Microsoft vs Bitcoin over timeMicrosoft vs Bitcoin over time. I guess MSFT should have adopted BTC after all.
MSFT34 trade ideas
MSFT on the moveNASDAQ:MSFT looks fantastic. I like the pattern here: bullish crossovers on KST and Chaikin, KST breaking above a descending trendline, consistent movement along upper daily BB, and daily BB breaking out of the weekly BB.
ADX doesn't fall to 10 frequently. 9 times since 2015. All instances were higher within 100 sessions, averaging 18% performance.
23% when excluding the times that the TRIX+SO wasn't showing an uptrend.
A move to the 1.618 would be in line with what we've historically seen.
(1D) MICROSOFT ANALYSIS (MSFT)Inspired by today's failed Bitcoin shareholders' vote, I've put up my prognosis for Microsoft MSFT for the next few months. MSFT is down almost 1.5% on the day, rejecting at the 78.8% retracement of the down move from the ATH.
There are a couple possible scenarios going forward. Bullish case is that MSFT started a Bull Flag Correction (waves labeled in blue) with the pivot from the ATH in July. If so, we are completing Wave B of this flag (internal waves labelled in purple) , which may have completed already with this 78.6% rejection. However, we could still see it complete a 100% retracement instead and terminate as a Double Top, retesting and getting rejected at the ATH. This would signal the start of Wave C. We could expect this final wave to have a similar size to Wave A, giving us a short-term 17% Short play from the ATH before ultimately continuing the larger upside trend.
Bearish case would be that Wave B described above (labelled in purple) is instead actually a Bear Flag for downside. This would have to be confirmed with a break below the $385 Support Range.
**This analysis would be invalidated if we do indeed get a breakout above the current ATH, factoring in for some % overshoot (aka fake breakout).
MSFT nextMassive weekly breakout on MSFT,
This could be the next runner towards end of the year.
Very similar chart as GOOGL
Elliott Wave View: Microsoft (MSFT) Shows Incomplete Impulsive SShort Term Elliott Wave in Microsoft (MSFT) suggests rally from 11.4.2024 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse. Up from 11.4.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 427 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 410.35 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Internal subdivision of wave 2 unfolded as an expanded flat Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 416 and wave ((b)) ended at 429.32. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 410.35 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. The stock has turned higher in wave 3.
Internal subdivision of wave 3 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulsive structure. Up from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 415.94 and wave (ii) ended at 411. Wave (iii) higher ended at 421.08 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 414.85. Wave (v) higher ended at 429.04 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 417.80 and the stock has resumed higher again. Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 435.47 and wave (ii) ended at 430.12. Wave (iii) higher ended at 446.1 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 440.50. Expect the stock to extend higher in wave (v) to complete wave ((iii)). Afterwards, it should pullback in wave ((iv)) to correct cycle from 11.29.2024 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes higher again.
Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Hits a 4.5-Month HighMicrosoft (MSFT) Stock Hits a 4.5-Month High
On 31 October, our analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) stock highlighted:
→ The price is forming a long-term upward channel, illustrated in blue.
→ The channel’s lower boundary serves as a significant support level.
On Friday, MSFT stock climbed to $445, its highest level since mid-July, buoyed by news that OpenAI may grant Microsoft access to key AI-related technologies.
Will the Price Continue to Rise?
There are reasons to suspect that the bullish momentum may not sustain.
Technical analysis of MSFT’s chart today suggests:
→ The price is near the median of the long-term channel, and this median could act as resistance. This is hinted at by the long upper shadows on Thursday and Friday’s candles.
→ The emerging bullish breakout above the September high around $441 might prove to be a false breakout, similar to the false bearish breakout of early October support near $408 (highlighted with arrows).
Additionally, Microsoft’s stock has underperformed compared to market indices, which are at historic highs. This could mean the price may retrace to $430 or lower, aligning more closely with average autumn levels.
Analysts, however, remain optimistic about MSFT’s prospects. According to TipRanks:
→ 26 out of 29 analysts recommend buying MSFT stock.
→ The average 12-month price target for MSFT is $497.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Msft last opportunities.Hi traders is mpho again I decided to share last prediction of Microsoft,am expecting a last pump before end of this year and we only have few weeks,however in my stock list the only,cheap stock n available for buys is Microsoft n nvidia am in this trades too,I wish you the best and happy new year in advance be blessed,note that trading is risky you might loose all your money,trade accordingly n use proper money management thank you.
MSFT Bullish on the weekly and daily My thought process is MSFT will follow the entire market who's been breaking out to ATH's. Sitting in a weekly and daily buy. Weekly breakout of double bottom pattern
As far as options check out:
1/17/25 470 calls (3.15) ATH
1/17/25 450 calls (9.30)
If we not headed to the top where we going?!
XMAS RALLY HERE WE COME
Microsoft Macro BullMSFT is currently in grand wave 3/5!
PT: ~$500
Lengthening cycles & diminishing returns!
2nd Great Recession - Corrective Grand Wave 4 - 60-80% correction
Roaring 20s after - liquidity for final grand wave 5!
MSFT MORE UPSIDE EXPECTED DEC 6 2024MSFT should go deeper and should break this tested supply and should ultimately go near orange box.
If you have any doubts feel free to leave a comment.
Microsoft - Breaking TradeThere was a great breakout trade opportunity on Microsoft's stock, enhanced by a refined entry strategy. The red zone highlights a key resistance level where the price struggled to break through. A breakout occurred with a strong bullish candlestick, confirming buyers' strength.
Thank you for reading! If you found this content helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and share the idea. Follow me on TradingView!
Copilot to elevate MSFT, or will attached price tag be a drag?NASDAQ:MSFT took a hit following the release of the earnings report this week and is now trading just off the bottom of a channel it has been in since August. Price has been in a kind of consolidation mode on the lower time frames since the release. On the daily chart, we see that red days have relatively high-volume spikes, the MACD has turned negative, and RSI is nearing oversold levels. The fact that price has not continued to drop following the initial post-earnings drop, indicates it might stabilize at this level. My hunch is that it will consolidate and maybe approach the lower band of the channel, and then start climbing. There is some pressure on tech stocks at the moment, and there is an election next week, so might be a bit of rough sailing ahead. My gut tells me MSFT will bounce back, and I am long. As for target I would set my eyes on the upper band of the channel and consider a breach to the downside of the channel as a red flag.
To quote ChatGPT:
To provide a well-rounded summary of Microsoft's latest earnings report, I would highlight:
1. Revenue Growth : Microsoft reported notable revenue increases, driven by its cloud and AI segments.
2. Azure's Performance : Strong growth in Azure and AI services reinforces Microsoft's competitiveness in the cloud space, a vital area given current industry trends.
3. AI Investment : Increased spending on AI research and development reflects the company’s focus on leveraging AI as a growth driver.
These elements can positively impact Microsoft’s outlook, appealing to investors prioritizing innovation and digital transformation.
MSFT SHORT CYCLE MSFT has been consolidating within a range for the past few weeks, forming a potential head and shoulders pattern. This bearish reversal pattern suggests that the stock may be nearing a top. The RSI indicator is also showing signs of overbought conditions, further supporting the possibility of a downward trend.
MSFT GREEN CANDLE EXPECTEDMsft can easily do 460 from here. I notified msft last mont near it's ER. Feel free to leave a comment if you have any doubts
MSFT Update: Potential ABC Correction
o The weekly chart suggests the completion of a 5-wave impulse to the upside.
o Currently, the price is forming an ABC corrective structure:
o Wave A is complete and has tested the previous demand zone.
o Wave B appears to be forming a rising wedge (bearish continuation pattern).
o Wave C is anticipated to move lower, targeting deeper demand zones (374-360).
o The RSI on the 4H timeframe shows bearish divergence at recent highs, aligning with the corrective wave outlook.
"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett
"The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary." – Alexander Elder
Stay disciplined and adhere to your risk management rules!
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
MSFT LongMSFT... Currently trading at a price of $430.98 with a target of 435 and extended target at 440
MSFT is breaking out of the upper trend-line.
- The move to the upside will target the red candle first that is circled before it hits 440 and all-time highs after.
- That red candle opens at 437.44 and drops to a close at 432.53.. the high and low is 438.50 and 432.10 respectively...
- the upper trend-line (blue line) breaks at $431.50.. MSFT will travel to 432.50 and experience slight resistance at the closing price of the previous red candle that was a fake breakout.. the bigger resistance levels come at 435, 437.44 and 438.50..
- The 9 day EMA crossed over the 50 day EMA upwards which is bullish..
- The volume on call option contracts were bought heavily ... Every Open Interest has to open higher tomorrow than what it was today to be a continuation of the price increasing and that the trend is supported. That means people are still holding their positions or there is high liquidity at those price levels for the stock.
- 435 Call 12/6 3:1 Volume .. Open interest needs to be higher than 5,246
- 437.50 Call 12/6 6:1 .. Open interest needs to be higher than 1,637
- 440 Call 12/13 2:1 .. Open interest needs to be higher than 2,534
Long MicrosoftMicrosoft is showing potential for a bullish move, with volume contraction resembling the 'eye of a needle' pattern around key moving averages. The stock appears to be breaking out of a wedge formation, signaling the possibility of a move toward its previous high.
Microsoft - Short Term Top Formation!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) could create a short term correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Almost for the entire year of 2024, Microsoft has been moving sideways and respecting the upper channel resistance trendline. It is quite likely that we will see a correction, considering that buyers are still weak, before we then see the overall trend continuation.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Microsoft $MSFT - About to go on another run? 19% UpsideMicrosoft - NASDAQ:MSFT 🖥️
Microsoft with a big statement today for themselves and the MAG7! The runs not over! All MAG7 names are moving higher today and carrying the market.
Is this the beginning of the next leg up for BIG TECH?
Microsoft was forming a nasty H&S on the charts but has formed a Symmetrical Triangle pattern at then same time and is currently breaking out. They also broke out of the WR% downtrend and are launching off the AVP shelf to make a push back to ATH's.
Finally the H5 indicator is pointing upward and working on flipping back to GREEN.
🎯$466 📏$512 ⏳ May2025
NFA
Microsoft in balance, but at important juncture.
These H&S patterns in MSFT resemble each other. But if the current one fails (price goes above 442), the setup will turn to be positive, while lower 410 things can go dicey.
Looking for a breakout on MSFT! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
HIT the channel of 450 continues with crossover MACDA few things to note include the indicators from Bollinger to stochastic still an entry before a retrace, could run up to 450 on several different indicators, and with the sideway upward moving channel could also give it room to form a new trend, one to the upside. Target 450
Long MSFT off $422MSFT has had a great ER and the symmetrical Triangle on MSFT getting tight. I'm looking for a breakout on the upside
Target 1 - $429
Target 2 - $442
Stop Loss - $419
3 point risk for a 7 point reward.
