Burberry may turn around soon? EW sequenceBurberry (ticker: BRBY) reaching ~14 years lows, where the risk /reward ratio for the mid/long term starting to be favourable. I have two scenarios sketched out on the weekly, white being a 5 wave up, in which we finished 3, followed by a yet unfinished irregular flat structure as a wave 4. Yellow suggests a 3 count move up as an (A) wave, working now on the (B) wave, and later (likely several years) a (C) would follow in 5 subwaves.
In yellow I would primarly expect a deeper cut in the (B) wave also as an ABC structure, where we likely nearing the A wave bottom in the foreseable future.
In both scenario a move-up should be imminent, white to start the wave (5) to the upside, and for the yellow it would be the B wave. For the yellow I put there the resistance levels, but be aware, as price cuts deeper (IF), then we need to adjust that red resistance fib box.
Now, the movedown already consist 5 waves, so technicly we could be near to the local lows, and also in support already (hence the post). Next levels to watch: 951, 885, and 834 and 768 as bigger fib support levels.
Weekly RSI is oversold despite MACD is weakening, On the daily we are building divergence already, so far all the meaningful MA's (9/21/50-52) currently rejecting price action, and far below the 200day MA.
BRBY/N trade ideas
BRBY Long
I will be keeping a close eye on BRBY this week especially the 1980 level which has played a role as resistance since the level broke back in October of last year. The price has been tickling the level for around two weeks but never had the momentum to break through, after the huge sell off an bounce back we experienced last week you'd have to guess that most the seller/shorters either lost their shirt or lost interest as their positions reversed clearing the way for more buyers to break 1980. I will be placing a stop order above the high of the previous break out attempt at 1991 buying into a position divisible to three equal parts which will be trimmed at the overhead resistance points to leave one third running. I am aware that the large psychological number of 2000 hangs ominously over this current consolidation the more conservative trader may want to see how the level performs before entering but for me, I am happy to play through 1980. AS always feel free to let me know if you see things differently and if you want to see more UK based stock content be sure to follow me, happy trading.
Joe
LSE:BRBY
[BURBERRY] SIMPLE SETUPSimple bullish setup with good Money management (R/R> 1:3)
Burberry Group plc is a manufacturer, wholesaler and retailer of luxury goods. The Company also licenses third parties to manufacture and distribute products using the Burberry trademarks. The Company's segments include retail/wholesale and licensing. The Retail/wholesale segment is engaged in the sale of luxury goods through Burberry mainline stores, concessions, outlets and digital commerce, as well as Burberry franchisees, prestige department stores globally and multi-brand specialty accounts. The Licensing segment is engaged in the receipt of royalties from the Company's partners in Japan and global licensees of eyewear, timepieces and European childrenswear. The Company's product divisions are Womens, Mens and Childrens apparel, Accessories, and Beauty (which includes fragrance and make-up). Its subsidiaries include Burberry Latin America Holdings, S.L, Burberry (Suisse) SA, Burberry (Taiwan) Co Ltd, Burberry (Thailand) Limited and Burberry FZ-LLC.
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Thank you for support and trade with care!
Burberry down.
The Entry
My favourable entry would have been at 1856.5, however the current price at 1729.0 is a clear break down of the 0.382 fib level
This is also tied to the overall bearish market direction and sentiment
The Situation
Technology stocks have taken a beating and in light of the trade tensions and lower CN travellers, luxury stocks are in a very uncertain position.
Recent Sales numbers have slow continued to slide
Issues & Risks
There is a new Creative director, but I am not sure that is enough to change a business in the short term.
I am also worried about hitting my target price at 1502.5, so we will have to break up my buys in to 3 batches to lower the risk
Burberry In ConsolidationLast post: June 10th. See chart .
Review: Price was pulling back in the last post.
Update: Price has gone into a mini consolidation.
Conclusion: Standing aside until we get a breakout of the consolidation zone, but overall the trend is up.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
Burberry Pulling Back Briefly?Last post: June 1st. See chart .
Review: Price was starting to make new all-time highs and was looking strong.
Update: Price is still looking strong and is currently doing a pullback.
Conclusion: We need to see a breakout of the previous high before considering long trades.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
Burberry Could Start Trending StrongThis stock is featuring for the first time on our TradingView blogs.
Current setup: Price is above the previous all-time high and making new highs.
Conclusion: We will be waiting for a breakout on the daily timeframe to look for trading opportunities as this will confirm a continuation of the uptrend. If price breaks below the support levels then we will have to stand aside.
Any comments or questions, do not hesitate to leave them below. Give us the thumbs up if you share our sentiments!
Sublime Trading
Burberry at 5-month rising trend lineMACD, though below zero, shows the momentum has stalled. A day end close below the rising trend line would open doors for a further sell-off to 1277 (August lows).
It is advisable to be on a 'wait and watch' mode.
On the higher side, only a daily close above 1450 would signal a possible revisit to recent highs around 1550.
Burberry –Approaching bullish break, but lacks volume supportBurberry shares are up almost 3% and are the top performer in the FTSE100 index.
A day end close above 1377 (Aug 24 high) would mark a bullish break and open doors for 1468 (Mar 3 high).
However, check the volume… the three-day winning streak (including today’s gains) is accompanied by falling volumes. Hence, bulls should observe caution as there could be a shake off following a bullish break. Note, there is a bullish 50-DMA and 200-DMA crossover on the chart.
Overall, dip demand is likely and bullish invalidation is seen only below 1277 (Aug 4 low).
Burberry – double bottom once falling trend line is breached
Burberry's sharp rise this week suggests a bottom is in place around 1080 and once prices break above falling trend line hurdle seen today at 1320, the doors would be opened for a test of double bottom neckline resistance at 1468.
On the other hand, a failure to break above weekly 50-MA level of 1261 followed by a retreat below this week's low of 1160 could yield a re-test of latest cyclical low of 1040.
The likelihood of the share breaking above falling trend line hurdle is high, given the bullish weekly 5-MA and 10-MA crossover accompanied by a sharp rise in volumes this week.