SBUX 10/1/2023SBUX
SBUX has been a volatile stock since 2018, a characteristic that tends to be unpopular among investors. Between April '21 and January '22, the price entered a distribution stage, forming a Head and Shoulders pattern. The breakdown of this pattern, along with a Death Cross signal, marked SBUX's entry into a downtrend.
The downtrend persisted until May '22 when the price found support at around $70. Subsequently, the price experienced a full pullback to the neckline support area of the previous Head and Shoulders pattern.
From December '22 through August '23, the price has been moving sideways, forming what appears to be another Head and Shoulders pattern. There has been a break of the neckline and a Death Cross signal, mirroring the exact price movement observed previously.
Entering trade short
Entry: 91.49
Stop Loss: 100.66, -10.02%
Target #1: 71.00, +22.40%, 2.23 RR ratio
Target #2: 51.36, +43.86%, 4.38 RR ratio
SBUX trade ideas
Stabucks forming massive 9 year triangle?Starbucks could be building into a triangle pattern of epic scale. Presently on the weekly chart, we are looking for an eventual rebound from current price levels which is roughly in line with low points from 2020 & 2022. The real breakout could be years in the making though, whereupon a potentially massive measured move higher out of the edge of the triangle. In the meantime the stock doesn't look that attractive. Maybe milk the 3% dividend and look for a move up to touch the triangle, say even $90 as a price target? The might sound nice, but it's unlikely to materialize in the near term. Bad news for the coffee giant could precipitate a further decline to the upper $50's. Add SBUX to your periodic watchlist, an uptick in momentum could signal a rebound rally trade, and a bit more confidence to get long somewhere in the medium term.
Starbucks: Deeper! 🐳
Starbucks recently moved lower into our Target Zone (between $86.38 and $68.39), where we anticipate the low for wave (B) in dark green. In the short term, the only thing missing here should be the completion of the subordinate wave (c) in magenta. So, we still grant the stock the space to head closer to the 100.00% Fibonacci. However, it is also 35% likely that our Zone will be undercut. In this case, we would anticipate the low of the alternative wave alt. (B) a little lower in the chart. In any case, as soon as the $89.73 mark is crossed, that will be an important confirmation for a successful bottom formation.
Something Brewing?
NASDAQ:SBUX Has had a tough week (dropping -17.7%), topped with a demand from the former CEO Howard Schultz to shift focus from the current data-driven business model to a customer-centric business.
With the above being said, I believe the coffee giant will recover amid rising competition from Dtchbros $NYSE: BROS and Dunkin Donuts $FINRA: DNKN_SHORT_VOLUME.
This is my strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see a large trade volume and volatility increase as the price drops below the SMA and lower band. The price is currently $73.11. We can expect it to reach a price target of $84.68 (test strategy here) before retracement or reversal, as the shares may be near overbought status.
This will give us a nice $11.50 profit per share.
Enter at price targets: $70.31 and $72.92
Hold for the price to cross $87.46 for uptrend confirmation.
Long-Term SBUX long after some stabilizationWith last poor earnings, Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX generates my favorite long-term signal for potential long-term buying (Bollinger Bands torn & RSI oversold on weekly basis)
If the company gets its problems under control, there could be a reversal soon
After such negative earnings, however, the price still needs to stabilize somewhat
The stabilization of NASDAQ:META in the second picture took a week (picture 2) and of NASDAQ:NFLX a few weeks longer (picture 3) until the bottom was found after poor earnings
I will take a closer look at the earnings and the reasons for the strong sell-off of NASDAQ:SBUX and will probably buy a larger position in the next few trading days
The ideal price would be between $65 (resistance from 2015 and 2017) and $68.39 (low from May 2022)
$SBUX Trending channelNot financial advice.
NASDAQ:SBUX will see if it gets rejected for a positive bounce at the bottom of the trending channel witch will align with the monthly candle on the first yellow line. if fails to do so next yellow lines will be the targets.
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thanks.
Starbucks Joins Forces with Podback for Coffee Pod RecyclingIn a significant stride towards environmental sustainability, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) has announced a groundbreaking partnership with Podback, a leading coffee pod recycling initiative in the UK. This innovative collaboration aims to revolutionize the way coffee lovers dispose of their used pods, making recycling effortless and accessible to all.
With coffee pod usage on the rise, environmental concerns regarding their disposal have been escalating. Recognizing this pressing issue, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) has taken proactive steps to address it. Through this partnership, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) At Home customers can now easily recycle their used coffee pods by simply picking up free Podback recycling bags at any of Starbucks' 1,250 coffee shops across the UK.
Once filled with used pods, these bags can be conveniently dropped off at any of the 6,500 Yodel drop-off locations nationwide. Additionally, Podback offers kerbside collection services for 1.5 million households in 21 UK local authorities, further enhancing accessibility to recycling facilities.
This initiative sheds light on Starbucks' commitment to sustainability. Jacqui Wetherly, Sustainability Director at Starbucks UK, emphasizes, "We are committed to our continued journey of reducing the environmental impact of all of our coffee products, from the beans to the milks we use and the way it is served." By partnering with Podback, Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) is not only making recycling more convenient for its customers but also significantly reducing its environmental footprint.
Rick Hindley, Executive Director at Podback, lauds the collaboration, stating, "Partnering with one of the world’s best-known coffee brands is a sign of the considerable progress that Podback has made towards establishing a convenient and simple way for people to recycle used pods." This partnership exemplifies the collective effort of both Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and Podback in promoting sustainability and responsible consumption.
Furthermore, all coffee pods collected by Podback are recycled within the UK, contributing to the circular economy. Aluminum pods are repurposed into beverage cans, while plastic pods are transformed into various products, including supermarket crates and building materials. Even the leftover coffee grounds undergo anaerobic digestion, generating biogas and serving as a soil improver, completing the recycling loop.
This collaboration between Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and Podback marks a significant milestone in the journey towards a greener future. By providing a seamless recycling solution for coffee pod users, they are not only mitigating environmental impact but also inspiring other companies to adopt similar initiatives. As consumers become increasingly conscious of their environmental footprint, partnerships like these play a crucial role in fostering a more sustainable society.
Technical Outlook
Despite the collaboration with Podback, NASDAQ:SBUX stock is down 2% trading below the 200, 100, and 50-day Moving Averages (MA). NASDAQ:SBUX trades in the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 16.99
SBUX Elliot WXY Double CorrectionSBUX continues its decline, which started on May 2023 at $115.48. It may be currently making the Y wave of the Elliot WXY double correction.
I expect this correction to continue until the range of $77.5-$83. I think this price range will be a great buying opportunity for SBUX when looking at the fundamental analysis of the company. After this price range, there may be a rally that will provide at least 15-20% yield.
Starbucks Faces Stock Slump Amidst Global ChallengesStarbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ), the renowned coffee giant, is weathering the storm as its stock takes a steep tumble following a downward revision of its annual forecasts. With shares plunging nearly 14%, concerns loom large over the company's future trajectory.
The primary culprits behind Starbucks' woes are twofold: a sluggish demand in the United States and a slower-than-anticipated recovery in the crucial Chinese market. Persistent weakness in the U.S. market, exacerbated by inflationary pressures and a shift towards at-home consumption, has affected the company's bottom line. The adverse impact of several rounds of price hikes has driven customers away from cafes and restaurants, opting instead for home-brewed alternatives.
Adding to the company's woes are external factors such as severe weather conditions in the U.S. dampening sales and geopolitical tensions disrupting operations in the Middle East due to the Israel-Hamas conflict. These challenges have further compounded Starbucks' struggles to regain its footing in key markets.
Analysts have expressed concerns about the prolonged nature of Starbucks' predicament, with Danilo Gargiulo of Bernstein highlighting the lack of clear signs of improvement amidst worsening macroeconomic and competitive dynamics, particularly in China.
Starbucks' ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) revised forecasts paint a bleak picture, with full-year comparable sales expected to range from a low single-digit decline to flat, a far cry from its previous optimistic projections of 4% to 6% growth. Similarly, the company has downgraded its per-share profit growth forecast to between flat and low-single digits, a significant departure from its earlier estimates of 15% to 20% growth.
CEO Laxman Narasimhan acknowledged the shifting consumer landscape, noting that customers are becoming more discerning in their spending habits, especially with stimulus savings largely exhausted.
The repercussions of Starbucks' struggles extend to its stock valuation, with its forward price-to-earnings multiple (P/E) trailing behind industry peers such as McDonald's and Restaurant Brands. This disparity underscores investor concerns about the company's ability to navigate the current challenges and regain its growth momentum.
Technical Outlook
Starbucks' ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) stock closed Tuesday's market trading within the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 14.96. Traders ought to be cautious of a trend reversal. The stocks' daily price chart indicates a long "Bearish Harami" candle stick pattern which accentuates the bearish nature of the stock .
SBUX Short Idea - Multiple Fib extensions convergingSBUX looks set to start a wave down to around $83 after a sideways ABCDE correction:
- 1:1 extension of the move down from 16 Nov 2023 to 17 Jan 2024
- 1:1 extension of the larger move down from 1st May 2023 to 3rd Oct 2023
- $83 is also strong support from previous consolidation in 2022
4/30/24 - $sbux buyer into print - vrockstar4/30/24 - vrockstar - tape seems to like these non-ai disruptable names w/ px'ing power, 22x fwd EPS (and growing) seems "cheap" (not really but compared to everything else). good fcf generation. good box open potential. they sell legal drugs. net +ve result here esp seeing the stock float in a bad tape means it's haven.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on SBUX:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SBUX Starbucks Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Starbucks: Ready for the descent? 🧗🏽♀️The Starbucks share price has fallen again in recent weeks and has now approached the important support level of $89.28. Primarily, we expect the turquoise-colored wave B to continue its corrective rise before starting its final descent to the green target zone between $86.38 and $68.39. Alternatively, however, it could already be working on this descent should it slide directly below support (40% likely).
Big Price Jump Expected For Tuesday A big price jump is expected Tuesday for SBUX. Based on candlestick analysis you can see at the bottom of the chart the first dashed line which is support. The green line above that is resistance which SBUX broke through today. The third green line at the 92.78 price line is the next level of resistance which SBUX has to go through in order to break out. We already had a break out today as labeled since we broke through that second line. We can expect a sharp jump in price within the first few hours of trading before it comes back down. It a second breakout does occur it will likely stay on track with the elliot wave which is a surge to $94 before the end of the week. We should expect pull back as indicated in red. The green lines that are vertical predictions while the horizontal lines are trend lines. MACD and RSI also show room to run further. Please comment your thoughts below. Follow if you like what you see!
SBUX To Test 3rd Level Of Resistance Possible Break Out?Starbucks continue to break through resistance. I was told it would not go up today by a user and they were incorrect. We had a nice 1% gain today and I am expecting SBUX due to rise again tomorrow based on the candlestick trend breaking through resistance 2. It will have no choice but to go up and test resistance 2. Even if resistance 2 isn't broken it will at least be tried. MACD is still in our favor while the triple confirm is out of our favor but I have never relied on that unless I am timing my buy ins on the minute chart. Hit play on my previous SBUX publication to see my accuracy. I am looking forward to more gains tomorrow.
SBUX Sitting Above SupportStarbucks is sitting above support and could break out to resistance 1 or resistance 2 on Monday 3.11.24. MACD proves growing bullish divergence while divergence+ shows bullish divergence as well. The Kurotoga cloud shows the downward trend based on resistance but current resistance is weak and the current candles are starting to break through. I predict a 1-2% price increase on SBUX monday 3.11. Comment below your thoughts. Will SBUX break out? Or will it follow its downward trend?