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SPY trade ideas

SPY pullback from $600MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Buying calls on SPXU Buying Puts on SPY Price at or approaching top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26) Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level VBSM spiked positive Price near 4.618 Fibonacci level Buying SPXU or SPY puts when SPY tags $600 Target is $587 or channel bottom NO STOP LOSS Will hold to year end or until target reached
AMEX:SPYShort
by chancethepug
2
S&P 500 Market Update + Trade Idea and process AMEX:SPY S&P 500 Review I would like to start off by saying my previous post from October 24 outlined this correction almost to the exact T. From $585 to 565. That is a 20 point move. I say this not in arrogance or self conceit but to provide context. Combining Corrective waves Zig zag / irregular flat/ zig zag (missing) I believe we are still in a corrective phase in the market. For Ew followers I believe this would be called an irregular correction. it is a complex correction. I recently learned of this pattern from other great ew traders. Starting with a zig zag correction ( A B C) \/\ down up down - picture a ball bouncing from a higher structure and gradually bouncing lower. Then it rotates into second structure this one similar to the first but more momentous down up down. If I am not mistaken we are near ending the second leg ⬆️ up. that means we should be rotating ⬇️ down next. If I had to provide a Price target for the full last leg I would say back to 565 or lower. Now this could be completely invalidated there has been so much volatile price swings, however the more you know the better you can prepare. (Now the fun part) One thing I find difficult about trading is all the information out there. So many theories and data but yet it has no benefit to me if I cannot make a decision. As a new trader I would say a great chunk of the information out there does not lead to decision making. Trade framework💡 Let’s walk through a trade plan from start to finish. Assuming everything is correct where price goes in the short term is irrelevant. If it goes to $700 in a day doesn’t matter. A) I would be looking for reversals. 1. Using candle stick patterns ie. bearish Engulfing or evening star patterns. 2. triangle patterns ie rising wedge. 3. Double Top (huge reversal at a set level) entry on second reversal / entry on third confirmation candle. Stop loss slightly above first candle level. 4 Head and shoulders pattern That is it! B) I am targeting the areas of resistance. Questions to ask yourself. 1. What are some areas price gapped up from but never revisited. (Mark out the gaps). Trading into those zones. 2. What were some major resistance level before and has it been retested as support? Mark out strongest levels. 3. Where would buyers lose confidence. This is contrarian trading. Trading against the popular view. If I was a buyer & price reversed on me where would I sell? These are the area you should be looking for major moves your area of opportunity. (Tight stop loss). Stop loss should be tight. Re-entry is ok. Suffer 1000 tiny cuts vs a guillotine. 1. If price breaks above 600 & then fails I would be looking to open a short position targeting the 586 level. Multiple positions ie. open 4 positions Sell one before $593. 2 at 586. Hold unto final position - to see if price falls further. Sell for profit if prices bounces hard. Look for re-entry. #spy #500 #index Will create a video to go over my chart. NFA! Do what’s best for you.
AMEX:SPYShort
by coilemard
4
SUPER STOCKS 2023 notes & issues for POSiTiONiNG there are stocks driven by MARKET .. meaning float is out in the public that normally has a DRUNK price action with gaps and erratic volume there are issues with an assigned Specialist that can TRADE or CROSS huge volume without moving the price or go beyond a range RANGE highlighted ones have been decided by both the MARKET and the MARKET MAKER best of both worlds where artificial price meets the wisdom of PUBLiC Vanguard holds most or is the CUSTODY of most issues Citadel & the gang of 3 manages the FLOAT FUNDS are public PUBLIC is barometer for entry or exit of Sovereign and Trust Fund babies on a 3 5 7 10 year cycle determined by the FED's cost of printing borrowinng and lending note: Market Cap is dated June 22, 2022 ... Bottom are of MARKETS
AMEX:SPY
by senyor
11
Happy October!I think I have been around for... 3 Octobers so far? Probably, and each time I always do a themed post! Since October is my favourite time of the year. October also marks the beginning of the end. The end of a trading year at the end of this new quarter. And in the interest of going all out with different October themes and providing you with information into the year end, I suspect this will be a lengthy post, not simply talking about what to expect for October, but also talking about the bigger picture into the end of the year and trading year. I guess we can break it down, we can break it down to the short term, next week, the month then the EOY. The Short Term The short term (i.e. next week) is, again, looking bullish. Expect some downside days, but just generally look for bullishness. Momentum is lacking. Ironically we are experiencing price action I call "Zombie Buying". Most call it "grinding" but its zombie buying. What that means is, there is 0 momentum, low volume, but 0 reason to sell. So we have small buyers, like retail, buying because, well, there is nothing else to do, and so we get a slow and painful grind up. Its mindless buying, for no reason, so hence why I call it "zombie buying". You can see volume, while steady, has been lackluster. Its more than likely we will see bearishness at points next week. Outlook is more bearish on QQQ for Monday than SPY, so SPY may end up just grinding and trying to move higher, while QQQ sees a bit of a sell. But the motto remains to buy the dip. The immediate target for next week is a move back to 569.29. If we take a look at the last week's worth of Volume nodes: Those are our top POCs/volume zones that you can look for from last week's trading, with the lowest being at 568.68, which would serve as an ideal pullback zone. The best fit forecasted high for SPY next week is 577.60, assuming a bullish bias. And for the low its 563.62 assuming a bearish bias. The Larger Outlook, Month and EOY So, as we are in a new quarter, we have some new high probability targets. We still need to see 585 into EOY. 585 is actually the quarter point forecast, so that is great news! However, with the new quarter, we now have a bit of a bearish high prob on SPX as well: 5,657 is the SPX target. We have yet to hit it, so if we don't pullback into next week enough to remove it, and we run up to the 585 first, it will make for a nice pullback play towards EOY. If we run an ARIMA on SPX (Because I don't want to disrupt my SPY art already haha): The point forecast for SPX, over the next 75 ish trading days into EOY, is 6,232. This is a price of around 621 on SPY. Do I think it goes that high? Probably not, especailly with the lack of momentum we are seeing come in. But it is possible. With the gains SPY has already made, its hard to see how much more they push it on a Santa Rally, but I think anticipation of the low 600s, to 600 is not impossible. Its interesting as well because if we go back to my beggining of year post for SPY, these were the ARIMA results: 80% Confidence that the true high of SPY next year will fall BELOW 591. 95% Confidence that the true high of SPY next year will fall BELOW 633. 80% Confidence that the true low of SPY next year will fall ABOVE 433. 95% confidence that the true low of SPY next year will fall ABOVE 391. So we knew as early as January that 600s were in the realm of possibility this year. 591 is something I do anticipate seeing at this point. So what is the answer for the "longer term"? I don't see any downturn starting before next year. And by downturn I mean bear market, correction, whatever you want to call it. I just don't see it happening until next year. The immediate anticipation is the move to 585. From there, perhaps we grind up on the Santa rally to 591 and potentially 600 to snag closer to the 95% range. This would be enough to cause a correction/pullback, if not just another 10% crash. The outlook for next year will remain to be assessed closer to that point. As of now, these are the targets I would be watching. Downside targets remain inconsequential at this point, imo. I guess that's it! Safe trades everyone and Happy October!!
AMEX:SPY
by Steversteves
6
SPY: Watch Out For These Turning Points (D&W Charts).Daily Chart (Left) Resistance and Support Levels : Both $574 and $565 have served as support and resistance points in the past, and are good examples of how the Principle of Polarity works in technical analysis - when broken, support points become resistance points, and vice versa. At the moment, SPY is struggling near $574, its current resistance, which is very close to the 21-day EMA. If it fails to break it, $565 is its next stop. EMA and Price Action : The price has recently tested the 21-day EMA, and while it experienced a brief dip below this moving average, it has recovered. The EMA could act as immediate resistance if there is continued upward pressure. In addtion, the 21-day EMA is pointing down, reinforcing the short-term downtrend. Short-Term Pattern : The presence of lower highs/lows indicates weakening momentum, so keeping an eye on whether the price can break above $574.71 or fall below $565.16 is crucial. Weekly Chart (Right) Uptrend Line : The long-term uptrend is intact with a supporting trend line dating back to late 2023. This trend line, coupled with the current support level at $565.16, will be pivotal for sustaining the broader uptrend. EMA Support : The weekly EMA is also below the current price, suggesting a positive long-term trend. Any pullback to this level would still be within an acceptable correction phase. Conclusion: SPY is currently at a decisive point. If it manages to break above the $574.71 resistance, the uptrend could gain strength . Conversely, a failure to hold above $565.16 might trigger a pullback to the weekly trend line or EMA, materializing a long-term pullback (but not reversing the long-trend seen on the weekly chart, just triggering a sharper correction). This is a crucial watch zone for both bulls and bears to define short- to medium-term strategies. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
SPY Momentum Push: Key Levels for Scalping & Intraday TradingSPY is showing strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart, with a significant rally and potential resistance forming near the $600 psychological level. The trend remains upward, but overbought conditions may lead to a brief consolidation or pullback. Price Action Analysis: Trend and Momentum: SPY has been trending upward with a consistent series of higher highs and higher lows, maintaining support above the 21 EMA. The current price is hovering just below $598-$600, a key resistance zone. A breakout here could lead to a test of all-time highs near $610. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $598-$600. A decisive breakout above could trigger more buying, targeting the next resistance at $605-$610. Support Levels: First support at $583.27 aligns with previous consolidation zones. Secondary support around $579.47, where the 50 EMA is likely to provide additional backing. Key level to watch below is $567.89, acting as a strong demand zone if a deeper pullback occurs. Volume and MACD Analysis: Volume has been declining slightly as the price climbs, indicating a need for caution if a breakout above $600 does not come with increased volume. MACD is showing signs of flattening, suggesting potential divergence, which could hint at a slowing momentum. Scalping Opportunities: Long Scalp Entry: Consider entering above $598 with a tight stop at $596, aiming for a breakout scalp targeting $605-$610. Short Scalp Entry: If SPY fails to break $600 convincingly, a short scalp entry at $598 could target the $583 support level. Swing Trade Ideas: A strong breakout above $600 with volume could be a good swing entry, aiming for a move toward the $610 level. If SPY fails to hold above $583, a bearish swing trade setup targeting $567-$568 support is a potential play. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading decisions.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
$SPY November 5, 2024AMEX:SPY November 5, 2024 15 Minutes. For the extension from 539 to 575 to 565 AMEX:SPY made 61.8% of the move at 586 levels. For the fall 583.32 to 568.44 it retraced 50% to 575.5 levels. Now we have a sideways in box range between 575 to 567. Bias id down as AMEX:SPY below all moving averages. The positive side we have is for the lows 568.44 and 567.86 in 15 minutes we have oscillator divergence. Therefore, if I take the rise 539.95 to 586.12, I expect first target to be 563 being 50% of retracement for the move. Bias is towards short side.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
17
Mid To long term projection of the SPYGiven Donald Trump's recent victory, the market has felt an optimistic boost. This excitement, could be enough to overcome the current economical warnings that have been prevalent in the previous months. It's impossible to know if these excitements will be enough to send the market into a new and strong rally into overextended territories, or if the market will continue to complain about unaffordable housing, and sustenance. The future is always an unknown variable, however random variables do tend to follow their own distributions to a certain degree. It is always possible for exceptions to occur which prompt price action to get excited at already expensive prices. However, it is intelligent to always take a degree of caution when purchasing expensive securities which are still increasing in price. In these scenarios I suggest waiting for price corrections before purchasing and purchase in small amounts as price decreases to be able to purchase more at lower prices aka cost average. Given Trumps popularity, it's possible that people will become optimistic about the near future, however Trump still has a lot of rivals, which will stop at nothing to fulfill their agenda. The president will be faces with many new challenges these coming 4 years. I wish him the best of luck as he writes history once more. May God bless the future of America, its allies and it people. It's time to see the world change once more.
AMEX:SPY
by DarkMessiah777
Will SPY Drop Back to the $580s? Time to Consider Buying Puts?Is SPY Overhyped? The Election Bounce Might Be Over – RSI is Screaming "Take Cover!" Look, I get it – SPY has been on a tear lately, soaring like a hot-air balloon fueled by election hype and investor euphoria. But let's slow down for a second. The market's been on a wild ride this quarter, with volatility hitting levels that could make even the most seasoned traders break a sweat. Between the election results, market speculation, and everyone's favorite fear – uncertainty – it's easy to get swept up in the hype. But here’s the thing: it looks like SPY might be a bit too overbought for comfort. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is creeping dangerously close to overbought territory, which for anyone who's been paying attention is usually a sign that things are getting a little *too* frothy. Sure, a good rally feels great, but we all know what happens when everyone’s running for the exits at the same time, right? **Spoiler alert: it’s not pretty.** We’re staring down the barrel of Q1, and there’s no shortage of potential landmines. Rising interest rates, the fallout from whatever political circus unfolds next, and let’s not forget those pesky earnings reports that have a habit of disappointing just when you least expect it. With all this swirling, it wouldn’t take much for SPY to take a tumble back into the $580s, especially if the market gets a reality check. So, what should you do? Well, if you’re feeling a little wary of SPY’s relentless climb, maybe it’s time to consider buying puts. With volatility as high as it is, there’s potential for some serious upside if the market decides to retrace a bit. Plus, you know, better to be a bit cautious than regret not having protection when the tide turns. In short, SPY might have gotten a bit too cocky after the election results, and with the RSI flashing some red lights, it wouldn’t hurt to hedge your bets. You know, just in case it’s time for a little market correction – back to those sweet, sweet $580s. It’s a jungle out there, folks – better bring some puts for protection.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Premium-Flippa
SPY going up after the electionEven though the DAILY indicators have not changed, the 30 minute, the 1 hour and even the 2 hour indicators are shifting to indicate an upward movement. The rest of the hourly and daily indicators will soon follow. (I will post these 30 minute and the 1 hour indicators soon) I am using the Heikin Ashi candlestick as I find you see more of a definite trend on the candlesticks itself. Typically, you would wait to enter the trade until you see 2 green candlesticks. But I am a little bit of a rebel and I already entered today, which will probably come back to bite me in the ass soon! LOL! ;-) I use the MacD, DMI and the Stochastic RSI as my indicators. The SPY will move about 34 points which was the average upward move of the previous months and that hits the fib line of 1.618. I use the fib tool to get a general approximation of the target. So I estimate the target of the SPY at around 602. It will reach that target around November 21st or approximately a 14 day upward move, which has been the average upward move in the previous months. Around November 12th, the market will pause a little before heading back up to reach the target I have laid out as 602. Happy trading everyone!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
SpyLooking for 2 targets this week... My low end target is 565 support . Despite the early week movements price should start to fulfill the weekly bearish by early or late Wed. My upside target would be 580 once we break back over 576.. Seasonality belongs to small caps and the bulls , the only difference this year is we are coming into November near ATH vs traditionally being oversold at this point. 580-582 will be a 🧱 wall. Over that and 600 comes. Below 560 and 540 is next . My indicators are mixed.. some spell doom and some say a rally is coming to ATH for spy.. Here's an example Here's SPXU which is the inverse SPY. Spxu is showing a bullish wedge and when this goes higher spy usually goes lower Breakout just happened last week and the measured move would put spy at 540. So that's bearish but on the bullish side.. Look at your money flow on spy 3hour chart.. you see how oversold it is ? For as long as I can scroll back when spy gets this oversold a 4-7% rally occurs. And that's just 2 of my mixed signals.. There's more but I won't go into them. When my signals get like this I tend to limit the swings and trade whats in front of me.. With that being said, we'll tag 565 and 580 this week.. 568 will be short term support (50sma) 575 will be short term resistance (Gap). I don't think we'll get over 576 without some news.
AMEX:SPY
by ContraryTrader
3
Hey SPYLOVERS here are 3 Scenarios for this week check it out...Another week analyzing SPY's behavior correctly as we planned. I’d like to invite you to review my previous analyses of the price movements throughout the week, so you can see that I base my strategy solely on price action and institutional supply and demand concepts—simple methods that the price has respected. In this case, we won’t be seeing historical highs anytime soon. I believe we’re in a pullback where we need to monitor closely to see if the price might return to the order block I have around $563.60. This area is significant because it’s where the highest concentration of orders in the market is currently positioned. If we look at the last candle SPY closed with, although it ended higher than the previous one, it’s still showing selling pressure, so we’ll likely continue on the path of selling for a few more days. The key is to analyze the next move the price makes when it touches the order block: Here are 3 possible Scenarios. Scenario 1. If the price reaches this zone ($563.60), it might dip a little further as a fake-out before bouncing back strongly. Here, we need to pay close attention to the candlestick pattern that appears in this area. Scenario 2. If it respects the order block but doesn’t bounce with enough strength, we might be witnessing a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could later bring the price to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). Scenario 3. If the price breaks my order block with strength and volume, then we’re validating a CHoCH (Change of Character), where we could see the price move to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). No matter what happens, remember to always watch the candlestick pattern and the volume. That’s the main fuel behind the price's strength, and analyzing it this way will make your analysis more accurate. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RocketMike111
3
SPY What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 571.04 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 577.68 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
2
Technical Analysis for SPY (1-Hour Chart) for Nov. 6, 2024Price Action Overview SPY has been in a descending channel, reflecting a recent downtrend. The chart shows lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish sentiment, with price bouncing between the parallel channel lines. SPY is currently trading near the $568-$569 level, a minor support area where it might find temporary stability. Volume has been gradually decreasing, suggesting that sellers could be weakening, which might pave the way for a potential rebound or consolidation phase tomorrow. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Levels: $575.55: Immediate resistance, near the upper trend line of the descending channel. A break above could indicate a bullish reversal. $583.29: Higher resistance, where stronger selling pressure could emerge. Support Levels: $568.35: Current support. If SPY holds here, it may present a buying opportunity for scalpers looking to trade a bounce. $563.66: Major support at the channel's lower boundary. A break below this could trigger further selling pressure. Entry & Exit Points Long Entry: If SPY holds above $568 and shows signs of bullish momentum, consider an entry near $569-$570. Look for quick exits around the resistance of $575 for a scalp. Short Entry: If SPY fails to break above $575 and reverses, a short position around $573 with a target at $568 could be profitable. A break below $568 may signal further downside, targeting $563. Directional Bias Given the downtrend, the initial bias remains bearish, especially if SPY continues to respect the descending channel. However, if buyers gain control at $568, SPY could see a brief intraday rally towards $575. Traders should watch for price behavior at key levels to determine the direction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-4: Election Week Is HereGood morning, everyone. This video highlights why I believe traders should stay very cautious through the early portion of this week and into next week. My research suggests the SPY & QQQ will stay somewhat range bound this week while the markets move into a SHOCK phase. The elections are really going to take center-stage and even though I expect some reaction after the election are over - I'm not seeing any real trending opportunity in the SPY/QQQ until after November 20-25. Thus, I suggest traders stay in a 80-85% CASH mode and trade very small allocation levels over the next 2-3 weeks. There is nothing wrong with moving into a CASH position and sitting on that cash till the market show more opportunity for profits. Gold and Silver will struggle within a sideways range over the next 5 to 8+ days. The election event will likely drive some volatility in metals, but I see metals stalling out for at least 3-4 more days - trading in a sideways range. Ultimately the SPY/QQQ, Gold & Silver are going to attempt to break downward - away from the Phase #3 & #4 consolidation phase. I see that as the Anomaly Event I discuss in this video. Bitcoin appears to have already starting to break downward, away from the Phase #3 & #4 Excess Phase Peak setup. In this case, Bitcoin may be leading the global markets a bit and attempting to find the Ultimate Low over the next 2+ weeks. Still, at this stage, the best advice I can offer is move assets to CASH and wait out the consolidation in the markets. Again, I don't see the markets moving into any real trending until after February 12-13 and possibly as late as February 20-25. Buckle up. I think the markets are going to go into Anaphylactic Shock because of the election and post-election events. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11