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VALE3F trade ideas

Vale S.A. is riding the wave of optimism as the Brazilian stockVale S.A. is riding the wave of optimism as the Brazilian stock market rebounds, buoyed by China's economic stimulus and rising iron ore prices. Vale S.A. has emerged as a frontrunner in the recent upswing of the Brazilian stock market, with shares soaring over 4.5% thanks to an increase in iron ore prices driven by renewed demand from China. As the world's largest iron ore exporter, Vale stands to benefit significantly from China's stimulus measures aimed at revitalizing its economy. This positive momentum underscores Vale's vital role in Brazil's economy, reflecting broader trends in the commodities sector and showcasing investor confidence in the company's future performance amid ongoing global challenges. Rewards Price-To-Earnings ratio (5.3x) is below the BR market (9.9x) Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 29% Risk Analysis Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 4.8% per year for the next 3 years Dividend of 11.58% is not well covered by free cash flows
NYSE:VALELong
by Maximus20000
1
The stock (VALE S.A.) Analysis 1. Price Range and Trends: The stock (VALE S.A.) has been in a downtrend since early 2024, falling from highs around $15.50 to current levels near $11.20. There's a clear long-term downtrend, but we're seeing signs of potential reversal. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: - Strong resistance: $13.04 - Key support: $11.20 - Secondary support: $11.00 - Potential resistance: $12.61 3. Recent Price Action: The price has recently found support around $11.20-$11.24, forming a potential bottom. This level has held multiple times, suggesting it's a strong support zone. 4. Buy Point and Take Profit: The chart indicates a "Buy Point" around the current price levels ($11.20-$11.24) and a "Take Profit" target near $12.61. 5. Potential Trade Setup: Based on the chart, a long (buy) position could be considered with the following parameters: - Entry: $11.20-$11.24 - Stop Loss: Below $11.00 - Take Profit: $12.61-$13.04 6. Risk/Reward Ratio: Assuming an entry at $11.24, stop loss at $10.95, and take profit at $12.61: - Risk per share: $0.29 - Potential reward per share: $1.37 - Risk/Reward ratio: approximately 1:4.7, which is favorable 7. Volume Analysis: Without clear volume data, it's difficult to confirm the strength of the potential reversal. Ideally, we'd want to see increasing volume on up days to confirm buying pressure. 8. Timeframe: This setup appears to be targeting a medium-term trade, potentially over several weeks to months. Risks and Considerations: 1. The overall trend is still bearish, so we're trading against the main trend. 2. There's potential resistance at $12.61 before reaching the main take profit level. 3. Lack of volume data makes it harder to confirm the strength of the potential reversal. Conclusion: The chart suggests a potential buying opportunity at current levels, with a favorable risk/reward ratio. However, traders should be cautious due to the overall bearish trend and confirm the reversal with additional indicators and volume analysis before entering a position. It's crucial to adhere to strict risk management practices, given the stock's volatile nature and the uncertain market conditions.
NYSE:VALELong
by Trustscore
1
VALE is just hanging togetherVale S .A. (VALE), one of the largest producers of iron ore, recently posted controversial financial results. On the one hand, the company was more than successful in executing its strategy, largely led by record iron ore prices (a 22% increase YoY in Q4 2023). Both revenue and EBITDA exceeded consensus estimates, however, EPS was a large miss. Vale’s adjusted net earnings have been thwarted by the increase in provision for environmental settlements. Brazilian company reported a 35% drop in fourth-quarter net income, missing analysts' expectations due to a 40% increase in provision for environmental settlements totaling $4.21 bn from $3 bn announced previously. This will have a devastating effect on the company’s FCF in the coming quarters. VALE stock is notches towards the lower end of the support channel, bringing hopes of a rise in stock prices. The stock price, however, is subject to fluctuations in iron ore pricing, which has recently hit 3-year high, while the stock price has been in a downtrend since 2021. A further slump in iron ore prices could thus trigger VALE selloff.
NYSE:VALE
by barneysimps_on
📈💹 Vale (VALE) Investment Overview 🌐🇧🇷 📈💹 Vale (VALE) Investment Overview 🌐🇧🇷 📊 Growth Projections: VALE, a leading Brazilian iron ore producer, is poised for growth. Iron ore sales expected to increase to 360-370 million metric tons in the next five years. 🔄 Capacity Restoration: Growth attributed to bringing back online a significant portion of the 100 million metric tons capacity offline since the Brumadinho dam disaster in 2019. 💰 Price Support Factors: Current support for iron ore prices driven by positive sentiment around China's reopening and robust steel output. 📈 Financial Outlook: Anticipation of improved gross margins for VALE. 💸 Dividend Strength: VALE stands out as a dividend powerhouse, offering an impressive yield of 13.6%. 📉📈 Market Projection: Bullish outlook suggests support levels above $14.00-$14.50. Targeted upside in the range of $23.00-$24.00. 📣 Conclusion: VALE presents growth opportunities backed by capacity restoration and favorable iron ore market conditions. Strong dividend yield adds to its appeal. Bullish outlook projects support levels and targeted upside for potential investors. 📰💹 #Vale #InvestmentAnalysis #MarketWatch 🌐📊
NYSE:VALELong
by Richtv_official
1
Vale contracting monthly volatilityVale is a play I have been thinking about adding as I have sold my BHP holdings for other opportunities. The stock provides a strong dividend, international and metals (mostly iron) exposure. The company is a high cash flow company and does fluctuate with the iron markets for the most part. Iron is a lot different than gold and silver, and is showing an uptrend on the monthly time frame. Chart wise we see contracting volatility, a retake of the .382 fib level and I am eying a retest of the .5. RSI shows a very similar structure to price action which confirms contraction. The stock sits right at the center of the Bollinger bands. If you look at the blue line on volume which is an SMA, you will notice a growing uptick. Investors are flocking to quality and value these days with many overheated technology and non-profitable stocks reaching obnoxious PE ratios and valuations. A search for a yield that overtakes the short-term treasury but has limited downside is what many larger funds are looking for, I believe Vale is one of those opporunities, much like my large Verizon bet ~ 30$.
NYSE:VALELong
by Apollo_21mil
VALE PUT OPTION and VOLUME storytellingVALE has a nice possible put play, but it needs confirmation to fulfill its potential. Wait for the open/confirmation/retest of 13.09 before committing to the buy put option. Put Volume Total 4,738 Call Volume Total 997 Our target if the buy puts prevail, is inside the green box. I'm just looking to get in and get out. Volatility is king in this unstable world economy, inflation and world conflict. My strategy - buy VALE $13 Put 10/20 0.22 then look for exits at; *Target 1 - sell for 0.29 31.8% winner, and if it is moving further in my put direction, then *Target 2 - sell for 0.38 72.7% Winner!! Why Buy Put Option? - All EMAs are upside down, adding hard resistance to any bullish move - Stochastic has now turned bearish - RSI is now flat - Volume is showing Buy Puts are the play to make NOTHING IS CERTAIN! This stock could find its footing on the GREEN 8 EMA and hold, requiring paytience to look for the direction **Let's see what happens** DISCLAIMER - I am not a professional trader. These are merely my thoughts and possible moves; i enjoy watching these stocks validate my process or slap me across the face lol. If you are in need of professional assistance with your trades, don't look here. I am not that guy.
NYSE:VALEShort
by mrmaximo74
1