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NFLX trade ideas

Netflix (NFLX) Update –May 5th, 2025: Welcome to Uncharted Water📈 Netflix (NFLX) Update – May 5th, 2025: Welcome to Uncharted Waters On April 9th, I posted a chart showing potential signs of a reversal for NFLX. Price had formed two indecision candles — classic behavior near turning points — and I was eyeing a potential correction. My original thesis pointed to a retest zone between $344–$443, or a drop toward a new low. Fast forward to today, May 5th, and price has done the complete opposite — broke through the previous high at $1,064.50 and printed a new high at $1,134.06+. At this point, it’s safe to say: 👉 Netflix is officially in uncharted territory. I’m beyond impressed with the strength of this move. While I was prepared for a pullback, I also know from experience — you can never time the market perfectly. That’s something I constantly try to emphasize when people ask: “How long will it take to drop?” or “When is the next entry?” Truth is, we can only measure candle closures and expiration timeframes. Outside of that, it’s all about reacting to structure, not predicting with emotion. So where do I stand now? 🚫 No FOMO. 👀 Watching closely. 📉 Waiting for a deeper pullback or confirmed structure to re-enter. 💡 And reminding folks: Sometimes the best position is patience.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MoNi_MoN
NFLX: Bearish Reversal Setup - Macro Pressure & Volume Gap Risk🕒 15 min & Daily Charts | 📅 May 5, 2025 Ticker: NASDAQ:NFLX Netflix (NFLX) is flashing warning signs after a steep rally from the April lows. Price action has now rejected the $1,150–$1,155 zone, confirming a local top with divergence and bearish engulfing on the daily. On the 15-minute chart, we see clear Fibonacci levels being respected with a break below 0.382 followed by a rejection of the 0.236 zone. 🧠 Confluence of Bearish Factors: Macro Headwind: Trump's proposed 100% tariff on foreign film production hits Netflix's cost model hard. This geopolitical risk could reduce margins (source: The Guardian, May 2025). Volume Profile Analysis: Price is above a thin volume node with little support until the $1,000–$1,030 zone, increasing vulnerability to sharp drops. Fibonacci Targets: Measured move from $1,151.68 → $1,107.08 gives downside Fibonacci extensions to: 🔻 1.236 – $1,094.76 🔻 1.382 – $1,087.13 🔻 1.786 – $1,066.04 🔻 2.0 – $1,054.85 Daily Rejection Candle: Today's -1.74% bearish candle completes a rising wedge breakdown. 🎯 30-Day Probabilistic Outlook: 🟢 Bull Case: $1,290 (20% probability, if tariffs fail or are watered down) 🟡 Base Case: $1,066.58 (50% probability – Fib target + volume support) 🔴 Bear Case: $979.59 or lower (30% probability – volume gap fill and macro fear) 💡 Playbook: Intraday scalpers can short retests of $1,143–$1,146 (golden pocket). Swing traders can target $1,066 and trail with 3-bar structure. Add-on confirmation with VIX > 18 and Fed staying hawkish on May 7th. 📌 Not financial advice. For institutional and strategic educational use under the Wavervanir DSS framework. #NFLX #ShortSetup #Fibonacci #MacroTrading #VolumeProfile #BearishReversal #WavervanirDSS #TradingView #AITrading
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Netflix price correction will continueBased on the 2-month Cash Data chart, it is quite clear that the diametric pattern is completing. Considering that the diametric wave-(B) has taken a lot of complexity and time, it seems that the wave-(F) is not completed and has little complexity and time, so we considered two scenarios for the wave-(F): Scenario 1 Considering that after the wave-(E) there was a rapid downward movement, the wave-(F) will become an irregular contracting triangle, then the wave-(G) will start and grow Scenario 2 The wave-(F) can turn into a flat pattern with a strong wave-b. In this type of flat, usually the wave-c cannot retrace the entire wave-b, as a result, the wave-c of this type of flat pattern can turn into a terminal pattern, and then the diametric wave-(G) of a higher degree will start.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by NEoWave-Chart
Netflix Skyrockets After Q1 Revenue Surge: What’s Next?📺 NASDAQ:NFLX has recently exhibited a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical breakout structure and positive fundamental developments. After an extended rally from the March lows, the stock managed to break above a key resistance zone between $1,080 and $1,100, it has now been decisively cleared. With this breakout, the structure confirms bullish momentum, and the expectation is for a retest of this newly formed support area before resuming the uptrend. The price is currently around $1,133, and a pullback into the $1,060–$1,080 zone would present a high-probability buy opportunity. This aligns with classic price action behavior: after a breakout, markets often retrace to test former resistance, now turned support. If we see it retest, it would validate the technical setup for a continuation move toward the projected target of $1,220. 🌟From a fundamental perspective, the recent Q1 earnings report (released on April 17, 2025) added strong fuel to the upside momentum. Netflix reported $10.54 billion in revenue for the quarter, exceeding Wall Street’s expectations and representing a 13% year-over-year growth. Net income also impressed, coming in at $2.9 billion. Perhaps more telling than the earnings themselves was Netflix’s decision to stop reporting quarterly subscriber numbers. This shift in focus toward profitability and revenue per user signals confidence in their monetization model and emphasizes a transition to a more mature phase of growth. Management’s tone on the earnings call adds to all this, citing growing traction in its ad-supported tier and plans to expand into live sports and podcast-style content. 💰Technically, the overall structure remains bullish. The breakout is clean, and volume is supportive. The area above $1,140 has low volume resistance, which means price can move relatively easily toward the next psychological barrier at $1,220. Any deeper pullback that breaches below $1,020 would invalidate the short-term bullish bias, as it would signal a failure to hold above former resistance and could mean the start of a deeper correction toward the trendline support from last October. 🚀 In conclusion, the current market behavior suggests Netflix is in the process of forming a bullish continuation, supported by a clean breakout above prior resistance, robust financial performance, and an optimistic revenue outlook. Price is likely to retest the breakout zone, offering a potential long setup anticipating a move higher if momentum remains strong. The technical picture is backed by future growth plans, making Netflix a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks for confirmation of the pullback and continuation.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TrendDiva
50
NFLX Institutional Momentum Anchored in Multi-Decade ChannelNetflix (NFLX) has maintained a structurally intact long-term bullish momentum, consistently trading within a well-defined ascending channel dating back to the early 2000s. Price action has respected dynamic support and resistance levels within the channel, establishing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows that validate the primary uptrend. Following a breakout from a major resistance zone around 2023, the stock exhibited accelerated bullish momentum, aligning with internal demand structures and confirming institutional accumulation. Price is currently advancing toward the upper boundary of the long-term channel, with the projected target around 4,935, coinciding with channel confluence and historical extension levels. As long as the price action maintains structural integrity above the key anchored support near 1,154, the prevailing trend remains decisively bullish. A clean break and close above the upper bound of the channel may trigger an extended rally, while any rejection at this level would likely result in a cyclical mean reversion toward mid-channel equilibrium.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by weslad
1
Nflx.. It's almost timeAscending broadening wedge pattern showing here.. Monthly RSI is over 80 which means NFLX stands a higher chance of tagging 700 before 1300.. Daily RSI and Money Flow is absurd Weekly candle is outside Bollingerband It's just red flag after red flag for this stock I don't think this clears 1150 and I think the next stop is 900 before a dead cat bounce Monthly chart Bulls see a break out above yellow trendline but I see a fake out.. Price is extended way above monthly bbands and like I said before, the monthly RSI is approaching 90, that is not a combination for a sustainable breakout... I think a 50% discount is coming for this stock in the next year
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by ContraryTrader
20
Netflix (NFLX) Hits New Highs Post-Tariff WarNetflix (NFLX) has surged to a new all-time high, overcoming market jitters sparked by President Trump’s tariff announcements. The stock hit a low of $821.10 on April 7, 2025, during tariff-related volatility but has since rallied in a five-wave impulse pattern, as outlined by Elliott Wave theory—a method used to forecast price trends. From the April 7 low, Wave (1) peaked at $922.42, followed by a pullback in Wave (2) to $848.53. Netflix then entered Wave (3), which is still unfolding. Within Wave (3), the first sub-wave, Wave 1, reached $951.43, and a corrective Wave 2 ended at $894. Wave 3 of (3) is now in progress, showing a smaller impulsive structure. Within this Wave 3, the first smaller sub-wave, Wave ((i)), hit $992.94, and the pullback in Wave ((ii)) concluded at $949.16. Wave ((iii)) of 3 is nearing completion, after which a brief dip in Wave ((iv)) should occur. Afterwards, Netflix should rise again in Wave ((v)) to finish Wave 3 of (3). As long as the $848.53 support holds, pullbacks should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, paving the way for further upside. Expect additional highs as the bullish trend continues.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Netflix Wave Analysis – 29 April 2025 - Netflix broke key resistance level 1063.40 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1150.00 Netflix recently broke the key resistance level 1063.40 (former multi-month high from February, which stopped the B-wave of the previous ABC correction (B)). The price just broke the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from October – which should accelerate the active impulse waves 3 and (5). Given the clear daily uptrend, Netflix can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1150.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by FxProGlobal
Understanding the Recent Rise and Preparing for a Potential Dip.In our previous analysis, we highlighted the initial stock decline of Netflix driven by concerns surrounding potential tariffs and anticipated a deeper correction. However, investor greed ("The Greed Butterfly") took flight, pushing the stock upwards. While this surge might seem positive, it's important to understand the market dynamics at play. This rapid ascent, fueled by speculative buying and the fear of missing out (FOMO), is likely unsustainable. Like a butterfly that has exhausted its energy, the stock needs a significant period of consolidation and rest. This suggests that a deeper correction than initially anticipated is still possible. The "Greed Butterfly" needs to land and allow fundamentals to catch up. SEYED.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by UnknownUnicorn22680872
Trading Analysis for Netflix**Current Price:** $1096.87 **Direction:** **LONG** **LONG Targets:** - **T1 = $1150.00** - **T2 = $1200.00** **Stop Levels:** - **S1 = $1070.00** - **S2 = $1050.00** --- **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Netflix. **Key Insights:** Netflix has consistently demonstrated resilience in the streaming sector, maintaining dominance despite fierce competition from rivals such as Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, and emerging platforms. Subscriber growth trends following expansions into new global markets remain pivotal in driving long-term revenue, while strategic investments in original content bolster Netflix's brand strength. Additionally, innovations in ad-supported subscription models may unlock untapped revenue streams, augmenting the company's profitability. The macroeconomic backdrop, characterized by rising interest rates, inflationary pressures, and potential consumer sentiment shifts, has not deterred Netflix's progress. Instead, the company is proving its adaptability by exploring various monetization strategies and maintaining a healthy level of cash flow, allowing Netflix to weather broader market volatility effectively. **Recent Performance:** Netflix shares have experienced a strong rally in recent weeks, highlighting renewed investor confidence. From a medium-term standpoint, the stock notably bounced off critical support levels near the $1,000 mark, confirming positive momentum. This upward trajectory reflects favorable market sentiment, driven by robust earnings reports and strong subscriber retention metrics. While occasional consolidation phases emerged, the overall trend leaned bullish as Netflix delivers a mix of growth and strategic foresight. **Expert Analysis:** Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), suggest bullish momentum for Netflix. RSI readings hover within comfortable ranges, indicating an upward trajectory without being overbought. The stock is trading above key moving averages, reinforcing positive sentiment. Experts also highlight Netflix's pricing power and ability to retain subscribers amid price hikes, which underscore long-term growth prospects. Fundamentally, Netflix's revenue diversification strategies, coupled with promising shifts in content economics, provide a solid case for maintaining upward momentum. Analysts anticipate sustained global subscriber growth, particularly in emerging markets, where demand for digital streaming continues to grow. **News Impact:** Recent announcements regarding Netflix's advances in franchising popular hits, alongside its increasing push into gaming, further strengthen the company's portfolio diversification. Earnings reports have consistently showcased revenue growth, driven by both increased average revenue per user (ARPU) and sustained subscriber retention. Moreover, the company’s enhanced focus on efficiency and scalable operations has positioned Netflix as a leader not just in content delivery but also in maintaining profitability despite sector-wide economic pressures. Notably, recent partnerships and potential licensing deals with Hollywood studios underscore Netflix’s commitment to staying ahead in the content game, potentially catalyzing further stock appreciation. Meanwhile, cautiously positive macroeconomic developments contribute additional support for Netflix's outlook. --- **Trading Recommendation:** Given the overall bullish sentiment, strong technical performance, robust subscriber growth, and favorable news catalysts, traders could consider a **LONG** position. Netflix remains a dominant force in the streaming landscape, with solid fundamentals and improving technical indicators. Careful positioning with stops below $1050.00 ensures risk management, while targets towards $1150.00 and $1200.00 capitalize on near-term upside potential. This setup suggests an opportunity to benefit from continued Netflix growth while safeguarding against unforeseen volatility.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
NETFLIX The 3rd Major Bull Wave has begun.Netflix (NFLX) is about to complete its 3rd straight green 1W candle since the April 07 2025 Low. That was not just any Low but a technical Higher Low at the bottom of the 3-year Channel Up. At the same time, it almost touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was lasted tested (and held) on October 16 2023. The bottom was also formed on a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence similar to the April 2022 major market bottom. Those two Lows macro bottoms initiated similar rallies of +196% and +210% respectively. As a result, we expect Netflix to reach at least $2200 around this time next year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TradingShot
NFLX - Last man standing NASDAQ:NFLX has been one of the only, if not the only, big tech names holding relatively well during this bear market but even the best names can't go forever against the trend. We seem to have reached the breaking point for this one as a double top short setup is currently unfolding. I'd like to see a drop below $977 to increase my conviction and look to add to my short position. Stops are clear at $1003 and/or $1018 depending on your position sizing and risk appetite. I'm willing to keep this position open for at least a few days if it starts to go lower aggressively from here. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ On a more general note, as I said on my previous post, we're still in a bear market and nothing points towards a change of trend for now. With Gold still being the only real safe haven So, don't try to be a hero and go against the trend with any long positions! Especially not on borrowed money (leverage) !!! It's difficult and very risky to try and catch bottoms and for now especially it's not happening if all the talking heads on CNBC and co. are calling it. CAPITALCOM:GOLD continues to be the only safe haven, and contrary to again the talking heads, it seems to me that it can still go higher, thus stocks will continue even lower !
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by ElliottWaveBelgium
2
NETFLIX: Good results and BULLISH technical outlook!!If there is any NASDAQ company that is weathering the strong downturn, one of them is NETFLIX. Last Thursday, it presented BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED results for both Q1 2025 and the guidance for the next quarter. As anticipated by the Company, this quarter is the first in which it does not publish subscriber data. It only states that growth has been "slightly" higher than estimated. This leads to focusing attention on revenue and margin growth, which show a truly positive evolution. The EBIT margin is expanding (to 31.7% vs. 28.1% in Q1 2024) thanks to price increases in various geographies and the good performance of advertising plans. All of this, in turn, favors the acceleration of free cash flow generation (+26% y/y, up to $2,789M). For the full year, it reaffirms guidance and maintains its estimate of reaching revenues of $43.5B/$44.5B (+12%/+14% y/y) with an EBIT margin of 29% (vs. 28% previously). In short, good figures that lead us to reiterate our positive view on the stock. --> And its technical aspect? If we observe the chart, its trend is clearly BULLISH, and after a price pullback, finding support on its dynamic support and RESPECTING IT!!, it has regained BULLISH STRENGTH, which, supported by the presented results, EVERYTHING POINTS TO NEW HIGHS. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions when the price exceeds 1000. POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 1060 zone (+5%) --> Stop Loss at 947 (-5%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 947 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (1060). --------------------------------------------------------------------------- CLARIFICATIONS OF THE SET UP *** How to know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue to gain value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. --> Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price makes a downward movement of -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on the gains, therefore, the risk becomes lower and lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be exploited, maximizing profits.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by jmesado
Netflix (NFLX) with Trendfollowing BreakOut after EarningsNetflix is in an intact upward trend and experienced a clear trend push towards an all-time high after the latest earnings. The previous correction appears to be over: Higher highs and a clear trend reversal out of the correction were already evident in after-hours trading. The downward trend channel has been exited and the last correction highs have been overcome - a strong technical signal. If this development is confirmed in regular trading, a return to the all-time high can be expected. Consolidation or minor setbacks are conceivable before the overall trend continues to new highs.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by christianaumiller