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NVDC34 trade ideas

Why I Believe NVIDIA (NVDA) Is Oversold and Ready to BounceI’ve been following NVIDIA (NVDA) closely, and while I’m aware of the recent negative news, I believe the market’s reaction has been completely overblown. To me, this pullback has pushed NVDA into oversold territory—not because of technical indicators like RSI (which I’m not relying on), but because the price is now sitting at a strong demand level that historically has seen solid buying interest. In my opinion, the market has overpriced the impact of the news. NVIDIA’s fundamentals remain strong, and I don’t see anything here that fundamentally changes the long-term story of the company. This feels more like a short-term overreaction that’s created an opportunity to get in at a discount.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MrTiga
DeepSeek: Is the $2 trillion panic justified? A small Chinese AI startup, DeepSeek, is responsible for erasing $2 trillion from the US equity market, within 12 hours. Nvidia's stock is down ~17% at the time of writing, while shares of other US-based AI-related companies, including Oracle, Broadcom, and AMD, have fallen between 12% and 20%. Microsoft, a major investor in OpenAI, has also dropped more than 3%. However, Apple stock has gained, with the market seemingly dismissive of its Apple Intelligence product. DeepSeek launched a free, open-source large language model in December, reportedly developed in just two months for under $6 million. This news and its implications are only just filtering into mainstream market consciousness now following the release of DeepSeek's chatbot app. Investors are now questioning why US firms are spending hundreds of billions on Nvidia chips when a startup claims to achieve significant results at a fraction of the cost and raised concerns about the US losing its perceived dominance in the AI sector. However, industry figures, including Elon Musk and Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang, are scrambling to change the narrative though. Some suggest that DeepSeek likely has access to 50,000 NVIDIA Hopper GPUs—despite their claims of using just 10,000 A100 GPUs—due to U.S. export restrictions.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BlackBull_Markets
1
NVIDIA Wave Analysis 27 January 2025 - NVIDIA broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 115.00 NVIDIA opened today with the sharp downward gap breaking the support zone located between the support level 126.65 (former monthly low from December) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave i, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from November. NVIDIA can be expected to fall further to the next support level 115.00 (former monthly low from October).
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by FxProGlobal
i dont know guys!I don’t know, guys, but I think this stock is getting interesting. Just last Friday, the first fractal of the drop formed, and now we’ll see the continuation. All this activity is happening within a megaphone pattern, which makes me think NVDA’s price will surpass its all-time high. The optimization of LLM models doesn’t affect anything negatively—it only helps them become more popular and drives more chip sales. We’re on the brink of launching the Stargate project, and let’s not overlook the fact that both the hardware and software used for AI are evolving. Nothing is set in stone, which is why sales will continue to be monumental. A clear example is that if these models become optimized enough, we could see the massive use of new, more compact chips for household and personal appliances, robots, etc. So don’t be afraid—join the revolution!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AllAboutMoney
4
NVIDIA: Crashed on the 1D MA200 after 2 years. Last stand.NVIDIA is approaching oversold valuations on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.351, MACD = -0.820, ADX = 27.301) following the DeepSeek news and breached its 1D MA200 for the first time in 2 years. It was January 13th 2023 when we last saw the price trading on this trendline. The 1W MA50 is just a click under and there is no other way to put it than this being NVDA's last hold. The stock is at -23% from its ATH and the pattern that has to hold in order to provide an immediate rebound is the Megaphone whose LL trendline we just hit today. As long as this holds and the 1D RSI starts reversing near the oversold level, NVIDIA should technically test the 153.00 Resistance in a month or so. Failure to hold this pattern and a weekly candle closing under the 1W MA50, may result in a bubble burst and test of the 101.50 and 91.50 support levels. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
3
Where to catch the falling knife?So it's dropped a fair bit since I started writing this post, but needless to say, it would be best to wait and see something technical before a reasonable buy on a pull back could be justified. Looking at the weekly time frame, I'd expect a bounce from about the 115 level, so any bounce could then be judged on its own merits, if it's technical and showing signs of resuming back to the upside, then better to buy on a pull back from there (similar to the GBP chart), in what would be a lower time frame wave 2, than when it could just as easily keep dropping.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by JCore7
3
Disengage from the herd, Markets are not Rational places!“The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposition position. I assume that markets are always wrong. Even if my assumption is occasionally wrong, I use it as a working hypothesis. It does not follow that one should always go against the prevailing trend. On the contrary, most of the time the trend prevails; only occasionally are the errors corrected. It is only on those occasions that one should go against the trend. This line of reasoning leads me to look for the flaw in every investment thesis. ... I am ahead of the curve. I watch out for telltale signs that a trend may be exhausted. Then I disengage from the herd and look for a different investment thesis. Or, if I think the trend has been carried to excess, I may probe going against it. Most of the time we are punished if we go against the trend. Only at an inflection point are we rewarded.” ― George Soros, Soros on Soros: Staying Ahead of the Curve Most people ask themselves why NVDA should lose 15% of its market cap on the news about a Chinese company that claims to have outperformed ChatGPT by spending 5.5 million USD on training their models. I do not care about if the claim is true or not, because I am confident ChatGPT was very hyped, and today the bubble burst. No matter how much everyone in the AI industry and GPU makers trying we will not gain back the trust of people who see their capital melting in front of their eyes!
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Moshkelgosha
7
NVDA - Sellside Liquidity Run to Long ITM Calls >7 Days outI'm already long NVDA in a net profitable hedged position. I went long at 129 and overhedged at 151. The CES event stank of buy the rumor, sell the news. The chart structure also supported a clear buyside liquidity run to that level. The double wicks at the top of the range indicate an intent to run through buyside again. Before the CES run, a gaping block shaped void near ATH was clearly visible. This was a bearish selling block that has since been filled. That seller had to be bought out before NVDA could continue its run. There has been evident presence of sellside liquidity at ~129 since the beginning of the run. Initially I believed that would get run out before the buyside run, but I was wrong. Given the state of the VIX, TSLA, Silver, and Long term bond yields, a volatility spike capable of driving any weak hands (i.e. unhedged) out of NVDA feels imminent. I made a few mistakes on this run and my current NVDA position, though profitable and riskless is still at risk of being called away (at a profit). None the less, I intend to add onto my position if a volatility spike and liquidity run does occur and fix my risk using shorter dated ITM calls. A volatility expansion of this magnitude has the ability to run out even very conservatively placed stops, so ITM calls are the best bet I have to enter into a risk managed position. A large scale volatility bid will very quickly get sold by volatility sellers and traders (like myself) who mop up the blood in the streets. My short volatility positions are already hidden liquidity on the books.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by HundredLotTrader
NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert!📉 NVDA Stock Update: Downtrend Alert! 🚨 Attention traders! As we analyze the current market structure for NVIDIA (NVDA), it's crucial to note the recent developments on the daily chart. Key Observations: Market Behavior Since December 20, 2024: NVDA has been in a ranging market, characterized by significant volatility. Bearish Signal: We witnessed a huge bearish engulfing pattern, indicating strong selling pressure. This is a critical signal for traders to consider. Break of Key Level: The recent higher high can now be defined as a Lower High (LH) as the base of the order block at $129.60 has been broken. Expected Support Levels: As we move forward, we anticipate the following support levels: $124.94 $120.33 $115.78 We are particularly focused on potential accumulation within this Demand Zone. It's essential to stay vigilant and adapt your strategies accordingly! Happy trading, and stay safe! 📊💼
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ICT_Trader_SB
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective. This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern. From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal) If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out. As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;) Bulls don't be a dick for tick. Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by RealMacro
6
NVIDIA Slides 11.5% as China’s DeepSeek 3 Threatens AI Hardware NVIDIA is down sharply from Friday's close, roughly 11.5% in the pre-market. What's interesting is that the price is trading below the December 17 low of 126.78, marking a new 2025 low. If the market can't close above126.78 by the end of today, there is a risk that the price continues sliding, potentially down to around 120, and in the worst case, to the September 18 low of $113 per share. The reason for the move lower is that a Chinese company has launched DeepSeek version 3, which is similar to ChatGPT but free, open-source, and significantly cheaper to run. They also trained it much quicker and at a lower cost. If they continue on this trajectory, there will be less demand for ChatGPT and NVIDIA's hardware. What is your take? Are you buying the dip or is this the end for Nvidia? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ThinkMarkets
Nvidia is NOT SLOWING DOWN!! 1-Month Chart: Pullback Zone: It seems like you’re identifying a pullback zone around $140.76 to $134.29. This is likely a key support area that you’re waiting for a potential retest. Target Area: The yellow zone you have marked could be where you expect the price to consolidate before possibly bouncing higher. Price Levels: The 0.236 level seems to be closely related to your retracement levels, with key support near $109.92. 12-Month Chart: Massive Price Surge: The sharp price movement on the right of the chart is significant, showing strong momentum recently. The yellow line marks the previous high, where the stock is facing some resistance. Pullback Zone: Similar to the 1-month chart, you are looking for a retracement, potentially to the $134.29 level. You’re positioning yourself for a longer-term pullback before seeing further price action.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MoNi_MoN