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Analyzing MicroStrategy's Price Action & Impulse Wave FormationGreetings Everyone, Happy New Year! To kick off the year with momentum, I've revisited and updated the MSTR chart for fresh insights. Not financial advice MicroStrategy (MSTR) is a leading business intelligence and analytics company, well-known for its significant investments in Bitcoin. Its stock price is closely tied to both its core business and Bitcoin's performance, making it an exciting watch for 2025. Key Levels: Near term key levels are highlighted in orange. Overthrow : A concept in EW theory that explains the momentous break of a uptrend channel which then reverses strongly in the opposite direction often indicating buyer weakness. Notice the 47.88% draw down since this overthrown candle. Wishing you all a prosperous year ahead and a fantastic day! Best regards, CL
BMV:MSTRShort
by Clemard
1
MSTR at Critical Reaction Zone: Will Bulls Reclaim Momentum?1. Chart Overview: - Timeframe: 4-hour (4H) candlestick chart. - Current Price: $292.00 (visible on the chart). - Trend: The price appears to be consolidating in a reaction zone near significant support levels. 2. Key Levels (Support & Resistance): - Support Levels: - $277.18: Close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a significant support level. - $292.00: Current price level acting as interim support. - $289.80: EMA 200 level, which often serves as a strong support line in technical analysis. 3. Trend Analysis: - The chart indicates that MSTR is in a **short-term consolidation phase**, bouncing around the reaction zone ($277-$300). - **Uptrend Potential:** If the price breaks above $328.87 (23.6% Fibonacci), it could test higher levels: 4. Fibonacci Analysis: - Retracement Levels: - The price is hovering near the 61.8% retracement level ($289.80), a key zone for potential reversals. - Holding above this level could signal a bullish rebound, while a breakdown might lead to a test of deeper Fibonacci levels. Potential Trade Strategies: Bullish Rebound: - Entry: Around $290-$292 (near current price and EMA 200 support). - Target: $328 (23.6% Fibonacci) or $351 (EMA 50 level).
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Innotrade_AJ
260 looking likely with many channels suggesting the sameAs for the where and how on everyone's mind, we will break it down for you; it has broken through levels that could have acted as strong support, like Fibonacci retracements, Keltner channels, and closing in on the Bollinger, volume is not as high as it was when making the highs. Still, as we look at angles and lines symmetrically, it seems to be coming to a head at around 260s, with no confirmation on many indicators and oscillators and no reversal chart pattern indicating jumping in at any point soon. Will be looking for an entry around this mark.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by themoneyman80
$MSTR 1hr bearflag is so clean and beautiful!I mean does it get more textbook than this BEARISH setup?? I will be buying NASDAQ:SMST as this really begins to BREAK DOWN soon. People will be buying in the 280s to only be trapped and extracted for more exit liquidity as it continues to fall to 220's. Depending on if they print more USDT to FAKE demand for BITCORN it could dive even deeper than that to the 180s... In the 180s panic will start & who knows after that. Michael Meth Saylor about to be sweating. This company is and will always be scam. Bye Felicia
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Nevrose2
2
Long MSTR Next Week: Expecting Upside MomentumKey Insights: MSTR has shown resilience in recent market fluctuations, largely due to its deep ties with Bitcoin and the lively sentiment around cryptocurrency investments. The company's focus on Bitcoin as a primary treasury strategy is attracting substantial investor interest, especially with Bitcoin's recent price stability. Additionally, the potential for further corporate adoption of Bitcoin could elevate MSTR's valuation. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=360, T2=375. Stop levels are S1=320, S2=310. - Recent Performance: MSTR has experienced fluctuating trading volumes over the past few weeks, indicating increased investor participation. Despite broader market volatility, MSTR's stock price managed to maintain its stance around the 330 level, suggesting a strong support base. - Expert Analysis: Analysts express a cautiously optimistic outlook, noting that while MSTR remains highly volatile, its potential for upside is supported by macroeconomic factors favoring cryptocurrencies. Market sentiment is leaning towards bullish as many traders expect Bitcoin to rally, positively impacting MSTR’s price in tandem. - News Impact: Recent headlines regarding institutional investments in Bitcoin and broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies have played a significant role in boosting MSTR's profile. The company’s ongoing developments and partnerships related to Bitcoin acquisition strategies continue to generate interest, supporting the bullish sentiment.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
MicroStrategy (MSTR): Will Support Hold? Key Levels to Watch🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands: 🩸 Resistance: $336.00. A breakout targets $350 and $365. 🩸 Support: $327.00. A breakdown exposes $310 and $300 as critical levels. 🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy: 🩸 Long: Above $336.00, aiming for $350 and $365. Strong volume will confirm bullish momentum. 🩸 Short: Below $327.00, targeting $310 and $300. A loss of support could signal further downside. 🩸 MACD shows bearish momentum, and the stock is hovering near its 200 EMA, a critical support zone. Traders should monitor volume closely at resistance and support levels to gauge the next move. MicroStrategy's year-to-date gain of +376.54% highlights its strength, but the current consolidation phase makes these levels pivotal. 👑 "Precision at key levels defines the winners in volatile markets." — LucanInvestor
NASDAQ:MSTR
by LucanInvestor
4
Is Micro strategy about to collapse 70% in 2024??There is a number of reasons for this outlook. 1) Price action and RSI support breakouts. (price action breakout observable on regular chart, this is a logarithmic). 2) Strong negative divergence between price action and the oscillators. The strongest recorded since 2018 when it was bullish. Same oscillators. 3) The long ideas on this platform and elsewhere is incredible. Everyone is bullish on Saylor shill. Like Pied Piper leading his flock out to sea, they gladly follow. 4) Why 70% ?? Very simple, it is a first confirmed level of support. There is nothing between here and there without confirmed support. Is it possible price action continues upwards? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by without_worries
10
BULL CASE -> NORMAL AND EXTREME endpoints of mstrIt has been two years since I started tracking this stock, and it’s no wonder the stock has delivered tremendous returns to us during the pre-halving and post-halving periods. Now, most of us are wondering what’s left. Well, let me assure you—this is just the beginning for Bitcoin! Why am I saying this? Let me explain: ETFs Are a Game Changer Previously, there were no ETFs involved. Now, retail money is flowing into Bitcoin ETFs. As more countries launch Bitcoin ETFs, the current price of Bitcoin might be seen as a discounted opportunity. MicroStrategy’s Inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 MicroStrategy is now part of the Nasdaq 100. Many people invest in Nasdaq 100 ETFs, and the influx of funds into these ETFs could result in a massive pump for the stock. Upcoming Pro-Crypto Developments On January 20th, Trump is set to take office, and the likelihood of pro-crypto announcements could result in another significant price surge. That said, no leader or government can truly stop Bitcoin. Big players like BlackRock and governments studying, creating, and investing in such assets typically have a minimum 5-6 year plan. So, there’s no need to worry. If they trust Bitcoin enough to accumulate it, so should we.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by tavinash0077
1
12/27/24 - $mstr - Pay attention at $32512/27/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MSTR Pay attention at $325 - i plan to have a lot more to say on this in time, so i'll keep it brief. - first: "no" this is not some weird ponzi. again i'll elaborate on many of these points in time, and if you provoke me, i'll respond in the comments - second: "yes" it's likely going a lot higher and undervalued - simply put, it's the best neo-bank on the planet. they receive deposits that they pay at 0-2% and reinvest to earn 30-40% yields. - so 2x book value for a bank like this, is, screamingly cheap - nevermind it's now part of the nasdaq... ETF's are being built around this concept and at the core of it, is the world's hardest money, BTC. - my tgt here would be 5x mnav at BTC 250k which all else equal should be a stock price... higher. - i'm trading around this for some time (in private) but given the recent sell off, gamma coming out of the mkt broadly, and the potential this probably goes to $280 gap fill if btc has a wick off into january at some pt... it will be one to keep high on the watchlist if it's not already. V
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by VROCKSTAR
MICROSTRATEGY Is it shifting towards a new paradigm?Microstrategy (MSTR) is defying all odds during this bull run and recently it achieved perhaps its most important one: it broke above its All Time High (ATH) of $335.00 registered in March 2000. This historic feat took place on the same month (November) that it broke and closed above its historical Channel Up pattern, which has been dictating its trend since the bottom of the Dotcom Bubble correction in 2002. This is perhaps ushering a new era for the company. Along with Bitcoin it may be shifting to a new paradigm and the uptrend may be accelerated in a similar way as it did in 1998 - 2000. Technically we will be in a position to know that if the current pull-back bounces of the top of the former historic Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by TradingShot
7
Does MSTR Lose its Bitcoin if Prices Fall? MSTR has funded Bitcoin purchases with debt. In this piece we're going to look at how some of the terms of this debt can potentially cause issues if BTC prices decrease. This isn't talking about a margin call sort of event for MSTR, rather it's looking at the risk of terms they could be under in deals they've used to secure capital loans with BTC as collateral. Note, it could be the case these deals have undisclosed agreements I do not know about. This is just generically looking at the terms of such loans. Non-Recourse Loans Non-recourse loans are generally better structured for the borrower. Giving them additional protection against "Recourse" from the lenders. However, there are still some terms under which the lender can do something. One of these terms is the loan, or collateral for it, can be called in if there's a significant change to the collateral value. If you lend someone money against their home valued at $100,000 and then something happens to make the value of that home $10,000 - this is a very different deal to what you signed up for and in this situation you can make a claim to the collateral. Taking the house in exchange for the loan. The Lenders I do want to stress again I do not know the specific terms of the MSTR deals, but one thing that is notable is a lot of their money has come from places that would be expected to take big losses in a lot of areas in the event of their being a broad turn down in crypto and other hyper growth industries like AI. This could be important because it creates a situation where it becomes possible that even although they do not want to do it, lenders may be forced into a situation of having to try to pull in as much as they can as they're bleeding out from other places. They could be required to call in the Bitcoin and then dump it on the market instantly to meet margin requirements. Share Dilution If this happens, then it seems almost unquestionable at this point Saylor would attempt to respond by raising more capital via share dilution. Something there's been more of during December of 2024. The problem is, what if it doesn't work? Previously selling shares and buying BTC made the stock rally. This time, not as much. Perhaps this has diminishing returns. What would the attitude of investors become if the stock was dropping and there was more dilutions? Not Your Cash, Not Your Coins? How the specifics of the MSTR deals are structured is very important but hypothetically they may be in a situation where a dramatic change in BTC price made them vulnerable to lenders calling in loans and even being able to take these as Bitcoin given the collateral agreements. Even if those lending to MSTR do not want to do something like that, it could be easily forced upon them if there was a concurrence of poor performance in different markets. The trick of selling shares at market is no where near as effective when the stock price is down and it is declining. Didn't go so well for AMC. == It seems like it could all go horribly wrong.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by holeyprofit
Microstrategy - Might Break Lower Chart Pattern - Lower Crypto?Micro-strategy is currently hovering around the lower breakout point of the current Pennant or Triangle chart pattern. If this is not a fake out, it could signal lower prices to come for crypto's across the board. If it holds, I expect it to move to the upper area of the pennant or triangle and if it breaks, we will see newer ATH for BTC and other Alt Coins. BTC and the other major Alt Coins are all holding just above chart patterns that signal lower prices to come, so I expect lower prices, but with this lower volume during the holidays, manipulation is very possible from smart money and the market makers. Trade carefully.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by swineninety9