ARM Short x 2Entered at 149.15 selling short, felt curious, wanting to learn the mechanics of short selling. Placed trade in ETrade. Buy to cover price $156.36. Using a 2 touch point trendline break. Entered on 30 min TF.
ARM/N trade ideas
A support at 155 before breakoutStill moving, so I will have more room to run before it comes down, looking for a start at 162.
$ARM - Mid $130s Price TargetA major Ascending Triangle is forming, looks like price action may continue trending within the triangle. Price Target near term heading to the mid $130s at the bottom of the ascending triangle.
ARM - Great AI, Great Financials,formulating Ascending ChannelHi guys we would be looking into ARM Holdings - some fundamentals below
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) has demonstrated impressive financial performance, driven by its strategic positioning in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) sector. The company's energy-efficient chip designs have become integral to AI applications, leading to significant revenue growth and increased market valuation.
In the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, Arm reported a 47% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $928 million for the fourth quarter. This surge was primarily due to record-high royalty revenues, with the latest Armv9 technology contributing around 20% of these royalties.
Analysts have recognized Arm's strong market position. Raymond James initiated coverage with an "overweight" rating and a price target of $160, citing Arm's significant role in generative AI and its robust ecosystem.
Similarly, Wells Fargo set a price target of $155, highlighting the transition to Arm's latest technology as a key revenue driver.
Arm's inclusion in the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index reflects its growing prominence in the semiconductor industry. The company's American depositary receipts have surged approximately 150% since its Nasdaq debut, underscoring investor confidence in its growth trajectory.
Overall, Arm's strategic focus on AI and its innovative chip designs have positioned the company for sustained financial success, making it an attractive consideration for investors seeking exposure to the burgeoning AI market.
Technicals - We have formulated a great Ascending Channel, which is looking to capitalize on great earnings which is due to tomorrow -
Entry: 155
Target: 180 - The Target is just below the strong resistance level which is around 190 mark.
Speculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks areSpeculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks
Some stocks aren't just overvalued—they're in full speculative bubble mode. Fundamentals? Irrelevant. When euphoria takes over, rationality disappears.
Here’s my list of bubble stocks that scream unsustainable pricing:
SBUX, T, PLTR, BMY, PYPL, NFLX, GS, ISRG, ARM, C, SHOP, BSX, SPOT, UBS, IBKR, RELX, CEG, CRWD, MSTR, MMM, DASH, COF...
And let’s not forget the obvious: TSLA, META, AMZN, AVGO, GOOGL, JPM, MA, V, WMT.
Honestly, the entire banking sector, brokers, and tech are in bubble territory.
What the hell is going on with this market? Why are algos just buying, buying, buying, squeezing all the shorts?! Unbelievable.
The dump will be insannnnnnnne!!! 🚨
Inverted H+S ? Watching this downtrend on the hourly charts, and can see a potential inverted head and shoulders pattern forming, if so it could be enough for a breakout. Tomorrow could be a volatile day with the interest rate decision and with Powell speaking.
ARM Explodes Higher! Is There More Upside Ahead? Jan. 23Technical Analysis (TA) for Trading:
1. Trend Analysis:
* ARM has recently broken out of a consolidation phase and is in a strong uptrend on the hourly chart.
* The price surged past resistance at $150 and is currently testing the $180 level.
* A rising wedge pattern suggests possible consolidation or a pullback.
2. Key Levels:
* Resistance: $182.88 (recent high), $185 (psychological resistance).
* Support: $175 (key intraday support), $160 (previous breakout level).
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish momentum but showing signs of weakening. Watch for a potential crossover for reversal signals.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought, signaling potential short-term profit-taking or consolidation.
4. Volume:
* Strong breakout volume indicates bullish interest, but declining volume near $180 suggests weakening momentum.
5. Outlook:
* Bullish above $175 with potential retests of $185 or higher.
* Bearish if $175 breaks; watch for a pullback toward $160.
GEX Analysis for Options Trading:
1. Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Highest Positive NETGEX: $160, acting as strong support.
* CALL Walls: $175 (68.93% GEX7) and $180 (78.79% GEX8), significant resistance zones.
2. Options Flow:
* IVR: 24.8, indicating low implied volatility relative to the past year.
* IVx Avg: 81, slightly elevated, suggesting a moderately bullish sentiment.
* CALL Activity: 73.2%, heavily skewed toward bullish positioning.
3. Trading Strategy:
* Bullish Setup:
* Buy Calls: $180 Strike (expiring 1-2 weeks).
* Entry: Near $175 support.
* Target: $185-$190.
* Stop-Loss: Below $170.
* Bearish Setup:
* Buy Puts: $170 Strike (expiring 1-2 weeks).
* Entry: Near $182 resistance.
* Target: $160.
* Stop-Loss: Above $185.
Actionable Suggestions:
* Monitor $175 for bullish continuation or breakdown signals.
* If momentum weakens, consider short-term profit-taking or protective puts.
* Options traders should focus on strikes aligned with GEX levels ($175 CALLs or $170 PUTs).
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk effectively.
1/3/25 - $arm - don't get sucked in at $1401/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARM
don't get sucked in at $140
- those of you who follow know my preference in semis is NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AVGO (and there are some alts that i'm willing to entertain)
- but why pay 80x PE for 20-25% PE growth when you could pay 35x for NASDAQ:NVDA at 40% CAGR EPS or 20x PE for NYSE:TSM growing 30%+ (and probably understated). it's not like NASDAQ:ARM is some new kid worth 5 bn or 10 bn cap. they're $150 bn mkt cap.
- this move today is a positioning one, look across the mkts. and when you add king dawgs NASDAQ:NVDA and NYSE:TSM are having blow out days this NASDAQ:ARM pit gets dragged along.
- given NYSE:TSM reports in 2 weeks, i've traded some of my '27 calls for some lighter fluid ST calls and i'm using NASDAQ:ARM as a hedge b/c if semis are weak next week (not anticipating this - i'm actually expecting a few more days of run), i expect NYSE:TSM ST calls to more than offset my NASDAQ:ARM P's. and if semi's r down, NASDAQ:ARM will give a lot of this move back and i can reposition back into NYSE:TSM longer-dated calls (and still think i make money on the ST spread).
- anyway. in '25... i'd not be caught holding this bag. you've been warned, but alas i'll probably get some grief for this lol. just call em like i see em. off to a good start this year with the picks, but playing defense still w a lot of cash as i've monetized some NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:UBER , NYSE:TSM and NASDAQ:NVDA as of the last 2 days.
have a good weekend.
V
Easy Play on ARMToday, we have our easy play on ARM. As you may have seen from my ideas, they always hit the mark. Whether it's skill or luck, we may never know. However, Tesla, ASML, Apple (twice), Nvidia, JD.com, and the Hang Seng have brought us great satisfaction this year. But the winner is SMCI (Super Micro Computer), which gave us an 80% gain in short and a 160% gain in long positions. My ideas were the only ones on TradingView that truly thought outside the box.
With ARM, we'll do the same: keeping it simple. It’s forming a symmetrical triangle both on price and on OBV and RSI. We'll buy at a steep discount and sell when everyone else is buying at the highs. Stay tuned for updates on ARM—if I think the idea is no longer valid, I'll cancel the trade!
For daily updates, you can subscribe to my Patreon!
Coming close to turning even at 119-120 waiting for a fewIndicators to confirm, like the MACD below 0, otherwise at the oversold level, the flow of money index looks like a good variable level to start to reverse, and the support area makes the bounce more likely. Could it happen now? Yes, but that support line could also act as the first support line; however, as Bollinger and Keltner confirm, the second support, which would mean the upper teens to twenty, could be a play, so we are bullish as of now or close to it.
ARM ARM – Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
The stock is moving within a symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows. A breakout to the upside could lead to a target of $180-$190, while a breakdown would target support around $120. A recommended stop is at $135.
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell, just an opinion.
ARM $210?Flag and pole pattern is trying to break and according to fib levels, Elliot wave theory suggest great buying option at point (2)
Accumulate more at (4)
Sell all at (5),
Wait for the correction and It may move up exponential as It's competitor INTEL is Failing in a Very bullish semiconductor market.
Trading Journal Bought on pullback,
AVGO had a breakout, NASDAQ:ARM could have continuation move on sympathy play because of same industry.
Shakeout entry but it followed through on downside, sold for a loss
ARM - Uptrend & BreakoutTREND
Current wave structure: Uptrend.
Break out of the falling trendline cancels the head and shoulders formation.
Moving Averages
The current price is over 20-day (Red).
20-day has just crossed 50-day (Orange) and 100-day (Turquoise) together (so supports uptrend)
SUMMARY
Based on this analysis, a price action following the blue arrow is highly probable.
ARM Long NASDAQ:ARM currently priced at $148.00 ... with a target of 160 and an extended target of 164
NASDAQ:ARM chart shows a breakout above the upper trend-line...
- 9-day EMA line crossed over the 50-day EMA line upwards = bullish sentiment
- MACD & RSI are both trending higher and away from their sell line and moving average respectively. = bullish sentiment
- the move to the upside will target the big green candle on November 7th which happened to be the last failed breakout or rejection attempt
- A capture of $150 price level and move or gap up to $150.65 is the resistance level that needs to be turned to a support level since it is the closing price of the previous rejected candle
- if 150.65 holds as a support level, the next price level ARM can trend to is 154.65 and then 157.69 -> 160 -> 161.82 -> 164
- Very high volume on call option contracts expiring tomorrow as well as next week.
- ARM 152.50 Call 12/13
- volume 6,056
- open interest 949 ... (OI to open around 3000 to show liquidity/continuation)
- ratio ~ 6:1
- ARM 155 Call 12/20
- volume 10,578
- open interest 5,126 ... (OI to open around 7,500 to show liquidity/continuation)
- ratio ~ 2:1
- ARM 160 Call 12/20
- volume 12,425
- open interest 7,416 ... (OI to open around 10,000 to show liquidity/continuation)
- ratio ~ 1.67:1
Not Financial Advice.
Bullish breakoutPrice closed outside red trendline and a new uptrend will probably follow
Upmove started from sma10 and closed above sma50
Buy the breakout on ARMArm has been trading very technical. You can see we pinned the 61.8 retrace on the lower trendline and recently tested it, again, at the 382 (also on trendline). if we break down, target is 50% retrace level at $113. you can see the upside targets if we break up.
ARM - H&S and HarmonicTREND
According to the current wave structure, it is still in the uptrend .
However, head and shoulders formation is a powerful reversal indicator.
It has not formed a channel yet, but a probable channel can be estimated as on the chart.
Moving Averages
It has been recently listed in the stok exchange, so not possible to make substantial analyses.
SUMMARY
Based on this analysis, a price action following the blue arrow is highly probable.
Such a price action also generates a bullish harmonic pattern .
Arm Holdings (ARM) - Head and Shoulders Pattern, Target $78-$94Overview: Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM) is forming a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, a bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential drop in price. The pattern is visible with a left shoulder, head, and right shoulder clearly defined. The neckline support is around the $140 area.
Technical Setup:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Breakdown Level (Neckline): ~$140
Target Zone: $78 - $94, as projected from the height of the head to the neckline
Key Resistance: $164 level (former high)
Earnings Catalyst: With earnings approaching, the release could act as a potential catalyst to expedite the completion of this pattern, either causing a breakdown below the neckline or a temporary rebound before further selling pressure.
Price Action:
A breakdown below the neckline could see the price falling to the target zone of $78 to $94.
Watch for any bounce around the neckline, which might offer a better risk/reward entry on confirmation of the pattern's completion.
Risk Management:
A daily close above the right shoulder (~$148) would invalidate the pattern and warrant a reevaluation of the setup.
ARM holding(s) up, or will traders get the upper hand?NASDAQ:ARM released earnings recently, beating both EPS and revenue expectations. Price jumped, also pushed by the general stock frenzy following the US Presidential election the day before the release. Since that, it has been falling. Sure, the frenzy has settled, maybe reality is sinking in. Looking at the last 5 days, here are the hard facts:
ARM: -12,71%
NVDA: -3,83%
AMD: -8,82%
INTC: -7,06%
E-mini PHLX: -3,51%
S&P500: -2,08%
ARM is seriously underperforming its peers and the market, and looking at the chart there is no light in the tunnel. Price is forming a descending triangle, and a breach of the lower band might send it below $100. Yes, the RSI on the daily is approaching oversold, however recent similar situations have only triggered a brief rebound. MACD is negative, 20EMA is about to cross the 50EMA down. On-balance volume is indicating price increases like the one from mid-May to mid-July do not carry the support of volume. Same goes for price drops however, so we need a change in this for it to be useful. ARM has dropped through support after support lately, I would not be surprised if that continues. Even filling the gap from February is not off the table. That would send the stock down to $80… My target is around $97-$95.
