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ISP1! trade ideas

ES Update - Gap AlertSo this time the market gapped up, lol by like 22 points so that's pretty big. My assumption here is that the market fills the upper gap RSI and/or MFI go overbought and it cycles back down before next Wed's tariff announcements. PCE gets announced Wed so not shorting anything before then even if MFI and RSI get overbought. Will post a comment when I see it go overbought, no time to post during the day. BTW: For people who don't understand what I'm talking about, futures gaps almost always fill, it's not the same as daily indices. If you don't believe me, just go look for opens gaps in the past. Also, I prefer 3hr charts on US index futures, has worked well in the past.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
2
ES1! Short Term View With price rebounding from the 61.8% Fib (~5516) and now hovering near the 38.2% Fib (~5758), the market is at a critical juncture. If buyers maintain control above 5637, we could see a continued push higher, first testing 5758, then potentially on toward 5907+. On the flip side, failure at these resistance levels could prompt a deeper retracement back into the high‐5500s or lower. Always watch volume and price action near the key Fib confluence zones to gauge the next directional move. Trading Scenarios (Week of 23rd March) : Bullish (Primary): As long as the market holds above ~5637 on pullbacks, the bias remains upward, targeting a retest of 5758 and potentially higher toward 5908. Bearish (Secondary): A firm close below 5637 re‐opens the door to 5514–5516. A break below that “golden zone” would negate the short‐term bullish structure and could send ES toward the larger swing low at ~5114.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Forexgrindr
1
Weekly Market Forecast SP500 NASDAQ DOW: Short Term BUYS!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 24 - 28th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. The equity markets have been choppy lately, but this week may be different. The economic calendar shows a smooth week ahead, as there are no NFP, FOMC, or similarly volatile news ahead to potentially reverse a market out of the blue. The indices show potential to break consolidation and move upwards. So we wait until there are definitive market structure shifts to occur, acting as confirmations. Only then do we pounce! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by RT_Money
4
Class A/B RSI Bearish Divergence on SPY Futures?Really posting here to see if anyone would validate this for me but I was looking on the chart and this idea came about. On the weekly chart for ES1!, there seems to be class A or B Bearish Divergence developing on the Weekly timeframe. Listen, of course we all know SPY trends upwards over time but is this an indicator of a larger sell the market needs to go higher every once in a blue moon? This is guarenteed a macro trend and I probably will have to wait a year for this analysis to play out but hey, at least we're here. (***ponders on how I charted Gamestop at $10 but never traded because of lack of knowledge***) Anyways, this is something I will of course monitor but let me highlight instances in history this has happened. Please feel free to give your input on this analysis! Jan 1998 thru Apr 2001 (News Driver: Dot-Com Bubble) Price makes higher highs from Jan 98' thru Mar 00' From Mar 98' thru Mar 00', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) on Sep 00'. Fails to make new all-time high From Sep 00' to Apr 01' price moves down as much as 30% over the next 224d Jan 2013 thru Feb 2016 Price makes higher highs from Jan 13' thru May 15' From May 13' thru Jun 14', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) Jul 15' and a following lower high on Nov 15' From Jul 15' to Aug 15' (42d) (News Driver: Lagging China Market) price moves down as much as 14% and as much as 14% on the Nov '15 lower high to Jan 16' (78d) (News Driver: Oil Prices) Current: Jan 24' thru Nov 24' Price has been making higher highs all year From Mar 24' thru , the RSI has been making lower highs while price is making higher highs We are now at a point where price is pushing to go higher but what I would want to see based off of historical data is for price to consolidate or some type of Bearish Turtle Soup forming. If this happens and the RSI returns to Fair Value, we could be in for a sizeable sell of for at least a couple of weeks in the near future. I will come back to this in the next few months. Happy Trading!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EaszzzyE
Are We Witnessing a Black Swan Event?I’ve spent most of the day digging through charts and studying past crashes — because what we’re living through right now might be a once-in-a-decade opportunity. This current market crash feels eerily close to a black swan event. No one really expected Trump to push tariffs this far, and the consequences are already rippling through global markets. If this escalates into true economic isolation, the effects could be both tremendous and long-lasting. That said, there’s another possibility: This might just be a blip in history — a bold negotiating tactic that works out, shocks the system temporarily, and fades away. There’s even speculation this could mirror the 1989 crash, with some analysts warning of a potential 20% drop by Monday. If that happens, I’d rather not be frozen by fear. I want to act with intention. I want my plan in place and my orders ready. Before I share stock ideas I believe can outperform in the long run… Let’s first walk through what I believe might be playing out — at least for now. (Keep in mind, these theses can change fast.) Before the crash, it looked like a replay of 2022: Markets were clearly overvalued and due for a correction — back then, it was driven by regional bank failures, and the Fed quickly stepped in to stabilize things. But now, selling pressure is accelerating. This looks less like 2022 and more like 2020 — where markets broke down in response to a larger, fast-moving, global crisis. Even though we’re seeing similarities, things can shift very quickly. We still haven’t seen key reversal signs — like a Doji candle — and more importantly, there’s been no intervention yet from the government or global forces. Until that happens, panic may continue to snowball. And as we know from history, panic doesn’t operate on logic. Source: 📚 2020 Stock Market Crash en.wikipedia.org
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Combined US Indexes - Lower High Lower Low checked; What next...As previously expected, a lower low has been achieved. What was not expected was the speed, magnitude and extent of the fallout. Next up, since it is about 3.5 Standard Deviations out, we can start looking for a consolidation, although there might be slightly more downside and we need a higher low in the expected range within box. Having said that, it is possible to see it overextend downwards briefly. There is a long term support, Fibonacci downside target zone just below. So expecting a short term bounce between Monday to Wednesday at the earliest, and following that a consolidation area formation.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Auguraltrader
ES and the Trade War, We are still short here.Current Market Context: Downtrend Continuation: The ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China have led to significant sell-offs, pushing the ES further down. The recent sharp decline in major indices, including the S&P 500, highlights the market's instability and investor anxiety. Bearish Sentiment: The market's bearish sentiment is evident, with the Nasdaq entering a bear market and the S&P 500 experiencing its largest weekly decline since 2020. Criteria for Reversal: Trend Line Break: A break above the current downtrend line on a higher time frame, such as the 15-minute chart, would be a strong indicator of a potential reversal. Mitigation of Bearish Fair Value Gap: Observing a mitigation of the bearish fair value gap would suggest that sellers are losing control, paving the way for buyers to step in. Formation of Bullish Fair Value Gap: The emergence of a bullish fair value gap would indicate a shift in market sentiment, signaling the potential for an uptrend. Projections for ES Price: Short-Term Outlook: If the above criteria are met, we could see a reversal in the ES price, with potential targets at key resistance levels. Look for a break above the recent highs on the 15-minute chart to confirm the uptrend. Medium-Term Outlook: Should the reversal gain momentum, the ES could aim for higher resistance levels, potentially retracing some of the recent losses. Key levels to watch include previous support turned resistance zones. Long-Term Outlook: In the event of sustained bullish momentum, driven by positive economic indicators or easing trade tensions, the ES could recover further, targeting higher time frame resistance levels. Strategic Considerations: Cautious Approach: Given the current volatility, it's crucial to remain cautious and wait for clear confirmation of a trend reversal before entering long positions. Sector Opportunities: Consider focusing on sectors like utilities, consumer staples, and healthcare, which may offer more stability during this downturn.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by CapitalGainz33
April 3rd Daily Trade Recap EOD accountability report: +$161.25 Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: not good at all. **Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System ** 9:42 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 11:11 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (double signal) 12:04 pm Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 1:31pm Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 1:40 PMVXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal double signal Another wild day, market went extremely bearish and has been rejecting the 5 min resistance and playing out as expected.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System EOD accountability report: +$2,337.50 Sleep: 5 hour, Overall health: not gud ** Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System ** 9:36 AM VXAlgo NQ 48M Buy Signal, 9:44 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 11:13 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal (lost $525 on this play) 1:21 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal 2:05 PM VXAlgo NQ 48M Sell Signal 2:40 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (triple signal) Overall a pretty wild day, I'm extremely glad that we have a system that works and reads the MM very well. The only thing we need to do is be extremely disciplined and pull the trigger without hesitation.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
No where to go but up....What a mess! As you can see from the 240 minute chart, things are indeed ugly. But, isn't it strange that we made all time highs just a month or so ago? Look at the Magic 7 stocks and find one that doesn't look buyable here. All the bearish sentiment in the world cannot stop the flood of FOMO money that will attract to the negative look of the chart to the first clear sign of a trend reversal. I don't care about the rest of the world, I am going to try and buy this somewhere between where we are and an absolute bottom in the 5500's.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rzacuto