NVDC34 trade ideas
NVDA SHORTYou need firstly understand the setup, then forecast the entry and TP point. Then look for a good R:R and enter the trade. !BUT YOU NEED TO WAIT UNTIL IT HITS TP OR SL!
Be patient.
NVIDIA (NVDA) - Failed Bear Flag, Bullish Reversal in Play📉 Failed Bear Flag Pattern
NVDA initially formed a bear flag, with a strong downward flagpole followed by consolidation in an upward-sloping channel. However, instead of breaking down as expected, the price reversed at the lower boundary, signaling bulls absorbing selling pressure.
📈 Breakout Potential
The recent impulse move out of the flag formation aligns with a Wave 1 breakout, confirming a potential bullish trend. If the Wave 2 retracement holds above previous lows, NVDA could see a strong Wave 3 rally towards $130-$140.
🔍 Key Resistance & Confirmation Levels
Immediate resistance around $122-$124 (previous highs & bear flag upper boundary). A break above $124 with volume could trigger further bullish momentum. Downside risk remains if NVDA re-enters the bear flag below $115.
🚀 Bullish Bias Unless Invalidated
Given the failed bear flag breakdown and Elliott Wave structure, the bias shifts bullish towards higher highs. Watch for strong follow-through on Wave 3 to confirm this setup.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry: On pullbacks above $118-$120
Target: $130-$145
Stop: Below $115
💡 Let me know your thoughts! Do you agree with this bullish outlook?
Don't forget,
Patience is Paramount.
NVDA: Buy ideaOn NVDA, as you can see on the chart, we have a convergence between the resistance line and the support line. This configuration of the chart signals to us a high probability of seeing the market go higher if and only if the resistance line and the vwap are broken forcefully by the buyers.
NVDA 4H Analysis – Should You Buy Calls?Key Observations:
Current Price: $118.68
Support Levels:
$115.33 (Holding as support)
$113.31 (Next level below)
$101.28 & $90.99 (Deeper liquidity zones)
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Above:
The large blue zone (~$130-$140) represents an imbalance that price could eventually fill.
Earnings Event Nearby (Purple ‘E’ Icon):
Earnings can cause volatility, so be cautious if holding options through that event.
Call Option Consideration:
Bullish Case (Buying Calls):
Price is sitting near support at $115.33. If it holds and starts pushing higher, it could aim for the FVG at $130-$140, which would make calls profitable.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for bullish price action (higher lows, strong volume, break of short-term resistance).
Bearish Risk (Why You Might Wait):
If price loses $115.33, it could dip lower to $113.31 or even $101.28, which would crush call options.
Earnings could add uncertainty—if volatility spikes, premiums might be expensive.
Final Verdict:
Aggressive Entry: Small position in calls if NVDA holds above $115.33 with confirmation.
Safer Entry: Wait for price to reclaim $120+ to confirm strength before entering.
Risk Management: If NVDA loses $115, consider stopping out or waiting for a better re-entry near $101.
Nvidia Slipping Away?I know, I know, soo much bearish sentiment out there, bottom HAS to be in, right?
I still think Nvidia is in a bunch of trouble and can slip up at ANY moment.
Targets would be the $90-$95 support range.
NVDA | Pivot Points | $100Price action still pulling back around $127 - $120 for a continued sell-off towards $100
I'm using pivot points to help read the direction of trend and then measuring the waves in sellers to get an idea of how well momentum is doing which can also be used to generate targets like shown on chart
Entering at current price would make a 1:1 trade vs looking for a higher entry @ ~126 would allow for less risk.
NVDA Potential Long Term Investment NVIDIA stands out as a promising investment because of its dominant position in several fast-growing technology sectors. Its leadership in graphics processing units (GPUs) fuels advancements in gaming, high-performance computing, and artificial intelligence (AI), making it a cornerstone in the digital revolution. As industries worldwide increasingly rely on AI and machine learning, NVIDIA’s innovative solutions offer unmatched performance that powers everything from immersive gaming experiences to complex data analytics in data centers.
The company’s aggressive research and development investments have continually driven product innovation, ensuring that it remains at the forefront of emerging trends like autonomous vehicles and edge computing. In addition to its technological prowess, NVIDIA boasts strong financial metrics, including robust revenue growth, profitability, and a solid balance sheet that supports further expansion. Strategic partnerships and a global market presence reinforce its competitive edge and long-term prospects.
Although risks and market volatility persist in the technology sector, NVIDIA’s commitment to innovation and its scalable business model provide compelling reasons for investors to consider it. Despite receiving the short end of the stick for several months as price consolidates within a wide value range, the stock has recently experienced the largest single day decline in Nvidia's history. Although some may panic and question the true intrinsic value for this company, it should be clear that Nvidia is a leader in the technology space. Overall, the company’s unique blend of cutting-edge technology, strategic vision, and sound financial health positions it as an attractive choice for those seeking long-term investment opportunities in a transformative industry.
Technically speaking, we have an Anchored VWAP taken from the start of the rally from $50 in confluence with a previous low liquidity zone around $100.
I will be watching this zone for a long term investment opportunity.
NVDA Update: Potential Trend ReversalFor NVDA holders; NVDA has been in a strong downtrend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The price recently tested a key demand zone (114.49 - 117.07), showing signs of a possible reversal.
Breaking the supply zone (120.02 - 124.79) would be a bullish confirmation.
A breakout above 127.87 ( last swing High) would further confirm that the downtrend is over and a new impulsive move is beginning.
The price is challenging the downtrend line at the moment, and a strong breakout could trigger a strong rally.
✅ Bullish Signs to watch:
Break above 120 = Confirmation of strength
Break above 124.79 = Bullish breakout
Break above 127.87 = Strong confirmation for trend reversal
🚨 Bearish Signs:
Rejection at 120 or 124.79 could lead to further downside.
A drop below 114 would invalidate the bullish thesis.
"Amateurs focus on how much money they can make. Professionals focus on how much they can lose." – Jack Schwager
🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🚨
$NVDA: Broadening Formation & Earnings Play – $180 Calls for MayHey what's up everyone. Here's an analysis on NASDAQ:NVDA 👇🏽
💹 Trade Analysis & Setup
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is currently trading at $116.66, showing high volatility inside a Broadening Formation (BF) on both the daily and monthly timeframes.
This setup is a textbook liquidity expansion pattern, where price is making higher highs and lower lows within a widening megaphone structure.
The key catalyst in play is NVDA earnings on Feb 21, 2025, which could drive significant price action and IV expansion.
🔼 Bullish Case (Targets: $129 - $141.88 - $150+)
Earnings Catalyst (Feb 21): AI demand remains strong, with NVDA leading the semiconductor market.
Breakout Zone at $123-$125: NVDA must reclaim this zone to shift into an uptrend.
$129 (Prior Weekly High): A breakout here could bring momentum buyers & institutions into play.
Gap Fill to $141.88: Major upside potential exists if NVDA can sustain bullish momentum post-earnings.
🔻 Bearish Risks (Key Support & Breakdown Levels)
Daily Lower BF Break (~$113-$115): If this level fails, downside could accelerate toward $110-$105.
Monthly Broadening Formation Lower Level (~$100-$95): Extreme downside risk in the worst-case scenario.
Earnings Disappointment: If NVDA’s report fails to meet expectations, a strong move down is possible.
Theta Decay Impact: My contract loses value daily (~$3.53 per day), so a slow move up is not favorable.
IV Crush Post-Earnings: If NVDA doesn’t move much after earnings, option value could rapidly drop.
🚀 My Trade Plan
Bullish Breakout Plan: Hold if NVDA reclaims $123-$129, targeting $141-$150+ before March-April.
Earnings Play Strategy: Hold through earnings ONLY IF NVDA builds strength into Feb 21.
Exit if $113 breaks below with strong volume to prevent further downside losses.
NVDA’s Daily & Monthly Broadening Formations confirm high volatility & liquidity expansion. The next major move is likely earnings-driven.
If NVDA clears $129, I will hold my calls. If support at $113 fails, I may exit early.
💡 Trade Details:
Position: NVDA $180c 16 MAY 25
Entry Price: $2.60
Current Price: $1.72
P/L Open: (-$85.66) / (-33.8%)
Delta: 11.36 (~0.11)
Theta: (-3.53)
Key Catalyst: Earnings on Feb 21, 2025
NVDA GEX Analysis and Option Trading SuggestionsKey Observations
1. Put Support:
* A significant put support level is observed at $115, with a high negative gamma exposure of -73.82%. This level is likely to act as strong support due to market makers hedging their positions.
2. Call Resistance:
* Call walls are visible at $125 and $140, with the second call wall at $140 being the strongest resistance due to the higher gamma concentration (65.46%). These levels may serve as barriers for upward movement.
3. Gamma Flip Zone:
* The $120 level appears to be a key pivot point, where the gamma transitions from negative to positive. If NVDA can hold above $120, it may gain momentum toward $125.
4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank):
* IVR at 69.2 indicates relatively high implied volatility compared to historical levels, suggesting elevated options premiums.
* This high IVR can be leveraged for credit strategies.
5. Implied Volatility (IVx):
* IVx at 73.6 indicates substantial movement expectations in the near term.
Option Trading Suggestions
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If NVDA breaks and holds above $120:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $120 (Buy Call)
* Strike 2: $125 (Sell Call)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: The goal is to target the next resistance level at $125 while mitigating high IV costs.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If NVDA fails to hold $115:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $115 (Buy Put)
* Strike 2: $110 (Sell Put)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: Targets the next support at $110, aligning with put gamma walls.
3. Neutral Strategy:
* For range-bound movement between $115 and $125:
* Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor.
* Sell Put: $115
* Buy Put: $110
* Sell Call: $125
* Buy Call: $130
* Reasoning: Capitalizes on elevated IV while limiting risk.
Thoughts and Insights
* Momentum Assessment: NVDA's ability to hold $120 is critical for a bullish continuation. If it fails, the focus shifts to $115 as the next support.
* Volatility Expectation: Elevated IV suggests potential for sharp moves; however, premium collection strategies can be lucrative.
* Key Levels to Monitor:
* Support: $115, $110
* Resistance: $120, $125, $140
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and risk management before trading.
NVIDA Looking Ahead
Through the previous week, we have seen increased volatility within the market with many eyes looking at NASDAQ:NVDA historic loss. Many question as to whether or not DeepSeek brought the end of NVDA's market dominance or if it will continue its bull run. Looking ahead to figure out which scenario will play out, for NVDA to continue its bull-run I'd like to see them break past that previous lower high at $130.29, eventually to hopefully reclaim some of the gap left in the DeepSeek wake. If it fails to reclaim that lower high and push down to a lower low, I would then be watching the lower key levels at $100.95 and $90.69 as a resistance level.
Nvidia's Price Approaches the $110 MarkThe stock has dropped more than 11% over the past five trading sessions due to newly imposed tariffs on Taiwanese semiconductors (which could increase Nvidia's costs) and growing concerns over DeepSeek's advanced AI model, which has intensified competition in the sector. Additionally, rising global trade tensions have led investors to lose confidence in Nvidia's future market outlook. As one of the most influential technology companies worldwide, a potential slowdown in global economic growth could negatively impact Nvidia's sales and revenue projections.
Accelerated Downtrend
Nvidia has already undergone a significant decline from the $150 price zone and is now approaching the key support level at $114 per share. So far, the sharp bearish moves have largely been accompanied by price gaps, and no clear trend-defining structure has emerged to establish a decisive bearish bias. This suggests that, in the long run, investors should watch for potential bullish corrections, given the speed of the recent sell-off.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line has consistently declined and is now approaching the oversold zone near the 30 level. This signals a strong imbalance between buying and selling pressure, which could increase the likelihood of short-term upward corrections in the stock price.
Key Levels
$130: The most significant resistance level, representing a neutral price zone over the past few months. A return to this level could reinforce a sideways market outlook in the coming weeks.
$114: A critical support level, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement barrier. Sustained movements below this level could reinforce the bearish perspective and trigger a more extended selling wave.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NVDA - 25% correction ahead!NVDA looks bearish in 3d chart as it shows a breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
continuation of decline is expected!
The price is expected to target the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which implies a 25% decline
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
NVIDIA has reached the first targetNASDAQ:NVDA created a perfect double top pattern, breaking the baseline forcefully and offering up to two perfect pullbacks that only confirmed that the $127.7 level had ceased to be support and had become a critical resistance .
A few weeks ago, we already warned that considering shorts on NVDA was feasible due to the breakdown of a previous pattern (see previous ideas). Now that the double top has broken down, the most common target would be to see prices around the $103 area , which, given NVDA's strong fundamentals and monopoly in AI, seems unlikely.
But with Trump, you never know! If market uncertainty persists, the most extreme level would be around the $90 area, where a significant amount of money should appear to buy NVDA at a substantial discount.
NVIDIA ARE YOU READY FOR THE DIP?this is monthly chart. every time rsi came back from"overbought" region you can observe it dumped average 69%.
dont hold on to your bags. sell on a bounce and buy it back much lower in a few months.
Spike Not Yet DigestedIt looks that we are building a bottom after the broad spike 2-3 days ago.
There is big volatility as the market is not yet aware whether the fallis over already. The more it is option expiration day today.
Thus today is decisive whether we are able to close the spike which would be healthy.
I think that we we settle down today to open higher on Monday when the otions will have expired.
NVDA Trading Plan: Waiting for a Break Above SMA 150 at 130.84Currently, the price of NVDA is 117.81, which is below the 150 SMA (128.9). The suggested entry point is 130.84, which is safely above the SMA 150, indicating a confirmation of upward momentum.
Entry Strategy:
Wait for the price to break above 130.84.
Ensure the SMA 150 continues to trend upward for additional confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Set the stop loss was at 126.97, below the SMA 150, to minimize risk.
Target:
Monitor the price action for key resistance levels to determine potential profit targets.
Alerts:
Set an alert on TradingView at 130.84 to notify you when the price breaks the entry level. NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA INVESTORS BE AWARE TP1 IS FIELDhello
nvda is in free fall for now so TP2=107 then TP3=93
be aware because the mountly candle is bearish and with big volume, i am affraid that holders of this stock cannot support or stand this furious fall.
be ware and good luck
NVDA Update on the previous analayissNow it is proving to be a bearish trend. The trend line has been broken and this monday the market openned with a massive gap down. BEARISH Gods are in power... Previous analysis here
NVDA: Looks like bottom to me!NASDAQ:NVDA : Looks like bottom to me!
- Volume shelf
- 50D MA
- S/R Zone
- Almost at Green support beam on Wr%
- Above bull flag breakout retest
$135▶️$160 inbound 🎯
Not financial advice
NVDA - Waiting for a pullback to add to my short exposureThe first NVDA analysis went pretty well.
Let's see what we can do from here.
Over the weekend the world was going crazy once more. This knocked the markets down and they opened in the red, and so does NVDA.
I would like to see a pullback to the 1/4 line. Because this would give me the chance to load the short even more.
Target is the Center-Line.
(Former analysis linked)
