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TSLA34 trade ideas

Tesla Stock Rattled as Insiders Dump Shares. What’s Going On?EV maker’s sales in Europe have made a sharp U-turn this year with some regions selling half the volumes from a year ago. Is Musk’s political ambition causing car buyers to look elsewhere for electric wheels? Tesla stock TSLA is off to a bumpy start of the year with 10% shaved off its market valuation since the first trading bell of 2025. It’s all likely tied to Elon Musk’s shifting focus from his electric-car giant and into US politics (and, some would say, beyond that and into European affairs). To make matters worse, key insiders and directors dumped tons of shares this month, cashing out cold hard dollars. Elon Musk’s brother, Kimbal Musk, who’s a Tesla board member, together with two other key figures, Robyn Denholm and chief financial officer Vaibhav Taneja, sold roughly 200,000 shares. Kimbal Musk offloaded 75,000 shares worth $27.6 million on February 6. Before that, on February 3, Denholm sold 112,390 shares worth more than $43 million. On the same day, Taneja parted ways with 7,000 shares worth $2.8 million. The share sale is happening at a time when it’s getting increasingly difficult for Tesla to keep its brand equity out of Elon Musk’s public image. In January, Musk was making headline after headline on the politics pages of big media outlets. His efforts to reshape the White House administration spilled over into interfering with UK politics (where he attacked UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer over his alleged involvement with “mass rapes in exchange for votes” ). The Tesla CEO also hosted a discussion on X with Germany’s far-right candidate Alice Weidel. It happened about a month before Germany’s federal election on February 23. The live event pulled in roughly 100,000 streamers and sparked a debate over whether it was right to give a free platform to a far-right political party of a foreign country. There’s also Musk’s gesture likened to a Nazi salute he pulled off at Trump’s inauguration — that one really turned heads globally. Enough politics, let’s dive into the numbers. Tesla sales were shockingly bad in January. All around Europe, car buyers opted for cheaper Chinese alternatives in a sea of looming competition in the auto industry . In the UK, sales dipped about 8% from last year’s January. Chinese EV maker BYD BYD saw a massive jump by 550% to 1,614 cars sold. In Germany, sales of Tesla vehicles dropped 60%, while BYD sales rose 69%. France logged a 63% decline in sales of Tesla while Spain saw the steepest drop of 75%. Norway registered a 38% drop in Tesla sales while Tesla’s market in Sweden shrunk 44%. In China, where Tesla commands a towering presence, sales were down 11.5% in the first month of 2025. Moving outside Europe and across the Atlantic — California marked a decline in Tesla sales to the tune of 11.6%. It was the only carmaker with tumbling sales in the state. "All of the decrease in the state market last year was attributable to Tesla, which had an 11.6 percent decline," the California New Car Dealers Association said. "Registrations for all other brands increased 1.4 percent." By the looks of it, Tesla isn’t in a good place fundamentally and shares are down 28% from their record high in December. It’s also coming from a pretty battering fourth quarter where profits plunged 71% while sales barely made it above the flatline with a 2% growth year over year. Do you believe Tesla’s fortunes are tied to Elon Musk’s ventures into politics? And if you had to choose, are you long or short Tesla? Share your thoughts below!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
72
Tesla ($TSLA) Elliott Wave Analysis – Expanded Flat to $70Expanded Flat Pattern Wave A (2022 Crash) • Tesla dropped from ~$415 to ~$100, forming a three-wave (ABC) decline. • This marked the first phase of the Expanded Flat. Wave B (2023-2024 Rally) • Tesla rebounded strongly to ~$360-$400, retracing about 61.8% of Wave A. • Then overshoot beyond Wave A’s starting level confirms an Expanded Flat structure. Wave C (2024-2026 Expected) – $70 Target • Now unfolding as a five-wave impulse down. • Target zone: Primary $70 (0.618 Fib retracement) Short-Term Bearish Outlook – Wave C Down to $70 • Tesla is in Wave C, meaning more downside is ahead. • Breaking below $150 will confirm a deep drop to $70 • The final phase of selling will likely coincide with macro weakness (recession etc.). Long-Term Bullish Setup • Once Wave C completes at $70, Tesla should start a new impulse wave. • Target for next bull run: $800+. • Best strategy: Accumulate Tesla below $100 for long-term gains.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Anakyn
TESLA: Why do shares keep falling? TRUMP!! Concerns about overseas sales and tariffs add to the company's disappointing fourth-quarter results reported last Wednesday. Tesla reported earnings of 73 cents per share, below analysts' expectations of 76 cents, and revenue of $25.71 billion versus the $27.26 billion expected. Revenue fell 8% compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, the looming application of tariffs on China and Canada (Mexico has a one-month extension) is spooking investors. In a recent earnings call with analysts, Musk acknowledged that while Tesla has tried to localize its supply chain, it still relies heavily on parts from around the world for all of its operations. “Therefore, the imposition of tariffs, which is very likely, will have an impact on our business and profitability,” he stated. Canada is a key supplier of auto parts, as is China. And Canadian officials are specifically focusing some of their discontent with Trump's tariffs on Musk. On Monday, Premier Doug Ford announced that Ontario would cancel a $100 million contract with Starlink, which is part of Musk's company SpaceX. In other words, MUSK is one of the TARGETS that ARE going to be punished FOR THE US TARGETS. ----------------------------------------------------------- --> How far could the price fall? At the moment the technical aspect is bullish (Bull) in the medium-long term, but in the short term it is bearish (Bear), so WE HAVE TO WAIT to enter long. Today it has reached the first important support zone, we are talking about the 350.63 zone, which also coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of almost 50%. If the zone respects it and the MOMENTUM and STRENGTH in H4 turn bullish (Bull), it will be a good time to enter long positions in TESLA again. --> KEY SUPPORTS 1) 350.63 (Key support in Daily time frame) 2) 355 (50% Fibonacci) 3) 314 (Key support in Weekly time frame) 4) 300 (61.8% Fibonacci) ------------------------------------------------------------ --> When the chart gives us the first bullish warning (Bull) in time frame, I will publish a new analysis indicating the entry SET UP.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by jmesado
24/12/13 Tesla 427 USD - volcano erupted Tesla actually as an high flyer. Since end of october, the value has been doubled. Are there any fundamental reasons, to substantiate such a move? 100% for sure not. Why? Musk will launch next year another cheaper car. This may help to keep the piece of the market, but not to increase very higher sales in total. 2024 tesla sold end of Q3 not more cars than in 2023. last quarter .- we will see. But chinese Market is blocked by there own. See, in what a velocity china creates new companies in EV. They do it in the same way how they did it with PV Moduls. Musk also will push the robotaxi. But he has neither a requires functionality nor a permission for such vehicles. And dont forget, amazon and google have already such cars driving. Google with her daughter with 50000 bookings per week, which will generate a lot of datas, Tesla does not have. And lot of important Tesla people in this technology leaved the company this year. But overall: the US taxi market revenue per year is roundabout 22 B USD. Maybe 10% net earnings. Even with driverless vehicles the net earings are 30%, maximal net earnings for Tesla will be in 3-4 years maybe 70 Million USD, 10 years maybe 800 Million USD (USA, europe). Discount it with 4% and you will see … If this robotaxi are good enough, not to buy an own car… we will see. Every man liked his own car. And if not, this business model will cannibalize the own business. So - Tesla is fundamental overrated. Technical side see chart. Maybe actually prices are driven by short covering (remember Volkswagen and Mr. Merckly was driven in suicide). So, prices now on upper bollinger boundary. Prices extrem above SMA 40 Weeks, which was a sign for sharp correction. And - I guess, some Short Sellers are coming onto to the floor. But - richest man in the world is naturally at any time aible, to buy for private, for several billions. That means: Hedge funds as short sellers must have min. 10-20 B USD to fight or covered. Dan 13.12.24
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Flyerdan
2
TSLA Technical Analysis & GEX InsightsMarket Overview Tesla's price action suggests a continuous downtrend within a descending channel on the hourly chart. The volume profile aligns with bearish momentum, as sellers maintain control near key support levels. The GEX (Gamma Exposure) insights provide critical levels for options-based decision-making. Technical Analysis 1. Trend Analysis: * TSLA is respecting the descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. * The price has approached the lower bounds of the channel, currently near $357. 2. Support and Resistance: * Immediate Support: $357 (strong put wall and local price defense). * Secondary Support: $350 (critical psychological level, reinforced by put OI). * Resistance Levels: * $373 (minor resistance within the channel). * $380 (key rejection point based on call resistance and HVL zone). 3. Indicators: * MACD: Momentum is bearish, with the MACD line below the signal line, and no signs of reversal yet. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold conditions suggest a potential bounce but lack confirmation. * Volume: Decreasing on the downtrend, indicating a potential lack of conviction by sellers. 4. Price Action Insights: * Consolidation near the lower trendline may indicate either accumulation or further bearish continuation. * A breach below $357 could accelerate selling pressure toward $350. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis 1. Critical GEX Levels: * Call Walls: * $400: Strong resistance with 71.6% call-based gamma. * $420-$450: Long-term bullish targets if a reversal materializes. * Put Walls: * $361-$350: Highest negative GEX zone; pivotal support for short-term price movement. 2. Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 31.2, indicating moderate volatility. * IVx (Implied Volatility): 68.5% average. * Call/Put Dollar Ratio: 49.1% skewed slightly toward call interest. 3. Implications: * Strong put gamma at $350-$357 aligns with critical support, suggesting a high likelihood of defensive action by market makers at these levels. * A significant close above $373 could trigger unwinding of short positions, leading to a gamma squeeze toward $380. Trade Setups 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $373. * Target: $380, $400. * Stop Loss: Below $370. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $357. * Target: $350, $340. * Stop Loss: Above $360. Conclusion Tesla is at a decisive point near $357. While oversold indicators hint at a possible bounce, the prevailing bearish trend and GEX positioning suggest caution. Traders should monitor breaks of $357 for bearish continuation or $373 for bullish momentum. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla Faces Bearish Sentiment: Short Recommendations for Next We - Key Insights: Tesla's stock is currently in a bearish trend, trading below key moving averages and experiencing negative momentum. The broader consumer discretionary sector is struggling, with Tesla contributing to the overall market decline. Analysts urge caution as price action suggests significant downside risks, especially if it fails to breach resistance levels. - Price Targets: Next week targets: T1: $350.00, T2: $335.00; Stop levels: S1: $354.45, S2: $360.00. Given the current price of $361.62, the targets reflect a conservative outlook, aligning with the bearish sentiment identified in market analysis. - Recent Performance: Tesla's stock has seen steady declines over the past weeks, evidenced by missed revenue and earnings targets in the recent earnings report. The recurring theme of negative international sales and declining consumer interest continues to pressure the stock. - Expert Analysis: Analysts remain split on Tesla's outlook. While some experts, like Tom Lee, believe the stock is undervalued due to its investments in AI and innovative technologies, bearish trends suggest that unless key resistance levels are reclaimed, substantial downside remains a real concern. - News Impact: Recent earnings reports have significantly impacted investor sentiment, showcasing miss targets and raising concerns about international market performance. At the same time, the initiation of new Model Y orders could potentially stabilize demand, but tariff-related challenges in overseas markets continue to pose risks to growth.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
1
TSLA 367.5 PUT 2/7/25 (Win)Saw TSLA broke out to the downside of a Daily descending triangle, and broke below the daily/weekly trend line leading me to a slightly bearish bias on top of the tariff news from Trump. 1HR timeframe showed a mini downtrend and what appeared to be a head & shoulder pattern. Dropped down to the 15 minute timeframe, and saw price broke below the ORB low, made a 15min head & shoulder and also formed a bearish flag pattern, which lead to me entering the trade. Multiple confluences for the win.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by JailynFerguson
TESLA Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for TESLA is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 361.54 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 401.41 My Stop Loss - 337.47 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AnabelSignals
1
Tesla Long sell to 168Tesla is selling off rapidly . Based upon the previous chart data, I see 256 in the next 2-3weeks , seeing that we broke broke above the downwards trend channel in September to touch 256-265 , came down in October and grabbed 211 then proceeded to continue to trend upwards outside of the channel. How ever Major Support on the monthly time frame shows 168 as a the start of the upwards trend in June and reaching 270 in July , Coming down to grab 180 in August establishing a higher low, then continuing upwards momentum. I believe the market will follow the same pattern downwards All the way to 165.We will see what follows when we get there.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MuggaMatrix