ISP1! trade ideas
SP500 BULLISH BUT BEST TIMING ?we can see below is the call put option of Sp500.
Buy Signal when:
every time Sp500 price is greater than Stand Deviation drawn in blue
call put ratio fluctuation high touches
Sell is the opposite.
Is our entry point correct?
Does anyone know?
Pray I don't get SL
Descending Channel PatternFrom what is a descending channel which also has a higher percentage of completion than the others. Whether is a Continuation or a full Reversal solely depends on where it breaks out at. In my opinion this is going to be a full reversal considering how we have been more so consolidating, rather than dropping. No position just yet but i will scalp and lean more towards the bullish side.
ES Technical AnalysisWhere Price Going?
-Price reacting off of 200MA
-Price reacting off of Daily/Weekly Demand
-Price reacting off of Major Support
-Fears of Trump Tarriffs
-Fears of slowing economy
Price is at a critical level depending if
buyers step in or if price breaks away
below 200MA
ES Morning Update March 7thES has been revolving around 5757-63, acting as a key magnet. It held as support in the morning, leading to a rally toward 5822, but once it failed in the afternoon, the market sold off to the 5725 target. Now, NFP will dictate the next move.
As of now:
• 5763 must recover to target 5777, 5794, and 5822
• On an NFP flush, 5714 and 5700 must hold to prevent deeper downside
Combined US Indexes - Breakdown and JittersMarked out previously, the US indexes broke down a tad earlier and retested to fail only to drop further based on jitters and jitter-induced expectations.
While the candlestick is long and solid pretty much, there is an extension zone to expect more of the downside to overreach and be oversold before a bounce.
You should be able to see that the Buy Setup is pretty much done and can expect a bounce reversal soon... but only after momentum ebbs and a base support is found.
Watch for it...
UncertaintyThe price action in the daily chart of the S&P 500 implies uncertainty about market activity. Friday's movement will be based on how the market digests the labor numbers that will be reported on Friday.
New additional ES/SP500 AnalysisAlternative and more likely scenario to previous ES/SPY bottoming ideas: #1 ES/SPY has been traveling in downward channel. Seems as if it has made 3 - 4 top of channel/bottom of channel trips and potentially may be missing completion of this last rotation down, which ignites the move up or may exit the channel with sideways move which would provide idea number #2 ES/SPY will continue to test the 200 MA breaking above and below it. (Potentially one of the candles may make a big move down and bough up providing a big flush/shake out and subsequent large wick. Possibly not required). Eventually forming a multiple daily candle bottom. Likely 2-3 more candles before starting its ascent higher. Personally I'm already long with small (red!) positions with ES micro mini, SPY and NVIDIA calls. More pain and waiting likely ahead and ready to make small additions waiting for the strong move up. Risk management required. As with every chart analysis viewing all possibilities - I could see potential additional 100 - 130 point drop
ES Bottom Could Be in MacroI am longing AMEX:SPY and a good bit of Semi Conductors as well like NYSE:WOLF and NASDAQ:NVDA .. This was a healthy Pullback, of course I am very far out with my positions on Options. I am Also long on NYSE:ES for a swing with a nice hedge on NSE:TTL .. This is not financial advise, just my idea.. usually we are all week early. I am stacking in accordingly. www.tradingview.com
S&P Futures 45-min RTH chart reviewIf the M pattern breaks out, likely target will be 5600 level. Most breakouts fail, so I'd look for a breakout, re-touch and fall to target. A slight breach is not enough to short at this level. Price could explode upward with one comment from you-know-who.
DID SPECULATORS FINALLY BUY THE DIP?Since the October 2022 low in the S&P, Large Speculators (blue column) have not bought any dips in the market with significance where they got crowded getting long. Since that low, the S&P kept making new all-time highs and the Speculators never chased.
Tt's going to be real interesting cot on Friday, 03/07/2025, to see if they bought this dip in stocks which I've been talking about for a few years, where I really didn't think this bull market will end until they buy.
They were clearly never going to chase. So maybe they'll buy the dip. The Friday data will show positioning as of this past Tuesday which included a significant move. If that is in fact what they have been doing. My sneaking suspicion is they did. But let's see, let's let the data tell us.
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/06/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/06/2025
📈5798 5818 5838
📉5759 5739 5719
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES GOLD OIL3.6.25 this is a morning video and this was done purposefully so we could project where the market might go later this morning. I'm looking at four markets but I can't remember the fourth one. this is an exercise in following 2 bar reversals to look for change of Direction in a market and also trying to decide what the target should be. it's an exercise in trying to find a trade with a small stop and a Target that we can consider before we push the button to take the trade. and other words it has a built-in entry, stop and Target....... but it's not perfect.
ES Morning Update March 6thES has been stuck in the same range for nearly four days, with 5858-5875 acting as resistance and 5763 holding as support. Yesterday followed the same pattern—I was looking for a rally to resistance, we got it, and then the market reversed back down.
As of now:
• 5777, 5763-57 are key supports
• Reclaiming 5798 sets up a move toward 5809, 5822+
• If 5757 fails, expect selling to 5725
Es held 200MA as support The market is in extreme fear, that’s when you should be greedy.
Looking at this hold pushing up above the 200 after falling below for a few days. I’ll take the buy signal on the 1hr in my new post.
S&P500 & Bitcoin Dancing Off Key SupportsBy Eric Lee , Sales Director of Phillip Nova
The E-mini S&P 500 index futures are currently exhibiting a symmetrical triangle formation, a technical pattern that typically indicates a period of consolidation before a potential breakout.
The price is testing the lower boundary of this triangle, suggesting a possible breakdown. Additionally, the index is hovering near the 200-day moving average (MA), a critical long-term support level. A break below this MA could signal further bearish momentum, with the next significant support level based on the triangle formation around 5550.
The correlation between the S&P 500 index and Bitcoin has been a topic of interest, as both assets have shown periods of synchronized movements, particularly during times of market stress.
The recent drop in Bitcoin's price may be indicative of broader market sentiment, potentially foreshadowing a breakdown in the E-mini S&P 500 index futures. If Bitcoin's decline continues, it could exacerbate selling pressure in the equity markets, leading to a more pronounced downturn in the S&P 500 futures. Traders should closely monitor these developments, as a confirmed breakdown could lead to increased volatility and a test of lower support levels.
Can buyers momentum carry-on?On the daily chart in the S&P 500 buyers have returned to this market. The challenge now is can they follow through which would be a sign of confidence in future positive market action.
The ES/SPY Bottom May Be InDaily wick looks to indicate a bottom is in. This would be consistent with past bottoms. Big wick after mainly days of bearish movement. Sentiment is bearish. The tariffs are in, people are scared, the bulls have unwound. Retails is bloodied. Now big money comes in and buys low and squeezes the bears who think it will just keep falling. Remember T.I.N.A. too!
BTC & ES1! (S&P500 Futures) CorrelationBitcoin and the S&P500 are still showing correlation.
S&P500 Futures (ES1! ticker) has a gap about 3% lower.
I think we need to fill this gap (resulting in a bounce) for BTC to start moving with greater strength to the upside.
The gap is also in the range of the 0.5 Fib retracement (50% of that range).
This could see BTC come back to the lower 80k's region before we completely put in the local bottom.
2025 H2 Roadmap UpdateFeel like the current price is "agreement" on a lower price range (boxs).
Our new range high is old range low.
2024 Vwap is next interest point.
Jobs are a bigger risk than CPI.
EOQ / OPEX / FOMC are possible bottoms.
ES trade review 3-4 w key levels and Mack triple test Triple test and mission complete
find confirmation and targets.
upside 10x trade idea on bear day.
ES Morning Update March 5thYesterday was the most volatile session in ES since August, with three 100+ point round trips. I was looking for a squeeze to 5875—we hit 5875 exactly.
As of now:
• Size down—volatility remains high
• 5798, 5784 are key supports
• A recovery of 5822 is needed to push toward 5858
• If 5784 fails, look for a drop to 5763, then new lows
