$RKLB - Why I sell into strength.NASDAQ:RKLB Rocket Lab closed below the $6.60 resistance. The RSI just entered the overbought territory. The previous strong resistance area now acts as strong support. The measured move for the current base breakout is $8.
Why do I sell into strength on options?
Option premiums are inflated during an upswing. When the stock price stabilizes, even at the same level, the premium tends to fall. This is why it makes sense to sell covered calls or ordinary call options that you have during the upswing.
The challenge with this stock is that venture capital firms like Khosla Ventures often unload their shares when the stock gains momentum, effectively capping its rise. For instance, Khosla Ventures distributed 14.5 million shares on August 12. What do you think theyโll do? Their cost basis is pennies per share. Now that the stock is above $6, they can sell those shares and reinvest in other promising startups.
Given this, it makes sense to take advantage of wild swings like this. For example, 23 Aug $10 strike calls were trading at 90 cents per contract this morning. By the end of the day, they were trading at 20 cents. If you had sold covered calls this morning on your shares, you would have profited 70 cents by the end of the day.
Think about it this way: in the worst case, you still end up with a profit. In the best case, the stock comes back down, and you can increase your position size.
As always, you do you. No judgment here.
Have a great weekend!๐ป
RKLB trade ideas
Rocket Labโs Stock Surge: A Successful Launch Drives MomentumRocket Lab USA, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RKLB ), a prominent player in the space industry, experienced a significant surge in its stock price, driven by the successful completion of its latest mission in collaboration with Capella Space. On Thursday, Rocket Lab's stock soared by an impressive 12.55%, continuing its upward trajectory with a further 5.34% increase in Friday's premarket trading.
A Week of Success
This week has been remarkable for Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RKLB ), with the stock consistently rising as the company solidifies its reputation as a leader in launch services and space systems. The catalyst behind this surge is the successful deployment of a Capella Space satellite using Rocket Lab's Electron rocket. This mission, aptly named โA Sky Full of SARs,โ marked Rocket Labโs 52nd Electron launch and was carried out from their Launch Complex 1 on New Zealandโs Mahia Peninsula.
The mission involved deploying Capellaโs latest synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellite, part of its third-generation Acadia series, into a low Earth orbit. This satellite is a crucial component of Capellaโs Earth-imaging constellation, providing high-resolution radar imagery for various applications. Rocket Labโs ability to deliver precise and reliable launches continues to attract major satellite operators, strengthening its position in the global space industry.
Building Momentum
Rocket Labโs partnership with Capella Space dates back to August 2020, with this recent mission being the fifth in their multi-launch contract. Over the years, Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RKLB ) has proven its capability to meet the growing demand for satellite deployment, consistently delivering successful missions that meet the specific needs of its clients. The companyโs CEO, Peter Beck, emphasized Electron's role as a "reliable constellation builder," enabling operators like Capella to expand their satellite networks effectively.
The momentum doesnโt stop here. With nine successful launches already this year, Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RKLB ) is on track to achieve its busiest year yet in 2024. The upcoming months are set to be equally exciting, with multiple launches planned, including a record ten-launch contract with Japanese Earth observation company Synspective.
The Road Ahead
Investors are closely watching Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RKLB ) as it continues to secure high-profile contracts and deliver on its promises. The company's ability to maintain a steady launch cadence while securing new business partnerships signals strong growth potential. As Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RKLB ) prepares for its next mission, set to be announced in the coming days, the anticipation is building, with market participants eager to see if the company can sustain its current momentum.
Technical Outlook
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:RKLB ) has experienced a noteworthy increase in its stock price, showing a rise of 5.45% during premarket trading on Friday. This upward movement suggests a positive sentiment among investors and could signify robust interest in the companyโs activities. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 65, which indicates that the stock may be slightly overbought at this moment. Nevertheless, the RSI also suggests that there is still potential for ongoing growth in the stock, as it remains within a range that could foster further gains in the near future.
In conclusion, Rocket Labโs stock surge is a reflection of the companyโs consistent performance and strategic growth in the space industry. With successful missions like "A Sky Full of SARs," Rocket Lab is not only proving its technical prowess but also positioning itself as a key player in the rapidly expanding space economy. As the company continues to execute on its ambitious plans, investors and industry watchers alike will be keen to see what the future holds for Rocket Lab and its stock.
$RKLB - Sitting on Critical SupportNASDAQ:RKLB has only traded above the current resistance level of $5.80 to $6 twice since 2022. It has failed to break through this level seven times over the past two years, making it the most challenging resistance level to overcome.
For the bullish trend to continue, the stock must hold above the current critical support level. Many stop-loss orders are likely set around $5. Breaking below this level could trigger a significant sell-off.
For long-term investors, this short-term resistance and support analysis may not be as critical, but understanding these levels can be helpful for knowing when to dollar-cost average.
$RKLB Short-Term Bullish TrendDespite being up, a great deal over the past two months, we are in a clear uptrend, and I don't see it slowing down until we hit ~$7 a share. This could fail if some issue arises with the hot fire. But we still have room to run. Look for a pullback near the $7s to allow it to cool off/analyze whether it rejects, or we see a continuation.
RKLB Begins Uptrend
RKLB received a reaction from the support level it has been testing for 2 years and managed to break the downtrend it has been in for the last year.
I bought at 4.65 and I plan to add if it gives me the opportunity to buy again below 5 dollars.
The first target is 7.6. If it exceeds this level, the next targets are 10 and 14 dollars.
$RKLB - What's next?NASDAQ:RKLB Congratulations to those who loaded up under $4 and $5. With today's price action, the stock is up 63% from its all-time lows back in April.
So what's next?
Well, the stock hit the resistance zone today, with RSI entering overbought territory. (See white horizontal resistance line.) That is not to say we are in for a roller coaster ride. Remember, stocks can stay overbought for a very long time. I am hoping that momentum will push it above the resistance and consolidate above that resistance.
My target remains $6.50 - $7.
Rocket Lab USA (RKLB)RKLB was rejected at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the July through April sell-off. The stock has just benefited from a golden crossover of the 200-day SMA by the 50-day SMA. Now, the stock after testing the lower bounds of our Pitchfork model has exceeded the central trendlines and could run for the upper trendline. Relative Strength is excellent. The daily MACD is postured quite bullishly.
Target Price: $7.25
Pivot: $5.60
Add: On retest of central trendline and down to 21-day EMA.
Panic: Break below the 200-day SMA.
$RKLB Chart is setting up with 10%+ move today, on news.NASDAQ:RKLB is moving to the upside today (+10%) on news of partnership for 10 coordinated launches.
The space economy is a long-shot, but this a gamble I'm willing to take.
I chose to initiate this position to have exposure to more small and mid-cap growth tech companies, this one I really like.
I have detailed my long-term targets on the chart.
My position was initiated at $3.70 - $3.90 BUY target.
Another that I have been holding for a while is NYSE:JMIA , who has the opportunity for explosive growth as their native economy continues to expand.
I like to think of them as the Amazon of Africa...
RKLB: Ready for Lift-Off or Crash Landing? Rocket Lab USA has shown a significant bullish momentum recently, trading at $5.13 with a +0.98% increase on July 10th. The technical indicators point towards a strong buy signal across multiple parameters. The price action is currently supported by robust buying interest, evidenced by the bullish crossover in moving averages and positive momentum indicators.
Moving Averages: The stock is trading above its key moving averages (10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMA/SMA), all of which are signaling a buy. The 50-day EMA at $4.52 and the 200-day EMA at $4.55 act as strong support levels.
The Momentum (10) at 0.39 and MACD level (12, 26) at 0.16 indicate continued bullish momentum. The RSI at 64.65 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory but is not there yet, implying further upward potential.
The Ichimoku Cloud base line at $4.72 provides additional support, with the current price above the cloud, indicating a bullish trend. This further confirms the strong buying sentiment.
The average volume of 7.16M over the past 30 days supports the recent price movements, showing healthy trading activity.
With a beta of 1.50, RKLB exhibits higher volatility compared to the market, making it attractive for short-term traders looking to capitalize on price swings.
Current Trend: The recent breakout past the $5.00 resistance level suggests a continuation of the upward trend. The next resistance is at $5.25, and if breached, the stock could test the $6.00 level.
Forecast: Analysts have a one-year price target of $7.29, which represents a 42.12% upside from the current price. The optimistic scenario sees RKLB reaching as high as $10.00.
Trade Strategy
Long Position: Enter a long position at the current price of $5.13. Target the $6.00 level in the short term, with a stop-loss set at $4.75 to mitigate downside risk. For long-term investors, hold with a price target of $7.29, and consider adding more positions if the price breaks above $6.00.
Short Position: Consider shorting only if the price fails to hold above $5.00 and dips below the 200-day EMA at $4.55. Set a tight stop-loss at $4.75 to protect against a reversal.
Conclusion
Rocket Lab USA is poised for a potential upside, driven by strong technical indicators and positive market sentiment. Traders should watch for key levels and adjust their strategies accordingly to maximize gains and minimize risks.
ROCKET LAB 1st 1D Golden Cross in 1 year!Rocket Lab (RKLB) is up heavily following our last buy call (May 29, see chart below) and is approaching our $5.50 short-term Target:
Since however the Lower Highs trend-line is now a bit lower and the medium-term pattern since April's bottom emerged as a Channel Up (dotted), we lower this short-term Target to $5.35.
The key development of the week though is none other than the formation (today) of the 1st Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 1 year (since June 20th 2023). As a result, we don't expect the rally to stop there but instead to accelerate tiwards the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line. This is a seasonal rally that RKLB has done in the past two years during July-August. Our long-term Target is 8.75.
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$RKLB - Could be ready based on stage analysis.NASDAQ:RKLB Based on stage analysis, Rocket Lab is still in Stage 1, the bottoming or accumulation stage.
Towards the end of Stage 1, before transitioning to Stage 2, the uptrend, you should normally see higher-than-normal volume spikes like we have been seeing here for the past few months.
The stock could be ready for a run-up. ๐
$RKLB - Potential sentiment changeNASDAQ:RKLB Rocket Lab came close to its first target of $5 and closed above the VWAP.
This is the first time the stock has reacted positively to good news, which indicates a potential shift in sentiment. Although it's still early, the volume on this uptick and the oscillators support this sentiment change.
Closing above $5 could provide an opportunity to form a higher base, from which it could launch further.๐
Rocket Lab to receive new fundingLast week, the space company Rocket Lab USA, Inc. announced it had received 50 million USD in funding from the US government. The company plans to use this money to expand the spacecraft's solar panel production capacity.
Rocket Lab has signed a non-binding memorandum under which the company will receive government funding as part of the so-called Chip Act, which encourages the production of advanced semiconductors in the US. This law offers a total investment of 50 billion USD for the industry. The subsidies could give Rocket Lab an advantage over its competitors, accelerating its transition to high-volume production.
Let's review the technical analysis of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (NASDAQ: RKLB) shares to explore potential trading opportunities.
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, the resistance level formed at 4.95 USD with support at 4.30 USD. A steady upward trend began at the end of April 2024. Quotes are currently testing the support line. If a downward trend arises, the target for the fall could be set at 3.70 USD.
If the uptrend continues and the support at 4.95 USD is broken through, the short-term target could be set at 5.65 USD. In the medium term, the price may rise to 6.60 USD.
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ROCKET LAB Bullish break-out imminent.Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) has completed a Bull Flag pattern (green Channel), trading right below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been its long-term Resistance since January 24 2024. Based on its 2-year Cyclical pattern, the stock should surge aggressively if it breaks above the 1D MA200.
The 1D RSI is posting the exact same formation it had during the break-outs of May 2023 and July 2022. All formed after strong rebounds within the Support Zone.
In any case, our medium-term Target $5.50, which will be a test of the Lower Highs trend-line, similar to June 07 2023.
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$RKLB - Getting close to breakout!NASDAQ:RKLB Rocket Lab is attempting to break out for the third time. ๐ชThe stock has been on a hard-to-borrow (HTB) status at Schwab for a while now.
he $4.70 level is a significant overhead resistance because it is where the 200-day moving average and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) (orange) intersect.
For price targets, please refer to the May 20 post.