$NVDA one more leg lower $58-76 targetNASDAQ:NVDA bounced off the lows at $86 but is now finding resistance, I think it's likely that we turn lower next week and start falling towards the targets below.
I think it's very likely that we make it down to the lower supports at $63-58 before we see a sustainable bounce form.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks.
NVDA trade ideas
Nvidia Prepares For New All-Time High, Last Chance To Buy Low!The market always gives as second chance. This is a phrase that I love to share and it is true, it is confirmed here on this very chart.
The action for NVDA moved back down to produce a higher low —your second and last chance. This higher low is happening within a very strong buy-zone and this can mean the difference between massive profits or an opportunity that is lost. From here on, Nvidia will grow long-term set to produce a new All-Time High in the coming months.
The minimum target and price level for this rise stands around ~150 within 1-3 months. Then a correction and then higher, much higher... Up, up and up go we.
I can entertain you with tons of details I have the ability but I will not do so. I will go straight to the point.
» The next All-Time High and main target for this wave is 194, this can take a little more, or less, than 6 months.
What will happen next, we will have to wait to ask the chart.
It is my pleasure to write for you again.
Make sure to boost if you would like more updates.
If you boost and comment, we can move to daily updates as the market grow.
Go in, go now, buy-in and go LONG!
Nvidia is going up! Together with Bitcoin and the Altcoins.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
The Case for NVDA to 40As a prereq to this post it would be good to read my post on SMCI. In that I link to all the real time forecasts in SMCI of the methods we're using for the NVDA forecast.
And somewhat lay the groundwork for this post.
Click the post to read in full.
===#
So let's start with the big overview. NVDA for a long time has been trading inside of the risk zone for the end of wave.
Here's a forecast on NVDA when it was 500 (pre split)in which I mapped out the full extension of an Elliot wave.
Click the post to read in full.
In that post based on the assumption the previous rally was wave one we could make a forecast of a rally to around 800 - 900 and then some head fake action above 1,000.
I also put fibs on the chart and showed how this move would be a breaking of the 1.61 and a full extension to the 4.23.
As you can see, we're now sitting right at that big 4.23 level I brought up back in 2024.
Here's the thing spoken of in the SMCI top.
In that post I spoke about the tendency for move to end on spike outs of the 4.23 and they can make full retracements all the way to the 1.27 (or worse, in some cases - that's the bull setup).
The 4.23 is a big decision point. If NVDA held the 4.23 as support I'd be insanely bullish on this for the next couple years ahead. It'd be a huge win for the bulls I'd think.
However, if that was a head fake over the 4.23, you've seen the best you'll see from NVDA for a while. Indeed, we would be very close to entering the worst you've seen from it.
NVDIA Short to T1 2 Setups here.
- Both T1 and T2 will be hit as part of my price return to zero system (inflexion points).
- I'm shorting to T1 first and then reverse into long for T2. If it heads to T2 first I'll simply stay in my original T1 short for the duration.
It is of course easy to say that this will either go up or down :-). My system defines targets and there is no rules to say that can only produce a target in one direction. Based on what I see I know with around 95% accuracy that it will hit both with a reasonable timescale. I just don't know which one comes first :).
Either way I'm shorting to T1 in the first instance. It may hit T2 first but that doesn't bother my trading as I still expect T1. I won't go down the route of a martingale to T! if it goes to T2 first!! that's just asking for trouble regardless of confidence levels!
Nvidia - The Chart Just Told Us So!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) might just still head a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Nvidia perfectly retested the previous rising channel resistance just a couple of months ago, it was quite expected that we'll see a retracement. The overall trend however still remains bullish and if Nvidia drops a little more, the overall bullrun continuation rally might just follow.
Levels to watch: $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$NVDA – Going Long Long LONGTaking a long position here at $98 – yes, despite the noise.
There’s no denying the pressure across semiconductors following renewed tariff threats from the Trump administration. But I believe this is more short-term overreaction than long-term damage. Any meaningful negotiation or de-escalation could act as a slingshot for these names, especially leaders like Nvidia.
Nvidia's fundamentals remain incredibly strong. The company is still outpacing its peers in AI, data centers, and gaming hardware. Profitability remains intact, and there’s no indication of a breakdown in their competitive edge.
Technicals are giving us some strong signals:
We're seeing a long-term bullish divergence forming.
RSI is approaching oversold territory – rare for Nvidia and historically a signal for strong bounces.
Price is nearing key long-term support levels that held in previous cycles.
I'm positioning early here because I believe the broader market is mispricing geopolitical risk. If the situation improves – and it often does faster than expected – NVDA is one of the first names that will rebound aggressively.
Let’s see how this plays out, but I’m confident this is a high-conviction entry point in the 80's and 90's.
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart.
If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal.
From a quantitative perspective:
If we calculate the raw historical success rate using:
Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90%
In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using:
Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83%
Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior.
Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest?
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
simple chart of what I seeAnyone who knows me know I like to make simple charts that get to the point. Nothing fancy. Just lots of lines. Anyway, I did a ghost feed so you can get an idea of where I think we go from here. I seriously doubt we see any big changes until earnings. Unless China gets their heads out of the you know what, we will trade like this for a little while. I do feel there is hoppe. If NVIDIA has strong earnings , it could be enough push it to new highs. I would use caution. You will see by my chart we started off with an ascending wedge, moved right into a descending wedge and now I feel we will rinse and repeat. All the while ultimately creating new highs and new lows. Anywhere you see horizontal lines is where I see resistance. And yes, I do still think we could drop below 100 again, so get your buy fingers ready :) Not financial advice! Just an old trader's ideas. If we break above 130 before now and earnings, consider it could be a nice ride up!!
cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frameWelcome to today's analysis! Let’s break down the current price action on NASDAQ:NVDA and potential trade setups.
🌐 Overview: NASDAQ:NVDA Forming a Cup with Handle Pattern
📈 NASDAQ:NVDA is currently forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. This pattern is typically bullish and could indicate a potential upward move.
🔄 Current Scenario:
NASDAQ:NVDA has formed a cup shape and is now developing the handle. The handle is a consolidation phase before a potential breakout.
The key level to watch is the resistance at the top of the handle. A breakout above this level could signal a bullish continuation.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance: Top of the Handle (Needs breakout for continuation)
🟢 Target: Measured move equal to the depth of the cup, projected from the breakout point.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance)
If NASDAQ:NVDA breaks and holds above the handle resistance, it could move toward the target level.
This breakout would confirm the cup with handle pattern and suggest a potential upward trend.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Failure to Breakout)
If NASDAQ:NVDA fails to break out and instead moves lower, it could retest the support levels within the cup or handle.
A failure to hold above key support levels could indicate a potential reversal or further consolidation.
📌 Conclusion
NASDAQ:NVDA is forming a cup with handle pattern on the 1-hour time frame. A breakout above the handle resistance could signal a bullish move toward the target level. If the price fails to break out, further consolidation or a retest of support levels may be necessary.
NVDA Time For Bounce?Nvidia has been in a strict downtrend for the last few months, forming a constricting price action in the form of a falling wedge.
Generally, this can be seen as a bullish reversal pattern as "pressure" builds within the wedge before ultimately an explosive move.
I will look to take long trades here with a stop below the previous low with a 1H candle close as an invalidation.
Any potential good news can be a massive catalyst for the market, majorly Nvidia who has been a large target of trumps tariffs in relation to china.
NVIDIA: From $300B to $3T – Is the Pullback a Setup?Between October 2022 and mid-2024, Nvidia's market capitalization surged from $300 billion to over $3 trillion — a tenfold increase that outpaced the GDP of entire nations such as Russia or Canada. This meteoric rise made Nvidia the largest public company in the world at one point.
A long-term investment in NVDA has dramatically outperformed the broader market. From May 2014 to May 2024, the stock gained over 22,000%, compared to 179% for the S&P 500 and 77% for gold.
However, in 2025, Nvidia stock declined by 43%, raising the question: does this mark the end of the rally or the beginning of a new accumulation phase?
Core Drivers
AI dominance: Nvidia controls 95% of the GPU market used in machine learning applications.
Strategic clients: Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet continue to deepen partnerships with NVDA.
Crypto leverage: The company holds 82% of the GPU market used for mining, benefiting from the renewed crypto upcycle.
Domestic production push: Nvidia is developing over 1 million square feet of manufacturing space in Arizona and Texas, aiming to produce $500B worth of AI infrastructure over the next four years.
Policy support: The US and EU are investing more than $240B to secure domestic chip production via the CHIPS Acts.
Financial Strength
FY2024 revenue grew 114% YoY to $130.5B
Q4 net income reached $22B
Nvidia joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average in late 2024
Announced a $50B buyback program
Executed a 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024
Trading View
After peaking in 2024, NVDA retraced to the $110 area, which now acts as a potential accumulation zone. The next major resistance lies near $150, offering a 35% upside if momentum returns.
The macro backdrop remains highly favorable — AI infrastructure investment continues to accelerate, and the recent correction may reflect short-term positioning rather than fundamental weakness.
Final Thoughts
Nvidia is no longer just a semiconductor company — it is a system-level platform powering the AI economy. With robust fundamentals, strategic expansion, and institutional demand, the current price levels could represent a key medium-term opportunity for trend-followers and long-term investors alike.
#NVDA #Nvidia #Semiconductors #AI #EquityMarkets #TradingViewIdeas
NVDA - DECENT CONFIRMATION Good Morning,
Seeing some strength in NVDA since yesterday. Trend is showing another strong movement upwards. There is a divergent volume profile since the original YTD low on April 7th 2025.
I feel a little like this is like taking candy from a baby, lets see what happens.
Enjoy!
NVDA Recovery in Motion — Bullish Setup BrewingNVDA 6H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📈
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND — The chart confirms an early-stage recovery from a key pivot low (April 22), with moderate confidence (4.8%). The structure is forming higher lows, and price is currently above several critical short-term MAs. Trend Score sits at +0.10.
📉RESISTANCE ZONE
🔴 153.1300 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
🔴 149.8423 — SELL ORDER 2
🔴 143.18875 — SELL ORDER 1
🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS
🎯 139.8280 — EXIT BUY & TP 4
🎯 127.7263 — BUY ORDER & TP 3
🎯 119.8750 — BUY ORDER & TP 2 | MID PIVOT
🎯 108.5705 — BUY ORDER & TP 1
📈SUPPORT ZONE
🟢 97.0121 — BUY ORDER 1
🟢 89.9455 — BUY ORDER 2
🟢 86.6200 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW
✍️STRUCTURAL NOTES
Recent bounce from 86.62 pivot low signals strong bullish interest
Key reentry occurred above 97.01, aligning with short-term moving averages
All major short-term and mid-range MAs (10–100) are BUY-rated
Oscillators mixed: MACD and Ultimate Oscillator lean bullish, while Momentum and Williams %R flash caution
Ichimoku Base Line neutral — awaiting trend confirmation
Hull MA diverges from other MAs — short-term caution on overheated price
📉TRADE OUTLOOK
📈 Bullish bias toward TP3 @ 127.72 and TP4 @ 139.82
📉 Short-term pullback likely at 108.57 or 119.87 — use dips as potential reentry
🔍 Watch for rejection near 143.18–153.13 to reassess continuation vs correction
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE TREND FOLLOW:
— Entry: 97.01
— TP: 108.57 / 119.87 / 127.72 / 139.82
— SL: Below 86.62
AGGRESSIVE REVERSAL:
— Entry: 86.62 (Pivot Low Defense)
— TP: 97.01 / 108.57
— SL: Below 83.00
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
NVDA Options GEX + Trade Forecast – April 23, 2025🔍 GEX Options Overview:
NVDA is experiencing a clear options-driven magnet toward 105–106, with notable call wall concentration and positive NET GEX at those levels:
* Highest positive GEX zone: 105–106 = bullish gamma magnet
* HVL for 3DTE anchored at 97 = strong bounce zone
* PUT walls stacked at 95, 93, 90 showing limited downside support but weakening pressure
* Options Oscillator confirms this bullish lean with green GEX dots, low IVX, and relatively low IVR (40.9)
Despite the macro softness, NVDA has gamma fuel to push up, especially with no strong call resistance until the 105–107 zone. This sets up a favorable risk/reward setup for short-term bullish trades.
📈 Technical Analysis & Trading Outlook:
From the SMC Co-Pilot chart, NVDA is rebounding after forming multiple BOS (Break of Structure) signals and is now consolidating under a previous CHoCH level, near the 102–103 zone.
* Trend Bias (MTF): 30m & 15m bullish, but 1h still recovering
* HTF Structure: Bullish SMC structure forming, but caution is required
* Volume: Extreme spike (1.6x) during reversal = institutions may be stepping in
* Setup Status: No trade confirmed yet – but we are in premium zone, so shorts are risky unless structure shifts
* EMA21 is the decision zone; price reclaiming and holding above would confirm further upside
🧠 My Thoughts:
This is one of those setups where the GEX setup is leading price, and technicals are just beginning to catch up. The move from 97 to 102 was gamma-fueled, and any dip toward 100 or 98 may provide high R/R re-entry zones for CALL scalps or spreads.
No trade now unless we get either:
1. A clean pullback to 99–100 and bounce with confirmation (BOS/CHoCH + volume support)
2. Break and hold above 103.5 with strength — then scalp to 106
⚠️ Avoid chasing at highs without confirmation. Volume and structure will decide whether this is a dead cat bounce or start of a new leg up.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade with a plan and proper risk management.
Nvidia next possible move Hi traders what is your suggestion on this one?am looking at this bullish pennant and I believe it can breakes anytime soon note that this market is been controlled by economics n geopolitical this year soo far since Trump took the office he started trade war globally is not about who knows too much n who don't that's why you findout that things are going bek to were it was after tarrif is pause by that am saying everything we planned n analyst were good n moving accordingly until trade war started,that's the reason we don't only depend in analysis but in everything that is going on around the world wars,diseases n many more things does change very fast just make sure you are updated,soo I suggest you toom advantage of one company to own while they are pulling back don't fight with your mind mag 7 stocks they are all uptrend market don't be confused,understand pull back n were market is trending 😊 I wish you a profitable week
Where is the Nvidia ball bouncing?Good afternoon, at 15:48 p.m Nvidia is looking towards the up side. A sell off took place over the weekend (great deals).A swing up at least $3 in an accumulation or quick move up is likely. Decent entries to look for adding a steady 5% to 10% in a few days in this high volatile climate.
NVDA, CONFIRMED BAT, SWING TRADEWait for PA to pullback to VWAP after recent advance (100). VWAP may provide a good entry for a swing to TP2. Good risk to reward, stop just below lower band (light blue) loss = 1% of acct. 30% profit taking at TP1, exit at TP2 or if PA closes under TP1 after hitting TP1.
NVDA FVG 111.90 I can see now that it has started to move up after all the fakeness in the market. Clear FVG to be filled in the 1 hour timeframe. Price needs rebalance. I am expecting a bounce to 104 in order to cap on orders and move up to close out the FVG. From there we can see what price will want to do.
NVIDIA Chart with Advance Smart TP, SL, and EMA Trailing"Technical Analysis of This New Chart (NVIDIA 15-min, Heikin Ashi)
Setup:
Entry: 105.23
Forecast EMA: 103.02 (trending nicely upwards under the price = bullish support)
🧠 Key Observations:
The Forecast EMA result varies based on your settings and the selected chart timeframe."
Stop Loss: 99.97 (tight but safe under previous consolidation zone)
Take Profits:
TP1: 110.50 ✅
TP2: 115.76 ✅
TP3: 121.02 ✅
🧠 Key Observations:
Strong Breakout: You caught the move perfectly after a big consolidation phase (accumulation area visible).
Healthy Pullback: Small pullback after TP2 — healthy behavior, not a sharp reversal yet.
Forecast EMA Position: Price is well above Forecast EMA (103.02), and EMA is rising ➔ very bullish.
🛡️ Upgraded Trade Management Plan (for this chart):
1. If still holding the trade:
✅ Stop Loss Adjustment:
Now that TP1 (110.50) was hit, you should move Stop Loss up to your Entry (105.23) ➔ You are now risk-free.
2. Partial Take Profits Plan:
🎯 At TP2 (115.76):
➔ Sell 50% of remaining position.
➔ Activate a trailing stop for the rest.
🎯 At TP3 (121.02):
➔ Let the trailing stop follow.
➔ Tighten the trail after every new 15-min high is broken.
3. Trailing Stop Strategy After TP2:
📈 Trail the stop 2 bars behind the most recent swing low on the 15-min chart.
Example: If a candle makes a higher high and a higher low ➔ move stop 2 candles back to protect gains.
✍️ Special Notes:
If price suddenly drops and closes a full 15-min candle below Forecast EMA (103.02), it’s a sign momentum is weakening — you may want to close manually if that happens instead of risking trailing stop whipsaws.
Heikin Ashi candles make it easier to spot strong trends — watch for small-bodied candles (like dojis) at TP2/TP3 ➔ potential reversal signals.
$NVDA forming local higher low and above 20-Day SMA NASDAQ:NVDA has traded very poorly recently. Today we are looking at a daily price chart of NASDAQ:NVDA and we have seen many lower lows and lower highs since GTC Conference. After touching the ATH of 150 $, the price is making new lows and has recently touched the lows of 85 $ and made new higher low of 95 $. So, this marks a double higher bottom and now the at 105 $ is now above 20 Day SMA. This might mark a bullish reversal in my opinion.
So why not a trade idea on a Friday. #TGIF. I say we go long NASDAQ:NVDA here and now. Remain long if it remains over the 50-Day, 100-Day and 200-Day SMA. 200-Day SMA ist currently @ 125 $. If NVDA has a weekly close above 125 $ then we go all in on $NVDA.
Verdict: Long NASDAQ:NVDA here until 125 $. Keep watching this space for next levels.