F ShortRising wedge to .786 Fib level. Weekly shooting star. Looking at a 4-month trade timeframe. Mid-year contracts.
FDMO34 trade ideas
Ford Long - Multiple support confluence at 12.6RIsing trend line support
Horizontal historical support
50% Fib retract support
Ford Reduces Prices of F-150 Lightning by $5,500Ford Motor Company (NYSE: NYSE:F ) has recently taken steps to increase demand for its electric vehicles (EVs) by reducing the prices of certain F-150 Lightning trims by up to $5,500. The latest round of price cuts applies to the F-150 Lightning's mid-level variants and came into effect on April 5, 2024. According to a report by CarsDirect, the starting prices of the Lightning Pro Standard Range and Lightning Platinum Extended Range variants remained unchanged at $54,995 and $84,995, respectively.
Meanwhile, the starting prices of the F-150 Lightning XLT Standard Range and Lariat Extended Range were reduced by $2,000 and $2,500, respectively. The starting price of the F-150 Lightning Flash Extended Range was substantially reduced by $5,500, bringing the new starting price of the F-150 Lightning Flash trim to $67,995, which is closer to its launch price of $69,995.
The F-150 Lightning Flash trim offers a target EPA range of 320 miles, a 15.5-inch touchscreen, a B&O sound system with HD radio and speakers, and a wireless charging pad, making it a value for money. Additionally, the F-150 Lightning, with a manufacturer's suggested retail price below $80,000, is eligible for the full $7,500 federal tax credit in the United States.
In the first quarter of 2024, Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) sold 20,233 EVs in the United States, marking an 86% year-over-year increase. Sales of Ford's Mach-E rose 77% year over year, making it the second-best-selling electric SUV in the United States. The F-150 Lightning remained the best-selling electric pickup in the United States, with sales of 7,743 units.
The sales of EVs gained momentum after the automaker reduced prices of the Mach-E by up to $8,100 in February. Additionally, it offered substantial incentives on the F-150 Lightning. In January, Ford announced the prices of the F-150 Lightning for the model year 2024, increasing the prices of most trims from $2,000 to $7,500. The starting price of the F-150 Lightning Pro rose from $5,500 to $54,995.
Despite the increase in EV sales in the first quarter of 2024, the automaker announced a reduction in its workforce by one-third at its Rouge EV Center, where the F-150 Lightning is manufactured. The recent round of price cuts followed the launch of Ford's new 2024 Mustang Mach-E, which boasts better range, rapid charging, and quicker acceleration.
Technical Outlook
Despite the reduction in prices of the F-150 Lightning, Ford Motors (NYSE: NYSE:F ) is still trading slightly beneath the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45.48 indicating low buying momentum from the bulls.
Ford Motors Shifts Three-Row Electric SUV Launch In a strategic move reflecting the dynamic landscape of the automotive industry, Ford Motors ( NYSE:F ) has announced a delay in the launch of its new three-row electric SUV on Friday after market close. The decision comes amidst evolving consumer demands and a reevaluation of the company's electric vehicle (EV) strategy.
Originally slated for release in 2025, the electric SUVs will now roll out of Ford's Oakville, Ontario, factory in 2027. This delay underscores Ford's commitment to allowing the consumer market ample time to mature and adapt to the burgeoning EV segment.
CEO Jim Farley emphasized Ford's unwavering dedication to manufacturing in Canada, citing a long-term vision for building a profitable and sustainable business. Farley iterated, "We are committed to scaling a profitable EV business, using capital wisely and bringing to market the right gas, hybrid, and fully electric vehicles at the right time."
This decision follows Ford's staggering $4.7 billion loss on EVs in 2023 and a strategic reallocation of resources announced last year, which included a reduction in planned EV spending by $12 billion. Despite robust demand for hybrids in the first quarter of 2024, Ford's financial challenges in the EV sector necessitated a reassessment of its approach.
While the delay may appear as a setback, Ford's focus on bolstering its hybrid electric vehicle offerings signals a nuanced approach to navigating the transition towards electrification. This shift aligns with the company's commitment to prudent capital allocation and strategic timing in introducing EVs to the market.
Shares of Ford Motors (F) remained steady following the announcement, reflecting investor confidence in the company's ability to adapt to market dynamics. With a gain of more than 12% in 2024, Ford ( NYSE:F ) continues to navigate the evolving automotive landscape with resilience and strategic foresight. Ford Motors ( NYSE:F ) stock closed at a 0.535 gain at a share price of $13.28 with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 60 indicating investors' confidence in the stock.
As the automotive industry undergoes a transformative shift towards electrification, Ford's recalibration of its EV strategy underscores the complexities and challenges inherent in this transition. By prioritizing profitability and strategic timing, Ford positions itself to emerge as a formidable player in the rapidly evolving EV market landscape.
Ford F - up we goI forgot to publish this idea yesterday, when I took this trade.
Why did I take it?
I was following F for a couple of months and saw it stuck in the range between 12 and 13 after the last earnings. It started moving up in march and it looked like some big guys were accumulating the position.
Yesterday, when the overall market turned red, F recovered very quickly, holding above 13,
I'm in fro 13.25, it's 2.7% up from my entry but I believe it's just a beginning of a bigger move.
Ford Stock Analysis : A Long-Term PerspectiveIn our exploration of the stock market, we don't limit our analysis to just short-term charts; we delve into the longer horizon as well.
Ford has particularly caught our attention. Our initial entry into Ford was at $10.30, a point which, upon reviewing the broader picture, appears to have been very close to the bottom—hopefully, the lowest point it will maintain. Any movement below this could potentially signal a fall towards the $4 mark, akin to the levels seen during the pandemic.
Assuming we've indeed hit the bottom, a conservative projection sees Ford climbing to at least $45 over a multi-year span. This bold assumption is reinforced by the structure observed on the 2-hour chart, showcasing a Wave (i), Wave 8ii), as well as Wave (iii)and Wave (iv). Our entry at Wave (iv) has proven strategic, with Ford's price appreciating by approximately 7.5% since then.
Believing in Ford's further potential, we plan to adjust our stop-loss just below the pivot point at Wave (iv), setting it at $10.79. We'll provide updates on our take profit targets as they are achieved, closely monitoring the stock for optimal exit points.
F Bearish Bias Again SHORTFORD ( F) on a weekly chart is in a falling wedge pattern. Fundamentally, it is challenged
by the EV vs hybrid dynamic, weak EV sales and the federal slowly ramping up MPG
requirements as potentially rising gasoline prices affecting consumer decisions away from the
gas consuming F-150 where the profits are the highest. Unless F can breakout of the falling
wedge, price could compress further in the wedge with a move down as far as 9.
At present F is testing the upper resistance descending trendline. The predictive algorithm
suggests it will be rejected and fall. I am entering a short trade here for a long term swing.
Ford Headed to 45 if it Can Clear Jan '22 HighsFord has broken out of two falling wedges, targets for both shown on the 2 weekly chart above, and should be headed back towards its January of 2022 highs.
The smaller falling wedge and the larger one have measured moves to TP 1s that sit just below ($22.80) and above ($29.20) its January of 2022 highs ($25.87).
If it can break and hold above 26, TP 2 for both falling wedges line up with halfway between its 1.0 and 1.618 fib retracement at $35.14, and then exactly at the 1.618 at $44.86.
The grey box may act as an area of resistance to this move.
Ford Motors and Forever 21 Collaborate on Capsule CollectionFord Motors (NYSE: NYSE:F ) emerges as a beacon of resilience and innovation. While the automotive industry faces uncertainty, Ford's strategic initiatives and overlooked strengths position it for long-term success.
Ford's Collaboration with Forever 21 Marks Strategic Diversification Efforts
One such initiative is Ford's collaboration with fashion giant Forever 21, marking a bold foray into the world of apparel. The recent launch of a capsule collection featuring nostalgic iconography of classic Ford cars demonstrates the company's commitment to diversification and tapping into new markets. By leveraging its iconic brand image, Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) aims to connect with consumers beyond the realm of automobiles, tapping into the intersection of fashion and automotive culture.
Ford's Strengths in Commercial Business and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
Despite prevailing pessimism surrounding the automotive industry, Ford's commercial business, particularly Ford Pro, stands out as a lucrative segment. With impressive earnings and revenue growth, Ford Pro's success highlights the company's ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the commercial vehicle market. Moreover, the continued growth of Ford Pro's software subscriptions and mobile repair services further solidifies its position as a key driver of future profitability.
Ford's Strong Dividend Yield and Financial Discipline
Furthermore, Ford's commitment to improving return on invested capital (ROIC) signals a proactive approach to enhancing operational efficiency and financial performance. With targeted efforts to streamline operations and optimize costs, Ford aims to elevate its ROIC from 14% to 20% in the coming years, underscoring its commitment to creating long-term value for shareholders.
In addition to its operational prowess, Ford's strong dividend yield offers investors a compelling opportunity for income generation. With a forward yield of nearly 5% and a robust dividend distribution policy, Ford provides shareholders with attractive returns even amidst market volatility. The company's solid adjusted free cash flow further reinforces its ability to sustain dividend payments and deliver value to shareholders.
RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - F EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - Stocks with bearish potential.
In this edition, we'll be looking at NYSE:F ...
I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility.
If price can hold below $12.06 ... Bearish potential may be unlocked.
My key downside targets include:
- $11.30 (Conservative)
- $9.93 (Medium)
- $8.67 (Aggressive)
If however price breaks above $12.91 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked.
(My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart)
Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future.
If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and comment below.
Mr RM | Risk Mastery
Disclaimer:
This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
Ford: On the road towards profits?🚗Ford #F NYSE:F
Looking ahead, our analysis and entry points have proven to be accurate. We are maintaining our long-term position, with a stop-loss set at $10.31. As for our recent short-term trade, we have already secured 75% profits and adjusted our stop-loss to the entry price. We now believe that Wave 1 has concluded, and we anticipate a three-part correction down to Wave 2, followed by Wave 3. We are expecting an Expanded Flat correction, which should not exceed 138%; the precise level will be determined once we confidently identify where Wave (a) ends.
As we prepare for Wave (c) and simultaneously Wave 2, we anticipate a retracement between 50 and 78.6%. Given that this is Wave 2, we are broadening our entry range due to the larger upside potential. We are looking at a risk-to-reward ratio of 4.8 for Wave 3, targeting a minimum of $16.75. Our entry zone ranges from $11.30 to $10.37. 📈
It's going for moreInverted HS confirmed. I sold CSP 12.32 exp 03/01 also buying the stock is a good move. SL triggers if it breaks down the support and closes under it.
"Ford Stock: Indicators of Pullback and Points to Watch""Ford stock is currently experiencing a pullback; the level I marked with red, 11.77, and also a retreat down to the lower band of the channel could occur. I indicated areas for potential pullbacks in the two-day closings below the channel with green horizontal lines. It is advisable to be cautious."
"WARNING: THIS ANALYSIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. CONSIDER YOUR RISK TOLERANCE AND FINANCIAL SITUATION BEFORE MAKING DECISIONS. FUTURE PERFORMANCE IS NOT GUARANTEED; THIS IS MERELY AN OPINION. INVEST PRUDENTLY AND CONDUCT THOROUGH RESEARCH."
Ford - Daily Analysis and Why I love my job.. and this communityThank you to everyone who has followed, shown support of any kind with a boost or a message - I love doing this day in/day out and there's nothing I love more than people gaining from my experience and knowledge. So just a massive thank you to all who gain anything from my videos (and live streams) and I am excited to continue to build this community together with you all!
As for Ford, we could see our necessary buying algorithms being activated right now but will initially need to see orange more tapered acting as support and from there green stronger continuation holding price to break us out of yellow and magenta.
First things first, we need to break out of our current strong selling algorithm, Orange, in order to attempt a retest of yellow and magenta.
Please join me tomorrow at market open (9:30 AM EST) where I will be trading live on stream here on TradingView and taking trades, analyzing charts, and having fun with our awesome community.
As always, feel free to comment or DM me with any questions, thoughts, or requests of charts to analyze.
And most importantly (even though it's the weekend),
Happy Trading :)
Ford - At a key level that will determine: Breakout or DumpVideo explains it all! Hope this is helpful for any Ford bag holders (like myself) to reconsider upon its' next move.
Happy Trading :)
FORD long trade activated FORD has been showing strong bullish momentum in the last few weeks. and it is likely to continue.
IS THE AUTO INDUSTRY ABOUT TO CRASH? FORD TRENDS Uh, okay, so I have zero clue what is going to happen and I didn't see this until now, but if I was trading per my style, I'd be loaded up on puts where I circled. I WOULD THEN ABOSLUTELY LOAD THE BOAT on the retouch. Potentially down to $8 and then probably calls for a short term bounce, which would have me realizing profits quickly in order to keep risk down. I would then be waiting for the next signal.
It's getting so close to crash time per multiple indicators, potentially, according to short term trend alignment which is far from an exact science, however, it shows a small pump of pretty much up to maybe $11, but wow! There is a LOT of downside showing.
Any thoughts on this?
The crash projections say Late Feb/Early March
But this market is moving faster every day, which is outpacing a lot of older traders that aren't able to adapt.
I mean, there is no question it bounces back, but.. how long, and how much, and how fast?
I think there is room to return to nearly $20.
In other words, if it's March, and the price is at 3.83, and you are hearing doom and gloom on the news. BUY CALLS. I wouldn't cover shares, I think the pace will be quite fast on the return for a lot of these stocks.
All in all, if you're still with me, the whole point I'm trying to make is this next crash is a trap, leading into a pump, which will cause "THE BIG ONE"
Trends point to next year early, but the market is fast, and you need to reanalyze in real time, meaning, it could literally happen in the next few weeks. I don't know, you don't know. We can't predict the future of stock prices, but we can use the information we see to swing the statistics in our favor for a successful trade, even if that means being patient and waiting for the right entry.
F Ford Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold F Ford before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of F Ford prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 12usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $0.46.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Ford's Shift to Electric Vehicles Sparks Job Cuts in GermanyFord Motor Company (NYSE: NYSE:F ) has announced plans to streamline its operations, leaving a wake of job losses in its German plant. The decision, prompted by the company's strategic pivot towards electric vehicles, signals a seismic shift in the traditional automotive landscape.
Amidst burgeoning demand for electric vehicles, Ford ( NYSE:F ) has inked a deal with union representatives to slash approximately 2,700 jobs from its Saarlouis plant in Germany. This restructuring comes as Ford prepares to transition its electric vehicle production to Spain, leaving the Saarlouis facility grappling with an uncertain future.
The announcement, which follows Ford's earlier decision to assemble its next-generation electric vehicle in Valencia, underscores the profound challenges facing traditional automakers in adapting to the burgeoning electric vehicle market. With consumer preferences veering towards eco-friendly alternatives, automakers are compelled to realign their manufacturing strategies to remain competitive in an evolving industry landscape.
The ramifications of Ford's decision reverberate through the Saarlouis community, casting a shadow of uncertainty over the livelihoods of thousands of workers. The impending job cuts, slated to coincide with the cessation of Ford Focus production at the plant next year, signal a pivotal juncture for the region's industrial landscape.
Union officials, while acknowledging the inevitability of job reductions, have negotiated fiercely to mitigate the impact on workers. Under the agreement, around 1,000 jobs are slated for retention post-2025, with assurances against forced redundancies until 2032. This concerted effort aims to cushion the blow of the workforce transition and uphold the dignity of affected employees amidst the tumult of change.
Joerg Koehlinger, the district manager of IG Metall Mitte union, articulated the union's stance, stating, "After the best solution could not be realized, we opted for the second-best solution: to make job cuts as expensive as possible for Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ). The result is impressive. Employees have the opportunity to leave the company through a very attractive program."
However, the fate of the negotiated agreement hangs in the balance as union members prepare to cast their votes in a pivotal referendum on February 22nd. Their decision will shape the trajectory of Ford's restructuring efforts and determine the contours of the social compact between management and labor.
In response to inquiries, a Ford spokesperson emphasized the company's commitment to navigating the restructuring process with sensitivity and transparency. "Subject to the formal steps for implementation, this marks an important milestone in the negotiations with the social partners on the social collective agreement, reconciliation of interests, and social plan that have been ongoing since last year," the spokesperson remarked. "A key component of these agreements is the planned gradual reduction of around 2,700 jobs through socially responsible, voluntary redundancy programs."
As Ford (NYSE: NYSE:F ) embarks on this transformative journey towards electrification, the repercussions of its decisions ripple far beyond the confines of corporate boardrooms, profoundly impacting communities, livelihoods, and the very fabric of industrial societies. The intersection of technological innovation and labor dynamics underscores the imperative for stakeholders to navigate this transition with empathy, foresight, and a steadfast commitment to safeguarding the welfare of workers amidst the winds of change.
Possible bullish exit in F ($F) after a long accumulationWe can see a medium-term accumulation marked in a large rectangle, a completely lateral zone. At the end you can see a False Breakout Down (FBD) and then a breakout up. I consider that we are going to experience an interesting bullish trade of approximately 30% until the zone of the smallest rectangle (14 - 15usd)
Your question does not bother.
---------------------------------------------
Spanish
Posible salida alcista en F ( NYSE:F ) después de una larga acumulación
Podemos ver una acumulación de mediano plazo marcada en un gran rectángulo, una zona completamente lateral. Al final se puede ver una falsa ruptura hacia abajo (FBD) y luego una ruptura hacia arriba. Considero que vamos a vivir una interesante operación alcista de aproximadamente el 30% hasta la zona del rectángulo más pequeño (14 - 15usd)
Preguntar no molesta.
Long Ticker Symbol FBounce of the 200ema. Price cross above 50 ema. Will trend continue? Will 20 ema cross above 50ema?
RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - F EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - Stocks with breakout potential.
In this edition, we'll be looking at NYSE:F ...
I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility.
If price can hold above $3.50 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked.
My key upside targets include:
- $5.70 (Conservative)
- $6.80 (Medium)
- $9.95 (Aggressive)
If however price falls below $2.70 ... Bearish risk potential may be unlocked.
(My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart)
Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future.
If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and comment below.
Mr RM | Risk Mastery
Disclaimer:
This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
Ford Motor (F, $11.72) (MACD) positive turned , January 31, 2024Ford Motor (F, $11.72) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned positive on January 31, 2024
This is a Bullish indicator signaling F's price could rise from here. Traders may explore going long the stock or buying call options. A.I. dvisor identified 44 similar cases where F's MACD histogram became positive, and 32 of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success: 73%.
F in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on January 31, 2024
The 10-day moving average for F crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 31, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where F's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In 55 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F just turned positive on January 31, 2024. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
F moved above its 50-day moving average on January 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in 205 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
F broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for F entered a downward trend on January 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
