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ISP1! trade ideas

#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 11.24 - 11.29.24Last Week : Sunday Globex opened and held over lower ranges Value which put is in this 940 - 880+/- Distribution Balance, holding under 930s Edge kept giving us weakness into lower VAH but Tuesday Pre Market move into Value failed after tagging the Mean, prices were able to hold and climb back over the Edge which brought stability and more buying to close things up with a push/hold inside above Value. This Week: We have a tricky week coming up as we have End of the Month Week, Holiday, Supply inside and above current Value and buying/cost basis that we built up under 940s. This could lead towards slower back and forth trading inside/around this Value. Probably not a week to push for too much continuation on either side and maybe watch for smaller ranges. We are now inside 970 - 620 Intraday Range and if we have enough supply around/above it and buying under that could keep the price balancing around it. Unless volume comes in to knock us back down under VAL and can get us under 940s or make a push over 620s and start holding over 630+ then id be careful on holding too long or looking for big moves on either side, might be more of consolidation choppier trading. On Daily TF we have again made a move under Smaller MA, made a push for but no tag of anything bigger under and popped back out to finish the week, we may require more sideways action in this current HTF Range of 930s - 650s +/- Before we would be ready for any bigger corrections and this could take time to set up, and of course we arent looking for much higher prices unless we can built up under above Edge and get a good push through it with a hold without coming back in. Time to be careful and tighten up.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
S&P 500 - weakening ahead of year end?So, a small pull back completed after the 6000 mark, but looking in a wider range, we can see the initial target (5750), after breaking the cup and handle, was passed and stretched for quite some time now. We are now in the mid of the thanksgiving rally, which will completed probably at the end of the upcoming. And to be honest, as i read it, and a i already mentions in the nq 100 analysis, the bulls are trying to understand what to do next, and we can see also with the actions on nvda, goog, etc. my read on this, there is going to be another attempt to push to the top, maybe it will create double top, and then profit taking steps. I think first target will be around the 5600, to close the gap over there, and depending on the its strength, i think it can go as low as 5200-5400. Stay safe
CME_MINI:ES1!
by aloni-ta
20241122 ESI anticipate more upside and reversal to the downside after. The +DOL is NWOG and possible bs raid. Reversal after HI news. With new LOW as -DOL. If PA showes more upside before HI news that will be a good sign for the later downside reversal. PA can go higher than it is anticipated at the moment. This upside move is to seduce the retail into the late longs, their stops will be raided on the move to the downside later. I anticipate that the post-election downside move is not finished and there is more downside to be delivered.
CME_MINI:ESZ2024
by Yoo_Cool
2024-11-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral below 5990, max bullish above. Bearish only below 5900. I have the close near a bear and a bull trend line, so tough spot for any prediction. I do think after so many attempts by the bears, they have given up and we are now free to do the second round of this blow-off top. Consider me surprised if we continue in my drawn bull channel and bears can get this down 60+ points again. comment : Daily chart tells you 4 consecutive bull bars on increasing volume. Very high chance tomorrow the bears will give up and we test 6050+ again. The bear trend line could still be valid or not, we will only know tomorrow. Above 5980/5990 we will see an acceleration upwards. On the 1h tf you can make a case for 5980 being at the crossing of bull and bear trend line but we will have an answer tomorrow morning. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 5855 - 6100 bull case: Higher lows and higher highs. Bulls want a retest of the ath and above. I have a measured move target at 6150 and even above 6300. Bulls have all the arguments on their side for a second leg up but to get it, they would have to prevent the market from getting another strong move down to below 5920. It should probably stay above 5950 to trap many bears who sold the highs again. Invalidation is below 5940ish. bear case : Bears do not have much tbh. They sold every high the last days but selling is getting weaker and they can only do it so often before they stop and will only try higher again. Best case for bears is to stay below 5990 and do what we did the whole week, sell the highs for at least 60 points. Invalidation is above 5990. short term: Bullish. Above 5990 uber bullish for new ath. Neutral below 5950 and below. Only below 5800 I turn bear. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Same as dax. Yesterdays’ lows held and longs around 5905 were beyond amazing.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
s&p lunchbreak, or major pullback?it doesnt seem like the consolidation in major indices has been destructive in terms of major disruption due to current volatility according to these machine learning and adaptive trend based algorithms. as long as we stay above a rising average we should trend toward the mean of the channel provided there isnt a major destabilizing event geopolitically or otherwise. its looking more and more like a weekly higher low is more or less set, and the index wants to return to around the 6020 level. if we fail to break the day high here, i would look for any daily higher low above tuesdays low for bull continuation.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by cerealindicator
SPX - Downside into Thanksgiving?It's a great day in the world and I hope you're having a great day as well. I'm looking at the potential for SPX to make a downward move going into next week as it has in prior years. I'm looking at a 5 wave structure down from the highs in early November followed by what currently appears to be a 3 wave structure up into where we currently are. If the structure is correct, we should move up a little bit today into the golden zone that I've outlined on the chart and reject from there. If we do get that rejection and we start to take out some of the pivots which I outlined in the video, we should have increased confidence in the short idea. Nothing is certain and all trades should have risk managed in some way or another, but we should see a move down to 5800 if this holds true. It's about a 180 point move from where we are now with only about 25 point risk. Trade carefully and always ask questions in the comments below if you have them.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by bitdoctor
1
The S&P Mini11 21 24 I spent a lot of time looking at bigger time frames on the S&P because they can show you very good reversal setups and they're clean. you can also find very good ABCD patterns that that you can miss on the lower timeframes. I would like to show you the detailson a four-hour chart and how you can stay out of trouble when this Market actually expanded which completely changes the way you should look at the market especially when you're trying to find trade location.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ScottBogatin
1