Airbnb - Terminator is Back!-In its recent shareholder letter, management said, "Guests aren't just traveling on Airbnb, they are living on Airbnb." In the first quarter, 24% of nights booked were for stays of 28 nights or longer. While that's a function of the pandemic, it's also a sign of what's likely to be a lasting trend. Remote work has become popular during the pandemic, and a hybrid model seems likely to persist even when offices reopen. Management added, "An increasing number of guests are discovering that they do not need to be tethered to one location to live and work."
-The remote work trend is a significant tailwind for Airbnb as it once again demonstrates an advantage it has over hotels. By offering complete homes with kitchens and workspaces, it can accommodate remote workers in a way that hotels can't. Similarly, it demonstrates one of the best use cases for the platform for both hosts and guests.
-Over the last four quarters, even with the challenges from the pandemic, Airbnb has posted a profit in both adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. During that time, Airbnb reported $24 million in adjusted EBITDA and a free cash flow of $405 million.
-The company posted a wide loss in 2019 as it scaled up its business and invested in new products and marketing. But it was solidly profitable as recently as 2018 when it finished the year with $170.6 million in adjusted EBITDA on $2.6 billion in revenue.
-The company's marketplace model also tends to be highly profitable at scale as Airbnb makes money taking commissions on bookings. It only needs to keep its platform up and running and make sure its users are satisfied. It doesn't have to deal with real estate or cleaning the way most hotels do.
ABNB trade ideas
$abnb Good Company, That Fell Short With corona and real estate troubles. This service orientated stock is looking to curl with consumers as market and economy seems to be opening up. Airlines , Service, and Hospitality is looking to rebound run coming off a weak last year on fire with a HOT summer and fall. I am LONG !
$ABNB Consolidation or breakdown?ABNB was hit hard this month but might start seeing some recovery in the coming weeks. Big dark pool prints came in last week along with bullish calls. Whether it's a momentum play or something larger we'll see soon. The purple lines indicate strong support and resistance levels. RSI looks like it wants to sell off a bit more before any recovery happens. So far it's trading in a tight range close to resistance 137.81. If broken, 144 can trade. The only reason why I am still neutral is the impulse move down that appears to want to culminate near all time lows. If we don't trade lower, then wave 5 was neat the 1.618 and we are starting a corrective wave.
$ABNB$ABNB
$143 -146.5 area of interest #1 need a break above and solid candle formation to enter the trade
$162 - 164.5 area of interest #2 area where i believe prices can be rejected, as support turns into resistance, vice versa
don't think it'll break above AOI #2 but if it does i think those trend lines downward might be the areas where price will get rejected, we're still above ATL so we have room to come down more
$ABNB Awakening. Surge in Money flow and volume detectedMy understanding of this ticker is that it is moving because of large booking numbers that were revealed on the earnings call. This has resulted in a large amount of volume and money moving into the stock (See the OBV and the CMF listed above). This is showing early signs that the ticker may be "making a come back". My estimate on this trade is that it will complete by June 10th. I would look for this running up to the 150-160$ range and 160+ if it goes parabolic.
Trade at your own risk. This is early on in the movement so things can change. Best of luck.
ABNB SetupAfter yesterdays earnings call
1. Revenue increased 5% YOY
2. Loss per share almost doubled from expected
3. 50% user increase
4. Banks lowered price target signaling accumulation phase
Business model is great with a visionary ceo. COVID has changed forever how home ownership will be. Airbnb is not only a short term stay but a long term rental platform.
AIRBNB - Great Company to Invest In!-All sectors are seeing newbies that are bringing innovative changes to the sector. The Hospitality industry hasn't seen any changes for decades until the new player in the game, AIRBNB. Airbnb has changed the sector from the cores, the landlords. You don't have to be a millionaire hotel owner to operate in the hospitality sector anymore! The simple homeowners are now their own Hotel owners.
-Travellers mostly miss the home environment while they are travelling, the welcoming environment that they leave behind. Airbnb has also eliminated that struggle as the hosts are sharing their warm homes full of history and travellers are staying in a more colourful environment that feels like home and more importantly, is more private.
-The total revenue growth from 2016 to 2019 was 80%, 54%, 42% and 31% respectively.
-Most importantly while searching for a place where to invest, one should follow the steps of the giants and analyze the places that they are investing heavily into. Bill Ackman, the big short gainer that made over $3 billion during the COVID-19 tried to get the big piece before Airbnb opened to the public. He offered the Airbnb funds and asked them to not pursue the IPO and instead accept him and his fund as the investment resource. However, Airbnb has declined the offer and continued filing for the IPO. The lesson to be taken from here and based on what Ackman says, Airbnb is believed to be the future of the Hospitality Sector, the player that will take over the many Hiltons and Marriots.
-Current price of the stock is pretty attractive, however, it can continue to bleed further due to the whole market situation and a potential upcoming market crash. For the value and growth investors, the current price should still be attractive while the short-term volatilities shouldn't mean much. Ideally, we see a perfect entry around 125-130.
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$ABNB - Perfect bull trap - Downside $137An example of a bull trap chart. Getting close to support.
Downside $137.
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How to read my charts?
- Matching color trend lines shows the pattern. Sometimes a chart can have multiple patterns. Each pattern will have matching color trend lines.
- The yellow horizontal lines shows support and resistance areas.
- Fib lines also shows support and resistance areas.
- The dotted white lines shows price projection for breakout or breakdown target.
Disclaimer: Do your own DD. Not an investment advice.