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SpyThis post here analysis is more about the longer term picture (Months).. It's been awhile, so here we go. Lets start with TVC:NYA This represents 3000 stocks and gives a better picture of the market then S&P which is heavily weight tech. Weekly chart - We are at the top of a 15year resistance. Price slightly broke above it but was slammed back inside last week. As you can see the structure is a wedge and I believe that over the next weeks and months NYA will correct back to wedge support or 17,500 This drop will be 8-10% and weigh heavily on the broader market and cylicals Next up Is Dow jones or DJI Weekly chart is pretty much identical to NYA so the analysis is the same Daily chart My correction target is 38,000 Or 10% drop AMEX:IWM Surprised? Similar chart as DJI and NYA. Only difference was that parabolic move I circled that happen late Nov on the presidential election of 2020. Otherwise this 15yr trendline resistance has stayed resilient. We tagged resistance near ATH and I think we will get one more push back up to 236-239 before it's goodnight. Daily chart AMEX:IWM My pullback target will be trendline support or 208/210 price action which would represent a 14$ drop from ATH IXIC (Nasdaq) I'm charting the Nasdaq instead of QQQ/NDX because QQQ only covers the top 100 tech names while IXIC covers all tech Weekly chart Closed up near top of resistance of Weekly channel. I circled the fake breakouts and break downs. What was really bad about this week was the Dark cloud cover candle on the weekly .. This candle is pretty rare to see on the indexes; for reference I had to scroll back almost 10yrs and here's what I saw July 20, 2015 My target for the nasdaq will between 17,500 - 17,800 Which would represent a 10% drop from ATH. These are weekly charts and weekly forecast which means these corrections may take anywhere from 45-60 days to play out but I think it will happen before the election.. it's important to trade the time frame you are using. For example, you don't want to take this analysis and just start 0dte puts or buying weeklies.. like I said this may take 2months to play out. Also this is just the weekly, the hourly has now been severely oversold as a result of 3days of chop and 2 days of and I think the market will rally back up near ATH before the sell begins so don't go chasing shorts early.. imagine last week's leg down as the center line in a double top. I think early this week we'll rally up to make the right top. Afterwards we should chop for thanks giving and drop afterwards like so AMEX:SPY is 14% extended from its weekly 50sma. Last three times this happened spy corrected 8-10% within 30-50 days My correction target for the Spy is 540 or 200sma which would represent a 10% pullback from ATH So a summary of this post is, I expect a push to the upside early this week and then if the sell does not happen by Thursday then it won't happen till after Thanksgiving
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
5
$SPY November 20, 2024AMEX:SPY November 20, 2024 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY had a gap down. But did not break the recent low of 583.86 which I have taken as the starting point for current move. It took support at 200 averages in 60 minutes and started to move up. Noe for the move 583.86 to 589.49 to the fall 584.02 the first target is 592-593 levels as in box. In 15 minutes, we have 9,21,50 and 100 averages consolidated. So, for the rise 584.02 to 591.06 holding 586-587 levels, we target for 592-593 levels. 592-593 is important because it is also 61.8% retracement for the fall 599 to 584 levels. It is also 20 averages in 15 minutes. Hence, I expect a consolidation to happen between 591-593 levels today for a move tomorrow or Friday.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-21 : Harami Inside PatternToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will consolidate in a Harami-Inside day type of price action. In today's video, I highlight the continued potential for a price Anomaly event, even though we are seeing mostly post-election bullish price activity. I do believe the proposed Anomaly event is highly likely headed into the Thanksgiving & Christmas holiday season. Gold and Silver may stall a bit before attempting to rally further. Silver is not reacting similar to Gold, thus I have concerns that metals may stall a bit before attempting a bigger move higher. BTCUSD is on track to rally up to $100k - just as I predicted. Get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
9
$SPY November 19, 2024AMEX:SPY November 19, 2024 15 Minutes for the rise 574 to 600 it retraced back 61.8% to 584 levels. For the fall 595 to 583 it retrace 61.8% levels to 589.5 yesterday. The range give earlier buy above 583 for 589 590 is done. For the last rise 583.86 to 589.48 AMEX:SPY retraced 50% to 587 levels. So, holding 586 we will have a target 589-592 levels now. In 15 minutes 9,21,50 all is consolidated so I expect a move Upwards to 590 levels. Also 588.5 is 200 averages in 5 minutes.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-20 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat Down Pattern suggests the SPY & QQQ will trail downward a bit within the current #2 sideways flagging pattern. I believe this setup is indicative of a broader breakdown (Anomaly Event) playing out headed into Thanksgiving and into the end of the year. Gold and Silver are also moving in an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern - struggling near a Phase #3 (sideways consolidation) range. This move will resolve to the upside if my research is correct, yet we could also see Gold and Silver move into a very large Phase #2 type of EPP phase (Flagging downward). This could setup a very large upward price rally in Gold and Silver over the next 60+ days. BTCUSD is struggling to break to new highs. Although I see a confirmed bullish trend because of a recent new Higher High, I also see BTCUSD struggling to continue to make new highs right now. Because of this, I see some potential for a breakdown if BTCUSD is unable to rally to new highs within the next 5 to 6+ hours. Remember, price must always attempt to make new highs or new lows. Failure to make a new high means price must then attempt to make a new low. Failure to make a new low means price must then attempt to make a new high. These are the RULES OF MARKET PRICE ACTIVITY. Once you learn to use/follow them, trading becomes a bit easier to understand. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-22: Tmp-Bottom PatternToday's Temp-Bottom pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move downward - trying to find support. If this pattern plays out as I suspect, we'll see the SPY and QQQ move lower, with the SPY attempting to move to the 588-590 area and the QQQ attempting to move to the 499-500 area. I still believe the current setup promotes a breakdown in price based on the current Flagging formation related to the broad Excess Phase Peak pattern. Nothing tells me the markets are going to rally at this stage. Unless we get above the Peak levels of these patterns, the most logical outcome is a breakdown in price leading to a Phase #3 EPP consolidation low. Gold and Silver are starting to make a very big recovery rally - just as I suggested weeks ago. It is great to see this move in Gold - although Silver is lagging a bit. Silver will rally, but it will rally slower than Gold at this point. There is a real chance Gold could be trading above $3000 before the end of 2024. Buckle up. BTCUSD came within $1000 of my $100,500 target level overnight. WOW. This last $1000 move higher should be reached today. Once we get above $100,500 on BTCUSD, expect it to try to roll into a new pullback and setup a new EPP Flagging formation. That is what price does, it is either TRENDING or FLAGGING. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY: Charting the Path - Technical Analysis for Nov. 19, 2024Technical Analysis Overview: SPY (S&P 500 ETF) has been oscillating between critical support and resistance levels, with a potential breakout or breakdown brewing. Traders should prepare for significant moves as the price consolidates, providing scalping and swing trading opportunities. Price Action Insights: 1. Trendline Analysis: * A visible downtrend channel is guiding the price lower. However, recent consolidation around $587-$588 hints at a potential reversal or continuation. 2. Key Levels: * Resistance: $591.50 — Breaking above this could trigger a bullish move toward $601. * Support: $583.80 — A drop below this may lead to further downside toward $579-$578. 3. Supply and Demand Zones: * Demand Zone: $578-$583 — Strong buying interest is likely around this area. * Supply Zone: $590-$593 — Sellers are expected to defend this range aggressively. 4. Order Blocks: * Watch for price reactions in the $583-$588 consolidation zone, as it could define the direction for the next move. Indicator Analysis: 1. EMA Strategy: * 9 EMA and 21 EMA: A bearish alignment remains, but the flattening EMAs indicate a potential pause in selling pressure. 2. MACD: * The MACD line is attempting to cross above the signal line, signaling a potential bullish divergence. Game Plan for Scalping: 1. Entry Points: * Long: Above $588, targeting $591-$593. * Short: Below $583, targeting $580-$578. 2. Exit Points: * Focus on tight take-profit levels to secure gains within the defined ranges. Game Plan for Swing Trading: 1. Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $591.50 with confirmation of strength. * Target 1: $601; Target 2: $605. * Stop Loss: Below $587. 2. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Below $583 with strong selling momentum. * Target 1: $578; Target 2: $573. * Stop Loss: Above $588. Thoughts and Suggestions: SPY is consolidating near crucial levels. Scalpers can trade within the defined range, while swing traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before entering positions. Monitor volume and macroeconomic catalysts to refine your strategy. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
1
Bitcoin Breaks To New Highs - $100.5K Is The Likely TargetI created this short video to help traders understand how Fibonacci Price Theory works using BTCUSD. This move suggests that BTCUSD will attempt to rally above $95k and target $100.5k in the next trending phase. BTCUSD broke away from the Excess Phase peak Flagging formation (#2) very clearly today. At this point, there is very little downside price risk unless price breaks below $86.8k. I also review Gold/Silver and the SPY/QQQ to help traders prepare for the BIG SHIFT into my proposed Anomaly Event. Here we go.. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY LOVERS, BE READY ! This week, I decided to remove some objects I had in the chart history as references, which we’ve been analyzing, to make some space and clean up the chart a bit. After reaching all-time highs, the price has naturally begun a retracement. But what’s new in technical analysis? Let’s analyze the price together: In this case, I added an ascending channel where the price follows an upward sequence, bouncing between support and resistance. Here’s the million-dollar question: How much further can the price drop? If we look at the chart, I marked a very important line in red or maroon color at $575.12, which aligns with a resistance pivot and two indecisive candlesticks with identical volumetric bodies. Often, indecisive levels are key to how the market makes sudden decisions after an indecisive candle. In this case, if we pay closer attention, the indecisive level marked in maroon color is positioned exactly at the support of the ascending channel. This suggests how far the price might fall, and we could potentially see a rebound. For me, this would be the primary scenario. But... If the price breaks through this level, my second scenario would be a drop to the order block. Since this level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, I can validate it as my secondary inflection zone or "Inflection Block." You might wonder: What on earth is an inflection zone? As I’ve mentioned multiple times and explained in some of my analysis, inflection zones—or points of inflection—represent moments where there’s a significant change in the price’s direction within a trend, whether in a market, an asset, or an economy. On a trading chart, an inflection point is the spot where the chart changes direction or marks an important decision. An inflection zone can also be a historical area on a chart. As we can see, my order block is already being considered an inflection zone because the price has historically made key moves within it. and i called it "Inflection Block" (See the white arrows). Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE Best regards!
AMEX:SPYShort
by RocketMike111
SPY: Reversal or Continuation? Nov. 18, 2024SPY) is rebounding after a sharp sell-off, with price approaching critical resistance levels. With strong volume near recent lows, it’s a crucial moment for traders to watch for breakout or rejection opportunities. Here’s a detailed trading plan for scalping and swing setups. Technical Overview: Market Structure: Trend: SPY remains in a short-term downtrend, but the current bounce from the lows indicates potential bullish momentum. EMA Levels: The 9 EMA (purple) and 21 EMA (blue) are converging, creating a dynamic resistance zone near $590. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: $594.50 – Immediate resistance aligned with EMA confluence. $601.00 – Psychological resistance and key supply zone. Support Zones: $583.00 – Current support zone where buyers stepped in. $580.00 – Critical demand zone and psychological support. Supply and Demand Zones: Demand Zone: $580.00–$583.00, where buyers have shown strong interest. Supply Zone: $594.50–$601.00, where sellers have consistently stepped in. Indicators: MACD: Shows bullish divergence, with momentum building on the histogram. Volume: Increased green volume bars indicate growing buyer interest near $583.00. Pattern: Potential inverted head and shoulders forming, signaling a possible reversal if $594.50 breaks. Game Plan: Scalping Plan (1-Min and 5-Min Timeframe): Entry for Long: Buy if price breaks above $594.50 with strong volume. Target 1: $598.00 (scalp to mid-resistance). Target 2: $601.00 (supply zone). Entry for Short: Sell if price rejects $594.50 or breaks below $583.00. Target 1: $580.50 (psychological support). Target 2: $580.00 (demand zone test). Stop Loss: Long: Below $593.00. Short: Above $595.50. Swing Trade Plan: Bullish Scenario: Buy if price holds above $583.00 and breaks $594.50. Target 1: $601.00 (supply zone). Extended Target: $610.00 (potential breakout level). Stop Loss: Below $580.00. Bearish Scenario: Sell if price fails to hold $583.00 and breaks below $580.00. Target 1: $570.00 (next demand zone). Extended Target: $560.00 (potential lower low). Stop Loss: Above $584.50. My Thoughts: For Scalping: Watch for a breakout or rejection at $594.50 for momentum trades. The volume profile near $583.00 suggests strong buyer interest, so tight risk management is key for shorts. For Swing Trades: Price above $594.50 could signal a bullish reversal, while failure to hold $583.00 opens the door for further downside. Directional Bias: Short-term: Neutral-to-bullish if $594.50 breaks with strong momentum. Mid-term: Slightly bearish unless SPY reclaims $601.00. Actionable Suggestions: Use the $594.50 resistance and $583.00 support as key levels for entries. Focus on volume and price action at these levels for scalping and swing setups. Avoid trading within the $583.00–$594.50 range to reduce noise and increase risk/reward. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always use proper risk management when trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
$SPY November 22, 2024AMEX:SPY November 22, 2024 15 Minutes. The gap up at open was managed will and 584 is still holding up good. Now for the last rise 587.43 to 595.12 AMEX:SPY need to hold 590 today to continue uptrend in 15 minutes. I will sell only when AMEX:SPY goes below 589 for 584-585 SL 590.5 for today. The gap up made on 6th November is holding good and AMEX:SPY has taken multiple support last few days on top of gap. So far. In 60 minutes 584-585 is a good support so far and is also 200 averages. Having managed to attain 592-593 target, holding 590 i have a target 595 to 598 initially.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
SPY Analysis: Rising Channel Sets the Stage for Scalp & SwingSPY is trading within a rising channel on the hourly chart, suggesting bullish momentum is building. After bouncing off the lower boundary of the channel near $584, it has steadily climbed, reclaiming key resistance levels at $590 and currently testing $591.50. Volume has picked up, and the MACD is crossing bullish, signaling potential continuation toward higher levels. Key Technical Zones: 1. Liquidity Zone (Demand Area): * The area around $584 - $582 has seen significant buy-side interest, making it a key demand zone. * If the price pulls back, this zone may provide strong support for a bounce. 2. Order Block (Supply Zone): * Watch for resistance at $594 - $595, which aligns with previous price rejections. This is a likely area for sellers to reenter. 3. Support Levels: * S1: $588 (minor pullback area) * S2: $584 (demand zone) * S3: $581 (major breakdown level) 4. Resistance Levels: * R1: $592.50 (current intraday resistance) * R2: $594.50 (supply zone upper boundary) * R3: $600 (psychological level) Scalping Plan: * Bullish Setup: * If SPY breaks above $592.50 with increasing volume, scalp long toward $594.50. * Entry: $592.60, Stop: $591.50, Target: $594.50. * Watch for volume confirmation and momentum to sustain the breakout. * Bearish Setup: * If SPY rejects $594.50, consider a short scalp back to $592. * Entry: $594.40, Stop: $595.50, Target: $592. Swing Trade Plan: * Bullish Swing: * Long position if SPY holds above the midline of the rising channel near $590. * Entry: $590.50, Stop: $587.50, Target: $600. * Suggestion: Look for a daily close above $594 to add conviction. * Bearish Swing: * Short position if SPY breaks below the lower boundary of the channel ($584). * Entry: $583.50, Stop: $586, Target: $578. * Watch for weakness around major support zones for further downside. Indicators to Watch: * Volume: Sustained buying volume is critical to push above $592.50. A lack of follow-through could trigger a reversal. * MACD: Bullish crossover currently supports upward momentum but monitor for potential divergence near key resistance. * RSI: Approaching overbought territory; a pullback might be due if RSI crosses above 70. Thoughts on Market Direction: SPY is showing strength in this channel, and as long as it holds above $590, the bias remains bullish. However, resistance at $594 - $595 could pose a significant challenge, and any rejection there might lead to a retest of $588 or lower. Scalpers should be nimble around these key levels, while swing traders can look for a breakout confirmation or a breakdown of the rising channel for directional plays. Conclusion:
SPY is set up for a critical day, with clear support and resistance levels to guide both scalping and swing trading strategies. Stay flexible, manage your risk, and watch for volume confirmation to gauge the market's strength. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, and always use proper risk management strategies.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
SPY's Recovery: Amid Trendline Break for Nov. 20, 2024SPY is displaying a solid recovery after a steep downtrend, breaking key trendlines and reclaiming critical levels. As it inches toward overhead resistance, SPY offers prime setups for scalping and swing trades. Here’s a structured trading plan to navigate its next moves. Market Structure Overview * Trendline Breakout: SPY has broken a descending trendline, indicating a potential shift in sentiment toward bullishness. * Volume Analysis: Rising volume accompanies the breakout, signaling buyer interest at current levels. * Current Price Action: Trading near $591.40, SPY is consolidating just below a significant resistance zone. Liquidity Zones * Demand Zone (Support): $578.00 - $581.00. Buyers have shown strong interest in this area during pullbacks. * Supply Zone (Resistance): $593.00 - $595.00. Sellers may emerge here as it aligns with previous rejection levels. Order Blocks * Bullish Order Block: $578.00 - $580.00. Watch for buying interest if SPY retraces to this zone. * Bearish Order Block: $593.00 - $595.00. This area could serve as a profit-taking zone or short-term resistance. Key Levels * Support Levels: $578.00, $581.00, $583.95. * Resistance Levels: $593.00, $595.00, $600.97. Technical Indicators * 9 EMA & 21 EMA (Hourly): SPY is trading above these levels, confirming short-term bullish momentum. * MACD (Hourly): Bullish crossover with increasing histogram bars, supporting further upward movement. * RSI (Hourly): Near 65, suggesting room for additional upside but nearing overbought territory. Scalping Plan * Entry: Look for pullbacks to $589.00 - $590.00 for a quick scalp with confirmation from bullish candles. * Exit: First target at $592.50, with an extended target at $594.00. * Stop-Loss: Place a tight stop at $588.00 to minimize risk. * Game Plan: Use high-volume breakouts or retests of minor supports as entry signals. Avoid overtrading near resistance levels. Swing Trading Plan * Entry: Accumulate near $578.00 - $581.00 for a medium-term swing trade. * Exit: First target at $595.00, with extended targets at $600.00. * Stop-Loss: Set below $576.00 to protect against further downside. * Game Plan: Monitor for consolidation above $583.95 and use pullbacks for additional entries if momentum persists. Projection SPY is positioned to test $593.00 in the near term, with a breakout opening the door to $595.00 and eventually $600.00. Failure to hold $589.00 could see a retest of $581.00, offering a secondary entry point for longs. My Thoughts SPY’s breakout signals a bullish shift, making it an ideal candidate for both scalpers and swing traders. Scalping opportunities lie between $589.00 and $593.00, while swing traders can capitalize on pullbacks to the $581.00 demand zone. Stay disciplined, and let the price action guide your trades. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a financial professional before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights