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WAL MART DRN

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WALM34 trade ideas

WMT - Walmart - Would you short this?Here's some detail on my short idea on Walmart. I'm giving you plenty of time to plan for this. We've seen a clear impulse on this little guy but I expect that things have stopped in late 2020 as we've been moving sideways for about 18+ months. I expect this to continue for about 2 more months. The closer we get to 21 months (if you've been following me, you know the significance of that number), the better off we are for a top here. Now, to the technicals. I have a few different measurements here: 1. Measuring the wave 5 top (around Nov-Dec 2020) to the wave (a) buttom (around Mar 2021), we see an expanded target around $161 to $165 2. Trend based fib extension measuring from the wave (a) bottom (Mar 2021) to the wave c top around August 2021 and the pullback to around Mar 2022 gets us a 100% extension target around $159 and a 123.6% target around $167. Both of these are corrective targets based on the current structure. 3. The measurement noted in point 1 above gives us an expanded flat target around $120. Timeframe for hitting a major top on WMT will be mid to late June and I will be looking at LEAP style short positions around that timeframe. Set a calendar reminder to come back here in 2 months and we'll see where we are. I could be way off with this, but I'm going to be bearish on WMT for at least a year after this expanded target gets hit.
NYSE:WMTShort
by bitdoctor
2
Walmart Bottoms Relative to S&P 500This chart shows three things. First, the candles show how Walmart performs relative to the broader market (S&P 500 ETF - SPY). Second, it shows how that ratio changes as the unemployment rate goes up (light blue line). Third, it shows the 25-year support line of Walmart's relative performance to SPY (red line). Notice how Walmart's relative performance goes down as the unemployment rate goes down, and goes up as the unemployment rate goes up. Walmart typically fares relatively better during economic downturns presumably because more people seek out bargain prices. Also notice that, following its inflation warning, Walmart's performance relative to SPY is near its 25-year support line. One could reasonably argue a couple of things: (1) We are possibly near a bottom in terms of Walmart's underperformance to the S&P 500, and (2) If this correlation is predictive, the unemployment rate may soon start to rise. Just remember that this is a relative chart, so it does not mean that the price of Walmart's stock will go up from here. It just means that Walmart may soon begin to shift from underperforming the broader market to outperforming (if the stock market is falling, then Walmart may fall too but by a lesser magnitude). This shift can take weeks to months, but once underway, can last for years. While I am not providing financial advice, and encourage everyone to fully analyze the risks of their own trades, I am considering adding Walmart to my portfolio as a form of recession hedging. I am waiting for the possibility of Walmart to fall as much as 10% more in terms of its relative performance to the broader market (SPY), once it consolidates there I will likely begin accumulation. To read more about why I think a recession is coming you can click the link below in the related ideas section.
NYSE:WMT
by SpyMasterTrades
1
WMT:Consumer spending declining?Walmart Short Term - We look to Sell at 127.66 (stop at 133.76) This stock has recently been in the news headlines. They issued a profit warning ahead of earnings. Our outlook is bearish. A firmer opening is expected to challenge bearish resolve. Resistance is located at 128.00 and should cap gains to this area. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Our profit targets will be 112.83 and 108.00 Resistance: 136.00 / 145.80 / 160.00 Support: 112.80 / 105.00 / 85.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NYSE:WMTShort
by VantageMarkets
WMT SELL +++ Next support $108 rangeAlready have a position, posted couple days ago. WMT was overbought on several time frame and chart indicators and yet continued to rise in the bear market rally to my chagrin. WMT cuts profit outlook after hours. Who could've possibly seen this coming!? WMT I have been in and out of twice since posting on July 12th where I didn't think WMT could go past $130. Seems it made it to $133, I am overloaded on puts and as soon as this morning I was calculating my breakeven point with only 9 days left til expiration. $108 I believe is next strong support. WMT printed $118's after hours and will likely see under $110 by next week this will likely be a weight on the market tomorrow along with the FED meeting Tues/ Wednesday. GL.
NYSE:WMTShort
by ShortSeller76