Hold TeslaTesla's shares are no longer excessively expensive, but they are still not cheap. 😅
Hopefully, we can see the price closer to $240 amid all the negativity. 🤞📉
TSLA34 trade ideas
$Tesla at a Crossroads: $330 Recovery or $259 Drop?Following MARKETSCOM:TESLA 's recent drop to $300, this analysis examines the critical support level that has recently formed and highlights $312.50 that could determine whether the stock recovers toward $330 or continues its downward trend to $259.
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Drops by Over 8%Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Drops by Over 8%
The Tesla stock chart today paints a grim picture for investors, as TSLA's price during trading on 25 February:
→ fell by more than 8% in a single day;
→ dropped below the psychologically significant $300 per share mark for the first time since early November 2024 (despite nearing $500 in late December 2024).
Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Have Fallen
Tesla’s sales in Europe fell by 45% in January compared to the same period last year, even as overall EV sales in Europe grew by 37%.
This sharp drop in European sales has heightened concerns that CEO Elon Musk’s political activities are negatively affecting the company’s business.
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Chart
Price movements in 2024 formed a key upward trend channel (marked by blue lines), but yesterday’s decline led to a bearish break below the lower boundary of this trend. Specifically:
→ The $330 level, where the lower blue boundary was breached, now appears to be a significant resistance level.
→ The B→C retracement is approximately 50% of the A→B decline – a bearish signal.
→ Price movements in 2025 outline a descending trend channel (marked in red), which is becoming increasingly relevant.
If the psychological support level of $300 per TSLA share fails to hold, the price may continue to decline towards the key $270 level. This level acted as resistance to growth in the second half of 2024 but was broken after news of Trump’s victory.
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain cautiously optimistic, possibly hoping that Musk’s close ties with Trump will help accelerate the launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service.
Another potential positive driver could be Tesla’s entry into the Indian market.
According to TipRanks:
→ 13 out of 35 surveyed analysts recommend buying TSLA shares;
→ The average 12-month price target for TSLA is $357.
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TESLA: Tesla sales fall by 50% in Europe! Fear ??
Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union fell by 50.3% in January 2025, compared to the same month last year, according to figures published on Tuesday by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA). Specifically, the company sold 7,517 units in the first month of this year, compared to 15,130 vehicles in January 2024, according to EFE.
This drop contrasts, however, with a 34% increase in the purchase of electric vehicles in the EU, up to 124,341 units, so that this type of vehicle represented 15% of the automobile market.
In global terms, new vehicle registrations fell by an average of 2.6% in the community market, with the largest declines recorded in France (-6.2%), Italy (-5.8%) and Germany (-2.8%). Spain, however, was the only one of the four major EU economies in which new vehicle registrations increased, specifically by 5.3%.
--> What is the company's technical aspect?
If we look at the daily graph, the medium-long term trend is still bullish (Bull), but it is in a phase of decline that began on December 17 when it reached highs in the 488 area.
Yesterday, the shares plummeted by -8% due to the news of vehicle sales in Europe, reaching the KEY ZONE of 299 (61.8% Fibonacci + most important dynamic support). From this area, it is MOST LIKELY that there will be an upward rebound, but until this rebound is consolidated and the STRENGTH AND MOMENTUM turn bullish (Bull), the retracement phase will remain active.
--> Which area could be good for entering long positions?
If the price exceeds 383 with the H4 close, we could confirm the end of the retracement and the beginning of a new bullish impulse on the way to highs.
-------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 383
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 429 area (+12%)
--> Stop Loss at 349 (-9%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-9%) (coinciding with the 899 of position 1).
--> We change the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 ( 429 ).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on increases, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
WHERE IS TESLA GOING???Tesla latest earnings report sent shockwaves to investors with earnings per share and revenue missing Wall Street expectations. The stock initially dropped in after hours trading but managed to rebound a little as the market digested the report . With mixed sentimental surrounding the automotive giants near term prospects, lets take a look at the stock technical positioning.
Tesla reported Q4 2024 earnings per share of $0.73, missing the concuss estimate of $0.76.
Revenue came in at $25.71 billion falling short of the expected $27.26 billion. From technical perspective Tesla is trading around $375 if this neckline break it shall test the support around 340- $257.Thats the area where buyers previously stepped in during November 2024.
TSLA - Prepare to buy $282 - $264 Tesla has been in a 3 month pull back and the price is almost right to pull the trigger on a re entry. She is however ahead of schedule by a solid 2 full months in time. This usually resolves itself in price. Meaning a break down to lower support levels. So if the regression to the mean price level is at $282, we could see slippage down to $264 quite easily and it is almost expected. $250, is easily reachable as well. If we break down below $250, I would take a knee on this one, and wait passed the June 11 date to re-enter. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and Kumar wave being used for the forecast. Posts and Dm's always welcome. Good Luck!
TSLA in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) near oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Entry at $100
Target is upper channel around $340
the last time this condition was met, NASDAQ:TSLA went up 10%, so let's see what happens.
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or More Pain Ahead? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Tesla (TSLA) has been in a sharp downtrend, breaking key support levels and forming a descending channel on the 1-hour chart. The stock is now testing a crucial demand zone around $300, which aligns with a major PUT wall and strong buyer interest.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: TSLA is currently in a falling wedge pattern, often a sign of potential reversal.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $320 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $300 (PUT Wall and highest negative NETGEX).
* Breakout Target: $340 if TSLA regains momentum.
* MACD Indicator: Bearish but showing early signs of a possible crossover.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator reveals heavy PUT positioning near $300, making it a high-stakes level. A break below could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while holding above could fuel a short-covering rally.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 62, with IVx avg at 71.7%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 31.3% of options flow, meaning some traders are betting on a bounce.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $300 → Breaking below could see more downside toward $290-$280.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $340 → Breaking above this level would confirm a reversal.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Play (If $300 Holds)
* Entry: Above $306 with strong volume.
* Target 1: $320
* Target 2: $340 (CALL Wall breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $297
📌 Bearish Breakdown Play (If $300 Fails)
* Entry: Below $297 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $290
* Target 2: $280 (Potential next support).
* Stop-loss: Above $310
Final Thoughts
TSLA is at a make-or-break level, with $300 acting as the battleground. If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally toward $320-$340. However, if selling pressure continues, a break below $300 could lead to a further slide toward $280. High volatility means traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
📢 Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss levels and position size accordingly. This setup has high risk but also high reward potential.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
$TSLA - chart update. All line on this NASDAQ:TSLA chart are bull gaps. The first gap is at $255. That's a good spot for a technical bounce. Gaps will fill more than 90% of the time..
Tsla bounce incoming?NASDAQ:TSLA
After a hard pullback on tsla since reaching new highs on dec24, it has now retraced to the .5 fib from dec22 lows.
Both macd and rsi are on oversold conditions and we just bounced on the last support/resistance flip zone.
$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $.
But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains.
But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks.
Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
TESLA ANALYSISI have used the depth analysis on price and time . And just used the trend & candle-stick pattern. It is in downtrend.
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days.
- Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs.
- Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025.
- Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins
- Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft
- Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026
I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
Tesla (TSLA) Scalping & Mid-Term AnalysisMarket Overview
Trend: Strong Bearish 📉
Resistance: $309.30 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling
Support: $296.00 → Local demand zone
Indicators:
MACD: Bearish, no reversal confirmation
RSI: Oversold (17.96 on 30m) – potential for short-term bounce
VWAP: Below average – sellers control momentum
🩸 Risk: High probability of a short squeeze if volume spikes
🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage)
🩸 Momentum Scalping:
Buy: Near $297–$299, targeting $305
Sell: Near $305–$309, targeting $298
Stop-loss: Below $295
🩸 Breakout Scalping:
Above $310: Long to $318
Below $296: Short to $290
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
If $310 holds, potential retest of $320
If $296 breaks, freefall to $285
🔥 News & Market Context
🩸 Tesla planning major initiatives in early 2025, including Model Y Juniper launch & self-driving advancements → Bullish Long-Term
🩸 However, short-term market reaction is bearish due to macro pressures
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $297, sell at $305+
🩸 Mid-term: Avoid heavy long positions until $310 breaks
🩸 Ideal Play: Short bounces, enter longs only above $310
👑 Final Verdict:
"Survival isn’t about guessing—it’s about acting before the rest wake up." – LucanInvestor
Tesla AnalysisNext target for Tesla. I have analyzed it using Gann , wave, trend. Mantain 6-7$ stop loss.
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.
Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:
Current Stock Performance
Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.
Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation
👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.
Analyst Sentiment
There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.
Technical Sentiment
Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.
Conclusion
As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
TSLA Not Looking Too GoodTSLA has been subject to some extreme volatility recently with shareholders hoping for good news and optimism as Elon Musk partners with Donald Trump.
At the moment, I understand that Tesla earnings can be a potential positive catalyst for the stock if good news is reported, however shareholders may be in for a larger surprise as the price action may be suggesting a potential ABC or larger WXY corrective structure is currently at play.
For this structure, I would like to see the overall 1-1 extension of the trend based fibonacci. To me, it looks as though this structure is made up of many smaller corrective patterns, which are creating a very choppy and volatile environment.
While many stocks have retraced to their "Trump pump" gap levels, Tesla is still quite a ways away, being potentially overvalued.
I will personally be looking for the 0.618 retracement on Tesla just above $440-$450 for a short trade back down to the low of $330 where the latest fomo rally began up to nearly $500.
From there, I would be very much open to taking a long trade or a longer term investment on Tesla.
Only time will tell!
TSLA: wave 4 to wave 5We're entering the heavy buy zone. I believe there's a lot of buyers at the 300 mark that will help stabilize support. If support holds, we would therefore get the chance to confirm further bullish momentum entering into wave 5.
Are you a buyer now, or do you prefer to wait for confirmation of support?
TSLA support & resistant areas for today Feb 25, 2025NASDAQ:TSLA So these are the support and resistant points for TSLA. Bounce off on these areas can initiate long or short positions.
If yall want me to post this every morning 9.30am please boost and follow me, so i know it is valuable for yall. Thank you
TSLA - Predictable as always. Just look for the controlled liq!We've done this countless times on this stock. I didn't touch this while we were shooting up post elections because of the "meme" factor behind Elon and all that. But once basic market dynamics came back into play, we've had at least 2 golden opportunities to play this name and they proved very successful. So going forward we're looking for a similar play!
Happy Trading :)
WHAT COULD HAPPEN NEXT TO TESLA STOCK?Tesla stock is in a potential reversal zone: Strong Aroon Up + RSI near oversold + Williams %R oversold. Watch for a breakout above key resistance to confirm a bullish move.
If RSI stays weak & Aroon Up falls, the stock may continue sideways or dip further.
Tesla's stock as of February 25, 2025, based on the latest data.
Current Price: $330.53
Updated Support Levels:
First Support: $325
Second Support: $265
Updated Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: $430
Second Resistance: $489
These levels are derived from recent technical analyses and are crucial for traders to monitor. The support at $325 is particularly significant, as a drop below this could indicate further declines. Conversely, breaking above the $430 resistance may signal renewed bullish momentum.
