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Mini-Sized Soybean CME

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SJC1! trade ideas

Feb 10, 22 Soybean Sell Almost TimeYou can see that price action soared way above the Linear Regression Indicator this week and has been on a tear for many weeks just going to the moon. I am waiting for price action to finally come down - today it started but I'm not sure when I will short this trade. Next week will be the earliest but it might be March. You can see this is the weekly chart so it might be a while before this becomes tradeable. Regardless, I am keeping an eye on this one and will let you know if anything changes. HEIKO
CBOT:ZS1!Short
by HEIKOTradingSystem
Continuous SoybeansSoybean – Weekly Cont: The High to Low Cycle appears complete (for now) with the break above the downtrend and 24% retracement. Beans filled the 38% target with a 13.84 high. The close last week is concerning as it left a doji like formation that could be cause for a change in trend??? Beans need to get above 13.84 (preferably a weekly close) to negate this potentially bearish candlestick. Risk for the next week or so is a move down to re test the down trending line it just broke above. Risk is 12.82 next week A move above 13.84 will target 14.24 and then 14.81.
CBOT:ZS1!
by mtb1980
Big Picture Market structure for SoybeansCurrent Market Structure: **(Like Corn) Sensitive, with extreme bandwidth** The current Domestic and World Supply & Demand numbers paired with recent inflationary threats support a price base range (IMO) from 10.00 to 12.00. Currently risk has been to the upside and inflationary threats elevated, keeping beans elevated as well. There are to many variables that affect the fundamental picture, expect volatile markets untill the Market structure becomes more defineable. Resistance area from 12.75 to 14.00 and then 16.00 area. **12.75 to 14.00 is an area that some pricing and protection should be encouraged Support area is 11.80 to 11.40. Further Risk is 10.00 – 9.00.
CBOT:ZS1!
by mtb1980
food for thought soybeans look good. seems like people are waking up to inflation. i talked about inflation a year ago, before anyone even knew it was coming. time cycles predicted it correctly. historically wars have been started during these kind of times. watch uranus in gemini as that is historically when america had some of the biggest wars (2025-2032) 1760 = war with britian ( gained independence) 1850s = indian war (gained west coast) 1940s = ww2 (gained world currency domination) as you can see from above, each passage of uranus through gemini has created earth shattering changes for america. fun fact. july 4 1776 would mean america is a gemini. also it means uranus was in gemini at the time of conception. a return of uranus to the position of birth always has an effect. another fun fact. there has never been one instance where a planet passed the midheaven of america without causing a change in trend in the equities and bond market. merry christmas and happy new year. next year will be epic and i will be right here to navigate it with you.
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by Oppollo
January Soybeans - DailyJanuary Soybeans - Daily: The January contract shows a different picture than the continuous. Jan beans did break above the trend line and 24% retracement, but fell short of the 38% target. The cloud resistance stopped beans at 12.89. The move below the trend line is concerning. There is a Harmonic Pattern potential for a reversal at 11.93-11.81. We need a couple of daily closes above the trend line and the red kijun line currently at 12.30 to keep this from continuing bearish. A break out above the trend line, the cloud, and 24% retracement could excite the bulls for strong gains. **Again this is volatile, Use options to help make decisions if needed…
CBOT:ZSF2022
by mtb1980
Soybeans Weekly continuous chartSoybean – Weekly Cont: Soybeans struggled to get weekly closes inside the cloud and now working to break below the blue Tenkan line. A High to Low cycle needs to see a break above the trend line and above the 24% retracement to move out of bearish territory. The failure below 12.96 suggests we are not bullish. A weekly close below 12.30 targets the 11.81 lo. **Caution, many times a failure to move above the 24% target suggests a new low. 11.67, 11.52 and 11.37 would be targets below with 11.14 the primary target. We need a weekly close above 12.30 and a recovery soon back into the cloud with price action above 12.96 to negate the bear.
CBOT:ZS1!
by mtb1980
Longterm Soybean Market structureCurrent Market Structure: **(Like Corn) Sensitive, with extreme bandwidth** The current Domestic and World Supply & Demand numbers paired with recent inflationary threats support a price base range (IMO) from 10.00 to 12.00. Currently risk has been to the upside and inflationary threats elevated, keeping beans elevated as well. There are to many variables that affect the fundamental picture, expect volatile markets untill the Market structure becomes more defineable. Resistance area from 12.75 to 14.00 and then 16.00 area. **12.75 to 14.00 is an area that some pricing and protection should be encouraged Support area is 11.80 to 11.40. Further Risk is 10.00 – 9.00.
CBOT:ZS1!
by mtb1980
Soybeans: Close to a buy signal once again...The last time we had a perfect storm situation to buy grains, we had a monster rally in both corn and beans. We are now in a similar situation, with the recent surge in Nat Gas affecting fertilizer prices. Weather in Brazil is problematic and China is struggling to produce grains locally...We are once again nearing a situation where reward to risk for buying into grains is tremendous. I'm long Corn futures already for a couple days and waiting for the daily chart to trigger a technical buy signal in Nov Beans to go long as well. The last weekly signal expires by next week, as a failure, price hit really oversold levels and reached monthly support (see green shaded area). Implications are a retest of the weekly down trend mode (as shown by the arrow on chart), at least, which can then evolve into a new weekly uptrend, once the daily trend turns up. And potentially trigger a new monthly signal similar to the one we had before...This is an interesting juncture to enter long term positions in grain futures. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by IvanLabrie
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