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JPMC34 trade ideas

JPM 💎 TopDiamond top to kick things off next week.. Fridays price closed above 50sma. Once price breaks the 50 , JPM should test the 200sma on the flush at 128. As you can see 126 is an area of High support, So I think it will be a dead cat bounce there before the next leg lower. My fib levels are High - 172.96 Low - 50.07 If you are wondering how I got 50 for the low, you'll have to go to your monthly chart and place a horizontal bar at 50 and then you'll see years of price action there. The diamond top target is usually the length of the diamond once the candle breaks down like so RSI has already lost support How I'm going to play this ? 130p 5/26 Entry - Below 50sma Target - 126 or 200sma Stop loss 136 I'll cover on 126 and wait for 125 to reenter short JPM is the XLF sector leader, I don't think this banking crisis is over, regional banks are still seeing large outflows on the top of that, this Debt ceiling situation will hurt this sector the most
NYSE:JPMShort
by ContraryTrader
7
JP Morgan boss plays down risk of crisisBEARISH MID TEM BULLISH SHORT TERM JP Morgan boss plays down risk of crisis THE MARKET IS FULL OF MANIPULATIONS Spoofing Spoofing - This involves placing orders with no intention of executing them, in order to create a false impression of market demand or supply, and then cancelling the orders once the market has moved in the desired direction. We're keeping an eye on the market makers, zooming in for a closer look." Spoofing and Volume Point of Control (VPOC) are terms used in the context of market manipulation and market analysis in financial markets. A spoofing detector is a tool developed to detect the spoofing of orders. Spoofing refers to a practice where a market participant places large orders to deceive other market participants and influence the price of a stock. These large orders, however, are not executed but cancelled shortly after, creating a false demand for a specific stock and influencing the price. A spoofing detector can use algorithms to detect and report these practices to maintain the integrity of the market. The Volume Point of Control (VPOC) is a concept in technical analysis aimed at identifying the key price level at which a stock was bought and sold. VPOC is calculated by analyzing the volume data of a stock and determining the price level at which the largest volume was traded for a specific period. This price level can serve as an indicator of the current market trend and market interest in a specific stock. There is a substantive connection between a spoofing detector and VPOC because both tools can be used to gain a better understanding of the stock markets and detect potential forms of market manipulation. For example, VPOC can be used as an indicator of potential market manipulation when an abnormal distribution of trading volume is observed at a specific price level. A spoofing detector can then be used to detect and report these activities. Jamie Dimon, the boss of JP Morgan, has played down the risk of a spiralling banking crisis after America’s biggest bank stepped in to buy most of collapsed lender First Republic in a $10.6bn (£8.5bn) takeover hurriedly brokered by US regulators. After weekend talks to secure a sale of First Republic, the third US lender to fail this year, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) confirmed JP Morgan as the buyer. The regulator is providing $50bn of financing and promising to share loan losses, as part of a deal that further cements JP Morgan’s position as the largest lender in the US. First Republic’s failure is the second largest in US banking history, beaten only by the 2008 demise of Washington Mutual – which was also seized by the FDIC and sold to JP Morgan. Speaking on a conference call, Dimon played down any other similarities with the 2008 crash, which triggered the start of an international financial crisis that plunged the global economy into recession. He said the US banking system was “extraordinarily sound”, adding that the takeover meant the sector was “getting near the end” of the spate of bank collapses and would “hopefully help stabilise everything”. The failure of First Republic follows that of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank. The sequence has prompted concerns about a repeat of the contagion that characterised the global banking crisis. Dimon said conditions were “nothing like 2008 and 2009 for a lot of different reasons”. However, he conceded that if the US economy went into recession and high interest rates persisted, that could lead to “other cracks in the system”. Under the terms of the First Republic deal, JP Morgan will acquire all of the California-based bank’s deposits and “substantially all of the assets”, winning out over as many as five rivals reportedly in the running. Dimon said: “Our government invited us and others to step up, and we did. This acquisition modestly benefits our company overall, it is accretive to shareholders, it helps further advance our wealth strategy, and it is complementary to our existing franchise.” First Republic, which focused on high-net-worth clients, got into financial difficulty after customers began pulling deposits from any US lender perceived as weak, after the SVB collapse. Growing anxiety about the health of the US banking sector has forced the Federal Reserve to launch emergency measures to stabilise the markets. A group of 11 Wall Street banks had pumped $30bn into First Republic last month in an attempt to avoid the third bank failure of 2023. However, shares in the San Francisco-based bank fell by more than 75% last week after it revealed customers had withdrawn $100bn of deposits in March. TREND SHORT KEY LEVELS 119 109 87
CAPITALCOM:JPMShort
by DaveBrascoFX
BEFUDDLED BANKINGIt’s no secret that the US banking industry is facing some significant challenges when it comes to securities losses. In fact, the Big 4 US banks - JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America - are sitting on a combined $211.5 billion in unrealized losses. That's a huge amount of money, and it's certainly cause for concern among investors and analysts alike. One of the key reasons for these losses is the ongoing volatility in the financial markets. As we've seen over the past few years, there have been a number of factors - from geopolitical tensions to trade disputes to the COVID-19 pandemic - that have contributed to significant swings in the value of securities. For banks that hold large portfolios of these securities, these fluctuations can have a major impact on their bottom line. Another factor that's contributing to the securities losses among US banks is the current low-interest rate environment. When interest rates are low, banks tend to invest in higher-yielding securities in order to generate returns for their shareholders. However, as we've seen in recent years, these securities can be risky, and when their values decline, it can lead to significant losses for the banks that hold them. When it comes to regional banks, the situation is even more dire. These smaller institutions often have smaller deposit bases, which means that they have less capital to work with when it comes to investing in securities. As a result, they may take on more risk in order to generate returns for their shareholders. Unfortunately, this can backfire when the securities they've invested in experience significant declines in value. So what does all of this mean for investors and consumers? Well, for one thing, it's important to be aware of the risks that banks are facing when it comes to securities losses. While the banking industry is generally seen as a stable and safe place to invest, the reality is that there are always risks involved. As always, it's important to do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. For consumers, it's important to be aware of the financial health of the banks where you keep your money. While the FDIC provides insurance for deposits up to $250,000 per account, it's still a good idea to make sure that the bank you're working with is financially stable and secure. Doing so can help to protect your money and ensure that you have access to the services and resources that you need.
NYSE:JPM
by optionsswing
JPMorgan Chase ($JPM) Calls Ahead of Analyst DayGoldman Trade Idea: "Buy JPM Calls ahead of Analyst Day" Goldman's Richard Ramsden highlights JPM’s ability to gain share of deposit balances during macro volatility in Mar’23, continued favorable deposit betas, robust-and-improving capital ratios along with a commitment to capital returns demonstrate the franchisee’s strength positioning it well for through-cycle returns and growth. Analyst Day = 5/22/23 JPM 5/26 139C @ < $2.30 (Buying at discount; JPM Entry = 3.57) Target = 145
NYSE:JPMLong
by airborne99
JPM likely consolidation before the final drop JPM did drop out of the rising wedge and once again show how rising wedge and falling wedge are very powerful patterns, I would say the most powerful trading patterns. JPM needs to consolidate a little bit more before the next move. For bears would be best to consolidate for several more days above BigRed and then start to drop like a stone below it. For bulls I can't say anything, I believe there are not many bulls as people should understand how big a problem this is. JPM is forming a low base now right at BigRed. Break below it would be considered as the low base is triggered and a new short position would occur. RSI is not oversold yet so there is still some room to drop. MACD is showing some signs of life but it will be enough just for consolidation. Good luck everyone.
NYSE:JPMShort
by Consistent_Trades
10
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the US company JPMorgan Chase (JPM). JPMorgan Chase & Co. is an American multinational financial services company. It is the largest bank in the United States and the world's largest bank by market capitalization (as of 2023).The firm operates the largest investment bank in the world by revenue. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 15/04/2023. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 9 days towards 145.00 USD. According to experts, your stop-loss order should be placed at 126.85 USD if you decide to enter this position. JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Citigroup (C) and PNC (PNC) all reported surging revenue and profits in the first quarter even as regulators seized some regional lenders and panic spread across the financial system in March. JPMorgan’s net interest income jumped +49%, as average loans increased +5% and net-interest margin expanded to 2.63% from 1.67% in the year-earlier period. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals and cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYSE:JPMLong
by legacyFXofficial
Technical Analysis In The Following 3 StepsThe problem is finding the right stock to buy Also to make it worse finding these opportunities -- every week. -- You have to look for these opportunities every week with a powerful strategy -- Because: -- #1-A strategy will give you a peace of mind . . #2- A strategy will give you confidence . . #3-A strategy will help make money . . Before you see a working strategy understand the basic technical analysis -- After that master your favorite patterns -- this "Super Gap " Strategy will give you the bridge to understand -- Technical analysis in The following 3 Steps: . . Step#1 ----------- . . Look for a "Super Gap" On Friday . . Step#2 ----------- . . The "Super Gap" has to be above the 50 EMA line . . Step#3 ----------- . . The " Super Gap" has to be above the 200 EMA line . . Please Remember: Am not an expert on this information This strategy is -- based on my personal research . . Do your own research before you trade . . Regards, . . Lubosi7
NYSE:JPMLong
by lubosi
JPM JPMorgan Chase Call OptionsIf you haven`t sold JPM here: or here: then you should know that JPM JPMorgan Chase seems to be most capitalized bank in the US, ready for the economic hurricane that its CEO, Jamie Dimon, predicted. Most business and retail clients will move their funds to JPM after this bank run. Looking at the JPM JPMorgan Chase options chain, I would buy the $140 strike price Calls with 2023-7-21 expiration date for about $3.95 premium. If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:JPMLong
by TopgOptions
6
JPM: No CrisisRecord first-quarter revenue on Friday that topped analysts’ expectations as net interest income surged almost 50% from a year ago on higher rates. Here’s what the company reported: Adjusted earnings: $4.32 per share vs. $3.41 per share Refinitiv estimate Revenue: $39.34 billion, vs. $36.19 billion The bank said profit jumped 52% to $12.62 billion, or $4.10 per share, in the first three months of the year. That figure includes HKEX:868 million in losses on securities; excluding those losses lifts earnings by 22 cents per share, resulting in adjusted profit of $4.32 per share. Companywide revenue rose 25% to $39.34 billion, driven by a 49% rise in net interest income to $20.8 billion, thanks to the Federal Reserve’s most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in decades. That topped analysts’ expectations for interest income by more than a billion dollars. The bank also boosted a key piece of guidance that bodes well for the near future: Net interest income will be about HKEX:81 billion this year, about HKEX:7 billion more than their previous forecast of $74 billion, CFO Jeremy Barnum said Friday. The change was mostly driven by expectations that JPMorgan will have to pay less to depositors later this year if the Fed cuts rates, he said. Shares of the bank rose 7.5%. That is its biggest upside move on an earnings report in more than 20 years, according to Bespoke Investment Group. “The U.S. economy continues to be on generally healthy footings — consumers are still spending and have strong balance sheets, and businesses are in good shape,” CEO Jamie Dimon said in a release. “However, the storm clouds that we have been monitoring for the past year remain on the horizon, and the banking industry turmoil adds to these risks,” he said, adding that the industry could rein in lending as banks become more conservative ahead of a possible downturn. Money in, money out JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, is watched closely for clues on how the industry fared after the collapse of two regional lenders last month. Analysts had expected JPMorgan to benefit from an influx of deposits after Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank experienced fatal bank runs. Indeed, JPMorgan saw “significant new account opening activity” and deposit inflows in its commercial bank, Barnum said. The money flows implied “an intra-quarter reversal of the recent outflow trend as a consequence of the March events,” Barnum said. “We estimate that we have retained approximately HKEX:50 billion of these deposit inflows at quarter-end.”
NYSE:JPMShort
by sequentialvzion
JPM / JP Morgan - Don't Gamble On Regional BanksI know that whenever something drops by 30 or 50 or 70 percent in one or two days it seems like you might be able to smash buy and ride the bounce back to the top, but just take a look at how well that worked out for tech stocks once the market started to correct at the end of 2021, or just take a look at how well that worked for Silicon Valley Bank dip buyers who found their shares worth $0 in a few hours. JP Morgan and the other big American banks aren't just "big American banks," but the financial arm of the United States' military industrial complex. Moreover, they're something that's become a pillar of the entire world's financial ecosystem. The heart of the world's economy is in Manhattan, but they're also the ones responsible for providing a financial life line (a blood transfusion) to the Chinese Communist Party all of these years. Here's some things everyone should think about: 1. Regional banks are not a buy, because they need to be eliminated for Central Bank Digital Currencies 2. SWIFT itself is expanding its CBDC platform pilot globally after a test run that involved a JP Morgan-created centralized fork of Ethereum . 3. CBDCs are required for the global implementation of the CCP's social credit credit system 4. CBDCs mean citizen and small business banking becomes centralized in Federal Reserve proxy accounts ran through the biggest banks 5. Welcome to communism. The purpose of all of this is to install communism for the purposes of attempting to change the human living condition. Credit Suisse is probably going to implode for real and that's going to cause some chaos for the markets. This play is pretty much a mirror of the 2008 GFC with Bear Sterns, which everyone would do well to educate themselves on how that went down . The problem with Central Bank QE isn't all the Libertarian crap you've been told. The problem is that deposits are a liability for banks because they have to pay interest on them, and so they need to seek yield. Seeking yield on a very large position is very hard, because guys like JPM and Blackrock and Vanguard happen to make the markets, and markets are a euphemism for a casino, and casinos are zero sum games where there's a small number of winners and a large number of losers. And so when there's no interest rates, banks have to take risks to generate cashflow to pay interest to the very, very large depositors. When QE was hot that seemed to have meant long bonds, long equities. And then the Fed raised rates 5 percent while they were holding a lot of equities and bonds and now those bonds and equities aren't worth very much. So they're red on their positions and can't HODL through it because of bank runs and go under. It's as simple as that and it was an engineered play for smaller banks to be destroyed and then the big banks buy the liquidations. It's the same as how whales kill sharks by holding them upside down in the water, which makes them disoriented and paralyzed, and then the whales eat their livers and leave them to die. JPM on the monthly is not likely to have topped and gives you no reason to think there's a financial crash or any real bearishness brewing: Yet the weekly shows you confluence between Fib levels and gaps, and that it's just too early to go long, and kind of scary to scalp short to boot: JPM's double tops at $145 made very little sense at the time, and that's because, in my opinion, they were short their own stock under $150 in anticipation of what everyone who's running big data analysis for real knew, that SIVB and SBNY and SI would collapse, that CS was a bloated corpse in the river that the Swiss National Bank couldn't save, and that it was time to start taking down the regional banks by using the crisis as an opportunity. Naturally, being a bank and part of the sector, this will give grounds to make JPM's shares drop, so they just sell, and then buy back, and then give themselves bonuses and go for happy hour with cocaine and strippers when the drama is over because someone buys CS and the Fed pauses hikes, and they pump their own stock back to $200. Another thing is that the narrative is that equities are *going2themoon* because the Federal Reserve just HAS to stop hiking rates now. Look at how much damage the rate hikes caused! They just have to stop hiking now! They probably won't. FOMC hasn't led to a dumpster fire in quite a few months and you should be concerned about that. After Wednesday's FOMC, the next one afterwards is May 2. Expect them to pivot then, not now, and for May, June, July to become another "most hated rally" for bears. Except this time it won't be a bear market rally, but a bump and run reversal, that pumps tech and other dumpster trash to a new ATH that makes bears blow their accounts. Look for longs in the $110 range on JPM and expect the October bottom to hold, because it's called a pivot for a reason, sons. It's JP Morgan. This kind of disaster in the markets today was arranged by them, and is not something they're personally subject to. The disasters that lie ahead for the current regime because of what they've been doing to help the CCP as it persecutes Falun Gong over the last 24 years are retribution that they haven't arranged and that nobody can dodge, and something that will catch the entire market off guard. But for now, you can get $40 a share if you buy in the $110s and sell at $150. And the time horizon is probably literally no later than the end of May, too. Don't go long on regional banks. Go long on the big banks. And then get out and be careful, because everything in this world is about to change very quickly, and human beings are not going to be able to bear the terribleness of what happens when the regime goes to install communism worldwide.
Editors' picks
NYSE:JPMLong
by LordWrymouth
10