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HSI1!
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BVMF Hang Seng Index Futures

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HSI1! trade ideas

29/9/2022 PLAYBOOK HKEX:HSI1! Intraday pivot: 545/505 as long as these held, bulls are in control #marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.

by sherlou_0505

28/9/2022 Playbook HKEX:HSI1! Pivot: 653 #marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.

by sherlou_0505

Hang Seng Index - Off the cliff...No good news at all as the HSI drove off the cliff... The weekly chart shows that two weeks ago, the support was broken, and all technical indicators are bearish. The Fibonacci projections put the downside target at 14,600. A very substantial downside burn. Only green shoot observed is a possible bullish divergence forming... The daily chart shows the accentuated off the cliff type of slide down. It is a little dramatic and should be looking for some consolidation around the 16500 level.

Short

by Auguraltrader

23/9/2022 PLAYBOOK #marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn $HSI ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.

by sherlou_0505

Updated

21/9/2022 PLAYBOOK Above 676, target 762/824 Below 570, target 517/487/404 #marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn $HSI ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.

by sherlou_0505

20/9 PM Update 20/9 Update: Heavy rejection within this Friday's Excess area; Acceptance within this area favors bulls to regain control/ for rally continuation. ***** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this newsletter as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this newsletter, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.

by sherlou_0505

20/9/2022 Playbook #marketprofile #volumeprofile #orderflow #chartanalysis #chartporn HKEX:HSI1! *** I use this platform as a way to organize my thoughts and plan for my personal trading for the sessions to come. Do not misconstrue this post as actionable trading advice. I am simply sharing my thoughts as a market operator through this post, which helps me get my head straight and hold myself accountable for the next day. It is very possible that I am flat wrong in all of my scenarios.

by sherlou_0505

HSI Update Looks to me like China is due for a bounce as well.... I am super bearish on cryptos but China always pumps cryptos even though they are supposed to trade them, lol. I'm guessing they're using futures as a loophole? I dunno.

by hungry_hippo

Updated

Still short on Chinese Equities Despite the numerous stimulus by the Chinese government, HSI's previous rally seemed to be short lived. This is in fact, align with my expectations. Reason because: 1. Continuous lock-downs/fears of lockdowns. No one will know when will the city go into lockdown, putting all production etc on hold. 2. Investors' confidence. Despite the credit stimulus, it seems like it is not really helping the demand in the property market. My expectation is however, to go long on Chinese Equities at 18117. And I am expecting this to be around the end Oct-Early Nov period after the china politburo meeting whereby we could possibly expect the following: 1. Even more stimulus. It seems that the Chinese can withstand further rate cuts but they might not be willing to do so to ensure the stability of the yuan. 2. Ease of quarantine measures. However, point 2 in my opinion, might not have that huge of an effect as expected. Reason being: 1. There is no flights to Mainland China. However, we might expect more flights to Mainland China after the meeting 2. There is still chance of massive lockdowns despite the one that happened in Shanghai earlier this year.

Long

by TraderXR

HSI Prediction Scenario 2 This would be the second scenario of my HSI prediction. HSI is in downtrend, but based on its MACD divergence, HSI might have chances to go up and touch the downtrend line in short. I predict it might be in the middle of September as all the midterm financial reports of the company have been released. And it falls again from the pressure line and touch the 18400 (the support level) and bounce one more times as shown. Please feel free to let me know your thoughts HKEX:HSI1!

Short

by Money_Turtle

Heng Seng Index HSI is in a downtrend, and it follows the major downtrend line. I predict the HSI will drop to 16xxx as it has the a major strong support line. The road path is predicted as shown. HKEX:HSI1!

Short

by Money_Turtle

HSI: Supercycle Bull I don’t usually post a supercycle because it is not that useful for a trader. But maybe it is good to use this as a reference when you decide on whether to have a long or short bias if you are trading the HSI. Other than the EW counts, take note of the red support line that I’ve drawn. That is a crucial support. I also particularly like the fact that A=C.

Long

by sngyuchao

HSI Update HSI touching overbought on RSI, probably pulls back tonight. If you're still holding along position in PDD, I suggest dumping or at least locking in some profit. I'm already out.

by hungry_hippo

Updated

HSI Update Oversold and hit my target last night so bought some PDD calls this morning. Good earnings and positive news so you know that garbage is gonna go up fast, it always does. Already getting pumptarded, but I've seen PDD move $20 in a week, for example runup before last earnings. This is why I plot stuff though, hit the target almost on the dot.

by hungry_hippo

Updated

HSI Bullish on Macro?PBoC cut its 1 year and 5 year LPR again in an attempt to spur its credit markets. As expected we saw a huge jump in HSI this morning. However, I think this rally might not be long lasting because of investors' sentiments. Based on the technicals, it seems to be in a downward channel as well. My take is that unless it breaks out 19860, it will probably reverse back down.

Short

by TraderXR

HSI MFI Oversold Expecting at least a one day bounce off this minor support ADR traders must be looking at the same thing because PDD went green despite HSI going down last night.

by hungry_hippo

HSI Update MFI hit overbought last night and several companies announced they are going to delist from the US after their market closed. There is a gap in futures, but China doesn't always fill those. Snagged some PDD puts on the gap fill, and added a few on this pump. Will wait until EOD to decide if to bail or add. Despite the delisting news, Chinese ADRs are melting up wit the US market, lol. When the algos pump, they pump everything.

by hungry_hippo

Updated

15-19/8 weekly Playbook Overall, $HSI remains cautious until heavy-weighted names earnings release. Therefore, I expect $HSI will continue tight range bound between Monday and Wednesday. Of note, I want to see how the price reacts around the 2H belt as it entered the belt. Price scenario: Open/bid above 20078-096, build up time/volume, would test these 20230s area and see if the sellers are still there. If we do manage to break higher, would tgt 20500 and 20633 along the way. 192-230 would be reasonable targets for longs. If this 20230s area fails, then can revert all the way lower and test 19455. Open/offer below 20000, want to test 19873/842/825. Below this we’re more than likely going to tgt this 760-600 weekly low volume area where I expect responsive buying. On the way lower would look at 549/519/440 for support. Depending on the action, if I dont see strong reaction from sellers prior to hitting this 760-600 area, I think we can bounce and test 20167 and 20236.

by sherlou_0505

HSI Update China's tanking again, lol. I guess I should have paid attention to the easy play. Was so hung up on CPI that I forgot all about China even though PDD is near the top of my watch list. Oh well. Can't chase it now. I know there's a lot of bears following me, a lot of time if I feel bearish and the US market is melting up I short a foreign ETF or in this case ADR. Missed out on this one.

by hungry_hippo

Belt STILL rejected HSI!Last week HKEX:HSI1! rallied to 20300 previous week low volume area then got sold off towards 19450-ish, previous daily excess, where seller couldn't find traction. Buyers stepped in and ended OTFD and created three sessions of OTFU into 20300-ish and again got rejected, which left weekly OTFD continued. Looking ahead, with the Belt, aka @spacemanbtc creation, getting lower, I expect STFR mode still in play, unless the low volume area is taken out. Bullish case: IMO, buyers in control as long as the area holds, then claim and gain acceptance within 266-355, targets 585 Bearish case: breaking down 4/8 low would trigger weakness, and overall it's simple, keep price under 356 and break 19456, to maintain weekly OTFD, target 19216/063/18879/576

by sherlou_0505

Updated

Master Belt dislike $HSI The belt created by @spacemanbtc rejected $HSI breakout and created weekly OTFD. From the perspective of market profiles, weekly imbalance indicates bearish sentiments among traders and further downtrend expected. Theme: STFR Bulls target: reclaim 20633 and tackles above 20985, but note that top belt is leaning lower Bears target: stay below the single prints around 20300, take out and weekly close under the weak low

by sherlou_0505

Updated

HSI Update China is probably the hardest market to predict because their govt exerts their will on the market, whether it be up or down. I shorted PDD again today because I think it goes down and retests the bottom next week. We'll see.

by hungry_hippo

HSI Update Indicators are oversold, but chart pattern says one more down day. Taking the safe approach and just leaving profits in PDD puts, cashing out the original investment to lock in profits.

by hungry_hippo

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