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AAPL trade ideas

What Is Money Flow In & Out of a Stock? And Why Should You Care?Professionals often speak of money flowing in or out of a stock, but how can that be if there is an equal number of buyers and sellers? It is because “Money Flow” comes from the balance of the lot sizes. There are four possible positions in any one stock: Buy Buy to Cover Sell Sell Short Each investor and trader in the stock has their own separate agenda. Each may come from a different Market Participant Group. There are now 9 Stock Market Participant Groups, starting from those who buy first, at the bottom of a new upward cycle: The giant Buy Side Institutions who invest Mutual and Pension Funds and/or create ETFs and other kinds of stock market derivatives. The Sell Side Institutions, aka the big banks and major market makers Wealthy Individual Investors Corporations Institutional/ Pro Traders High Frequency Traders (HFTs) Small Funds Individual Small-Lot Investors, Investment Groups and Individual Retail Traders Odd-Lot Investors Buyers are anticipating that the stock is going to move up. Their stock order types span the spectrum, for example: Market Orders, Limit Orders, Stop Orders. Buy to Cover Orders are placed by traders who sold short and are now taking profits. Those who are selling the stock are anticipating that the stock is going to move down. In an uptrending stock, this is profit-taking near the top of the run. It can also be similar in a downtrending stock because the seller is afraid that the stock is going to move down more, and they have been holding through what they thought was a short retracement. Most of these stock order types will be “Sell at Market” (SAM). Sell Short Traders are anticipating that the stock is going to move down, and they can place a variety of orders just like the buyers. Both Buyers and Sell Shorters are entering the trade, while Buy to Covers and Sellers are exiting the trade. It is the mix of these different types of buying and selling coupled with the kind of investor or trader and the size of their share lots that causes money to flow in or out of a stock. If the buyers are mostly large lots and the sellers are mostly small lots, who is in control? The buyers purchasing large lots . This is because, at some point, there will not be enough small-lot sellers, and those who are Selling Short will turn and start Buying to Cover, creating more of a shortage of sellers. Consequently, this will put more pressure on the buy side. There are always latecomers to a stock run, and they are usually small-lot buyers. As the stock moves up in price, more of the small-lot buyers will step in, pushing the price up even further. Most small-lot buyers typically use a “Buy at Market” Order, which is the worst kind to use to control the entry price. As the stock moves up further in price, the last of the Short Sellers will panic and Buy to Cover, causing the stock to gap up or jump even higher. This then triggers the large-lot buyers to start selling for profit. As profit-taking begins, the stock dips in price. This causes the odd-lot buyer, who is the last in the market participant cycle to buy, to rush into the stock and buy because they have been told to “Buy the Dip.” By now, the news media has been talking about this stock and its great run. Consequently, the odd-lot uninformed investor finds the dip irresistible and buys on pure emotion without any analysis of the stock. This causes the final gap up and exhaustion pattern. Now, while all of those odd-lot latecomers are buying, who is selling to balance the equation? Market Makers are Selling Short and the Smart Money, who were the first to enter, are selling to take profits. Suddenly, the large lots are now shifting to the downside, and what happens? The control switches to the sellers who are moving larger lots. Now, money is flowing out of the stock, yet the price may go up briefly before a downtrend develops. Large lots are usually wiser investors and traders who know more than the other investors and traders. So the giant Buy Side Institutions investing Mutual and Pension Funds, who have access to information often not yet available to Individual Investors and Retail Traders, are called the Smart Money. It can be assumed that the smaller the lot size, the less the investor or trader knows and understands about the market. As smaller lots move in, a shift of power occurs due to the large lots moving to the sell side, and thus money shifts to flowing out of the stock. As the stock collapses and reaches a price or equilibrium near a base or bottom, those smaller lots who held through the collapse reach an emotional point of extreme pain of loss and begin to sell in panic. In response, the Smart Money and Market Makers switch roles again, Buying to Cover their profitable shorts and buying to hold as the stock moves up again. Summary: Every time you take a position in a stock, there are also three other positions in that same stock. You need to be aware of each of these and make sure that you are with the right group. Most of the time, traders who are having problems with their trades are simply trading with the wrong group. It is important, then, to learn about today's stock market structure and what I call the "Cycle of Market Participants." When traders can trade with the flow of the Smart Money, they have a decided advantage.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
AAPL: Momentum Brewing – What's Next?▋Observation & Meanings: ▪The downside breakout from the ranging zone failed, and the price even took out the high of the range, reversing into an uptrend, followed by minor congestion. ▪After reversing the trend, the bulls showed their further intent by breaking above the congestion high. ▋What to expect next? ▪The price has retested the high of the congestion zone, and this level should hold if the bulls intend to maintain momentum. ▋The big 3 zones: ▪The continuation zone: ▫ The next major resistance will be level X. ▫ Although the resistance is significant, this is the third attempt, and with plenty of fuel (position) accumulated below during this period, a breakout is likely. ▫ Additionally, an ascending triangle pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, reinforcing the potential for an upward breakout. ▫ If the key resistance at X is broken, a short squeeze could occur as sellers are forced to cover their positions, driving the price to the next level. ▪The unclear zone: ▫ If the price falls back into the congestion zone, wait for clearer signals before making a move. ▪The defending zone: ▫ If the price breaks below the defending level, the low of the congestion, the trend will likely shift back to the downside. ▋Don’t predict the price, trade the price. ▋Note: These zones adjust in real time based on price movements and evolving market conditions. ▋Not Financial Advice The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by stock_adelie
4
Can the MAGNIFICENT 7 outperform once more?We have seen the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Nvdia, Meta, Tesla) underperform historically but since the start of the year this hasn't been as strong as previously (roughly +35% for M7 against + 25% for Nasdaq). The former can be seen on the left chart while the latter on the right. This goes so far against the aggressive nature of the Magnificent 7 (M7), which have outperformed Nasdaq on all previous rallied by around +50%. In fact the M7's first major rally (2016 - 2018) rose by +140% while NDX's by +97%. The second major rally (2019 - 2021) registered +315% for MA7 and 'just' +185% for NDX. If there is any progression between them, we can argue that the current rallies will be even stronger. Of course the sample isn't big enough for solid conclusions and multi-year rallies can't keep getting stronger on each Cycle for ever. What is reasonable to count on however, is that as the Fed stepped in recently and gave the market the first Rate Cut in years, a new Cycle of cheap money to invest with has started and we can expect rallies of equal strength with the previous ones. For M7 (+315%) that's $440, so around +60% from the current levels, while for Nasdaq (+185%) that's 30000, so around +47% from the current levels. Not an incredible difference considering the risk that highly volatile stocks like the M7 bear. This could be a sign that the market is shifting to other stocks during this Cycle and the M7 potential may be fading. In any event, do you think the Magnificent 7 will start to outperform Nasdaq again and if so is this worth the risk than investing your capital on the 100 companies of the index? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingShot
$AAPL Identifying a Macro 5-Wave Structure In this updated chart, I’m highlighting what appears to be a macro 5-wave structure based on Elliott Wave Theory: Here’s the breakdown: 1. Wave 1 starts from a low point and pushes up strongly, initiating the trend. 2. Wave 2 corrects back but does not fully retrace Wave 1, maintaining the overall upward trend. 3. Wave 3 is a powerful impulsive wave that surpasses Wave 1’s high, as expected in Elliott Wave theory. 4. Wave 4 is a corrective phase, with a shallower retracement compared to Wave 2. 5. Wave 5 is currently unfolding, moving upward and potentially marking the final push in this trend before we enter a larger correction or a reversal. The next step would be to watch for signs of an A-B-C corrective wave once Wave 5 is completed. Thoughts?
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NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by mdrb8exu8b
11
Reacting to Change Part 2: Evolution of TrendsAdapting to subtle changes within a trend is a key element of successful trading. It's not enough to recognise that a trend exists; to stay ahead, you need to understand how trends evolve. From the initial surge to the steady grind, each phase of a trend carries its own characteristics—and knowing how to react to these transitions is what separates a prepared trader from one caught off guard. The Anatomy of a Trend In this section, we’ll explore the different types, phases, and characteristics of trends: 1. Initial Momentum Drive The first leg of a new trend often follows a prolonged period of sideways consolidation, and this momentum-driven move is typically sparked by a fundamental catalyst. Characterised by a strong surge either higher or lower, this phase usually comes with significant volume and can even include price gaps. The energy in this phase is palpable; it's where the trend announces itself. Apple (AAPL) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Standard Pullback, Trend, Pullback Trend In the heart of a trend, the market often moves in a wave-like fashion: trend legs followed by pullbacks. These pullbacks are typically less volatile and weaker in momentum than the dominant trend legs, making them perfect opportunities for traders to enter in the direction of the trend. Whether you're looking at a bullish or bearish market, these pullback-and-trend cycles are the bread and butter of swing trading strategies. Apple (AAPL) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Steady Slide Higher A rarer but powerful trend type, the steady slide higher (or lower) features minimal pullbacks and a consistent, almost relentless direction. When a trend is in this phase, it signals sustained pressure from buyers or sellers, and it often grinds slowly but surely in one direction. This trend type is highly attractive to trend-followers, but it requires patience and conviction to hold through what may appear to be an over-stretched market. Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 4. Exponential Blow-Off This phase represents the trend on steroids. Expanding ranges, steepening price action, and rising volume all signal that the market has entered an aggressive, almost frantic, final phase. The exponential blow-off can be exhilarating to watch and trade but carries a warning: when this phase comes during an established trend, it's often a sign that the end is near. Traders should be cautious, as a reversal or prolonged consolidation may follow shortly after this euphoric push. Tesla (TSLA) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Simple Tools to Identify Trend Phases Reacting to these phases means recognising them as they unfold. Luckily, there are several simple tools traders can use to identify which part of the trend they're dealing with. 1. Trendline Fans Trendlines are perhaps the cleanest and most effective tool for gauging trend strength with no lag. By mapping the swings with multiple trendlines, or trendline "fans," you can visually track momentum. A rising trendline fan—where each new trendline is steeper than the last—indicates increasing momentum, while a falling trendline fan suggests that momentum is starting to ebb. Trendline fans are particularly useful for identifying whether a trend is accelerating into an exponential blow-off phase or slowing down into a pullback phase. 2. Keltner Channels Keltner Channels are another versatile tool for identifying different trend phases. These bands are plotted around a central moving average, with the distance between the bands determined by the volatility of the market. A price movement outside the Keltner Channels usually signals strong underlying momentum, often associated with the initial trend phase. A steady grind along the bands is characteristic of the "steady slide higher" trend type, while prolonged periods outside of the bands are usually indicative of the exponential blow-off phase. The midline of the Keltner Channels can also be used to gauge pullbacks and time entries during a trend. 3. Long-Term Moving Averages Long-term moving averages like the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) are essential for gaining perspective on the overall health and strength of a trend. These moving averages act as a dynamic support or resistance level during trends, and their positioning relative to the price can offer clues about the trend's longevity. 4. Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) The Anchored VWAP is a more sophisticated tool for assessing trend strength. VWAP represents the average price at which a market has traded, adjusted for volume, and anchoring the VWAP to the inception of a trend allows traders to see whether those who initiated the trend are still in control. If the price remains above the anchored VWAP in an uptrend, it suggests that buyers are still in control, whereas falling below could signal that sellers are beginning to take over. Example: Brent Crude Daily Candle Chart Let’s take a closer look at how these tools can be applied to understand an evolving trend in the oil market. Recently, oil experienced a strong rally, breaking through the first trendline and surpassing the 50-day moving average. While this initial momentum signals strength, the bigger picture still points to a bearish trend. We see that prices remain below the 200-day moving average, under a long-term descending trendline, and crucially, below the VWAP anchored to the April highs. This combination of tools highlights the importance of maintaining a wider perspective. Even though there is short-term upward momentum, the prevailing longer-term trend suggests that sellers may still have the upper hand. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Conclusion: Adapting to Trend Phases Understanding and reacting to the different phases of a trend is crucial for any trader. From the initial surge of momentum to the steady grind or explosive blow-off, each phase requires a unique strategy and a deep understanding of market dynamics. By using tools like trendline fans, Keltner Channels, moving averages, and Anchored VWAP, traders can stay on top of these phases and maximise their potential for success. Stay flexible, stay alert, and always be prepared to evolve with the trend. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Capitalcom
1
Is Apple still the "apple of the eye"?Now we have heard how Huawei time precisely to launch its new foldable model together with Apple 16 which the latter received lacklustre sales in China. And they have to offered a discount shortly to shore up their decreasing revenue. Will she still be the Apple of the eye? Ok, I hear you. Warren Buffett has sold some of his Apple shares but should we be overly concerned as retail investors ? Dun forget his volume is HUGE and in billions so to take profits is pretty common. Then, that begs the question when do you sell a stock ? Hmmm, it depends if the fundamentals of the business has changed or a period of lower sales and profits that warrant a second evaluation. Well, thus far their business is still intact and despite some competition from China , I think it is still doing well.Thus, I will be waiting for opportunity to accumulate again from 207 to 211 price level.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by dchua1969
APPL chart analysis for for mid october apple is primed for more consolidation, mini inverted head and shoulders may form tomorrow sending the price up in to a bigger head and shoulder pattern forming the right shoulder. Rsi is on a down trend as of today. I except support to pick up at 216-217 when we hit the lowest trend formed over the past few months. I do not expect the lower trend line to break for even 1 bar it should be a clean tap and go. The chances of this happening overnight are high if a break under 220 occurs by mid day and we lower towards 217 that would be a signal for me to enter 5 minutes before close.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TrendsandCycles
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #3 - AAPL Triple Top + TriangleThis is a 15m, but if you zoom out you'll see a longer term triangle that goes back to ATH earlier this year. AAPL has had some brief moves above and below the triangle, but there hasn't been a break yet and it's nearing the completion of the pattern so I expect it to move soon. My bias is down for now, but that'll change if it breaks the triangle to the upside. We have a shorter term descending wedge/bull flag here that we saw a breakout fail that also made a triple top. Will be watching both the longer term triangle and this little wedge. First downside target is around 217, final target being the lows from August. If it can break above the triple top at 233, it should move back up towards ATH and most likely higher.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by AdvancedPlays
Apple Inc . NASDAQDear Traders, I hope you are having a good time. Apple Chart Analysis: After a period of upward movement and growth, it has now been 84 days since this stock has been unable to surpass its previous peak. This situation has arisen due to liquidity shortages. At first, we witnessed the breaking of the strong daily trend line, and despite the collection of liquidity from the block decisional, this stock has still failed to break through the ceiling. Ultimately, the second trend line, which I did not draw to avoid cluttering the chart, was broken, leading to a correction. Considering last week's pullback, as expected, the movement of this stock has begun to head downward, and we are seeing very strong confirmations in this regard. We will be waiting to buy again at the extreme order block, which will be the first buying target on this chart. I have constructed the chart in a simple and straightforward manner to facilitate easy use and benefit for you, my dear friends. Thank you, Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)."
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by fereydoon1199
AAPL for Tomorrow (10/08/2024)Price Action: Current Price: Around $223.06, with a recent low of $221.80. Recent Trend: The stock has been trending downward since the break below the upward channel, indicating selling pressure. Volume: Volume is relatively higher around the current price range, indicating strong interest in this level, possibly acting as support. Key Levels: Support: Immediate support at $221.80, which was today's low. Further support around $221.22 (tested recently). Resistance: Immediate resistance at $223.85 (current day's close). Higher resistance at $226.80 (former consolidation level) and $228.02 (top of the prior range). Indicators: MACD: Shows low momentum, hovering near the zero line. This indicates weak momentum and suggests a possible sideways movement or further bearishness if no bullish reversal emerges. Outlook for Tomorrow: Bearish Bias: Given the recent downward movement and break from the channel, AAPL may see further downside unless it holds the $221.80 support level. Potential Scenarios: If $221.80 holds, there could be a bounce back towards $223.85 or $226.80 as resistance. A breakdown below $221.80 might lead to testing the lower support levels near $221.22 or even lower. Trading Plan: For Bulls: Look for entries around $221.80 with targets at $223.85 or $226.80. A stop loss could be placed below $221.22. For Bears: Watch for a break below $221.80 to enter short, targeting $220 or lower. Stop loss could be above $223.85. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and current market trends. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBear-Insights