Tesla shorttesla short position weekly pull back and 4H bearish structure . sign of weakness coming in 4h.
TSLA34 trade ideas
good buying opportunity on weekly chartDear All,
as indicated in my previous idea 415 was a key level and once broken the next level was 380 and now are around new demand zone which is good buying opportunity after the market priced the Q4 delivery which in not very far from the expectation thus its good opportunity to buy and watch 375-380 as S level and 415 as R leve
Technical Analysis for TSLA Jan 2, 20251-Hour Chart Analysis (Trading Perspective)
Key Observations:
1. Price Action:
* TSLA is in a short-term downtrend, with the price respecting the downward-sloping trendline.
* A key support zone is around $401–$403, which aligns with recent consolidation levels.
2. Indicators:
* MACD: The MACD is bearish, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line and histogram bars increasing in the negative zone, indicating downward momentum.
* Stoch RSI: The Stoch RSI is near the oversold zone, which might suggest a potential bounce if supported by price action.
3. Volume:
* Volume has picked up during the recent bearish candles, confirming seller strength in the short term.
Trading Strategy:
Bearish Continuation:
* Entry: If the price breaks below the key support at $401 with increasing volume, enter a short position.
* Stop Loss: Place the stop above the previous swing high or near the downward-sloping trendline (~$410).
* Targets:
* Target 1: $395
* Target 2: $390 (psychological level and historical support).
Reversal Opportunity:
* Entry: If the price holds above $401 and forms a bullish reversal candle with confirmation from MACD flattening and Stoch RSI crossing upwards.
* Stop Loss: Place the stop just below the support level at $399.
* Targets:
* Target 1: $410 (trendline resistance).
* Target 2: $420 (major resistance and upper channel boundary).
Daily Chart Analysis (Options Perspective with GEX)
Key Observations:
1. Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Key Levels:
* Call Wall at $455: This is a significant resistance level, indicating where call sellers might exert pressure.
* Put Wall at $380: Major support level where put buyers may defend.
* HVL (Highest Volume Level): At $403, aligning with support on the 1-hour chart, making it a critical decision level.
2. Options Oscillator (IV and GEX):
* IV Rank (IVR) is high at 73.1, indicating elevated implied volatility, which could favor premium-selling strategies for options traders.
* Net Gamma is negative, suggesting that the market is leaning bearish in the short term.
Options Strategy:
Bearish Strategy:
* Entry: If TSLA breaks below $401 (HVL) with momentum.
* Option Play: Buy $395 strike puts expiring in 1–2 weeks for short-term bearish exposure.
* Targets:
* First target: $390 (Put Wall).
* Second target: $380 (next major support).
* Stop Loss: Exit the puts if TSLA reclaims $405 and holds above this level.
Bullish Strategy:
* Entry: If TSLA bounces off the $401 support and breaks above $410 with confirmation.
* Option Play: Sell $380 strike puts or buy $420 strike calls expiring in 2–4 weeks.
* Targets:
* First target: $420 (resistance level).
* Second target: $455 (Call Wall).
* Stop Loss: Exit if TSLA breaks below $399.
Conclusion
* For trading, watch the $401–$403 support level for either a breakdown (short entry) or a reversal (long entry).
* For options, leverage the Gamma levels by playing the Call Wall at $455 and Put Wall at $380 as key targets.
* Always monitor volume and indicator confirmation to ensure alignment with the setup. Use disciplined stop-loss and risk management for all trades.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
Tesla’s Next Move: $425 or $420 – Which Way Will It Break?Morning Trading Tesla is gearing up for a big move, and all eyes are on $425 and $420. These levels are the key to figuring out where the stock is headed next. Let’s break it down so it’s easy to follow.
If Tesla Breaks Above $425
This is where the bulls could take control. Here’s what to watch:
$439: First stop. If we clear this, it’s a sign of strength.
Above $439: Things could really heat up. Long trades make sense here as Tesla could climb higher.
If Tesla Breaks Below $420
The bears might step in, and we’ll be looking for lower levels. Watch these zones:
$417: The first area where buyers might show up.
$402: A deeper pullback, but still within range for a bounce.
$394: A critical level—if this breaks, we could see more selling.
$374: The big one. If it gets this low, it’ll be a major area of interest.
Here’s the Game Plan
Keep it simple: Watch $425 and $420. If one of these breaks, it’ll give us a clear direction. Don’t forget to plan your trades, set stop-losses, and stick to your strategy.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Tesla, other charts, or feeling stuck with trading? Send me a DM—I’d love to help!
Struggling with burnout, trading stress, or figuring out how to stay consistent as a trader? Reach out. I’m here to help you stay balanced and build a sustainable trading mindset.
Kirs/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): Long-Term Bullish Perspective🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading or investment decisions.
Key Insights:
Elliott Wave Framework:
- Tesla is displaying a bullish Elliott Wave structure on the weekly timeframe.
- The chart highlights a completed Cycle Wave I, followed by a sharp corrective Cycle Wave II, and the beginning stages of Cycle Wave III.
- Within Cycle Wave III, Tesla is currently completing Primary Wave (I) and preparing for a pullback into Primary Wave (II).
Current Price Action:
- Tesla is trading at $403.84, with a notable upward trend since the bottom of Wave II.
- The immediate resistance lies near $500 - $525, marking the end of Wave (I).
Support & Resistance Levels:
Key Support Levels:
- $350 - $325: A strong demand zone and potential area for Wave (II) completion.
- Invalidation Level: $102.13, which would invalidate the current bullish structure.
Resistance Levels:
- $500 - $525: Expected resistance for the completion of Wave (I).
- Long-term targets near $600+ for Cycle Wave III.
Projected Path:
- After completing Wave (I) near $500-$525, Tesla is expected to undergo a corrective Wave (II), possibly retracing to $350 - $325.
- The next impulsive Wave (III) within Cycle Wave III will likely push Tesla toward $600+.
Actionable Plan:
For Long-Term Investors:
Consider holding through any corrective phases, as the macro trend remains bullish.
Look to accumulate shares during the expected Wave (II) correction between $350 - $325.
Fundamentals:
- Tesla's growing dominance in EVs and energy solutions supports its long-term bullish outlook.
- Production ramp-up in Giga Texas and Berlin could fuel the next growth phase.
Macro Trends:
- Fed interest rate decisions and overall tech sector performance will impact valuation.
- Expansion of renewable energy and EV incentives globally.
Final Thoughts:
Tesla's long-term growth potential remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals and a clear Elliott Wave structure. While short-term corrections may occur, the macro bullish trend offers significant opportunities for long-term investors and swing traders alike.
📈 Stay Updated: Follow for detailed technical analyses, trade setups, and market insights. What’s your take on Tesla’s next move? Share your views below! 🚀
TESLAMy idea with Tesla is that it looks bullish, there's more power or volume with the buls than with the bears so we rather look for the buying opportunities, which somehow contradicts my view on NASDAQ.
TSLA Testing Key Levels! Critical GEX Insights for Jan. 3, 2024
Current Trend:
TSLA is in a clear downtrend on the 1-hour and daily charts. The price is trading below key EMAs, indicating bearish momentum. A descending trendline and lower lows formation further confirm the downtrend.
* Key Observations from Indicators:
* MACD (1-hour): Shows a potential bullish crossover as the histogram shifts upward, suggesting momentum could favor a short-term bounce.
* Stochastic RSI (1-hour): Oversold with a slight uptick, indicating the possibility of a short-term recovery.
* Volume: Recent sell-offs were accompanied by high volume, showing strong bearish sentiment, but lighter volume during the consolidation phase hints at declining selling pressure.
Key Support and Resistance Levels (Daily Chart):
* Support Levels:
* $383: Immediate support, with GEX data showing strong PUT activity at this level.
* $370: Next major support, aligning with a significant GEX PUT wall.
* Resistance Levels:
* $410: First resistance level, also a significant CALL wall with high GEX activity.
* $425: Secondary resistance, marked by historical rejection points and GEX CALL concentration.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Negative GEX Zones: Strong negative gamma below $390, indicating heightened volatility in the downside region.
* Key Gamma Walls:
* $383: The highest negative net GEX, aligning with support.
* $370: Critical PUT wall, where sellers could regain dominance if breached.
* Options Activity:
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) is at 61%, indicating moderate options pricing relative to its historical range.
* A high CALL/PUT ratio signals an imbalance, with a focus on bearish positions dominating near $383-$370.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $397.
* Target: $410 (initial), $425 (secondary).
* Stop-Loss: Below $383 to avoid downside risk.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $383.
* Target: $370 (initial), with potential extension to $355.
* Stop-Loss: Above $397 to limit upside risk.
Conclusion:
TSLA remains under significant selling pressure but shows signs of short-term stabilization near $383. Traders should monitor volume and momentum at critical levels ($383 and $410) for potential breakout or breakdown setups.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk responsibly.
TSLA Hovering Near Critical Resistance! Will the Bulls Push High
30-Minute Timeframe Analysis
* Trend Overview: TSLA is trading in an ascending channel with recent pullbacks after a strong rally. The price is consolidating near $427.90, a key resistance level. The market's potential gap up or down could significantly alter the current structure, and traders must adjust their strategies accordingly.
* Key Levels:
* Support: $401.83 and $373.42 are critical levels where buyers may step in during a gap down.
* Resistance: $427.90 and $430.00 are key zones for a breakout, especially if the market gaps up.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Showing a bearish crossover, signaling potential consolidation or downside, unless a gap up revitalizes momentum.
* Volume: Declining volume indicates reduced conviction near resistance. Monitor for a surge in volume on either a breakout or breakdown.
1-Hour GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive GEX: $430 and $442.50 act as strong call resistance zones, with $430 being the highest normalized GEX level. A gap up could test these levels quickly.
* Negative GEX: $400 and $375 serve as key put support levels, offering downside protection during a gap down.
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: Elevated at 82.1, suggesting strong options activity and potential for significant moves.
* Calls vs. Puts: Bullish skew with calls at 82.3%, indicating strong market optimism.
* Actionable Gamma Zones:
* Bullish Scenario: A sustained break above $427.90 or a gap up could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $442.50 or higher.
* Bearish Scenario: A gap down below $401.83 may activate put support and drive the price toward $375.
Trade Scenarios
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Break and hold above $427.90, or after a gap up that sustains above $430.
* Target: $442.50 and $450.00.
* Stop-Loss: Below $420.00.
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Breakdown below $401.83, or after a gap down that fails to reclaim $410.
* Target: $375.00 and $370.00.
* Stop-Loss: Above $405.00.
Important Note for Traders
* Gaps at the market open can shift the trend dramatically. Reassess support and resistance levels and adapt your trading plan based on updated price action.
* If you need technical analysis for TSLA or any other stock, feel free to reach out. I’d be happy to provide a detailed analysis tailored to your needs.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your research and trade responsibly.
Tesla Charging Ahead: Key Levels and Options Play for Jan. 61. Trend Analysis:
* Tesla has shown a strong recovery after a significant downtrend, breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the hourly chart.
* The breakout is accompanied by an uptick in volume, indicating buying momentum.
2. Key Levels:
* Resistance: $428 - Major resistance at the gamma wall and recent pivot highs.
* Support: $373 - Strong support where the 2nd PUT wall aligns with recent lows.
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover with expanding histogram bars suggests upward momentum.
* RSI: Rising from oversold levels, approaching neutral territory, leaving room for further upside.
4. Price Action Forecast:
* If Tesla holds above $400, a rally toward $428 is likely.
* Failure to maintain $400 could see a retest of $380 support.
Options Gamma Exposure (GEX):
1. Key Levels:
* Gamma Resistance: $430, with call wall dominance at $450.
* Gamma Support: $380, aligning with the highest net negative exposure.
2. Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 73.3% indicates Tesla options are pricing in higher volatility.
* Calls Dominant: 84% call exposure reflects bullish sentiment among options traders.
Trading Strategy for Jan. 6, 2025:
1. Scalping Strategy:
* Entry: Long above $400 with confirmation of volume support.
* Target: $428-$430 resistance zone.
* Stop Loss: Below $393 to minimize downside risk.
2. Swing Strategy:
* Bullish Setup: Accumulate near $380 with a target of $430-$450.
* Bearish Setup: Short below $373 with a target of $350 if support fails.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage your risks appropriately before trading.
TSLA - blue skies, new highs aheadPrevious all time high resistance is flipped. Watching for the recent breakout to settle on previous resistance, and become support. If support level holds, blue skies ahead.
TSLA From Erection Come Correction UpdateSince my initial post, TSLA has lost usmuch as 24% of its total value.
Do not expect new highs anytime anytime soon. At best it will flip-flop at these levels for a while. Again this is the best case scenario.
Fundamentally TSLA is way overvalued. it is not even something anyone can debate rationally.
Despite the horrible fundies, I did offer a buy signal early on for a nice 40% gain plus based on technicals and Euphoria. Chaart below.
TSLA: Wave 1 complete?After a 4 year long corrective phase, we had a clear impulse move upward which signalled a clear break out, and perfectly executing the 1
618x fib extension.
It's possible we see a pull back from here as 2024 comes to a close. Final profit taking measures perhaps?
At any rate, look for supports on the way down for your buy signals. If we breach below 400, we may have the opportunity to buy as low as 300 (What a steal that would be!).
After completion of corrective sub-wave 2, the 3rd wave is typically longest and strongest and would potentially reach as high as $750+ with minimal pullback opportunities.
I believe 2025 is going a year full of surprises with many positive sentiment and catalyst's. The Department of Government Efficiency, FSD taxi's rolling out in California (🤞) and serious humanoid robot advancements, just to name a few...
2023 was the year for AI hardware, 2024 was for software, and 2025 will be for real world AI.
Best of luck, invest for the future!
New Setup: TSLATSLA : I have a swing trade setup signal. I'm looking to enter long if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle high(BUY). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below (SL) and a price target above it(TP-50%,move SL to breakeven), then using the close below the 10SMA as my trailing stop loss. **Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level(SL).
TSLA possible bottom + CUP & HANDLE formation. Targets IndicatedTSLA possible bottom + CUP AND HANDLE formation. This analysis is for informational purposes only.
TSLA to 350Tsla had a strong rejection around 490, just short of a massive psychological level that is 500$. I have long since expected some level of a pull back but the stock just kept ripping. A reasonable zone for this to bounce is around 350$. This is the golden ratio, a golden pocket correction. Very likely during such a bullish trend, an opportunity. The stochastic RSI hit a top that it has hit a very times in the recent past.
My plan: I am short until 350 ish.
I bought back my TSLL covered calls and locked in a nice win. I will sell another 6 month put on TSLL here, and possibly buy more shares.
TSLA Technical Analysis with GEX Insights-Jan 8Price Action and Technical Observations:
1. Trendline Support/Resistance: TSLA has formed a descending pattern, with a key trendline resistance overhead, while attempting to hold support levels near $375. Below this, $370 is critical.
2. Key Levels:
* Support Zones: $375 (major) and $370 (next line of defense).
* Resistance Zones: $400 psychological barrier and $414 (breakout level).
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Shows bearish momentum but is nearing a potential crossover, suggesting consolidation.
* Volume: Selling pressure is evident, but lighter volume at support could indicate exhaustion.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis:
1. Call Resistance: Strong gamma resistance at $425 and $445 indicates selling pressure as TSLA approaches these levels.
2. Put Support: Heavy put open interest is evident at $385 and $375, suggesting strong downside protection here.
3. Implied Volatility (IV): IVR at 77.8 indicates heightened demand for options, with significant hedging activity.
4. Directional Bias: Calls dominate the gamma exposure at 77.8%, hinting at potential attempts for short-term recovery if buying activity aligns.
Trading Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
* Trigger: Break above $400 with volume and MACD crossover confirmation.
* Target: $414 initially; extended target to $425 if momentum builds.
* Stop Loss: Below $385.
Bearish Case:
* Trigger: Failure to hold $375 support.
* Target: $370 and potentially lower towards $360.
* Stop Loss: Above $385.
Conclusion:
TSLA is at a critical juncture with strong put support near $375 and heavy gamma resistance at $400-$425. A break of these levels will likely set the tone for the next major move. The IV and GEX data suggest high hedging and a potential short-term reversal, but caution is advised in this volatile range.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage your risk.
This one turning into a lengthy tradeI am not happy that my previous post was right. Well, was sort of right, up to this point, but the stock has fallen out of bed this morning instead of bouncing on that 400-ish level I measured for the 1:1. Now it is in the 1.272 extension range and at this point my forecasted ABC corrective downward move is in danger territory. It is so oversold in multiple timeframes that only a hard bounce here for a bigger degree B wave could save it from this decline into escalating into a Wave 3. I am regretting not selling the entire package at $464 instead of only reducing it.
TESLA Short - I know I know...Well, I wouldn't say im proud of this idea in here but, after trying to long it at $390 and getting flushed out, I turned bearish, shorting it at $410 even I might become liquidity for some major short squeeze.
STILL GOING UPIf we ignore all the mixed emotions and countless excuses coming from the media channels today and focus just on some TA it get a little clearer. IDC if you're in it on the 5 min or longer swings. The algo remains the same. Locate a reasonable support. Set the buy, SET YOUR STOP LIMIT, and follow through with the plan. If it fails then find another support later. If it gains, follow it. Seems pretty simple eh?
TSLA: Buy ideaWe are in a bearish channel situation and on top of that we are above the vwap indicator. This assumes that we would have a high probability of seeing a continuation of the bullish trend if and only if the resistance line is broken with force by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume.
Furthermore, we must be careful because the market is unpredictable. Let's be vigilant. There could be a reversal of the trend (bearish trend) however if the vwap indicator as well as the support line are broken forcefully by a large red candle and followed by a large red volume.
$TSLA - Long entry after earningsI think NASDAQ:TSLA will shock many in the coming months. People who are too focused on short term performance are overlooking the long term price potential, I think weak hands will be shaken out tomorrow on the somewhat-likely earnings miss.
With that, I expect smart buyers might be able to get an excellent long entry in the $19X.XX price-range tomorrow following a bad print.
I like NASDAQ:TSLL as well, and I think that that will be where I allocate a significant position to.
In an exponential age, prices will go much higher than people realize. This thesis is invalidated with a significant break lower than $190. Plan accordingly!
TSLA - Are you scared of heights ?Tesla is selling off. Do you wait or jump ship ?
You don’t go broke taking a profit.
