SOFI trade ideas
Sofi my plan for the downside :)I wish we were up in the 20s and 30s like my friend Mr. Matterport (MTTR) but alas we can't all super cool and tied in with Meta...yet. How are you going to play the downside? My potential returns on covered calls would be invested in the discounted paper. I know selling covered calls isn't a great idea here in the 14-19.99 range in this volatile market, but DrDan must have more Sofi stat. If I'm going to payback these student loans to Sofi, I better figure out a way to make it happen. 10$ per hour resident salary is not doing it for me :) It's all love though. What's your plan?
Sell covered calls when the stock price gets to $17.50 - 18.50 range for a strike price of $13. Exp Late Dec or Jan. Pray to all holy cows that bank charter happens before or after this little adventure begins or ends.
SOFI gaining momentumLooks like SOFI is back on track in an uptrend. There are several catalysts ahead. Let's see if this scenario can play out. Next earnings can really push the stock to all time highs, because the business in all aspects has been doing phenomenal.
Caveat: This chart does not include any bank charter news that can push the stock temporarily higher. I think if bank charter positively pushes the stock up, traders will take profit and the stock will come down to its previous broken resistance to test it, and long term investors will step in, and then the stock will gradually go up throughout the year.
SOFI about to break out at $17.17?NASDAQ:SOFI intra day is trading at >$16 as I type this.
On December 10th SOFI was printing below $15.46
Since then, it has tested the $15.46 level twice since its initial drop below that level (a 20 calendar-day period).
Lets back up in time some for context:
On Nov 11 SOFI printed intra day at $24.63
Since then, SOFI has been trending downward and has fallen as low as $13.67 (on Dec 17)
Dec 03 was the first time since Sept 22 SOFI was printing <$15.46.
After consolidating in between the $14-15.50 range, SOFI seems to have broken out to the upside.
Historically (although a small sample of history due to it being a new stock) $17.17 will be the next major area of resistance if SOFI continues to rally to the upside.
Historically, SOFI has had 13 major upward/downward tests of $17.17 on the monthly candles, it is no stranger to this level.
Of those 13 attempts to break through $17.17:
Bullish Breakouts: 4
- Monthly candle open below and closed above $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle open and closed above $17.17
Bearish Breakout: 2
- Monthly candle open above and closed below $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle open and closed below $17.17
Positive Backtests: 4
- Monthly candle opens above $17.17
- Monthly candle either has a wick or body that closes below $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle opens below but closes above $17.17
Negative Backtests: 3
- Monthly Candle opens below but closes above (or has a wick in the case) that prints above $17.17
- The proceeding Monthly candle closed below $17.17
Overall Bullish reactions: 8
Overall Bearish Reactions: 7
Total # of Bullish runs: 3
Total # of Bearish runs: 3
The picture I am painting is the IMPORTANCE of the $17.17 level for SOFI.
Take-aways:
As SOFI moves above $17.17 and breaks $18.65 there is a high historical probability that it tests 24.63 or higher.
As SOFI moves below $17.17 and breaks below $15.46 there is a high probability that SOFI tests $13.67
SOFI's price action seems to be condensing over time very slowly and is trading within a symmetrical wedge pattern in its most macro sense.
SOFI's median price is (technically 17.54) but the $17.17(range) acts like a magnet, accelerating both bullish and bearish momentum
The chart is very Sine-wave-ish, the cycles are apparent.
Bulls as of now seem to have taken control and are looking to again test $17.17
Last thing of note: the wave-like nature of the stocks entire history is very similar to what we see in an accumulation/distribution phase B of a Wyckoff pattern.
My predication is that $17.17 is tested in the next 30-60 days and will signal a massive bull run to new ATH's under one condition: THE NATIONAL BANK CHARTER gets FULLY approved. If the bulls can continue momentum through Jan., come Feb. there MAY BE a chance that we get word on this news which would accelerate SOFI past 18.65 and attempt to break the ATH of $28.26. If the bulls lose control at $17.17 I would look to $15.56 as support.
This said, I will be looking at jumping into ATM SOFI calls (early) @ >$17.50 or OTM (late) at >$18.65
ATM Puts would be considered <$15.46
Of course, chart and news depending as that time approaches (if it does at all)
Not financial advise. Do your of analysis and DD before entering or exiting any trade of your own.
SOFI Bullish PotentialSince the covid low on 5th of March, The price action of this asset has made Higher Low's labeled as HL. The asset is currently gaining bullish momentum prior to a break within the long-term channel.
the bullish shark pattern and regaining of the old major support of this channel with great bullish volume are all indications of a potential bullish swing to the midline of this channel and even higher for the top of the channel labeled as MR (major resistance).
SOFI: Looking like a good buy right nowBullish divergance. Slight reverse H&S or triple bottom. Volume exploded over the course of last year. People seem to be really fond of the idea of digital banking in the near future. FUD aside. SOFI is going place. Definitely a long term buy at these levels.
Not trading advice. This analysis is strictly based on technicals
$SOFI Bullish Run Imminent Added some basic Fibonacci levels of retracement to further my opinion. However from basic price movement and these intense fluctuations over the last few months, from a technical standpoint this stock is primed, furthermore, fundamentally they are just as strong and have been reflecting this in quarterly and annual revenue growth. Get in now - I love this stock for a plethora of reasons.
Best,
Andrew Roupas
Looking for a wedge up in sofimore buying volume on the daily then selling volume. starting to close pretty flat. looking for a few green days here with a projection on the chart looking for about 16.39 and $17.05 or so to take major profits before opening spreads and waiting for a breakout but i think there will be some selling going on as this is now a highly traded stock imo. I love the company im bullish in general but again i love PLTR technologies and if anything happens those stocks going back to $15 bucks and Sofi $12. As for now i will continue to remain bullish.
SOFI $15 support. MACCD and RSI are at the bottom looking for a reversal Target $22-$25.
Q3 strong - revenue beat / + usrs//
KBW PT $21 , MS TG $25 (Overweight)///
"SoFi Technologies (SOFI) shares climbed as much as 21% on Thursday, hitting a five-month intraday high, after the online lender reported a narrower loss and higher revenue for the most recent quarter and boosted its 2021 revenue outlook.
Following the market close Wednesday, SoFi posted a Q3 loss of $0.05 per dil"- Nov 11
Institutional Ownership 43.91 %
Total Shares Outstanding (millions) 807
Total Value of Holdings (millions) $5,191
$SOFI - Potential descending triangle lower trendline reversalSofi has been testing the lower trend line inside a descending triangle. It has successfully held and bounced from that trend line 3 times prior and is expect to do so again.
Target 1 - $16.98
Target 2 - $19.12
Target 3 - $30
Risk - Price fall below $14.
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How to read my charts?
- Matching color trend lines shows the pattern. Sometimes a chart can have multiple patterns. Each pattern will have matching color trend lines.
- The yellow horizontal lines shows support and resistance areas.
- Fib lines also shows support and resistance areas.
- The dotted white lines shows price projection for breakout or breakdown target.
Disclaimer: Do your own DD. Not an investment advice.
SOFI back in demand zone, just closed warrant redemptionJust days after a surprise earnings beat in November, SOFI announced a warrant redemption which subsequently sent it tumbling. Yesterday, 12/15, they announced the warrant redemption was completed, right as it entered into the demand zone.
RSI indicates we're in oversold territory and there's strong support in the 13.75-14.25 area. Financial sector stock are poised to do well heading into the new year with inflation skyrocketing.
SOFI BullishAssuming the tech selloff is over for now Sofi appears to be in a good spot to benefit from a possible "Santa Claus Rally"
Price bounced off the $14, which has been significant support in the past and is now testing the weekly (up) trend line. Also the MACD is beginning to curl up, as is the Accum/Dist line.
D+ is moving up and D- is moving down signaling a possible trend reversal.
Short term target $16.51 and then up the fibonacci scale. Eventually this will return to previous highs and I feel it will be a strong stock to hold for the next several years.
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