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NVDC34 trade ideas

March Madness NVDA Bump?Hey Traders, Breaking this one down to the fundamentals and it's actually pretty simple. Starting off with the news here. NVDA is investing $500B with a "B" into US manufacturing alongside Apple Inc. as a 4 year plan to increase production in the US. Big news. Jensen Huang is notably one of my favorite CEO's with a level head and after the big sell off, I was hoping to get in around $95-97 on calls going long, but it didn't happen. Instead, we saw the floor coming in at 105 and the next stop was the "sticky note zone" around 114-116. After the break above, we had a recent pullback at 123.50 and this pullback was my chance to enter. We are headed into the last remaining days of March and as the title says, "March Madness" is upon us. SPY seems to have found support after a 10% correction at 550 and the overall market sentiment seems to be bullish. The target is simple, 130. If we can break above and hold 120, I am very confident we will see 130 by the end of next week, 3/28. Thanks for reading 🙏
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Tsteves
NVIDIA Under Pressure: Bearish Storm IntensifiesFundamental and Technical Signals Suggest Potential for Deeper Corrections NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is under significant pressure, mirroring the broader bearish sentiment gripping global equity markets. The semiconductor giant's shares have suffered a substantial 23% decline from their January peak at $153.13, illustrating vulnerability amid macroeconomic uncertainties and sector-specific headwinds. Fundamental Drivers Fueling NVDA's Decline Despite NVIDIA's long-term growth narrative fueled by its dominance in artificial intelligence (AI) chips, graphics processing units (GPUs), and data centre technologies, short-term headwinds are challenging the bullish sentiment. Rising interest rates, persistent inflationary pressures, and geopolitical tensions have undermined investor confidence, triggering broader risk aversion in technology stocks. Furthermore, weakening consumer electronics demand has adversely impacted GPU sales, affecting revenue projections in the gaming and consumer sectors. Heightened competition, particularly from AMD and Intel, coupled with regulatory scrutiny over NVIDIA's proposed mergers and acquisitions, has also raised investor anxiety. This combination of slowing revenue growth and market uncertainty significantly constrains upward momentum. Technical Breakdown Signals Further Weakness From a technical standpoint, NVIDIA's share price remains firmly entrenched in bearish territory, encountering strong resistance at the critical 124-131 zone on the weekly timeframe. The failure to reclaim this crucial zone underscores the dominance of bearish momentum, signalling potential further downside risks. After the decisive breakdown from the symmetric triangle pattern around the $142 mark in mid-February, sellers gained the upper hand. Since then, price movements have consistently formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish outlook. The significance of the 124-131 zone, formerly strong support turned resistance, cannot be overstated—only a clear and sustained breach above this area would shift sentiment back toward recovery. Crucial Support Levels Under Threat Currently, NVIDIA is precariously supported by the 113-106 zone. Technical indicators highlight the vulnerability of this area, making it a pivotal threshold for short-term price action. Failure to maintain support here could catalyze another wave of selling pressure, accelerating the descent toward the next key support zone between $95 and $89. Investors must closely monitor these price dynamics. A breakdown through this level would intensify bearish momentum, potentially opening the doors for an even deeper pullback. Such an outcome would align with broader market conditions that remain unfavourable for growth stocks. Ultimate Downside Targets Should bearish momentum continue unabated and broader market conditions deteriorate further, the long-term technical landscape suggests that NVIDIA could test even lower levels. In the event of a prolonged bearish scenario, the ultimate downside target lies within the 78-60 price range. Such a scenario would represent a substantial correction and likely reflect broader market turmoil extending beyond the semiconductor sector. Strategic Investor Considerations Investors should remain vigilant given the precarious technical structure and challenging fundamental backdrop. Protective measures such as stop-loss orders, portfolio hedging strategies, and position sizing adjustments may be prudent at this juncture. Staying informed on upcoming earnings reports, macroeconomic developments, and shifts in Federal Reserve policy will be crucial to managing risk effectively. Conclusion NVIDIA's stock price is navigating treacherous waters, influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and bearish technical signals. Downside risks will remain significant until a decisive break above the 124-131 resistance is achieved. Investors must remain prepared for the possibility of deeper corrections, especially if broader market sentiment deteriorates further. Vigilance and strategic risk management will be essential as we approach critical support tests in the weeks ahead.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Rotuma
$NVDA H&S on Monthly...Linking previous short of NVDA. The right shoulder is technically not finished forming. However that trendline was tested not long ago.... will it hold? Who knows. First target would be ~$100. If this plays out there will likely be a larger mark down phase consisting of retail panic selling. This will push toward $80 with a possible shakeout near the low/mid $70s before a long term accumulation process begins by big money. Just because I am short on the stock does not mean I don't believe in the company or stock longer term. Have money on the sidelines to buy incase this plays out.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TheRoyceDupont
2
NVDA at Critical Reversal Zone! Decisive Moves Ahead? Here's the latest detailed breakdown of NVDA on the 1-hour timeframe, emphasizing key reversal zones detected. 📈 Technical Analysis (TA): * NVDA currently consolidating at around $121, showing signs of indecision at this upper reversal (green) zone, indicating potential profit-taking or reversal. * Clear bullish structure with a recent Break of Structure (BOS) above $120, but momentum is fading slightly as shown by MACD trending lower. * Critical bullish reversal support zone (red) detected clearly at $115-$116. A retest of this area could offer a potential entry for longs if buyers step in. * If price loses momentum at the current resistance area ($121), watch for a retracement to test key support at the identified lower red reversal zone. 📊 GEX & Options Insights: * Strongest gamma wall and highest positive NET GEX located significantly higher at $130. This remains a key upside target if bullish momentum resumes strongly. * Immediate resistance at the 2nd call wall at $122 is currently acting as overhead pressure. Further bullish continuation requires a clear breakout above this level. * Notable PUT support established at the $110 level, providing substantial downside protection if NVDA retraces sharply. * IV Rank notably low at 11.2%, indicating low premium and relatively low volatility environment, favorable for strategic debit spread setups or long calls/puts based on directional bias. 💡 Trade Recommendations: * Bullish Scenario: Consider long positions if NVDA holds above $120.50–$121 zone with a breakout confirmation targeting $124 initially, then $130. * Bearish Scenario: Short-term put options could be favorable if rejection is confirmed at the current green reversal resistance around $121, targeting the red reversal support area around $116. * Neutral Strategy: Potential for iron condor setups between clearly defined ranges ($115–$125), capitalizing on low IV environment. 🛑 Risk Management: Keep stops tight around recent highs or lows depending on directional bias. Watch volume and MACD closely for confirmation. Trade carefully and stay alert! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVIDIA (NVDA): Oversold or Start of a Larger Correction?Overview & Market Context NVIDIA just saw a major sell-off, dropping around 7% in a single session and slicing below key support levels. This abrupt move has raised questions: Is NVDA oversold enough for a bounce, or are we at the onset of a broader bearish trend? High trading volume suggests significant institutional distribution, so caution is warranted for both bulls and bears. 1. Price Action & Volume * NVDA closed near the $94.31 mark after the sharp decline. * Volume spiked (~532M), confirming that large players have been active—often a sign of heightened volatility and potential trend changes. 2. Moving Averages * The 200-day SMA sits near $127.07, which NVDA fell below decisively. Historically, losing the 200-day often signals a medium-term bearish bias, making it a key level to watch on any rebound attempts. 3. RSI & Momentum * The RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around the high-20s, indicating oversold conditions. While this can lead to a short-term bounce, oversold can remain oversold if negative momentum persists. Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: * $96–$100 Range: Minor overhead supply; if price rallies here, watch to see if it rolls over again. * $105–$110: This region aligns with prior support-turned-resistance. A strong push above $110 would challenge the bearish thesis. Primary Support Targets * $90 (Psychological Marker): Could be the first zone for a pause or bounce. * $82.89 (“Half 1 Short” from algorithmic levels): A logical next stop if the sell-off continues. * $76 Area: Deep support from earlier consolidation zones; if selling intensifies, the stock may reach these levels. Potential Trade Setups 1. Bearish Continuation (Short) Entry: * On a weak bounce into the $96–$100 zone, or * A breakdown below $94 on strong volume. Stop Loss: * Conservative approach: Above $105–$110, where a bullish reversal could invalidate the short setup. Profit Targets: * $90 (near-term psychological level), * $82.89 (algorithmic short target), * $76 (longer-term support). 2. Contrarian Bounce (Long) * Entry: Around $90 or upon a clear intraday reversal signal (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle on strong volume). * Stop Loss: Below $88 to reduce risk of a deeper flush. * Profit Targets: * $96–$100 (short-term push), * Extended target near $105–$110 if momentum sharply reverses. Thought Process & Strategy * The extreme volume and steep decline reflect a high-conviction move. Usually, when you see volume spikes on a breakdown, it suggests institutional selling, meaning rallies may be met with further supply. * However, the oversold reading (RSI in the high-20s) hints that a bounce might come soon—though it could be short-lived unless macro or fundamental conditions shift. * Clearly defining both bullish and bearish scenarios—along with exact stop-loss levels—removes emotion and helps avoid “decision paralysis.” Trading is about probabilities, not certainties. Final Notes * Risk Management: Always size positions so that a single trade does not jeopardize your account. * Emotional Control: These levels are algorithmically defined, aiming to reduce subjective bias. Watch how price reacts at each support/resistance zone. * Stay Vigilant: With elevated volatility, rapid intraday swings are possible. Monitor real-time price action for confirmation. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Perform your own due diligence, and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by HispanicHedge
NVDA at a decision point, same area as September 2024Price as of my analysis: $113.76 NVDA is sitting at a major horizontal support zone around $113.50. This level acted as strong support in June 2024 and again in September 2024, where it launched a 34% rally toward the $152 range. Price is now testing that same level again — this is a key decision point. If this support breaks, my first downside target is $104.70, followed by $100.96. The $100 level is also psychological support and could attract buyers if tested. At the same time, NVDA is also pressing against a downtrend line that began in mid-February 2025, starting from the ~$143 level. Price rejected off this trendline again on Monday, confirming sellers are defending it. The 10 EMA and 20 EMA on the daily chart sit around $119. For any upside to unfold, NVDA must reclaim these levels. Above that, we’re looking at resistance between $125–130, which is a confluence zone: Downward-sloping 50 SMA Flat 200 SMA The prior uptrend line from May 2023, now acting as potential resistance If the bounce begins here at $113.50, reclaiming the EMAs would be the first bullish signal. Clearing the $125–130 area could open the path back to $141, which was the breakdown candle from February. On the weekly chart, the same $113.50 level shows as significant. The weekly EMAs are starting to turn down, and this week’s candle is showing signs of indecision — suggesting a potential reversal or further breakdown is brewing. Watching how this week closes will be key. Summary: Holding $113.50 = potential bounce toward $119 → $125–130 → $141 Losing $113.50 = likely flush to $104.70 → $100.96 $100 = psychological support and probable strong demand zone Currently at the intersection of major support and downtrend resistance = high-stakes decision zone
NASDAQ:NVDA
by emanuelaelias
AAPL, NVDA, MSFT & XPS: High-Probability Trade Setups This WeekWeekly Trade Radar & Market Outlook This week, my focus is on AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, and XPS. There could be a potential retest of the 200 SMA with AAPL and MSFT, offering opportunities for well-structured trades. NVDA looks weak and has already tested the 200 SMA, making it a candidate for further downside potential or a short-term bounce. Additionally, Chinese developments in AI chip production remain a factor that could influence price action, particularly with NVDA. Staying aware of these key levels and macro developments is crucial for trade execution. 📚 Trading Plan: Ichimoku & 200 SMA Monthly Options Strategy** 📌 Strategy Objective This strategy aims to capitalize on **high-probability trend-following setups** by using the **Ichimoku Cloud and 200 SMA** for confirmation while trading **monthly options contracts** to minimize time decay risks. 📀 Trading Rules ✅ 1. Entry Timing Rules (Your 3 Golden Rules)** 🚫 **No trading on Mondays** (Avoid weekend gaps & false breakouts). 🚫 **No trading on Fridays** (Avoid weekend time decay & volatility). ⏳ **No trades before the first 15-minute candle closes** (Avoid market noise). 📊 Setup & Trade Criteria 🔹 2. Trend Confirmation Using Ichimoku & 200 SMA Bullish (Call Trade) Criteria: ✅ **Price is above the 200 SMA** (bullish bias). ✅ **Price is above the Ichimoku Cloud** (strong uptrend). ✅ **Tenkan-sen is above Kijun-sen** (momentum confirmation). ✅ **Chikou Span is above price from 26 candles ago** (historical trend alignment). ✅ **Future Cloud is green** (trend continuation signal). Bearish (Put Trade) Criteria: ✅ **Price is below the 200 SMA** (bearish bias). ✅ **Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud** (strong downtrend). ✅ **Tenkan-sen is below Kijun-sen** (momentum confirmation). ✅ **Chikou Span is below price from 26 candles ago** (historical trend alignment). ✅ **Future Cloud is red** (trend continuation signal). 🔹 3. Entry Triggers (After First 15-Min Candle Closes)** **Bullish (Call Trade) Entry:** - Price pulls back to **Kijun-sen** and holds support, then starts to bounce. - OR price **breaks above the Ichimoku Cloud** and holds. - ✅ Enter **Call contract (monthly expiration)**. **Bearish (Put Trade) Entry:** - Price pulls back to **Kijun-sen**, rejects resistance, and starts falling. - OR price **breaks below the Ichimoku Cloud** and holds. - ✅ Enter **Put contract (monthly expiration)**. 🔹 4. Selecting the Right Option Contract ✅ Monthly expiration contract (third Friday of the month). ✅ 30-60 days to expiry (avoid rapid theta decay). ✅ Strike Price: - **ATM (At-The-Money) or slightly ITM (In-The-Money)**. - Delta between **0.55 – 0.70** for balance between premium & movement. ✅ Liquidity Criteria: - **Open Interest > 1,000** for easy fills. - **Tight bid-ask spread** (<$0.10 on liquid stocks). 🎯 Risk Management & Trade Management** 🔹 5. Stop Loss & Take Profit Rules** Stop Loss (SL): 🔴 For Calls: Below the Kijun-sen or most recent swing low. 🔴 For Puts: Above the Kijun-sen or most recent swing high. Take Profit (TP): ✅ First Target: At the opposite edge of the Ichimoku Cloud. ✅ Second Target: Key support/resistance level based on price action. ✅ If profit reaches 70-80% max potential, close early** to avoid theta decay. --- 🔹 6. Trade Adjustments** 🔄 Rolling:If trade is profitable near expiry but hasn’t hit full target, roll to next monthly contract. 🔄 Cutting Losses: Exit early if price **closes inside the Ichimoku Cloud** (loss of trend strength). 📊 Trade Example: Bullish Call Play** - Stock:** AAPL - Current Price:** $190 - Bias: Price is above 200 SMA and Ichimoku Cloud - Entry Trigger:** Price pulls back to Kijun-sen and bounces - Option Contract: - Expiry: **Next monthly contract (e.g., July 19 expiration)** - Strike: **$190 ATM Call** - Delta: **0.60** - Bid/Ask Spread: **$2.00 / $2.05** - Entry Price: $2.05 - Stop Loss: Below Kijun-sen (~$187) - Take Profit: - First TP at $195 (Cloud resistance) - Final TP at $200 key resistance 🔹 7. Why This Strategy Works?** ✅ **Avoids weak setups by following strict entry rules**. ✅ **Uses monthly contracts to avoid rapid time decay**. ✅ **Combines trend-following confirmation from Ichimoku & 200 SMA**. ✅ **Ensures liquidity & better risk management with ATM/ITM options**. 📀 Final Notes 🔹 Only trade **Tuesday to Thursday** to avoid low-probability days. 🔹 Wait for **first 15-minute candle to close** before entering. 🔹 Stick to **monthly contracts** for better theta control. 🔹 **Follow trend confirmation rules strictly**—no guessing. Turning a Small Trading Account into a Side Hustle for Financial Freedom Imagine having a skill that allows you to generate income from anywhere, with nothing more than your phone, iPad, or laptop. No need for an expensive setup, no need for hours glued to a screen, and no need to risk everything on a single trade. This is the power of trading options with a small account—starting with as little as $500 and scaling up over time to create financial security, eliminate debt, and build leverage for larger investments. Weekly Trade Radar & Market Outlook This week, my focus is on AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, and XPS. There could be a potential retest of the 200 SMA with AAPL and MSFT, offering opportunities for well-structured trades. NVDA looks weak and has already tested the 200 SMA, making it a candidate for further downside potential or a short-term bounce. Additionally, Chinese developments in AI chip production remain a factor that could influence price action, particularly with NVDA. Staying aware of these key levels and macro developments is crucial for trade execution. Trading Method: Ichimoku Cloud & 200 SMA Strategy For trade setups, I rely on a combination of the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200 SMA to confirm entries and exits. This system provides a structured approach to trading by identifying trend direction, support and resistance levels, and potential breakouts. Identify the Trend – The 200 SMA serves as the key trend indicator. If price is above, we look for long opportunities; if below, short setups take priority. Ichimoku Confirmation – Price action should align with the cloud structure: Bullish trades: Price above the cloud with strong momentum. Bearish trades: Price below the cloud with confirmation of weakness. Entry Timing – Trades are entered after the first 15-minute candle closes to avoid early market volatility. No trades on Mondays or Fridays to maintain consistency and avoid false breakouts. Monthly Options Contracts – Focusing on monthly expirations allows for strategic entries with enough time for price movements to develop. Risk Management – Stop losses are set just below key Ichimoku or 200 SMA levels, ensuring a disciplined risk-reward ratio. How This Can Work as a Side Hustle Many people look for side hustles to supplement their income, but most involve long hours, additional expenses, or require significant effort to scale. Trading options, however, offers: ✅ Minimal time commitment – With the right plan, you spend less than an hour per day analyzing and placing trades. ✅ Low startup cost – Start with as little as $500 and build from there. ✅ No physical inventory or overhead – You don’t need to buy and store products. ✅ Scalability – As your account grows, you can increase contract size and compound gains. ✅ Financial freedom potential – The profits from consistent, disciplined trading can be used to pay off debt, invest, or build long-term wealth. The Power of Leverage: Using Trading to Build Wealth The ultimate goal of trading isn’t just to make a little extra cash—it’s to create financial leverage. Here’s how smart traders use small account growth to create lasting financial success: 1️⃣ Get Out of Debt – Use profits to pay off credit cards, student loans, or other financial burdens. Imagine the freedom of being debt-free. 2️⃣ Reinvest in Larger Opportunities – Once your small account grows, you can scale up your trades, fund larger investments, or even start a business. 3️⃣ Build a Safety Net – Having extra cash flow from trading can serve as an emergency fund, helping you navigate life’s unexpected challenges. 4️⃣ Create a Path to Full-Time Trading – For those who love the process, this side hustle can evolve into a primary source of income over time. It’s About Discipline, Not Just Trading The key to successful trading isn’t the market—it’s you. Many traders fail because they lack the discipline to follow a system. This approach isn’t just about making money; it’s about becoming the kind of person who can execute a plan without emotion, without impulsiveness, and without shortcuts. Success in trading mirrors success in life: patience, discipline, and consistency always win. Getting Started – No Excuses You don’t need a fancy setup. You don’t need to be a finance expert. You just need a phone, iPad, or laptop, a brokerage account (I use Robinhood for its simplicity), and a commitment to mastering a system that works. If you’re looking for a low-stress, high-reward way to build financial security, trading options with a small account might be the perfect opportunity. It’s time to take control of your future—one trade at a time.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by invinoveritas7671