Short Idea on Intel (INTC)entry 23.60
Stop Loss 25.70
1)Seasonality and quantitative data support our short bias
2)supply on 4h timeframe
4) 200 ema resistance
5)overvalued conditions
INTC trade ideas
Intel ($INTC) at a Crossroads: Breakup Talks, Market PressuresIntel Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) finds itself at a critical juncture as reports emerge about Broadcom and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) exploring potential deals that could split the storied chipmaker into two entities. This revelation comes amidst Intel’s ongoing struggles in maintaining its dominance in the semiconductor industry, intensified by leadership changes, manufacturing setbacks, and increasing market competition.
Broadcom & TSMC’s Interest in Intel
The Wall Street Journal recently reported that Intel rivals Broadcom and TSMC are each considering deals that would divide the company. Broadcom is reportedly analyzing Intel’s chip design and marketing business, with discussions about a potential bid, though any move would depend on securing a partner for Intel’s manufacturing division. Meanwhile, TSMC has expressed interest in taking control of Intel’s chip plants, potentially through an investor consortium.
The U.S. government is closely monitoring these developments, as Intel is viewed as a company of national security significance. Reports indicate that the Trump administration is unlikely to support a foreign entity operating Intel’s U.S. factories, adding an additional layer of complexity to any potential deal.
Intel was a major beneficiary of the Biden administration’s push to onshore semiconductor manufacturing, securing a $7.86 billion government subsidy. However, the company has struggled to execute its ambitious plans. Former CEO Pat Gelsinger set high expectations for Intel’s manufacturing and AI capabilities, but his failure to deliver led to lost contracts, a 60% drop in the company’s stock value in 2023, and layoffs affecting 15% of its workforce.
Technical Outlook
Intel’s stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) closed last Friday’s session down 2.2%, but premarket trading on Monday shows signs of recovery with a 0.06% uptick. The technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC could be on the cusp of a bullish reversal, contingent on broader market sentiment.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Intel stood at 68 on Friday. This reading positions the stock near the overbought threshold but also signals that momentum is building towards a potential breakout. Also, Intel is currently trading above key moving averages, reinforcing a bullish sentiment in the near term.
Should a pullback occur, immediate support is found at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which may serve as a demand zone for NASDAQ:INTC shares. In the event of extreme selling pressure, a drop to the one-month low of $18.50 could materialize, though such a scenario would require a significant bearish catalyst.
If bullish momentum takes hold, a breakout above resistance levels could push Intel’s stock higher, aligning with analyst expectations. The 12-month price forecast for NASDAQ:INTC stands at $25.69—an 8.86% increase from its current price.
Conclusion
Intel’s potential breakup remains speculative, but the fundamental challenges it faces underscore why such discussions are taking place. While concerns about cash flow, leadership changes, and market competition weigh on the stock, technical indicators suggest that NASDAQ:INTC may be approaching a bullish reversal.
With a critical trading week ahead, investors should monitor key support and resistance levels while staying informed about any further developments in the Broadcom and TSMC discussions. If Intel successfully capitalizes on government support and restructures its strategy, a resurgence in investor confidence could follow, pushing NASDAQ:INTC back into bullish territory.
Intel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three DaysIntel (INTC) Shares Surge Nearly 17% in Three Days
According to Intel Corporation’s (INTC) stock chart:
→ The price has reached its highest level in 2025.
→ Shares have surged approximately 17% in just three days—the biggest three-day gain since April 2001, when Intel rose by 24.5%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
MarketWatch attributes the bullish sentiment to several key factors:
→ US Vice President J.D. Vance voiced support for domestic semiconductor production, stating, “To maintain America’s edge, the Trump administration will ensure the most powerful AI systems are developed in the US using American-designed and manufactured chips.”
→ Unlike many of its competitors, Intel both designs and manufactures its chips. Optimism may stem from hopes that government backing for the US semiconductor sector will benefit the company.
→ Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis noted that Intel appears to be strengthening its position in the CPU market, driven by demand for its Emerald Rapids product.
→ Speculation surrounding potential discussions on a partnership with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's largest chipmaker.
Technical Analysis of Intel (INTC) Stock
The $19 level has proven to be a strong support, as every attempt to push the price below this mark has failed.
Price fluctuations for INTC outline an ascending channel (marked in blue). While strong demand could drive the stock toward the channel median, the upper red trendline of the broader downtrend may act as resistance—raising the likelihood of a correction following the 17% surge.
Intel (INTC) Stock Forecast
Despite Intel’s stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings, analysts remain cautious.
According to TipRanks:
→ Only 1 out of 32 surveyed analysts currently recommends buying INTC stock.
→ The 12-month average price target for INTC is $22.
However, if the broader news flow continues to fuel optimism, more analysts may revise their Intel stock forecasts upward.
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Rising Wedge Pattern Forming INTCSell the news. INTC still has yet to prove itself. This pump based on acquisition talk is just that at this point....talk. With this rising wedge pattern forming, I expect there to be a drop soon. Puts are too cheap and once the hype dies down money will pull out.
INTC - Will they be Acquired? 30% UpsideNASDAQ:INTC - CHARTURDAY 📈
WOW! Intel has been on a tear as of late due to acquisition talks...
- Double Bottom in play here
- Volume Shelf with GAP to $30 🎯
DB Breakout = 🎯 $34.50
I personally don't like trading acquisition names.
Not financial advice
Whether it can rise above 21.34 is the key
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(INTC 12M chart)
The point to watch is whether it can receive support near the 18.69-20.62 range and rise above the MS-Signal indicator.
If it falls below 18.69, do not buy and check the situation.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 20.62 and rise to 24.76-26.20.
To do so,
1st: 20.20
2nd: 22.59
The point to watch is whether it can rise above the 1st and 2nd above.
If it falls below 2062, you should check whether it is supported in the 18.69-20.62 section.
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There is a high possibility that a full-scale uptrend will begin when the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart rises above and the price is maintained, so there is no need to rush to buy.
18.69-20.62 The next time to buy is when it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, when it shows support in the 21.34-22.59 section, it is the time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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$INTC Nice Long Base – Ready to Breakout?NASDAQ:INTC oh how the mighty fall from grace. But so much for nostalgia. INTC has been basing since August 2024 for over 6 months. It looks like it has support around $19. It has tried to get moving a few times but no go.
Today it has tested both the longer term and shorter-term downtrend lines (DTL). It is testing today on the news that JD VANCE said AI will be built in the US. I have tried this name before and have been stopped out for a small loss. I have an alert set on the long term DTL. Should that trigger, I will want a convincing close above it. Looks to me, risk is well defined with a stop under $19. At current price that is about an 11% Stop Loss. Too much for me, so I would go to a lower timeframe to see if there is a better Risk Reward stop. All TBD.
I am only posting this because I like the longer base and thought you might want it on your watchlist as well.
This is my idea, if you like it, make it your own to fit “your” trading plan.
INTC Excellent Long PositionIn my previous post, I outlined the resistance level that had to be gained in order for INTC to enter into a bullish confirmation. We are now above that level as I predicted, and there are now 2 likely outcomes;
1. The less likely option is we have a continuation where we re-test the resistance range of 22 and continue upwards, as outlined in my previous post.
2. The more likely option is we re-test the critical 20 level that sent us up in the local ranges. As outlined in the chart, failing to gain 20 created lows, and gaining it created high pumps - we have gained 20, and it pumped us up, now to solidly confirm a broader trend reversal, the chart must prove it can hold that level.
This makes 22 a reasonable long, and 20 an excellent long, depending on which you think is more likely. I will be entering a long position at 20, and am averaged at 19.66.
A stoploss may be set at 19.50, based off being just below the level that held and sent us up past 20 on the lower (15m) timeframes. I'd post a chart analysis demonstrating this, but tradingview thinks I'm too new :(
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?
(1/9)
Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago
• GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges
• Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch!
(3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence
• Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024
• Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️
(4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES
• 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸
• Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx
• Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish
(5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples
• P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!)
• Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬
(6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP?
• Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔
• But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays…
• The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles
(7/9) – KEY RISKS
• Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻
• Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026)
• Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧
• Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds
(8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Established brand, PC/server CPU leader
Foundry expansion, AI PC push
Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency
Weaknesses:
Market share losses, negative FCF
Delays in product launches, high CapEx
Complex design + manufacturing model
Opportunities:
AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups
Government support (CHIPS Act)
Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Threats:
Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA )
Regulatory & trade risks (China)
Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind
(9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship?
1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable!
2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack
3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass
Vote below! 🗳️👇
INTC HAVE POTENTIAL This WEEK FORECAST
Opportunity for INTC. This setup is my trading idea/plan, if you want to follow: trade at your own risk (TAYOR).
Risk Factors:
1. Market conditions, unexpected news, or external events could impact the trade.
2. Always use risk management strategies to protect your capital.
Intel (INTC): Bullish Signs Emerging, Eyes on $75 ATHIntel (INTC) has started to show strong bullish signals, confirming a reversal after refusing to drop below $18. The stock has since climbed to $27, signaling renewed investor confidence and a potential breakout in the coming months.
Key Resistance Levels: The Path to $75
$30: The first critical resistance level that Intel must break to continue its bullish momentum.
$37: A key milestone that, if surpassed, would strengthen the uptrend.
$75 (All-Time High): The ultimate long-term target.
If Intel successfully breaks above $37, it could trigger a sustained rally toward its ATH of $75, potentially supported by industry advancements and stronger financial performance.
Risk Scenario: Consolidation and Potential Drop to $12
If Intel fails to break $30, it could enter a multi-year consolidation phase.
A prolonged range between $12 and $30 could play out if bullish momentum fades.
In a worst-case scenario, Intel could hunt the $12 level, creating a long-term accumulation zone before attempting another breakout.
Summary: Bullish Structure with Key Levels to Watch
Intel’s refusal to drop below $18 and its climb to $27 signal growing bullish momentum.
Break Above $30: Signals continuation to $37, then a long-term push toward $75.
Failure at $30: Could lead to a multi-year consolidation, ranging between $12 and $30.
The next few months will be crucial in determining whether Intel resumes a strong uptrend or enters a long accumulation phase before the next major breakout.
Intel (INTC) Aiming for 21 $21.50 by the Deadline DateI’m looking at a potential bounce for Intel (INTC) as the market flirts with the $20 zone. Rather than using a stop loss, I’m using a deadline date as my exit strategy—if INTC doesn’t trade near my target by then, I plan to step aside.
Entry & Target: Enter around the current levels, aiming for $21.50.
Time-Based Exit: If price hasn’t made significant progress by the noted deadline (see chart), I’ll close the position.
This is a higher-risk trade without a fixed stop loss. Keep position sizes appropriate for your risk tolerance.
Intel Sell Trade Idea – Targeting a 2.12 Risk-Reward RatioI’m sharing my latest trade idea for Intel (INTC) based on my custom indicator setup. According to my system, the current market conditions are favoring sell signals. My approach is to always follow the buy/sell signals provided by my indicator, which integrates multiple factors (VWAP, Daily Open, and momentum-based conditions) to pinpoint optimal trade entries and exits.
For this setup, I’m targeting a risk-reward ratio of 2.12, meaning that for every unit of risk taken, I aim to secure 2.12 units in potential profit. The idea is straightforward: once the indicator signals a sell, I take the trade and manage it according to the predefined risk parameters.
I’ll be updating this idea as new signals and market conditions develop. Stay tuned for updates and further analysis as I continuously refine and adjust the strategy based on real-time market behavior.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This idea is based on my personal analysis and indicator, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before taking any trading decisions.
Bearish Pennant Forming - Expect Another DropWith no news in sight, I would expect another sell off coming soon. Decreasing volume as well. I would expect to see ~23$ at least by the end of the week, if not sooner, once $24.50 support breaks.
INTC: Is selling going to get more intense?As NVDA is eating all its competitor's lunches, INTC seems to be the one left far behind than the others. It has a lot of work to do, and the playing field is only getting rougher with tariffs, reduced demand and increased costs. Once a PC powerhouse, is now the producers of the lowest performing chips with higher prices and no one seems to want; unless heavily discounted. So, until something changes fundamentally, the technicals will look pretty grim. As long as the price action cannot break above $39, the recent bounce can look like a 1/2, 1/2 setup to the downside for a larger wave 3, 4 and 5 to ensue. Only above $39, we can say the $18.5 low was the completion of cycle wave 2 and INTC might be entering a new golden age of cycle wave 3. But, for that, the fundamentals will need to back up the technicals. For now, the fib targets and the POC on volume profile pointing at single digit price.
Intc is still selling!!Looking for a buy around $9. Price has been consolidating for 25 years and we may finally see the light at the end of the tunnel. Be patient and wait for confirmation. I think this will be an investment to the upside not a trade.
2/13/25 - $intc - Clearly in play2/13/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:INTC
Clearly in play
- tons o debt in stack means equity is loose
- clearly in play
- taking a short on the 25C's weekly to "hedge" (my NYSE:TSM bc clearly that's what's required... if u peek)
- small pos to play the game, already +50% on it as i write this. will see what/s up stock could ez see 3-handle today on this action/ tape bid momo
V
Intel Time To Wake UpIntel, which has received a very strong reaction, I think it will now try the above prices. Especially the last 3 dips it made look good. We can also expect a rapid rise when it breaks the falling resistance. I think pullbacks will be a buying opportunity. The 29 area awaits as a serious resistance.
INTC: clear rejection of bearish hold and shoulders. BullishStock INTC (Intel Corporation)
Originally appealed to me as a short should it break the lower limits of its SP and the obvious head and shoulders pattern within its trading rectangle. However when this significant pattern was rejected, with volume breaking both the long term downtrend line and the horizontal overhead resistance zone of the right shoulder on a consecutive of overwhelming volume I have turned bullish in changing my mind on the spot.
Long position taken.
Immediate target approximately $26.50
(written at $22.50)
Buy on Intel Corp. INTCBreak out of channel with price action. Technicals also look favorable for a bullish position as well. It is the synchronicity that is most alluring. Four indicators flipped on the same candle on data exclusive (most likely) of the huge bullish engulfing candle at latest.
$INTCLooking for a bounce off of this All Time VWAP. We should see significant price movement in the coming months. Starting small and adding more tomorrow during market hours.
