CAT trade ideas
CAT - Long OpportunityTechnical:
- Cup and handle breakout pattern has formed and is playing out
- Price is holding up well above 200 EMA
- Strong uptrend is confirmed. As long as price is above 200 EMA, will continue holding.
Fundamentals:
- Catalyst may be the reopening of Chinese economy boosting demand for energy and natural resources, which in turns boost demand for industrial and mining machineries
- Boost from the recent infrastructure bill and the Inflation Reduction Act
I see this as a stock that I can hold for 2023 or longer, as stock is on the uptrend. Will only consider exiting if price breaks below 200 EMA and a change in trend is confirmed.
Analyzing CatI see a conflicting all time high here versus Think or Swim. On TOS, the all time high is 246.69. (I draw here but I also use TOS) Sometimes data conflicts and this is one of those times.
To me this is rather data, so I will google what the actual all time high is.
I do not think one would argue the fact that there is a big W on this chart. Ws are known to reverse when they find their target.
So far, the 4th leg of the W has hit right above the 1.113. Nothing says it has to stop here, but since valley 2 is lower than valley 1, it does narrow down the patterns this could be.
Price has long passed the .786, so it is not a Cypher. The Nen-Star terminates near the 1.272 as a rule. If price does not go much higher than where the leg is now, it could be an alternate Shark as this pattern can reverse at the .886 or the 1.113.
The 2nd leg pulled up to the .5 of the 1st leg down so is of no help in differentiating the patterns.
Price bounced back up at the 50% mark of the trend up.
Price is above the .236 of the long trend up since the covid low.
I guess things can be worth a whole lot more during a looming recession than during a pandemic. Dunno.
No recommendation.
Wide gap up well below price with plenty of pockets pivots to provide support so if, or when price falls, it may stall here.
Possible M forming.
Possible leg up or downCAT can possibly just make a double top. The 3Month looks like it has the potential to pump it up a bit more. Looks like it might print a green dot on the Oscillator the Vwap is going up. Its also creating minor bearish divs on the 3 month. The weekly looks like it could print a bearish div on the Oscillator money flow looks week too. As traderes we should be ready for both scenarios. If you long make sure to take profits 10% on the way up. Id wait for a better short entry if you have the balls to short this trend of course.
CAT - short, only 3.8% from ATH 246.69NYSE:CAT currently at 235.70 traded 160.60 - 239.85 in 52 week range, only 3.8% from ATH 246.69, which is overvalued considering risks of a global recession. Recently dumped by Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust - they increased their position in NYSE:DE .
Data:
Market Cap: $122.66B
P/E GAAP (TTM) - 17.13
Price/Book (TTM) - 7.87
FINRA Short Volume Ratio 60.47%
RSI 1D: 69.91
MACD 1D: bearish
Case against:
Strong earnings for FQ3 2022 (Sep 2022): Non-GAAP EPS of $3.95 beats by $0.79, revenue of $15B beats by $620M
Seeking Alpha Quant: Strong Buy 4.94
W Bottom to Momentum Run Example: CATWeekly Chart of CAT: this is one of the Dow components that is nearing its previous all-time high resistance levels. It is one of the first few Dow 30 stocks to challenge prior all-time high prices.
Caterpillar Inc. has been running with momentum that will now pause or stall at this level. Now, watch to see which support level holds as profit-taking continues.
This is NOT a trading range but an intermediate-term correction ending with a W bottom. Important to note the differences. A bottom after a correction tends to set up for momentum runs that can sustain longer than they do within a trading range.
MEOW !!!CAT INVESTMENT PLAN
Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing, and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segment includes activities such as the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925, and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.
SENNASEASON
I DONT SHARE MY REASONS JUST FORECASTS