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WSP1! trade ideas

SPY Rising WedgeSPY forming a bearish rising wedge here on a larger time frame after strong buy side pressure has brought the index to all time highs. We have left a gap below us around 5640 and we may see this fill in the near future. Currently I see strong support below us at the CC golden pocket retracement zone at the daily 5400 zone. This correction may occur as market participants de-risk moving into elections. I would welcome a nice pullback of 6% - 7% to this zone and add to my positions. To me, this may be the last local pullback before a big rally post election.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by afurs1
3
ES wait price hit 5868ES wait price hit 5868, and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by huahuajhu
1
Directional bias for trade filtering on lower TF , or 70 win %Hi there! I’m excited to share a system I’ve developed called 'Zones.' These zones offer a directional bias, helping predict where price is likely to move next with a current follow-through rate of 70%. In other words, if the price exits one of the orange zones, there’s a 70% chance it will reach the next orange zone, at least touching the boundary, rather than reversing back and closing within the previous zone. You can trade these zones directly for a 70% win rate, or use them as a directional bias to complement your existing strategy on a 1-minute or 5-minute chart (which I highly recommend). Important note: When the price briefly exits a zone but doesn’t close outside it, this is not considered a valid exit — we call this a "spike" or wick. For the 70% win rate to apply, the price must close outside the zone. These zones are the result of years of research, experimental machine learning development, and collaboration with colleagues who have decades of experience in physics. And the best part? I’m offering them completely free. The real challenge isn’t just following a system with a 70% win rate — it’s whether you can overcome your own psychology and avoid sabotaging your success. If you had a winning strategy, what’s really stopping you from being consistently profitable? Often, the answer is ourselves. My zones are built on theoretical thermodynamics and mathematical proofs that help predict the likely trajectory of a system, similar to particle movement in physics. Keep in mind, the orange zone line represents an unpredictable area — while the price often touches the line, there are instances where it may not reach it. Due to the inherent limitations of modern physics, this zone remains an unsolvable area, adding a layer of uncertainty to the system. I promise, none of the paid indicators, whether it’s LuxAlgo or anything from a Pine Wizard or trading “guru,” can match the accuracy of these zones. But don’t take my word for it — try them for yourself and see the results!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by user2839409
Reveries II (Q4 update) It's Mid October and we're inside the 12M sell box; r1 on 1M - 5902 r1 on 1W 5924 r1 on 1D 5898, r2 5918 (chart on right) r1 on 4h macro 5896, r2 @ 5921 (on left) all pending bearish rotation. Feasible push to 5896 (r1 on 4h macro, maybe even r2 @ 5921) but unless es sustains north of 5902 / 5918, downside cycle is coming, and wkly could push to 5790's with minor extension. No bounce there and monthly could revisit 5590's, before post election pump to fill out upper end of 12M sell box (roughly 5827 - 6095, same levels projected from Feb). Projected floor for Q4 5440 - 5320, barring some random endgame narrative, dip to this level keeps us above August lows and provides a generous running start for the leap to breach 6k. Wildcard scenario; hunt to 5960s before pre-election evac... watch for strength north of 5902 / 5921 and if it sustains above, temper expectations; as a.) 5953 is the 120% level for the year and b.) last high on 1d di+ after August low printed Sep 17. Appreciate the risk.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by iSovereign
3
Full Plan for Monday Oct 21stPlan for Monday: Supports: • Major: 5892, 5878, 5869, 5850, 5820, 5802-05, 5787, 5770, 5752, 5734, 5710, 5683, 5676, 5657-60 • Minor: 5882, 5871, 5862, 5857, 5842, 5834, 5828, 5814, 5796, 5782, 5779, 5763, 5755, 5746, 5740, 5725, 5721, 5715, 5708-10, 5702, 5693, 5679, 5669, 5666 What I’m Watching: We are inside a broad consolidation zone from 5915 to 5850, but the tighter consolidation within this range (5892 to 5915) is becoming tricky due to the deep use of these levels. Flexibility is key when trading in this range. For Monday, 5892 is the first major support, though it’s been overused and may no longer be reliable. I’d prefer to wait for a reaction there, with safer longs only coming if we reclaim 5902 after testing lower. If 5892 fails, a selloff could follow, a common occurrence for Monday. Below that, 5878 is the next key level down, but I’m less inclined to take long positions here unless we see a failed breakdown with a recovery back above 5869. If we get a further breakdown, 5850 becomes the key line of defense before a potential flush down to 5820. Resistances: • Major: 5900-02, 5914, 5933, 5945, 5956, 5962, 5997-6000, 6007, 6040-45, 6070, 6098 • Minor: 5907, 5922, 5935, 5951 Bull Case for Monday: We’re in a broad consolidation zone from 5915 to 5850, with bulls still holding the advantage as long as this structure remains intact. The tighter range of 5892 to 5915 will likely dictate the early moves. For the bulls, the ideal scenario is to hold above 5892, base out, and then rally to 5933 and beyond. As loose concepts though, I’d consider any flagging that does not make a new high above Friday’s high and that holds 5900 or 5892 (bonus if we flush to 5892 and recover 5900) as being very bullish and worth adding. In the “ultra bull case,” we wouldn’t even lose 5892, quickly basing above 5900, which could lead to a squeeze toward 5933 and potentially higher. Bear Case for Monday: The bear case becomes relevant if 5850 breaks down. Breakdowns are tricky and often trap traders (80% failure rate), so it’s a low-win rate but high-reward setup. If 5892 fails, we could see some downside pressure, with 5878 and then 5850 as key supports. If these levels don’t hold, we could see a sharper selloff toward 5820 or lower. However, I am obviously not going to just short below 5850 after selling 60 points there from here. I’d need to see a strong bounce there or a failed breakdown, see longs work, and only then would I consider shorting under wherever the structure (lows) are at the time—this could be around 5847. On a shorter-term basis, there may be a short opportunity if 5892 fails. This level has been heavily worked, but it’s ideal to see one more bounce attempt there, and then short just under the low of that bounce. Be careful here, as we could easily flush to 5869 and then squeeze back up. If I do short, I would exit and be willing to switch long. Summary for Monday: We’re stuck in a consolidation range between 5915 and 5850, with 5892 to 5915 being the tighter range within. The market could ping-pong between these levels before making a more decisive move. My lean remains to defer to the overall trend, with a preference for buying dips unless key supports like 5850 fail. A break of 5892 could lead to a Monday dip, but as long as bulls hold 5850, the broader structure remains bullish, targeting 5933+.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ESMorg