$NFLX 8% Expected Move for EarningsNASDAQ:NFLX 8% Expected Move for Earnings
Alright... earnings tonight and the expected move is 8%... let's get this earnings season started 🙌🏼
NFLX34 trade ideas
NflxAs you can see the weekly resistance (Yellow) from 2023 has turned into support..
Breaks 820 and price heads back to monthly support (White) around 700..
Bounces on earnings and we retest 880-900...
700 will come though, either Q1 or Q2...
When ever this wedge breaks you'll be able to get NFLX for 400-500 bucks
NETFLIX : Everybody want to go long!!. Do we enter long??Netflix has an impeccable technical aspect to date. NO ONE looking at the chart could have any doubts that its fundamentals are good and that it is IMPOSSIBLE not to invest in this stock. The problem comes when we are in a hurry and especially if we leverage ourselves. RUSHES are not good and LEVERAGE must be managed correctly.
--> What is basic in a leveraged operation?
Enter after a PULLBACK. If we do not enter after a pullback, our entry, although it could be good, would run the risk of accumulating MANY LOSSES or of SKIPPING THE STOP LOSS. That is why it is basic in a leveraged operation to enter after a pullback.
--> Has Netflix made a pullback?
That's right!! The pullback it has made is almost 50% Fibonacci and therefore, we are now ready to enter long. BUT, is it a good time to enter long? It depends on the strategy one has. In IVO we DO NOT ENTER with a pullback, we enter after a pullback + a bullish signal + another confirmation signal.
--> Has the chart given us any bullish warning?
Yes. On Friday at 3:30 pm the chart gave us bullish MOMENTUM ( Bull ) in H4 timeframe.
What are we missing? That the FORCE also turns bullish ( Bull ). An AGGRESSIVE investor profile WOULD ALREADY ENTER LONG, but if our RISK profile is LESS AGGRESSIVE, we have to wait for the FORCE to indicate bullish ( Bull ).
--> When will the FORCE turn bullish?
With a candle close in H4 timeframe above 884. At that point the FORCE will turn bullish and the highs will be attacked in hours-days.
--> Any problems along the way?
Yes. Tomorrow Tuesday 21st the results will be published and if they are unfavorable, the price could continue to fall, but if the results are as expected or better than expected, the price will easily exceed 884.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 884.
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 935 area (+5.7%)
--> Stop Loss at 853 (-3.5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-3.5%) (coinciding with 853 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (935).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very strong and stable price trends can be exploited, maximizing profits.
How To Use This 3 Step System When Trading NetflixThe challenge with trading stocks is that you
are not supposed to use high margins..
in this case you should not use more than 3X
However, there is an advantage that you can use to
take advantage of this stock NASDAQ:NFLX .
You can see that if you look at the chart
There is a coming earnings report.
This is a strategy I learned from Tim Sykes
its called earnings winners..
Now it doesn't always work but when it does
you will see a gain..a gap
if the gap doesn't happen
then you can still hold it as an investment
but Ideally, a gap should happen.
I am guessing it's based on the market reaction
to the CPI reports.
Right now the stock market is in
a recovery mode and so in
this earnings season you are going to
see gaps like no man's business
This stock NASDAQ:NFLX
is one of them gaps you are going to
see
now again it might or it might not
happen
either way you can hold as an investment
This is called the rocket booster strategy
it has 3 steps:
-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
-The price has to gap up to a catalyst
In this case the catalyst is the earnings report.
In order to learn more rocket boost this content right now
Disclaimer:Trading is risky, please
learn risk management and profit-taking
strategies.
NFLX: Testing Resistance Amid Recovery🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $857.78, targeting $840 and $820. The MACD remains bearish, suggesting downside risks persist.
🩸 Long: Above $898.23, aiming for $880 and $900. A breakout above this resistance will confirm bullish continuation.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $898.23 — Key level for bulls to breach for sustained upside.
🩸 Support: $857.78 — Crucial support; losing this level may lead to further selling pressure.
Netflix (NFLX) is showing signs of recovery as it trades above the 9-day EMA ($857.78). However, MACD is still negative, signaling caution. A breakout above $898.23 would confirm bullish momentum and open the path to higher levels. Failing to hold above $857.78 could trigger a retest of lower supports.
👑 "In markets, strength is measured by resilience through resistance." — LucanInvestor
Netflix (NFLX) AnalysisNetflix recently experienced a pullback, dropping to a significant demand zone around $820-$850, which has historically acted as strong support. This drop has attracted traders eager to capitalize on the current discounted price, anticipating a potential bullish rebound.
Looking at the chart:
1️⃣ Previous Earnings Reaction: The last earnings report sparked a 12% spike, showcasing Netflix’s potential for strong momentum following positive results.
2️⃣ Demand Zone Support: The stock is consolidating around this key level, indicating that buyers are stepping in to defend it.
3️⃣ Bullish Expectations: Traders are positioning themselves for the upcoming earnings report, expected on 01/21/2025 after market close, which could act as a major catalyst for upward movement.
If the earnings report meets or exceeds expectations, we could see Netflix rally toward all-time highs, with the first resistance zone around $940 and a longer-term target of $1,020.
NFLX: Bearish Momentum as Price Tests Support Levels🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $863.09, targeting $820 and $780. The MACD is deeply bearish, and the price trading under the 9-day EMA strengthens the downside scenario.
🩸 Long: Above $880, aiming for $899 and $920. Bullish recovery requires a strong volume-driven breakout above the 9-day EMA.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $863.09 — The 9-day EMA level acting as immediate resistance. Breaking this is critical for upside potential.
🩸 Support: $831.57 — The nearest support; failure to hold may lead to further selling toward lower targets.
Netflix (NFLX) has entered a bearish trend, with MACD showing significant negative momentum and the price firmly below the 9-day EMA. Despite long-term strength above the 200-day EMA ($727.96), short-term pressure dominates, suggesting cautious positioning.
👑 "In the storm of uncertainty, precision becomes your greatest weapon." — LucanInvestor
NFLX reference areaHello dear investors
First we are yet into our uptrend corridor but you should keep eyes on my reference area :
As you see on my modest chart the yellow area is the the battle zone between buyers and sellers:
- if price is above it, you are safe as a buyer
- if price becomes under the zone we can say that sellers had won the battle and they will push the market down and down
good luck
NFLX: Bearish Trend and Downside Risk🔥 Potential Price Targets:
🩸 Near-term Goal: $837.69 (1-2 months)
🩸 Long-term Goal: $878.60 (3-4 months)
🔥 LucanInvstor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $837.69, targeting $820 and $800. The MACD remains negative, and the price is below the 9-day EMA, indicating further downside.
🩸 Long: Above $878.60, targeting $885 and $900. A break above resistance could trigger a rally, but short-term bearish momentum suggests caution.
🔥 LucanInvstor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $878.60 — A key resistance level; a break above this could lead to further upside.
🩸 Support: $837.69 — A critical support level; a breakdown below this could trigger further declines.
Netflix is under bearish pressure in the short term, with negative momentum confirmed by the MACD. A breakdown below support could lead to further downside, while a breakout above resistance may lead to a potential rally.
👑 "In times of uncertainty, clarity in strategy is paramount."
NETFLIX: I want to enter!! When to enter??The question we all ask ourselves in companies with a similar graphic appearance to Netflix is:
--> I WANT TO ENTER!! WHEN TO ENTER?
We are all eager to get into Netflix. No one wants to miss out on the gains that could accumulate during 2025, but one of the factors to consider, and for that, YOU MUST BE VERY CALM, is PATIENCE.
That is to say, when the price is in a retracement phase, as is the case with Netflix, no one is a fortune teller to know when it will end. We can identify important support areas, but nobody knows with 100% certainty if they will be broken down, or conversely, if they will be the turning point for a new upward impulse.
--> What point is Netflix at now?
If we look at the H4 chart, the trend is still clearly bullish, but the price is in a retracement phase. The area it is currently in is the first important support zone; that is, IF THIS AREA HOLDS, and the price BREAKS ABOVE THE RED TREND LINE on the chart, we would get the first bullish signal (Bull), and it would be the start of a new upward impulse towards new highs. But for now, we need to wait for the price to indicate a turn upwards because if we enter now, it could lose support and continue to decline.
--> SUMMARY
PATIENCE and waiting for the chart to show us an upward turn (Bull). When this happens, I will publish an analysis with the ENTRY SETUP again.
NETFLIX: testing the 1D MA50. Buy?Netflix is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.757, MACD = 4.950, ADX = 42.375) as the December correction is testing now the 1D MA50. Technically this has been the trend's support since mid August 2024. The 2 year Channel Up offers useful conclusions here. Each of its past January months (2023 and 2024) saw a surge of +38% from their closest low. If this is repeated again, then the price will test the Channel's top. Aim for that +38% rise (TP = 1,200).
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NETFLIX bye bye monthly topping tail candle right at the resistance trend from previous highs, expect major downside
NFLX 4H TimeframeI believe Netflix still has upside potential.
Wave Analysis: We are nearing the end of the current correction (green c / blue 4), which should lead to the next upward movement (blue 5 / black 3).
NFLX IRON CONDOR Selling FEB IRON CONDOR
1015/1020
750/745
FEB IRON CONDOR
IVR = 78.1
The 1015/1020 FEB Call spread is the last in the option chain that is $5 wide.
Strikes above 1020 are all $20 wide .
NFLX Elliot Wave, Wyckoff Method with Head & Shoulders PatternIt is not always easy to time a short, but looking at this chart I will share a couple of confluences that are interesting from a technical analysis point of view.
First, there is a 5 wave completion of the Elliot Wave pattern.
Then, based on the Wyckoff method of accumulation to distribution, we can gauge areas of UTAD and LPSY takes place.
Lastly, we can form a Head & Shoulders pattern (a small one) and a neckline.
One can carefully enter the short after the break and retest of the trendline, which is the safest way.
NFLX heading down in the New YearShort term bearish on NFLX. Target for Fri 1/3/2025 875.
Entry at or below 895. Stop Loss 896
*will keep my eye on it for Jan as I think an ultimate target may be close to 800. Methodical move down in descending channel.
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) Analysis and Price Projections for 2025Netflix Inc. (NFLX) analysis and Price Projections for 2025 (3-to-5-Month Outlook)
Below is my analysis for each chart with a focus on Elliott Wave patterns, Fibonacci levels, and potential buy-the-dip opportunities.
Netflix Inc. (NFLX)
Current Price: $891.32
Key Levels:
Resistance: $941.75 (Wave 5 high).
Support: $644.16 (38.2% retracement), $460.30 (61.8% retracement).
Outlook: NFLX shows signs of a Wave 5 peak and is likely heading into a deeper correction. Support levels at $644.16 and $460.30 are key areas to watch.
Projection: NFLX could rebound from these levels to test $800-$850 by mid-2025.
Netflix possible Outlook So I was reviewing a few stocks & I saw how much of a major push this has shot up. We might be in for some retracement before continuing to the upside or it might be a hard correction time for Netflix. Curious on how this will play out. We still are in holiday times so stuff won't move too much but I will be keeping an eye on this
Netflix Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Outlook 2024.12.29Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on Netflix (NFLX).
Weekly Chart Analysis
Looking at the weekly chart, Netflix is currently consolidating within the 884–944 range, which represents about a 5% range of sideways movement. This consolidation has lasted for approximately one month.
Since the sharp decline in 2022, Netflix has been following a newly established ascending trendline, which remains intact and shows no signs of breaking.
Key observations:
Netflix has climbed approximately 35% beyond its all-time high in 2021, reaching new highs.
However, the price is now in a consolidation phase, which raises the question: is Netflix preparing for further upside, or is this a period of rest before a potential pullback?
If this sideways movement continues for an extended period, a trendline breakdown may occur. Based on current prices, this breakdown is projected around July 2025.
Weekly Chart with Indicators
When we include indicators such as the 60 EMA, we notice that it aligns closely with the ascending trendline. This alignment increases the reliability of the trendline as a key support level.
However, at this point, entering a new long position appears less attractive due to the following reasons:
Netflix has already risen 35% beyond its previous high of $700, making it difficult to justify additional upside based solely on past data.
Without historical data to support further gains, investors would likely rely on fundamental analysis and the belief that Netflix is undervalued as a company.
Ideal Buy Zones
Where are the best entry points for a buy position?
While Netflix’s current uptrend may suggest continuous growth, corrections are inevitable, even for large companies. Based on this, I’ve identified two potential buy zones marked as blue boxes on the chart:
First Buy Zone: $700
This level was the all-time high in 2021, which now acts as support after being broken to the upside.
Even if the price drops, it’s unlikely to fall below $700 easily, as this level is supported by the ascending trendline from 2022.
Second Buy Zone: $350
The first green box shows a sharp drop followed by a temporary rebound.
The second green box highlights a key support level that held during a previous consolidation phase. Both zones indicate strong support and potential for a bounce.
Reversal and Sell Perspective
The red box zone highlights an area for potential reversal or sell positions.
If Netflix breaks the $700 level and the ascending trendline, it would signal a significant shift toward a bearish trend.
A breakdown below $700 could lead to a sharp decline, with the first buy zone ($700) and second buy zone ($350) representing a potential 50% difference.
This suggests that a trendline breakdown could trigger a substantial bearish reversal, making short positions or hedge strategies worth considering.
Conclusion
While Netflix has demonstrated strong upward momentum, history shows that even the largest companies can experience corrections of 70% or more.
Instead of chasing continuous rallies, it’s crucial to consider both bullish and bearish scenarios and plan trades accordingly.
Let’s make 2025 a successful trading year together. 🚀
#NFLX Projection by end 2026As my analysis shows here, the #NFLX will more likely reach the target of $1160 by the end of 2026. This will be beyond the market average and it's a beat the market situation.
Study more, technical analysis is just the probabilities overview.
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #3 - NFLX Channel BreakThe market is beginning to look a lot more bearish this week IMO, so starting to look at some short setups after only taking longs basically since the election. Wouldn't be surprised if we had a bullish reaction after FOMC and into the end of the year, but expecting downside at this point.
NFLX may be a good candidate for a short, clean channel break and has already failed on a retest once. Don't think I'd short here, maybe on another channel test or ATH test. I'd mainly be looking for puts if it breaks back below $909 and fails on a retest. Final downside target for this one will be a full retracement of the move from where the channel started around $859.
Netflix Is In Process Of Doing Five Waves AdvanceShort Term Elliott Wave view in Netflix ticker symbol: NASDAQ:NFLX suggests that rally from 8.05.2024 low is incomplete & should continue upside. It is showing 3 swing higher since August-2024 low & expect more upside against 11.18.2024 low. It ended 1 at $736 high as diagonal & 2 correction at $669 low. Within 1, it placed ((i)) at $711.33 high, ((ii)) at $660.80 low & ((iii)) at $728 high. Wave ((iv)) ended at $696.43 low & finally ((v)) ended at $736 high as wave 1. Within 2 correction, it placed ((a)) at $699.78 low, ((b)) at $710.24 high & ((c)) at $669 low near 50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.
Above 2 low, it favors upside in wave 3 in another 5 waves impulse sequence. Whereas wave ((i)) ended at $773 high, wave ((ii)) ended at $744.26 low. Wave ((iii)) ended at $841 high, wave ((iv)) ended at $804.30 low and wave ((v)) at $941.75 high. Below from there, the stock made a pullback in wave 4 to correct the cycle from 10.17.2024 low. The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave double three structure where wave ((w)) ended at $909.61 low in a lesser degree 3 waves.
A bounce to $928.94 high ended wave ((x)) and started the ((y)) leg lower towards $896.73- $876.79 blue box area where buyers were expected to appear. Since then the stock has reacted higher from the blue box area allowed longs to get into a risk free position. Therefore ended wave 4 pullback at $881.01 within the blue box area. Near-term, as far as dips remain above $881.01 low and more importantly above $804.46 low the stock is expected to resume the upside in wave 5. For minimum extension target towards $956.38- $979.68 area higher (inverse 123.6%- 161.8% Fib extension of wave 4). Before ending the cycle from 8.05.2024 low in 5 waves advance & making a pullback.
Netflix to $1,100 ?With Christmas around the corner, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is set to benefit from increased streaming as families worldwide spend more time indoors during the holidays. This seasonal trend, coupled with Netflix’s rich content library and holiday-themed releases, positions the platform for significant engagement and subscriber growth.
The stock recently closed at $909.74, and analysts at TipRanks have set an optimistic target of $1,100 per share. With increased global streaming hours and strong content strategies, Netflix is well-positioned to ride the holiday momentum. Investors should watch Q4 subscriber growth for further insights into this upward trend.
