NVDA LONG SET UPEntry 1 $118.00
Entry 2 $108.00
Stop loss $93.00
Take profit 1- $128.00
(Close 33%)
Take profit 2- $138.00
(Close 66%)
Take profit 3-$148.00
(Close 100%)
NVDC34 trade ideas
MY NVIDIA THOUGHTS ($NVDA PT.2)A part two to my last video that I made on Nvidia going over how steep this next correction could be and what I'm doing to prepare for the next 15 years of innovation that will be driven by Nvidia
Going to 129, bearish, the candles are getting largeThe volatility seems to be returning, and the overbought levels, with a negative histogram, could soon turn. Still, with the sideway movement since November last year, it will be difficult to break away unless we have a significant catalyst.
NVIDIA - We wiped 600bn, but this is still the best company!Hi guys we are going to take a look into NVIDIA. Yesterday we had an enormous sell off the stock and we dropped to an extremely strong support area. Despite the news from China and the newly acquired DEEPSEEK which works with a fraction of the cost compared to U.S. AI, I still believe that a new product cannot beat the old dog on the street.
Additionally the big tech companies are about to showcase their earnings this week, and all of this before NVIDIA showcases their own earnings which most probably would be stellar. So I am a firm believer that we should see the price go up from this level.
Entry: 120
Target 1: 130
Target 2: 148
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
$NVDA.... "Buy the Dip" Value AreasWith the release of DeepSeek, it sent NASDAQ:NVDA tumbling 20%. If this continues over the coming weeks/months, here are some value areas to "buy the dip" if you're looking to get in.
Strategies are not enough. Stop trying to Predict. Observation.Most traders rely upon an indicator signal or a strategy and when these fail they are often baffled by their loss. Losses erode capital but more importantly your self confidence.
Learn to READ stock charts. Be observant in seeing patterns developing before a stock has a huge gap up or down.
NVDA had several patterns that warned early that the stock was at risk of a big gap down. It was going to go down but the gap was far larger than most traders expected and few traders were in this stock before the huge highly profitable sell short gap down.
The reversal candle today is also surprising many traders when it was obvious that the stock had fallen below fundamental values visible in the trend and candles.
Learn how to be more observant so that you are ahead of big gaps and fast running stocks rather than chasing a stock that has already gapped and is at high risk of profit taking.
Nvidia Stock Goes 'DeepSeek', Ahead of Earnings CallNvidia's stock has experienced significant volatility recently, largely influenced by the emergence of a new AI model from Chinese startup DeepSeek. This model, known as R1, reportedly rivals the capabilities of advanced models from major U.S. tech companies like OpenAI and Google, but does so using less powerful and cheaper chips. This development has raised concerns among investors about the sustainability of Nvidia's market dominance and the high valuations of U.S. tech stocks.
Impact of DeepSeek on Nvidia Stock
Stock Performance.
On January 27, 2025, Nvidia's shares plummeted by over 16%, marking its largest intraday drop since August 2023. This decline wiped more than half-a-trillion US dollars from Nvidia's market capitalization. The stock fell approximately 12.5% in early trading, reflecting widespread investor anxiety about the implications of DeepSeek's advancements.
Investor Sentiment.
The introduction of DeepSeek's AI model has prompted a reevaluation of the heavy investments made by U.S. tech firms in AI technologies. Analysts noted that if DeepSeek can achieve competitive results with lower costs, it may lead to reduced demand for Nvidia's high-end chips. This has caused a ripple effect across the tech sector, with other semiconductor stocks also experiencing declines.
Market Reactions.
The broader tech market was affected as well, with the Nasdaq index falling nearly 4% in pre-market trading. Other companies linked to AI and technology also saw significant drops; for instance, ASML and Broadcom fell by 7% and over 12%, respectively.
Perspectives by Fundamental and Technical Analyst
Skepticism About DeepSeek.
While some analysts expressed skepticism about DeepSeek's ability to compete effectively without advanced chips, they acknowledged that its success could force U.S. companies to reconsider their strategies regarding AI investments and efficiency. For example, Citi analysts maintained a "buy" rating on Nvidia, suggesting that major U.S. companies are unlikely to shift away from using Nvidia's GPUs in the near term.
Concerns Over Valuations.
Analysts at Wedbush highlighted that U.S. tech stocks are currently valued at premium levels, which makes them vulnerable to any disruptions in perceived technological superiority. They noted that even small developments like those from DeepSeek could significantly impact stock prices due to inflated expectations surrounding AI advancements.
Future Outlook.
Despite the immediate negative impact on Nvidia's stock, some analysts believe that concerns may be exaggerated and that U.S. firms are still well-positioned for long-term growth in AI technologies. They argue that while DeepSeek's model is impressive, it does not yet match the comprehensive infrastructure and ecosystem that American tech giants have developed.
Technical Outlook.
The main technical graph for Nvidia stock (1-week resolution) indicates on epic breakthrough of upside channel, which has been alive for more than last two years, until ̶D̶o̶n̶a̶l̶d̶ ̶T̶r̶u̶m̶p̶ someone entered ̶a̶ ̶c̶h̶a̶t̶ White House.
Ahead of Nvidia Earnings call (scheduled on February, 26) our 'fancy-nancy' Analyst Team is strongly against any Nvidia stock purchase below ready to be lost, $130 per share level.
Potentially 52-week SMA can support a stock for a while near $115 a share, otherwise we believe Nvidia stock will dive below $100 level again.
Conclusion
In summary, the rise of DeepSeek represents a pivotal moment for Nvidia and the broader tech sector, challenging existing assumptions about AI development costs and market dynamics. The ongoing situation will likely lead to further scrutiny of investment strategies within the industry as stakeholders assess the long-term implications of this emerging competition.
IS NVIDIA SETTING UP FOR ANOTHER MULTI YEAR RALLY?In this video, I explain why I am bullish on NASDAQ:NVDA for the next 10 to 15 years despite this massive correction that has started today
Additionally, I also look ahead to what's potentially next around the corner, and how the worst case scenario is "we start another multi rally in 2027"
NVDA Near Resistance! Can the Bulls Push Higher? Technical Analysis for Trading
* Trend Overview: NVDA is trending higher, currently consolidating around $143.10 after breaking out from a descending trendline. The stock is approaching a significant resistance zone and is supported by a rising trendline, reflecting sustained bullish momentum.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $143.88 and $146.00 are key zones to watch for a breakout.
* Support: $140.83 and $137.71 are critical levels to hold in case of a pullback.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, suggesting upward momentum, but the histogram is flattening, indicating possible consolidation.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought, which could trigger short-term profit-taking.
* Volume: Strong buying interest supports the breakout, but continuation requires increasing volume.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights for Options Trading
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive GEX: $143 and $146 are significant resistance levels, with $143 acting as the strongest gamma wall.
* Negative GEX: $136 and $130 are key put support levels.
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: Low at 5.7, indicating cheap options and limited implied volatility.
* Call/Put Skew: Slightly bullish sentiment with calls at 6.8%.
* Actionable Gamma Zones:
* Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $143.88 could lead to a rapid move toward $146.00 due to gamma-driven buying pressure.
* Bearish Scenario: A pullback below $140.83 might activate put support around $137.71.
Trade Scenarios
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Break and hold above $143.88.
* Target: $146.00 and $150.00.
* Stop-Loss: Below $142.00.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Break below $140.83.
* Target: $137.71 and $135.00.
* Stop-Loss: Above $142.00.
Important Note
Market gaps or increased volatility could significantly impact these levels. Monitor pre-market activity and adjust strategies accordingly.
If you need detailed technical or options analysis for NVDA or other stocks, feel free to reach out for personalized insights!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly.
Analysing the Impact of Nvidia's Stock Price DropWhile the sharp decline in Nvidia's stock price made headlines yesterday, let’s assess the actual technical damage caused by the move.
Attached is a weekly chart, displayed with logarithmic scaling. This scaling method is used because Nvidia's share price has grown exponentially over the past few years, making percentage-based changes more meaningful for analysis. On a logarithmic scale, vertical spacing represents percentage changes, ensuring a consistent visual representation of relative movements.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Break Confirmation
The first notable point is that Nvidia's uptrend, which began in 2022, was broken not yesterday but several weeks ago. This predated the recent sell-off, indicating the potential for weakness had already emerged.
2. Critical Support Levels
The sell-off now approaches two significant technical levels:
o The 55-week moving average (MA) at 112.46.
o The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 98.52.
These levels are worth monitoring closely as potential support zones.
Questioning the Trend
The pressing question is whether this marks the end of the bull run or merely an aggressive correction within an ongoing uptrend. For now, I lean towards the latter interpretation, as there isn't sufficient evidence to declare a full trend reversal. A single day of sharp decline doesn’t necessarily confirm the onset of a bear market—at least not yet.
Final Thought
One down day, while significant, doesn't define a bear market. It’s important to watch how the price action unfolds around the aforementioned support levels to gain clarity on the longer-term trajectory. Not investment advice
________________________________________
About Logarithmic Scaling
Logarithmic, or "percentage," scaling ensures that equal vertical distances represent equal percentage changes. For example, the vertical distance between 10 and 20 (a 100% increase) is the same as the distance between 50 and 100. This scaling is particularly useful for analysing stocks with large price growth over time.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
NVIDIA (NVDA) stock with technical indicatorsAscending Channel:
The stock is trending within an upward-sloping channel, with the price currently near the middle.
The orange trendlines indicate potential support and resistance levels.
Key Support and Resistance:
The lower trendline has acted as strong support multiple times (circled in red).
If history repeats, the price could bounce from this level and move toward the upper trendline.
Moving Averages (MA 50 & 200):
The 50-day moving average (red line) and 200-day moving average (green line) provide additional support and resistance.
The price is fluctuating around these levels, indicating a consolidation phase before a potential breakout.
RSI Divergence & Momentum:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at the bottom suggests periods of overbought (bear signals) and oversold (bull signals) conditions.
Currently, RSI is around 63.69, meaning there is still room for upward movement before becoming overbought.
Potential Price Action:
The green arrow suggests a bullish outlook if support holds, potentially leading to a breakout towards the upper resistance.
A break below the lower trendline could signal a bearish reversal.
NVIDIA Wave Analysis 27 January 2025
- NVIDIA broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 115.00
NVIDIA opened today with the sharp downward gap breaking the support zone located between the support level 126.65 (former monthly low from December) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave i, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from November.
NVIDIA can be expected to fall further to the next support level 115.00 (former monthly low from October).
NVDA closes below 200 Day SMANASDAQ:NVDA had a very bad day today with more than 550 billion $ Market Cap destroyed. This is one of the worst days for NVDA since March 2020. The 200 Da SMA price was 122 $. NVDA closed @ 118 $. This makes it a daily close below the 200 Day SMA. There might be some more downside and sideways movement before it starts a bullish upward trend before its earnings release on Feb 26. 6-12 Months down the line this might be one of the best buying opportunities. Long NVDA 110 $ - 120 $.
NVIDIA's Record Drop: Live with TradeStation (TradingView Show)Join us once again LIVE with David Russell, Head of Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we dive into the stock market sell-off and what it means for your portfolio heading into February 2025. With heightened volatility, NVIDIA taking a hit, and AI-driven tools like DeepSeek offering new market analysis, it’s key to understand how to navigate the current turbulence. As January winds down, we’ll discuss strategies to stay ahead, leverage relative strength, and position for long-term success despite the ongoing downturn.
Here’s a sneak peek of what we’ll cover:
1. NVIDIA’s recent drop is tied to DeepSeek’s shift in AI pricing, raising concerns about future profitability. Investors are still assessing how this will affect NVIDIA’s growth trajectory.
2. While attention is on volatility, some stocks have quietly hit all-time highs, revealing hidden strength in overlooked sectors. These gains suggest opportunities many may be missing.
3. Emerging strength is especially evident in sectors like communications and certain industrials, with companies showing resilience and strong earnings. These sectors could offer solid value plays for those willing to look beyond the obvious.
4. Traders heading into 2025 should focus on managing risk and staying nimble, especially with potential rate hikes and geopolitical risks on the horizon. Flexibility and discipline will be essential.
5. As the Fed meeting and GDP report approach, the market is primed for volatility. These key releases could signal shifts in monetary policy or economic conditions, making it vital to stay informed and adjust your positions accordingly.
Don’t miss this session for actionable insights on how to navigate this market turbulence and set yourself up for success in 2025.
This show is sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation pursues a singular vision to offer the ultimate online trading platform and services for self-directed traders and investors across the equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC.
See below:
www.tradestation.com
www.tradestation.com
Let's hope that's a corrective wave on NVidia..."Gina" apparently released free AI software that works well on practically everything! Not so great for US Tech stocks etc.
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction:
Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast.
Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns:
1. Candle Pattern Analysis:
From the provided patterns sequence data:
January 13, 2025, 14:00:
Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes"
Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence.
January 10, 2025, 16:00:
Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over"
Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking.
These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits.
2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis:
From technicals:
Current Price: $135.19
Resistance Levels:
Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart)
Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100)
Support Levels:
Immediate: $127.30
Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30
Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement.
Multi-Dimensional Analysis:
1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases.
Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term.
2. Fundamental Insights:
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand.
Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth.
However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations.
3. Price Action Analysis:
Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence.
Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high).
Projections:
Short-Term (1 Week):
Target: $138.50
Stop-Loss: $132.00
Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum.
Mid-Term (1 Month):
Target: $145.00
Stop-Loss: $130.00
Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support.
Long-Term (3-6 Months):
Target: $160.00
Stop-Loss: $125.00
Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery.
Strategic Recommendations:
Support Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Resistance Levels:
-
1. 127.3
2. 123.69
3. 113.9
4. 90.4855
5. 87.88
Powerful Support Levels:
-
Powerful Resistance Levels:
-
1. 89.599
2. 89.599
3. 63.974
4. 63.974
5. 48.462
Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections.
3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades.
Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably.
Tools and Insights:
Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives.
Call to Action:
For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence.
Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
Hopefully, it's a corrective wave 2..."Gina" apparently released "free AI software" that practically works on anything! Not so great for US tech stocks etc.
DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek.
Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries".
The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off.
_______________
NASDAQ:NVDA
NVIDIA POSSIBLE SELLThe market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily AND 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible SELLING OPPORTUNITY.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Nvidia is NOT SLOWING DOWN!! 1-Month Chart:
Pullback Zone: It seems like you’re identifying a pullback zone around $140.76 to $134.29. This is likely a key support area that you’re waiting for a potential retest.
Target Area: The yellow zone you have marked could be where you expect the price to consolidate before possibly bouncing higher.
Price Levels: The 0.236 level seems to be closely related to your retracement levels, with key support near $109.92.
12-Month Chart:
Massive Price Surge: The sharp price movement on the right of the chart is significant, showing strong momentum recently. The yellow line marks the previous high, where the stock is facing some resistance.
Pullback Zone: Similar to the 1-month chart, you are looking for a retracement, potentially to the $134.29 level. You’re positioning yourself for a longer-term pullback before seeing further price action.
NVDA's Next Big Moves: Targeting 190, 175, 170! NVDA's on a wild ride, and here's where we might be heading. We're eying some exciting highs with targets at 190, 175, and 170 if we can break through 147. But, keep your seatbelts on because if the market doesn't hold up, we could be looking at a drop all the way down to 110, or even 98. Let's keep our fingers crossed for the highs but prepare for any dips.
Trade Smarter/ Live Better
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Is DeepSeek really a threat to Nvidia?There are so many opinions circulating the internet right now, that it is difficult to get our heads around. Here is our opinion on what could happen with NASDAQ:NVDA stock in the near future.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
