged) can result in losses where you wipe out your entire savings in one trade. Why they are selling trades, because they are broke asses. Two posts in the chat today were about IONQ and DE both having bull rallies. Now I don't own any IONQ, but there are a few followers that bought it cheaper and sat on it. I traded it, can't remember how that worked out to be honest. Just look at what Bitcoin and NVDA has done in the past couple years!!! I remember during the crash of 2018 I was getting all kinds of smack from dullards who criticized me buying into the dip, starting sat 13k. Wouldn't you like to own some from 13k now? Yes I have owned NVDA for a long time! My point here is if you want to really build long wealth, stop paying for Furus and invest your money into quality companies. Yeah sitting on that money is often boring and tedious. Sure there is no adrenaline rush daily when you look at your portfolio. But over time that portfolio grows and grows and grows and at some point you have a nice little nest egg. Since I have been on here posting I have pounded the table to take a little bit of money and put it away every paycheck, even if it $10-$25. Over time that money will grow and grow and at some point you will be financially secure. Anyways Deere had a great earnings report and is looking to make a move higher. Tie this into infrastructure spending and some trade deals I think Deere has a lot of room to run over the next couple years. See the pattern, rally, consolidation, rally, consolidation..... This is what you want to see in your investments, this is the perfect example. Have a blessed and safe weekend and stop trading quality stocks like Deere!!!!
NYSE:DELong
by goldbug1
2
DE breaks out of consolidation, targeting 1000DE is finally breaking out of the consolidation phase it has been stuck in for months and appears to be resuming its long-term bullish trend. The long-term target is estimated to be around the 1000 mark. Deere & Company (DE) has strong long-term potential due to its leadership in agricultural technology and steady profitability. Innovations like autonomous farming equipment support its growth. However, recent challenges, including weaker sales, lower customer demand, and revised financial guidance for 2024, have raised concerns about short-term performance. Broader economic pressures and competition add to the uncertainty, despite its commitment to increasing dividends
NYSE:DELong
by Quantific-Solutions
Deere & Company (John Deere) Agro AI stockCompany Overview John Deere, traditionally known as a manufacturer of agricultural and construction machinery, has evolved into a high-tech corporation with a focus on artificial intelligence (AI) and automation. The company’s innovations cater to the agricultural sector's rising demands and are increasingly seen as a strategic AI play, rather than merely a manufacturer. Key Innovations and Technologies • AI and Automation Integration: John Deere has integrated sensors, GPS, and data analytics into its machinery, enhancing productivity and reducing the workload for farmers. • Autonomous Machinery: Acquisitions like Flag Robotics enable Deere to produce self-driving tractors, enhancing efficiency on expansive farmland. • Sea & Spray Technology: This automated weed-control system uses AI to differentiate crops from weeds, improving precision in pesticide application and reducing environmental impact. Financial Model and Market Position John Deere generates revenue from sales and through a growing subscription-based model, particularly with products like Sea & Spray, expected to yield $700 million by 2030. The company’s revenue is split, with 60% from North America and a substantial 40% from international markets, notably Europe and Latin America. Investment Potential • Cyclical Nature: Deere’s earnings have historically fluctuated with agricultural cycles, but rising investment in technology and recurring revenue sources could mitigate this. • Valuation and Growth: Currently, Deere’s P/E ratio places it in a fair valuation range. Its transformation toward AI-driven agritech positions it to outperform the market long-term, potentially yielding annual returns of 10–15%. John Deere is a promising long-term investment with strong fundamentals in both technology and agriculture. Its cyclical nature may impact short-term performance, but the AI and automation focus make Deere an attractive pick for investors looking at sustained growth in the agricultural sector. This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always do your own research or consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.
NYSE:DELong
by marc_kober
Short Oppertunity Deer and CO (Short term)Fundamentals - Earnings decreased. - Outlook is negative. - 243 is based on earnings. Thats exactly (Book + Cash) / EPS = 10. if you do the math the price would be 306 target when the next earnings outlook will be negative. Technical/ entry strategy - There is no real technical motive but. There is a 2 Y Low which has been tested. Broke but rebounded. I would wait for the entry of the position when the 10 MA is met and bounced off and broke under the 340 levels.
NYSE:DEShort
by leohanhart1996