GOOGL to Low $100s?Overview
Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is in the dangerous territory of a double top formation. I've discovered this same macro-pattern with a few other assets as well. In combination with a rise in long-term Treasury Yield Curve rates since December 2023, I think a rush of selling pressure could be around the corner.
Technical Analysis
Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels along with historical supports & resistances, the $126-136 range appears to be a key level in the share price. The double top formation is a bearish reversal pattern that resembles the letter "M" and, when valid, the second peak is greeted with significant selling pressure. According to technical indicators GOOGL is beginning to reveal the symptoms of a bearish reversal.
The share price has risen on dwindling volume, Money Flow Index (MFI) is approaching overbought territory, and the On-Balance Volume (OBV) is still under a ceiling created in March 2022. A rising wedge is also visible on the hourly charts with a micro Head & Shoulders in development. Should a high volume breakdown occur then I believe a price target range between $109-126 is probable, however, I am expecting adequate support around $126 as it correlates with both a 61.8% Fibonacci level and has history as a key area of support & resistance.
Speculations
Earnings season is a great time to profit from derivative trading, however, it can also be more treacherous due to the volatility most stocks experience in the days leading up to and immediately following their Quarterly Releases. Because GOOGL is having their Earnings Call in the next few days, I would not be surprised to see sharp price movements in either direction regardless of the current trends. Concrete stop-losses and price targets should be determined before entering any positions.
