COF - DAILY CHARTHi, today we are going to talk about Capital One and its current landscape.
As nowadays we live in a consumerist society and access to a credit card has continually become easier to obtain, is reasonable to predict that the card debts are also going to rise too, as financial education isn't the strong point of U.S consumers, and are used to the debt culture.
The heat up U.S economy put credit card companies in a more comfortable zone as the unemployment rate remains near to historic lows, which helps customers to keep up with their bills. However, the question that worth to be raised here is, if the 90 days past due card debt is probably surging to 2.01%, the highest level since 2010 amid a heated economy, what is going to happen with this type of debt, once the U.S economy make its first downward movement of correction and make harder for customers pay their credit card bills. Even with the credit card issuers tighten their credit standards, we can't be sure it's going to be enough to avoid a crisis on the sector, which could lead to a flood of bad debt, decline of new credit card issuance and other types of liabilities. This scenario could mean concerning news for Capital One if the company doesn't progressively start to deploy the proper countermeasures for this scenario.
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COF trade ideas
Capital One data breach means nothing - BullFundamental Analysis
It appears Capital One isn’t the only company affected by this--it’s just the first company to publicly acknowledge it has been hacked and the most proactive in addressing the security situation. Meaning... as soon as other companies report the same, they will get the bad attention.
Because of the breach they will lose $150M-300M, which is nothing for this size of a bank.
The real impact might be more of sentiment towards the stock though.
Equifax very recently had a much more significant breach, and the stock just brushed it off.
Technical Analysis
Watch the SMA(50) as support.
OBV and RSI=52, did not reach dangerous levels on this drop.
MACD did cross below the signal, but it is on its way up.
Capital One Long if Ichimoku clud in the 4 hour chart resistNice ascending channel since January lows, if it holds this trend line and stays above the ichimoku cloud in the 4 hour hour chart I expect a 95$ target in the short term. It also depends on the performance of JP Morgan tomorrow since it will give guidance to the banks. I like Capital one because is a mix of Fintech with banks so it have better prospects of doing good in the future.
Wells fargo market structureThis is just a quick one.
They recently had several billions dollars in money laundering violations and fines. The big red candle was the resulting sell off. it sold off to exactly the 50% of the last low.
the "bounce" from the over reaction is already at the 50% fib, which is usually where i would look to take off a short term position
For now and without researching more current business prospectus , i would watch to see how either the near term order blocks behave.
no clear trade on the high time frame.
stoch is indicating an attempted reversal but that could be in reaction to gain mentioned above (as the sell off was is what caused the resulting signal line impulse to the lower level.
$COF - Financials in general just... weak For me, and only using 2018 as a reference - the financials have 100% been a leading indicator for the market. If you don't agree - you can peep my $GS post from August 2018 because there really isn't an argument. Seeing as each chart I've looked at has just about the same correlated pattern - just decided to post the one with the best R/R. Without even forecasting some crazy bearish move - even a -4% move could seem like a "pullback" to bulls or the start of another December for bears. Either way - I don't see a way out of this one for $COF without touching a PT of mid $76.There's plenty out there to be bullish on but, I'm just not seeing it with the financials rn.
DMI COF Jul-Sep 2013CALCULATING +DM and -DM
=========================
Up Move = today's high – yesterday's high
Down Move = yesterday's low – today's low
if Up Move > Down Move and Up Move > 0,
then +DM = Up Move, else +DM = 0
if Down Move > Up Move and Down Move > 0,
then −DM = Down Move, else −DM = 0
CALCULATING +DI and -DI
=======================
+DI = 100 times the exponential moving average of +DM divided by average true range
-DI = 100 times the exponential moving average of -DM divided by average true range
COF: going long again.Was stopped out after previous post at 92.1. Now getting support at just about the level I have labeled "1" at 88.24. Some increase in volume last few days with a potential bullish diverge in the daily RSI. Going long again with my personal stop a close<88.24 My target highlighted. Process your way.
A possible long in COF if market continues to hold. I am primarily look at technicals. On this COF chart that I found I see it is creating a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart. The TTM Squeeze which is a momentum indicator is also increasing this could be a possible long if the market continues to hold.
Bank vs. Cryptocurrency #14 (COF)Read the past publication #13 (CM)
For example this stock now is trading above the 2007 highs this mean this is a leading company in this sector
This is complement of the publication #13
Same Industry different stock symbols, different prices, different PE Ratio, different Beta, etc
Variety of ideas for different tastes, styles of trading, capital, age, etc
COF Long opportunityAn intraday high potential, Back Tested Long Analysis.
We ll try to find an entry price within the expected pull back zone 93.82 - 95.40 as previously being back tested.
We ll try to enter into the correction of the downtrend movement tracking trend oscillators as below:
CCI diverges the price crossing down the zero level as well as shown in the chart.
DETAILS ON THE CHART
NOTE: Entry range area above the entry point, is calculated upon 80% of the recorded pullback back tested past performances
DISCLAIMER: This is a technical analysis study, not an advice or recommendation to invest money on.