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SKILLZ INCSKILLZ INCSKILLZ INC

SKILLZ INC

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SKLZ trade ideas

Skillz Inc. Intermediate Outlook and Obstacles AheadBiggest issues facing Skillz Inc. as of today: 1. Valuation With a current valuation around $8B on TTM revenues of $230M, the Price/Sales multiple rests at 32, which for context is higher than any company currently indexed the S&P 500 as well as within the Nasdaq 100. Simply put this company in relation to its revenue is E X P E N S I V E, but can it be justified? With only 1 quarter of public earnings on the table many investors simply dont know. FY'21 Q1 earnings should shed more light on 2021 projections, future growth and will be crucial to determining and or justifying its valuation. 2. Wolfpack Research Short Report Wolfpack Research founded in 2019 notes itself as a financial research and due diligence investigation firm, helmed by Dan David; a Wall Street whistle blower well known for exposing many fraudlent chinese companies listed on US exchanges post the 2008 financial crisis. On March 8 Wolfpack released a report alledging that Skillz Inc.'s forecasted growth expectations are "entirely unrealistic", dog shit wrapped in cat shit if you will. The report further states that "its top games appear to be stagnant to declining, leading us to believe its revenue projections are farcical" . The report also went on to claim that "Skillz’s top three games — which make up for 88% of its revenues — had already peaked by the third quarter of 2020 and its growth story is falling apart in the first quarter of this year." The most brazen allegation however is claiming the NFL partnership they announced on Feb 4th is far overstated in significance, value and potentially entirely fake. The stock has fallen 34% since the report surfaced as investors have certainly taken heed. This places even greater spotlight on FY'21 Q1 earnings as any declines in revenue growth/guidance would give legitimate claim to Wolfpacks allegations. On the contrary an increase in growth on strong guidance could potentially render this report as null. 3. Macroeconomic & SPAC related Headwinds SPACs over the last 4 quarters have been all the rage on Wall Street and rightfully so as 2020 saw a 600% increase in capital rasied year in comparison to 2019. YTD 2021 SPAC related funds have raised $87.9B in capital already outpacing 2020 numbers. With recent FED talk of rising interest rates on the horizon many fear the true growth potential of other SPAC's like $SKLZ may not live up to their price tags, sending current investors fleeing to safer assets and keeping new money on the sidelines. A reversion to the mean is certainly to be exepcted. Post Earnings Bull Case - PT $24 Strong revenue beat above expectations indicating strong continued growth along with strong guidance for FY'21 and onward. Opens the door to back to $24 and onward. Bear Case - PT $14 Revenue miss or in line with expectations along with muted to weak guidance. Opens the door to $14 and potentially lower.
NYSE:SKLZ
by KennyLay
SKLZ FundamentalsI would say SKLZ is a risky stock but if your'e investing long term this shouldn't matter. They need to increase their revenue from more mobile games. They don't have a great market share. Nearly 80% of their revenue is derived solely from a few games. They have a good business model but they need to expand before I would personally invest. They're not currently generating a profit and they have negative free cash flow. These aren't signs of a healthy company. If they can beat the earnings calls several times in a row this could garner them attention. Global gaming market is estimated to be 152 billion Mobile gaming industry is currently worth about 70 billlion or approximately 46% of the entire industry. Mobile gaming market is expected to grow to 150 billion by 2025 which represents a CAGR of about 20% per annum. CAGR (compound annual growth rate). I think gaming is still a relatively young industry and has tremendous growth prospects. Thats a little rundown of SKLZ.
NYSE:SKLZ
by Moneymakero
1
SKLZ 1D March 8 - Wolfpack Research released a short report. The stock price fell about -11% on the day. March 18 - Public offering of 32,000,000 shares. The stock price fell about -9%. SKLZ has been heavily beaten down, currently sitting at roughly 60% down from all time highs. Cathie Wood/ Ark Invest added 745,700 shares to their position on Thursday, March 25, totaling just over 6 million shares. I will look to long this stock for a few reasons. 3From a technical perspective, SKLZ is sitting on the 200EMA on the daily chart . This is a significant support level . In addition, it is also sitting on the 0.786 fib level, which is another important level of support. We seem to be in wave 2 of a 5 count elliot wave which should be about 60% retracement from the first big move. leads me to believe that the ~$18 level could very well be the bottom.
NYSE:SKLZLong
by arusso11