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NOCG34 trade ideas

NOC vs LMT: A Valuation War Between Top Defence Manufacturers!ABOUT COMPANIES Northrop Grumman NYSE:NOC excels in advanced aircraft systems, divided into four main areas: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. Aeronautics Systems designs and manufactures cutting-edge aircraft for the U.S. military and global clients. Defense Systems integrates battle management and weaponry, while Mission Systems delivers innovative solutions for defense and intelligence. Space Systems focuses on solutions for national security and commercial purposes. Established in 1939 by John K. Northrop and others, the company is headquartered in Falls Church, VA. Lockheed Martin NYSE:LMT stands as a top global security and aerospace company, dedicated to the research, design, and production of advanced technology systems. It operates in four primary segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. The Aeronautics segment focuses on military aircraft, including combat and drones. MFC specializes in air and missile defense and precision strike systems. RMS develops military and commercial helicopters and cyber solutions, while the Space segment creates satellites and defense systems. Founded in 1912, the company is located in Bethesda, MD. MARKET CAPITALIZATION ● Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) - $75.96 Billion ● Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) - $135.53 Billion TECHNICAL ASPECTS ● Northrop Grumman ➖ The monthly chart shows that the stock price is currently on a distinct upward path. ➖ Previously, it faced resistance around the $360 level, caused a notable pullback. ➖ Subsequently, the price formed a Double Bottom pattern and broke out successfully. ➖ This breakout drove the price to an all-time high near the $556 level but the price started declining from there. ➖ Nevertheless, the stock price found strong support around the $420 level, allowed it to bounce back. ➖ Currently, the stock is approaching its previous all-time high, and if it can overcome that resistance, we can anticipate further price increases in the coming days. ● Lockheed Martin ➖ This stock is on a strong upward trajectory, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows. ➖ Following a significant breakout around the $500 mark, the stock price surged and is now trading at $568.5, just shy of its all-time peak of $578.7. ➖ From a technical perspective, the price is hovering just below the upper boundary of a parallel channel, which may act as a resistance point. ➖ However, if the price can break through this range and maintain that momentum, we could see even greater upward movement ahead. Relative Strength ● The chart shows that the NYSE Composite TVC:NYA has provided a solid return on investment of about 18% in the last year. In comparison, Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin have done even better, with returns of around 20% and 27%, respectively. REVENUE BREAKDOWN ● Northrop Grumman The company derives its income from four main segments. ➖ The largest share comes from the space systems segment, contributing around 33%, which equates to $14.34 billion out of a total revenue of $43 billion. ➖ Next, the aeronautics systems segment adds nearly 27%, bringing in $11.61 billion of the overall revenue. ➖ The mission systems segment follows closely, accounting for about 26%, or $11.12 billion of the total. ➖ Finally, the defense systems segment generates nearly 14%, totaling $5.99 billion of the overall revenue. ● Lockheed Martin Similar to Northrop Grumman, this company also operates through four segments to drive its revenue. ➖ The aeronautics segment leads the way, contributing around 38.4%, which amounts to nearly $28.77 billion of the total revenue of $74.85 billion. ➖ The rotary and mission systems segment accounts for 26.4% of revenue, equating to $19.76 billion. ➖ Next, the space segment contributes 17.8%, which is $13.33 billion. ➖ Finally, the missile and fire control segment makes up 17.4%, totaling $12.99 billion of the overall revenue. REVENUE & PROFIT ANALYSIS ● Northrop Grumman Revenue ➖ For the FY23 the revenue has jumped by 7.3% to $39.3 B from $36.6 B in FY22. ➖ In the recent June quarter there is no significant surge in revenue as the recent quarterly revenue stands at $10.2 B compared to $10.1 B in the march 2024. But from the last year June quarter the revenue has grown by almost 6% from $9.6 B. Profit ➖ The operating profit has experienced a decline, with FY23 reporting only $2.9 billion, a drop from $6.3 billion in FY22. ➖ In the latest June quarter, the operating profit held steady at $1.3 billion, unchanged from the March quarter. Basic EPS (LTM) ➖ The basic EPS saw a slight rise in June, climbing to $15.26 (LTM) from $14.33 (LTM) in March 2024. However, compared to the same quarter last year, there has been a significant drop from $30.23 (LTM) Analyzing these numbers shows that although revenue has risen, the company is having difficulty producing profits, which may impact the share price in the near term. ● Lockheed Martin Revenue ➖ In FY23, the company experienced a slight revenue increase of 2.4%, rising to $67.6 billion from $66 billion in FY22. ➖ During the recent June quarter, revenue reached $18.1 billion, up from $17.2 billion in the March quarter. Compared to the same quarter last year, this represents a significant growth of approximately 8.6%, up from $16.7 billion. Profit ➖ The operating income has experienced a year-over-year increase. For FY23, it reached $9.0 billion, marking a 23% rise from $7.3 billion in FY22. ➖ However, there hasn't been a notable change in operating profit on a quarter-over-quarter basis. In June, the operating profit stood at $2.2 billion, slightly up from $2.1 billion in March. This figure is consistent with the operating profit reported in the same quarter last year. Basic EPS (LTM) ➖ The basic EPS stood at $27.58 (LTM) in June 2024 ➖ Over the past year, there has been no notable growth in EPS (LTM) Lockheed Martin demonstrates a more robust financial standing compared to Northman Grumman. VALUATION ● P/E Ratio ➖ P/E vs. Median P/E (1) Northrop Grumman's current price-to-earnings ratio over the past twelve months stands at 33.2x, which appears elevated when compared to its four-year median of 15.2x. (2) Lockheed Martin's recent twelve-month p/e ratio is 20.1x, also showing a rise relative to its four-year median of 16.2x. ➖ P/E vs. Industry P/E (1) NOC shows a fair valuation with a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 33.2x, which is just below the US Aerospace & Defense Industry average of 33.3x. (2) On the other hand, LMT, with a P/E of 20.1x, seems to be undervalued relative to the industry average of 33.3x. ● P/B Ratio ➖ NOC's current P/B ratio of 5.3x appears inflated when stacked against the US Aerospace & Defense Industry average of 3.2x. ➖ In the case of LMT, it stands out as significantly overvalued, boasting a P/B ratio of 21.9x, which is far above the industry average of 3.2x. FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS ● Northrop Grumman ➖ In FY23, cash flow from operations saw a remarkable increase, climbing to $3.9 billion, a notable rise from $2.9 billion in FY22. ➖ In the most recent quarter, this figure reached $4.4 billion, up from $3.9 billion in March. ● Lockheed Martin ➖ There was little change in operating cash flow, with FY23 reporting $7.9 billion, which is nearly the same as the $7.8 billion recorded in FY22. ➖ On a quarterly basis, there has been an uptick; for the June quarter, operating cash flow stood at $8.8 billion, an increase from $8.0 billion in March and $7.7 billion in the same quarter last year. DEBT ANALYSIS ● NOC currently has a debt of $16.3 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 114%. While this may raise some concerns, the company boasts an interest coverage ratio of 5.2, indicating a solid ability to manage interest payments on its debt. ● In contrast, LMT carries a debt of $19.3 billion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 311%, which suggests poor financial health. However, with an impressive interest coverage ratio of 8.9, the company is in a strong position to meet its interest obligations. TOP SHAREHOLDERS ● Northrop Grumman ➖ State Street Global has a notable 9.59% ownership in this firm, while The Vanguard Group possesses a considerable 8.22% stake. ● Lockheed Martin ➖ In addition to the 11.2% held by Lockheed Martin's Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP), State Street Global and The Vanguard Group own 15.1% and 8.99% respectively. ➖ BlackRock also maintains a significant 7.13% interest in this company. CONCLUSION After reviewing all the financial metrics, it becomes evident that each company possesses distinct strengths and weaknesses. It's difficult to determine which one is the superior investment choice at this moment. A look at the monthly chart indicates that both companies are currently at a high point, but they could be good candidates for accumulation during any significant downturns. In 2023, the US spent $916 billion on defense, which was more than any other country. This was an increase of $55 billion from 2022. and this figure could increase given the current global landscape. Therefore, companies like Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin are expected to perform well in the foreseeable future.
NYSE:NOCLong
by NaranjCapital
Is the XRQ-73 the ultimate silent killer?The Unseen Predator Imagine a drone so advanced it can slip past the most sophisticated defenses, a silent hunter in the sky. The XRQ-73, DARPA's latest X-plane, is not just a UAV; it's a harbinger of a new era in warfare. The XRQ-73, a groundbreaking new drone from DARPA, could revolutionize the way wars are fought. With its advanced stealth technology and hybrid-electric propulsion, this unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) is capable of performing a wide range of missions, from precision strikes to reconnaissance. A Technological Marvel Combining the best of electric and traditional propulsion, the XRQ-73 is a marvel of engineering. Its stealthy design and advanced capabilities make it a formidable asset for military operations. From precision strikes to intelligence gathering, its potential applications are vast. Beyond the Battlefield But the XRQ-73's impact extends beyond the battlefield. Its technology could revolutionize civilian sectors, aiding in disaster relief, search and rescue, and environmental monitoring. The Future of Warfare The XRQ-73 is a testament to human ingenuity and a glimpse into the future of warfare. As technology continues to evolve, we can expect to see even more groundbreaking advancements in unmanned aerial vehicles. But what truly sets it apart? Its ability to remain undetected, combined with its long-range capabilities and versatility, makes the XRQ-73 a formidable weapon. As technology advances, we can only imagine the possibilities that this and other similar drones hold for the future of warfare. Are you ready for a world where drones rule the skies?
NYSE:NOCLong
by signalmastermind
Northrop Grumman's B-21 Raider nears operational readinessNorthrop Grumman Corp. has reported successful flight tests of its new B-21 Raider bomber, marking a significant milestone as the aircraft edges closer to entering service by the end of this decade. The success of these initial flights suggests that Northrop Grumman is on track to begin receiving substantial orders for the serial production of the B-21 as the US Army seeks to replenish and modernise its ageing bomber fleet. The US bomber fleet currently comprises about 140 aircraft, including the decades-old B-52s, underscoring the urgency and scale of the need for newer aircraft like the B-21 Raider. The Air Force anticipates requiring at least a hundred B-21s to maintain its current fleet strength, highlighting the potential for significant production and revenue growth for Northrop Grumman. Now let's delve into a technical analysis of Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE: NOC) to identify potential trading opportunities: On the Daily (D1) timeframe, the stock shows a resistance level at 490.60 USD and support at 450.05 USD. The stock has been trading within a channel, indicating an absence of a distinct trend. In a downtrend, a potential target could be 415.00 USD. Conversely, if an uptrend begins, the short-term target may become 520.00 USD upon a rebound from the support level of 450.05 USD. If the positive momentum continues, the price could escalate to 550.00 USD in the medium term. — Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews. The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments. Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NYSE:NOC
by RoboMarkets
Northrop GrummanNorthrop Grumman is a prominent American multinational aerospace and defense technology company with a rich history and significant contributions across various domains. 1. Industry Leader: Northrop Grumman ranks among the world's largest weapons manufacturers and military technology providers, boasting over 95,000 employees and an annual revenue exceeding $30 billion. 2. Diverse Expertise: The company operates across various sectors, including aerospace systems, defense electronics, information systems, space systems, and shipbuilding. Pioneering Innovations: Northrop Grumman has played a pivotal role in numerous groundbreaking advancements, including: a. The Lunar Module: This iconic spacecraft carried the first astronauts to the lunar surface during the Apollo missions. b. The B-2 Spirit Stealth Bomber: This revolutionary aircraft, known for its low-radar signature, serves as a cornerstone of the US Air Force's strategic bombing capabilities. c. The James Webb Space Telescope: This marvel of astronomical engineering, launched in 2021, promises to revolutionize our understanding of the universe. 3. Global Reach: Northrop Grumman maintains a vast network of over 550 facilities spread across all 50 US states and more than 25 countries worldwide. 4. Commitment to Sustainability: The company recognizes the importance of environmental responsibility and actively implements sustainable practices in its operations. Northrop Grumman is a beneficiary of the intensifying conflicts that have the likelihood of pushing through 2024 and we are expecting healthy earnings in Q1, Q2, and Q3 in case we see an escalation in warfare. If Trump is elected president, the defense and military sector is poised to be a beneficiary in his security agenda. Our interim entry was filled and we will be placing our buy-limit orders just in case the stock price drops lower.
NYSE:NOCLong
by Candles254
War/Defence Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThis handcrafted idea using Advanced Fibonacci Tools beholds 6 of the largest War Mongering "Defence" contractors. ( Raytheon, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, L3 Harris Tech ) These Fibonacci Schematics show all price manipulation of Support and Resistance. I've started the timeline at 1999 for many reasons. One being the already conceived and "soon to be" conflicts of the Middle East with the "war of terror." (Give me a break) 2001 kickstarted another HUGE flow of stimulus into these defence contractors to fund the West's newest war to keep people "proud to be an American". Solely by continuing the collective punishment of millions of people in the Middle East region. This had already been going on for about 2 decades at least before 9/11. The American Government killed hundreds of thousands to millions of Iraqis and Afghanistan people through this collective punishment. They needed a way to continue their genocidal intent and ethnic cleansing with a false flag terror attack to get the American People back on their side. 9/11 brought out the worst in our country and the "PatRioTiC" US citizens green lit their leaders to dish out more collective punishment even though their leaders had been lying though their teeth for countless years.... I need give only one example with "weapons of mass destruction" Obviously this matters because these Defence Contractors have blood all over their hands that they are basically swimming in it. Anyways, this is just a Macro Analysis. These lines represent death and destruction so investing in them is a moral dilemma which I obviously advice against.
NYSE:NOC
by MichaelBsul
NOC - strong seasonal opportunityWe’re in a seasonally strong time of the year for the defense sector. NYSE:NOC NOC tends to perform well in the first half of the year. It recently hit its first target in this measured range from the breakout of a descending wedge. A move to ~495 would align to the full range and match the seasonal performance in Jan/Feb. Companies in the defense sector experience geopolitical news driven swings in sentiment. Any unfavorable news could see price test the $468-475 range of volume weighted prices below that are anchored to the 10/28/22 high, the 10/6/23 formation of the current descending wedge, and the 11/20/23 breakout from the descending wedge. Note that analyst consensus 12 month price target is $510, which aligns closely to the $507 fib level of the retrace from the 10/28/22 high and the retrace that formed the descending wedge.
NYSE:NOCLong
by Ben_1148x2
NOC Stock Rises As Northrop Grumman Rounds Out Defense Earnings.Defense stocks were mixed early Thursday as Northrop Grumman (NOC) announced quarterly results. General Dynamics (GD) reported above-forecast third-quarter results Wednesday. RTX stock spiked on Tuesday after a Q3 earnings beat. Rapidly evolving circumstances in Israel and Palestine sparked greater interest in defense companies going into the earnings season. Northrop Grumman specializes in advanced missiles, missile components, defense systems and sensor technology. The company's various manned aircraft include the A-10 Thunderbolt, B-2 Stealth Bomber, B-21 Raider, F-35 and the F/A-18 Super Hornet. Northrop's third-quarter earnings rose about 5% to $6.18 per share on 9% revenue growth to $9.78 billion. We expect Northrop earnings to fall for the first time in three quarters, sliding 1.4% to $5.81 per share. Revenue views targeted a 6.8% rise to $9.58 billion. The company reported that defense system sales rose 6% to $1.42 billion and mission systems revenue increased 7% to $2.63 billion. Northrop's space systems division reported an 11% revenue increase to $3.5 billion. Aeronautics revenue rose 9% to $2.77 billion. It lifted its full-year sales guidance to $39 billion, from the previous range of $38.4 billion to $38.8 billion. Northrop maintained its earnings forecast, expecting EPS between $22.45 and $22.85. Analysts polled by FactSet see full-year earnings of $22.74 on $38.79 billion in revenue. Northrop is well positioned thanks to its "high priority" long-term growth programs including the B-21 and Sentential Ground Based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD), an intercontinental ballistic missile system, UBS wrote in an Oct. 10 research note. The programs provide greater visibility and should drive overperformance. UBS initiated coverage of NOC stock with a buy rating and $555 price target. NOC stock gained 0.6% early Thursday, adding to Wednesday's 1% gain. Shares slid below their 10-day moving average early in the week. NOC stock is trading around mid-January levels and down 11.3% this year. We can see the Trend line in sync with the Relative Strength Index indicating Bullish Trend on Northrop.
NYSE:NOCLong
by DEXWireNews
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) October 2023 to April 2024 Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Fundamentals: Market Cap: $73.996 billion EPS (Earnings Per Share): $30.13 P/E Ratio: 16.232 Book Value: $102.293 Operating Margin (TTM): 11.49% Profit Margin: 12.27% Return on Assets (TTM): 8.45% Return on Equity (TTM): 31.91% Wall Street Target Price: $504.33 Revenue (TTM): $37.881 billion Gross Profit (TTM): $7.474 billion Recent Earnings: Q2 2023: Actual EPS of $5.34 vs. Estimated EPS of $5.33 (Surprise: +0.1876%) Q1 2023: Actual EPS of $5.5 vs. Estimated EPS of $5.09 (Surprise: +8.055%) Q4 2022: Actual EPS of $7.5 vs. Estimated EPS of $6.57 (Surprise: +14.1553%) Technical Indicators: 52 Week High: $547.6509 52 Week Low: $414.56 50-Day Moving Average: $436.8846 200-Day Moving Average: $453.325 Beta: 0.437 (indicating the stock is less volatile than the market) Dividends: Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $7.48 Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 1.53% Payout Ratio: 29.72% Performance Metrics: YTD Return: -9.27% 1-Year Return: 4.55% 3-Year Return: 17.6% 5-Year Return: 11.52% 10-Year Return: 19.05% Analysis: Northrop Grumman has demonstrated a solid financial performance with a healthy profit margin and return on equity. The company's earnings have been consistently beating estimates, indicating strong operational efficiency. The stock's P/E ratio is relatively moderate, suggesting it might be fairly valued. The company also offers a decent dividend yield, making it attractive for income-seeking investors. However, the stock has underperformed YTD, which might be a concern for short-term investors. Given its industry positioning and financial metrics, it seems to be a stable investment for those looking at the defense sector.
NYSE:NOCLong
by Kopachelli
2
War Giants Greed: Secret Military Industrial Complex TechnologyThe War on Terror: A Cash Infusion: "The global War on Terror" Massive air quotes , initiated in 2001 following the 9/11 terrorist attacks, led to a substantial surge in defense spending, especially by the U.S. This created an economic windfall for defense companies, fuelling their research and development initiatives. Black Budget Projects: Part of the military's classified "black budget" is allocated to defense companies for top-secret projects. This could include advanced propulsion systems, stealth technology, energy weapons, and yes, even so-called anti-gravity technology. Alien Technology Reverse-Engineering: Some conspiracy theories propose that defense companies have recovered crashed extraterrestrial spacecraft and are reverse-engineering their technology for military purposes. This narrative often ties back to the infamous Roswell incident in 1947, where it's suggested that debris from an alien spacecraft was collected and studied. UFOs as Military Aircraft: Another common theory suggests that some UFO sightings are actually sightings of advanced, top-secret military aircraft developed by defense companies. In this theory, the strange movements and high speeds of these UFOs can be explained by undisclosed technological advancements. Government and Corporate Secrecy: Conspiracy theories often hinge on the idea of widespread secrecy among governments and corporations. Theorists suggest that these entities possess advanced technology (possibly of extraterrestrial origin) but keep it secret for reasons of national security, profit, or control. Area 51 and Skunk Works: Area 51, a classified remote detachment of Edwards Air Force Base, is often mentioned in conspiracy theories. Lockheed Martin's Skunk Works, known for developing groundbreaking aircraft like the SR-71 Blackbird and the F-117 Nighthawk, is also rumored to test new technologies there. These rumors fuel theories of secret advanced technology development. Advanced Technology Suppression: Some theories suggest that highly advanced technologies, such as zero-point energy or anti-gravity, have been discovered and are being suppressed by defense companies, the military, or powerful elites. The rationale behind these theories varies, but common themes include maintaining control over the populace and protecting established industries. 1. Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT): $95 billion 2. Boeing Co (BA): $132 billion 3. Raytheon Technologies Corp (RTX): $134 billion 4. Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC): $57 billion 5. General Dynamics Corp (GD): $44 billion 6. L3Harris Technologies Inc (LHX): $42 billion The U.S. Department of Defense only represents a portion of these companies' business, as they may also have contracts with other parts of the government, as well as with foreign governments and private entities. For example, in 2020, Lockheed Martin reportedly received $75 billion in contract obligations from the U.S. government, --Boeing received about $28 billion --Raytheon about $27 billion --Northrop Grumman about $19 billion --General Dynamics about $15 billion --L3Harris about $9 billion. These figures are for one single year and only for U.S. government contracts.
NYSE:NOC
by MichaelBsul
1
NOC WCA - Head and Shoulders PatternCompany: Northrop Grumman Ticker: NOC Exchange: NYSE Sector: Defense Introduction: Hello, and thank you for reading this analysis. Today, we focus on Northrop Grumman (NOC) on the NYSE. The weekly chart shows a potentially significant head and shoulders pattern that deserves our attention. Head and Shoulders Pattern: The head and shoulders pattern is a classic chart formation that can indicate either a bullish continuation or bearish reversal, depending on its orientation and the preceding trend. In this case, the pattern has formed over 441 days, making it noteworthy. Analysis: The NOC chart shows a clear uptrend, as demonstrated by the green upward sloping line and the position of the price above the 200 EMA. Both of these factors contribute to a bullish sentiment. However, the formation of the head and shoulders pattern introduces an element of uncertainty. The neckline of this pattern, which currently acts as support, is at 431.61. A break below this level could signal a bearish reversal, offering a potential shorting opportunity. On the other hand, a break above the right shoulder could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend. Given the existing uptrend and the position above the 200 EMA, the probabilities currently favor a continuation. Conclusion: In summary, Northrop Grumman's weekly chart presents a head and shoulders pattern within an uptrend, offering potential trading opportunities in both directions. Therefore, this is a chart to watch closely in the coming days. As always, it's important to manage your risk appropriately and ensure that any trading decisions align with your overall investment strategy. Please note that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
NYSE:NOC
by KarimSubhieh
NOC swing trade ideaNYSE:NOC reports on Thursday. It's still 15% off of its ATH. It's been in an uptrend and putting in HL and HH's this year. They beat on revenue and EPS last quarter. There have been a lot of down revisions to estimates, while NOC has a strong history of beating estimates. I'm setting up for a short term trade that assumes a beat. Entry at $472. Targeting overhead resistance at the 200SMA and the top of the gap from the Jan 12 drop to take profit. Setting a stop at $462, which is 1 20 period ATR below the 0.382 of the current extension. NYSE:LMT
NYSE:NOCLong
by Ben_1148x2