ASTS So here’s my take… an analysis of the good and bad aspects of AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) relative to its high stock price based on recent news and financial data: Positive Factors: 1.Innovative Technology: AST SpaceMobile is developing the first space-based cellular broadband network, enabling connectivity directly to standard smartphones. This unique offering has substantial market potential in underserved regions. 2.Strategic Partnerships: The company has strong backing from major telecom players like AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone, and Rakuten, which validates its technology and business model. Recent agreements with Verizon and AT&T provide nationwide low-band spectrum coverage in the U.S. 3.Successful Satellite Launches: AST has launched five BlueBird satellites, marking progress toward its commercial service rollout. These are among the largest commercial communication arrays in low Earth orbit. 4.Growing Financial Support: Recent investments, including $100 million from Verizon, and prepayment arrangements for services, enhance financial stability during this critical phase. 5.Expansion into Government Markets: Initial contracts with U.S. government entities for non-communication applications offer additional revenue streams
Negative Factors: 1.High Costs and Losses: AST continues to report significant operational expenses and widening quarterly losses. For example, Q3 2024 saw a larger-than-expected loss, which has raised concerns about long-term profitability. 2.Valuation Concerns: Despite progress, the company’s high stock price—up over 300% year-to-date—may reflect speculative expectations rather than fundamental earnings potential, making it vulnerable to volatility. 3.Execution Risk: The ambitious goal of scaling a satellite-based network involves significant technical and regulatory challenges. Delays in satellite launches or operational issues could hinder growth. 4.Market Competition: Competitors like SpaceX (with Starlink) and other satellite broadband providers present significant market and technological competition, potentially limiting AST’s market share growth. Basically AST SpaceMobile shows promise due to its innovative approach and strong partnerships. However, high costs, execution risks, and its speculative valuation warrant caution for investors. Its future success largely depends on achieving reliable service delivery and scaling operations efficiently.
ASTS Man I was worried when this ER drop got my 25 average beat up, but the more I research on this stock the more I wish for it to dip down again so I can buy more.
ASTS last EC crashed AH too because people get too focused on EPS. It's pre revenue and working on scaling so they are going to spend a lot. Look at it in terms of not just potential but all the things confirmed in the Earnings Call. Its got a bright future! Will it boom tomorrow? I sure hope but maybe not. long term the investment is going to pay off imho.
NVDA any of you at ASTS ? earnings in few hours....i know they are minus but i was wondering what are your opinions.... they do actually pretty good with visible progress