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RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INCRIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INCRIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC

RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC

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RIVN trade ideas

How long will it take Rivian to get back to its IPO price?Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN), the budding electric vehicle maker, initially bank-rolled by the likes of Ford (NYSE: F) and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), is currently trading 80% lower than its peak since listing on the Nasdaq stock exchange. Bear in mind that Rivian was listed on the Nasdaq in November 2021, when you had to be very unlucky not to make money in the stock market, especially as a company working in the electric vehicle domain. In a sign of the jubilant (and bygone?) era, within days of listing, investor exuberance had pushed RIVN up by 115%, to US $170 per share. RIVN’s market electricity has fizzled in the following five months and could do with a recharge. The Rivian stock price is currently trading very close to an all-time low, at US $37.00, 80% lower than its all-time high. In contrast, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), a company which Rivian investors hope can be emulated, is trading 25% lower than its all-time high (US $1,200 vs US $900), which it reached in November 2021 (roughly the same time Rivian reached its all-time high). RIV only just begun As illustrated by its latest earnings call, Rivian has a momentous scope for growth. In its Full Year 2021 earnings call, which was released on March 10, 2022, Rivian reported its first bout of revenue, a tiny US $55 million against a cost of revenue of US $520 million and other operating expenses (mainly R&D and administration) of US $3.7 billion. Consequently, Rivian reported a total net loss (inclusive of all costs) of US $4.7 billion for the full year. The massive discrepancy between the company’s revenue and costs is a natural part of its growing pains. The automobile industry’s huge barrier to entry means that Rivian expects to be making a net loss for some time. However, it does expect to be profit-neutral by the end of the next financial year, and this might be what is more important for investors following the company. No fast-charging solution Rivian is still valued at over US $30 billion and far from a bust. However, it will perhaps take years for the company to charge its stock price back up to its IPO price of US $78.00. Even in the age of outsized valuations for EV companies and some residual investor exuberance in the market, investor confidence is butting up against obstacles such as the infamous chip-shortage affecting numerous car companies and tightening monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve. To hasten the process and to overcome some of these obstacles on its way back to its IPO price, Rivian may have make better use of its US $18 billion cash reserve and carve out more than its planned 10% takeover of the EV market by 2030. As it stands, Rivian’s total theoretical capacity at its two factories (600K) could garner 10% of the 2021 electric vehicle market. However, By 2030, electric vehicles sales are predicted to account for 1-in-2 vehicles sold, from a current 1-in-10. To account for 10% of all EVs sold in 2030, Rivian will have to boost production capacity to approximately 3 million vehicles per year. For interest, Rivian generated its 2021 revenue of US $55 million on delivery of 2500 electric vehicles. The company’s guidance for 2022 expects to deliver 25K vehicles, which is a huge increase on its current production numbers, but fantastically far from the number of pre-orders on its books (83K) and unimaginably far from its 10% goal of 3 million.
NASDAQ:RIVN
by BlackBull_Markets
4
How far Rivian Could go ???(2)On December 9th, 2021 when RIVN was 116.5 I put the target on 60-40 in the next couple of months..! 11 days after that I recommended shorting RIVN would be the best among TSLA, LCID, and RIVN..! Today RIVN touched 39.86..! But I think it will go lower after the earning because it did not sell anything..! Why? Because it did not produce anything to sell..! I think it will experience single-digit prices in 2022..! For short opportunity let first people cover the previous shorts in March..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
How Low Rivian could go???I think the RIVN chart pattern is very similar to HOOD and it could follow the very ae pattern and experience a sharp constant drop to 60-40 in a Bearish case..! You may think you have bought the next Tesla but Rivian can not be the next Tesla..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
14
New Target for RIVNWhen I compared Rivian with Hood 43 days ago it was 115, I set my target for 60 and now with the current momentum, I think there is potential to go to 30-40 or even lower! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
Rivian price action on the reversal of the market to longFib channel projection is an estimate, but it's based on all the key trend lines and levels that were tested on the way down. Safe investing in anything would wait for the spike and the pull back into April or May for buying. Purchasing the next dip is a "catching the knife" scenario. However, Rivian is showing a strong accumulation. The final push will be unclear. But I think my chart is accurate and will be going in at 35 or so.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by CaptainLogik
$RIVN - Ready to Make New LowsEarnings were not kind to $LCID. Lucid Group cut its car production forecast for this year by as much as 40%. The company cited supply chain constraints and parts quality issues for slashing production to between 12,000 and 14,000 vehicles, down from initial expectations of 20,000. “This reflects the extraordinary supply chain and logistics challenges we’ve encountered and our unrelenting focus on delivering the highest-quality products,” Lucid CEO Peter Rawlinson said in a statement. “We remain confident in our ability to capture the tremendous opportunities ahead given our technology leadership and strong demand for our cars.” It hasn't been much different for car companies across the world, EV or not. This brings us to RIVN. A stock that has been cratering from its highs earlier this year. They report earnings on March 10th. The same day CPI is released. Talk about a double whammy. Supply chain constraints remain and I expect RIVN to guide in a very similar manner to LCID. They are both in the early innings of their life cycle as companies and not as well equipped to handle inflationary and supply risks like the seasoned TSLA. Until this point I had not even mentioned the tremendous chip shortage. Expect RIVN to only make new lows from here on out with this inverted cup and handle setup as noted above.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by jaykenneyTRT
5
After hours sell off - low volume but still suspiciousNASDAQ:RIVN Bought a few 60 March 18 puts on the close. Rsi turning down. Oil price high so everyone going to buy a Rivian now? Hedge funds disclosed positions held in Q4 21 but does anyone know if in fact the positions are still active? So much hope here for a company that still hasn't brought a mass produced product to mass market. Probably won't for years and not to mention the intense competition from other manufacturers. When I see a huge market cap on little more than promises and hope for the future, I need to call BS lol. Please like and follow!
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by robbtronic
RIVN RIVAIN looking for entry point - possible scenarioAssumption the bearish movement starting from 180 USD is over: Correction as ABC wave: A ending at 107 (length 73) B ending at 127 C ending at 50 (length 77) --> A and C wave almost equal, this matches well --->invalidation under 50, this would mean a longer correction in WXY for instance This would mean, impulse wave is in formation 1st wave up to 70 USD wave 2 ongoing, for instance as an ABC again correction in 5 waves to 56 --> A wave B wave leading to double top around 71 C wave ongoing in 5 waves --> invalidation above the last highs --> alternative: the double top is a X wave, Y wave ongoing Possible targets for going long gap 59,34 fibo around 57 stop under 50
NASDAQ:RIVN
by FabienGo
1