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SPY trade ideas

SPY 30-Minute Chart Analysis: Bearish Channel FormingLooking at the SPY 30-minute chart, the price is clearly in a bearish channel, with each rally getting rejected and lower lows being made consistently. Let me walk you through the key details. What’s Happening: Downward Channel: The price is following a downward-sloping channel, which began forming at the peak near $563. Since then, the price has been steadily declining, with lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off the upper and lower trendlines. Resistance at $546.70: There was a strong rejection from the $546.70 level, further confirming this area as a key resistance. Every time the price approaches this level, sellers step in aggressively. Key Support at $539.60: We’re currently hovering just above this level. If we break through $539.60, the next key support zone lies around $528.44, which could be the next target for sellers. What I Expect: Bearish Continuation: Given the strength of the downward channel, I’m expecting more downside. If $539.60 fails to hold, we could see a further drop towards the $528.44 level. Possible Bounce: On the other hand, if the price finds support around $539.60, we might see a short-term bounce back toward the upper trendline, around $546.70, before more selling pressure sets in. Final Thoughts: Right now, SPY is clearly in a downtrend, and I’m watching the $539.60 level closely. A break below it could open the door for further declines, but a bounce from here could present a short-term trading opportunity. Stay cautious as the bearish momentum continues!
AMEX:SPY
by Deno_Trading
SPY 5-Minute Chart Analysis Targeting Opening Range BreakoutLooking at the SPY 5-minute chart, we’re seeing some clear bearish signals after what seemed like a potential recovery. Let me walk you through the main things that stand out. What I’m Seeing: Resistance at $554.41: The price reached a high of $554.41 but failed to hold, showing clear rejection at this level. This resistance has become a key point, as each attempt to break above it has been met with selling pressure. Drop to $541.77: We’re now seeing a sharp decline, with the price currently sitting around $541.77. This steep drop indicates that the sellers have firmly taken control. Failed Support at $548: Earlier, $548 was providing some support, but once that level broke, it led to a cascade of selling down to the $541 - $542 zone. What I Expect: Further Downside: Given the current momentum, I wouldn’t be surprised if we test the $540.97 level soon. If this level breaks, we could see a deeper drop, potentially targeting the $540 psychological level or even lower. Potential Bounce: If buyers step in around this $541 zone, we might see a short-term bounce. But unless we reclaim $548, I’m not convinced that a reversal is coming. My Takeaway: Right now, the price action is heavily favouring the bears. The failed break above $554 and the sharp drop tell me to stay cautious. If I were trading, I’d lean towards short positions unless we see a strong reversal above $548. Let’s see how it unfolds!
AMEX:SPYShort
by Deno_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-6 : Blended Top/Flat-DownHappy Friday. I believe today's pattern is a blend of yesterday's Top-Resistance and today's Flat-Down pattern. Because of this belief, I think we will see a moderate rally in early trading leading to a peak in price, then followed by a moderate flat-down type of price trend. This week has proven to be a bit more volatile than I expected, but it has not changed my expectations much in terms of where I believe the markets are headed over the next 90+ days. Price is dynamic and reflects not only fundamental economic expectations but also future performance expectations. This pullback in price is somewhat healthy (closing the gap) on the SPY chart to clear the way for further upward trending. Let's see how things play out today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
$SPY Tomorrow's Trading Range in SPY 9.6.24 All right, guys, tomorrow we have the unemployment rate in premarket, as well as the hourly wages report. As of now, we're right in the gap that opened when the consumer spending data was released last month, sitting at the 50-day moving average . Momentum from premarket reports will be huge. Directly above us, we have the 35 EMA, which has been resistance for the entire week—that's the red line just above where we opened. If we get above that, the first level of resistance is around 554, which we've tested twice earlier this week. The top of the implied move is at 556, with Monday's contract at 558, and at the very top of the implied move for the next two days, we have the 30-minute 200 average. We’re on this timeframe, so consider that as a key resistance point. At the very top, completely above our trading range for tomorrow, is the gap we started the week with, which pushed us away from all-time highs. To the downside, we have the one-hour 200 moving average, which we bounced on today. Beneath that lies the rest of the consumer spending gap. The bottom of the implied move for tomorrow is 543, and for Monday’s contract, it's 541. Underneath all of that, we have the four-hour moving average. Let me know how you plan on playing this. Good luck, and see you guys on Sunday night.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Spy Targets is Adam & Eve Double Top StandsHi Traders, Man this market has been crazy... I haven't had a good track record lately but always remember I do this for fun... and we are human and can't get them all right. I try many different things so anyone who says oh thats stupid or you got it wrong..sure... but many I did get right as well. Well this newest one is my down targets if employment data comes in bad tomorrow...mean if it doesn't hit projections... Last month this data was weak and the market sold off with the biggest vix launch for a long time. I think this market needs to come down... we are really high and bad data could send us on our way...and make the fed do a .5 cut instead of a .25. That also means a possible recession is on the way unfortunately which if you factor our companies ATH profits and stocks.. reality for most people isn't as rosy. Prices are high and wages are low if you can find or keep a job. Calling a top...is never easy...and maybe this isn't a top..or a local temp top..before we move higher one more time after a nice dip... Either way end game is getting close. I don't like how this market is reacting so I am mostly in cash.
AMEX:SPYShort
by TheUniverse618
SPY recent rally failed to make new highsLooking back at the last two major rallies we see that the latest one has not broken above to new highs. Raises concerns of longer term rallies less likely to happen SPY is forming double top reversal pattern Longer term future rallies called into question More defensive sectors are experiencing rallies over the past year (XLU for example) Defensive sector long term rallies shows rotational shift from risk assets (tech) to safer assets (utilities, healthcare, gold) Seeing signs of late cycle investing 2025 could be a rough year for SPY and especially tech Bullish purchases should be done with caution
AMEX:SPYShort
by ratchet-mint
Double-Top In PlayAs expected, SPY double-top looks to be playing out. I don't expect us to drop much lower than the pink ascending trendline. Maybe we'll touch that 200 dma before our full send. Let me remind you that the pink ascending tl is the neckline of a large cup and handle pattern on the bi-weekly, the target of which remains 650-700. This is still in play on the longer timeframe and as long as we don't break below the pink tl with confirmation on the weekly, I will start to buy back at or around the pink tl and down to the 200 dma. Batting 1000% thus far and hoping to keep it perfect.
AMEX:SPYShort
by stewdamus
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-5 : Top-Resistance PatternToday's Top Resistance pattern should reflect a moderate price rally, leading to a peak in price, then followed by a roll-over in price before the close of trading today. Follow my research. Remember we are using my SPY cycle patterns to help guide our future and current trades related to price action. These patterns are not 100% accurate all the time - but I find them very helpful in understanding how to prepare/trade related to potential future price swings. Again, outside news events, central banks/governments, wars and other massive events can disrupt these patterns for 3 to 10+ days. But, price always seems to return to the patterns over time. These disruptions are temporary. Get ready for next week's big rally phase. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-4 : CRUSH Blends Into Rev-RallyYesterday's price move was clearly a CRUSH pattern I expected on Monday. Because of the holiday trading schedule this week, I believe the CRUSH pattern blended into Tuesday's trading - resulting in today's pattern being a blend of the Rev-Rally pattern on Tuesday and the Up-Down-Up pattern for Wednesday. Overall, I believe the CRUSH pattern removed a lot of downward price pressure and set the markets up for a bigger upward move starting on September 9-11. At this point, I believe the US markets will attempt to find a base/support and transition into the end of this week by "looking for support—then rallying away from support." So, I expect the US markets to find a critical support level today or tomorrow, then begin to form a base and rally away from that support level. Let's play what is in front of us on the charts and Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
$SPY September 4, 2024AMEX:SPY September 4, 2024 15 Minutes AMEX:SPY opened gap down. Since close was not good in that bar buy was not possible. I did not short for the day. I need AMEX:SPY below moving averages 9,21 to short. That came only around 556 levels with 559 as SL. So, i was not sure of R:R hence no short. Now for the day the rise from 518 to 564 has 546 -547 as 38.2% retracement. It is also 200 averages in 60 minutes. So, 546-548 is the next target. Already achieved 549.5 yesterday. Hence for the fall 564.2 to 549.5 a retrace around 556 - 558 will be a good placed to short today. Having seen multiple tops near 564 levels i will go long only above 565 levels. No long today as AMEX:SPY below all moving averages in 15 minutes.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
$SPY - Say it isn't soAMEX:SPY We could be looking at a double top. I hope it doesn’t turn into a full-blown double top and reverses before breaking below the confirmation point. A complete double top would be disastrous, and I’ll post the drop target when we cross that bridge. Let’s hope, for the market's sake, that it isn’t one of them. Watch the $544 critical support area for a reversal. If it fails, we’re looking at the $523 to $512 area. As always, I share my opinions and trades. I’m not suggesting anyone follow my trades. You do you.
AMEX:SPY
by PaperBozz
1
SPY indicating more selling to comeSPY Today pulled back much further than anticipated after the volume price exhaustion on Friday close. We have now broken below key support and into bearish territory A pullback was expected today due to volume spike on friday close during a rally Sell off proved to be more severe and broke below key support Final trading period gave strong hammer candle with high volume Hammer candle indicates reversal from downward trend Due to firm break out I expect a bounce up to new resistance line followed by more selling off. Originally thought we were experiencing pullback in time from SPY with it trading flat. It appears now that it was a longer term distribution phase before selling occurs.
AMEX:SPYShort
by ratchet-mint
SPY: Doom and gloomLooks like we are at long term resistance. it is getting rejected multiple times. We already reached 1.61 level, we might retrace back 50% to $455 or $413. Look at the negative divergence in long term RSI, that's bearish. Any new ATH can be shorted I guess. As rates are coming down, we might make one more ATH and then we might retrace back to the support in the upcoming recession. New ATH is in the cards, but not written. Trading is better than investing as of now. If long term support breaks, I guess that's going to trigger a atleast 30% draw down from the peak. We still have time for that I guess. Cheers AMEX:SPY
AMEX:SPY
by MarathonToMoon
SPY: Reversing the Trend? |D&H charts analysis|Daily Chart (Left Side) On the daily chart, SPY has experienced a sharp decline after failing to sustain its upward momentum near the resistance level of $565.16. This pullback has brought the price back below the support level at $554.86, which previously acted as a resistance and support area. The 21-day EMA, which had been providing support, has now been breached, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The next significant support level is at $544.96, highlighted by the red line on the chart. This level corresponds with the previous open gap on teh daily chart. Remember, gaps work as magnets when the trend reverses. A break below this level could lead to further downside toward the $510.75 level, which is the next major support. 1-Hour Chart (Right Side) On the 1-hour chart, SPY has been in a downtrend after a failed breakout attempt above the $563.17 resistance level. The price action shows a clear breakdown from the support at $554.86, which had been tested multiple times before giving way. The downward momentum is evident as the price is making lower highs and lower lows. The next support level to watch is the $544.96 area, which aligns with the daily chart's significant support. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $554.86 (previous support, now resistance), $565.16 (major resistance on the daily chart). Support: $544.96 (critical support on both daily and hourly charts), $510.75 (major support on the daily chart). Summary SPY is showing signs of bearish momentum after a failed breakout attempt and a breach of key support levels. The 21-day EMA has been breached, signaling a potential shift in trend. The price is currently testing the $552 level on the hourly chart, with the next significant support at $544.96. If this support fails to hold, SPY could see a further decline toward the $510.75 level. Could SPY reject tihs bearish thesis? Yes, but it would need to make a clear bottom sign as soon as possible, and for now, we don't see any. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
4