ITS TIME TO SELL AS MANY 612 CALLS AS YOU CAN AND SHORT THIS BBITS TIME TO GET DOWN BB
Trading view asking me to not post a lot of capital letters because it seems like shouting is so incredibly soft.
SPY trade ideas
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-19-25: GAP Reversal Counter-trendToday's pattern suggests a morning GAP will lead to a price reversal in a counter-trend type of mode.
I read this as a potential that price will initially struggle to find a trend. Eventually, when it does identify a trend mode, I believe that trend will strengthen into a reversal of the current upward price trend.
Normally, Counter-trend patterns invert. So, what I would have expected as an uptrend would turn into a downtrend. But, the markets have moved into a very consolidated price channel near recent highs and volume has diminished strongly.
Because of this type of setup, I believe an aggressive breakaway or breakdown price move is pending.
Price will attempt to make a move - and when it does, it should be explosive.
My continued research, which I share with you in this video, continues to suggest price will stall out and revert downward.
We'll see how things play out over the next few days.
Gold and Silver are back near recent all-time highs. Stay cautious of a breakdown in metals associated with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ.
BTCUSD is still struggling to make a move. As you will see, I believe the dominant trend is to the downside right now.
In short, we are standing at the edge of a cliff regarding price action. At this point, we either grow wings and soar higher or fall downward - hoping for a soft landing.
Buckle up.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 19
ATH’s right in the middle and above that uncharted territory with 615 as the top of the expected move (615/616 bear call spreads?)
Previous resistance and 35EMA as support underneath us.
Red signal line.
Bull put spreads 608/607
$SPY🚨 AMEX:SPY Outlook
We are overextended here and failed to surpass major OB(s). The next leg down will be a wild ride, as we may fall below $590 heading into March.
The great financial switch to the Digital Financial System is upon us.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.19.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸🗣️ President Trump's Address: At 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 18, President Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech that may provide insights into upcoming policy directions.
📱🍏 Apple Product Launch: Apple CEO Tim Cook has announced a new product launch set for February 19, 2025. Speculations suggest it could be the iPhone SE 4, featuring a 6.1-inch OLED display and an A18 chip with Apple Intelligence.
📊 Key Data Releases:
🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 1.390M; Previous: 1.499M.
📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
One More Close and SPY Will be Running!!!Typically I share the signals of my King Trading Momentum Strategy, which combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even a little thing called Beta! But this time it is all about technical analysis. On SPY I originally thought we truncated wave 5 but now that we closed above the all-time high just one more close higher to confirm and this one is off to the races. Today it even retested breakout, held and bounced hard higher into close (super bullish). Impulsive waves are important to me with my momentum strategy, as instead of chasing missed opportunities I simply take the next signal on the hourly, as the strategy is optimized for over 100 beloved equities (if enabled in options)! There is always another trade when SPY goes impulsive! Currently signals have fired on TNA, SPXL, SOXL, TQQQ & UDOW (3x leveraged ETFs) just to name a few. If that doesn't make you feel bullish then I'm not sure what will!
SPY - Options Intraday Trade ideas, Am I correct?As I try to get better at interpreting data and execution confidently, I like Technical trading and starting to do better with short term options on indexes and mag 7, while using Leaps on many other stocks.
I only do Puts and Calls and some spreads, I am hoping to learn, from others and myself on execution and perspective...
This is NOT financial advice, Have a great trade and GTLA!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Post Market Update : Big Squeeze CloseToday is quite a day in terms of trading volatility and volume. We've not seen a low-volume day like today in the SPY for more than a year.
It is very likely this rally near the close of trading was more of a short-squeeze and not really a momentum breakout.
We'll see how things play out tomorrow. But, I'm not budging related to my expectations of a breakdown in the markets over the next 5-10+ days.
I see this market as completely over-cooked to the upside - and it seems to be evident in the lack of buying volume playing out.
My Custom Crash index is flat and topping. My Custom Volatility Index is flat and topping. My Custom US Leading Index is actually LOWER so far this week.
One thing is certain, there is a lot of open "air" below the 598 level on the SPY.
Buckle Up.
When it breaks - it may be a BIG BREAKDOWN setting up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Spy Road T0 $615Is it here? Yes indeed it is! We will see
$615 according to Me and The Trading Of Future Prediction, We may open Lower Tuesday Morning Approximately 604-606 Before pushing up to 615 this week... If you want to Trade and become a better Trader i suggest you watch the future of trading which the content is out now... So if your longing Spy at the moment be prepared for a possibly brief open to the downside before heading up and finishing to about 615 this week..... and as always good luck traders and safe trades
#SPY ANALYSIS - SHOULD YOU GO SHORT OR LONG?ANALYSIS OF SPY TREND. ARE WE GOING MUCH HIGHER FROM HERE?
are we showing weakness? were expected rate cutes priced in? are whales buying or selling?
should you short or long or stay out of the market? All this answers should be more clear after watching. Let me know what you think and how you are approaching this market...
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move.
My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23.
These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025.
Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events.
The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price.
I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025.
Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns.
I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength.
The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days.
Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 18
Expected move on the day is between 606 - 614
Expected move on Wednesday’s contract 614 - 615
30 Day average is a bit wider 603 - 617 so might not be a bad plan to find the midpoint as well. Everything between 615 and 617 is extreme overbought and likewise everything between 614 and 613 is extreme oversold on the day.
That downtrend line that is facing down is NOT downward momentum. Look to the Moving averages instead. 30min 200 MA is FLAT
We are just underneath ATH’s here and if we break above 614 is the next target on the day
Underneath us we have the 35EMA and at the very bottom we have the 30min 200MA which is FLAT
These two are bullish here after inflation data.
Bullish - but overbought - with Flat momentum.
Let’s GOOOOOOOO
SPY Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18Technical Analysis (TA) for SPY
* Current Price Action: SPY is in a strong uptrend, consolidating near $610, which is a key resistance level. The price is showing signs of exhaustion but remains bullish.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $610 – If SPY breaks and holds above this, it could see more upside.
* Next Resistance: $615 – Aligns with the 2nd Call Wall from GEX data.
* Major Resistance: $620 – A significant resistance level where price may struggle.
* First Support: $607 – If SPY pulls back, this could be the first bounce zone.
* Major Support: $600 – A break below this level would shift the momentum bearish.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $595 – Losing this level could lead to a larger sell-off.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Flat, indicating that SPY is in consolidation mode at resistance.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure):
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $620 – The most critical resistance area.
* 94.55% Call Wall: $615 – A major resistance zone that could cap further upside.
* 72.37% Call Wall: $610 – SPY is testing this level, and a breakout could be bullish.
* Put Wall Support: $600 – The strongest downside support based on options positioning.
* 3rd Put Wall: $595 – A key level to watch if SPY starts breaking down.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 13.9 → Low implied volatility, meaning options are cheaper.
* IVx Avg: 13.9 → A stable volatility level.
* Options Sentiment: Puts = 74.8% → A heavy bearish positioning in options flow, possibly hedging against downside risk.
Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $610 with strong volume.
* Target: $615, then $620 (Gamma Squeeze Potential).
* Stop Loss: Below $607.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
* Entry: Below $607.
* Target: $600 or $595 (Put Support).
* Stop Loss: Above $610.
Final Thoughts
* SPY remains bullish but is facing strong resistance at $610.
* A breakout above $610 could lead to a rally toward $615-$620.
* A failure to hold $607 might trigger a pullback to $600 or lower.
* Best Trade Approach: Watch for confirmation of a breakout above $610 or breakdown below $607 before entering a trade.
🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
Setting Up For Big MoveThe up and down motion is a clear precursor for a big move and while the current price action is up....but as yet with out big strong price movement up. As of yet we keep bouncing and moving up and yet not yet breaking any new big territory. A ceiling? Distribution and the load up of shorts for the big rug pull downward to fill the gap? Or consolidation and chewing and coiling before breaking out above. Tempting to choose the later. But my nagging intuition is telling me the gap fill below. Hard for me to jump in low for anything other than a scalp. Holding puts for the possible rug pull. I've been wrong many times before but there's no harm in placing small bets with limited downside for the possible big winner. Too high and too much resistance and gap fill below for me to risk the long (at least for me since I play SP500 futures). Time will tell.
SPY is forming a triangle ...My previous chart may still be valid, but I will build on it with a new chart. We are seeing a triangle formation with the tip forming on Feb. 12. We should see the market breakout, either up or down before the tip. (I typically switch to the hourly charts when drawing my triangle formations to get a more precise drawing. But oftentimes, that will make the lines on the daily chart not match up exactly.)
I am NOT a fundamental trader (I am a technical trader) but I find the technical indicators tend to coincide with fundamental reasonings or explanations. Donald Trump stated on Friday, Feb 7th, he will announce tariffs on many countries next week so it would make sense that the market would move next week following the announcement.
From a technical trading point of view, the market could go up or down closer to the tip of the triangle. Breakouts of triangle pattern usually occur 2/3 to 3/4 of the triangle length, so the SPY could move outside the triangle before the tip (Feb 28).
The triangle pattern is usually considered a continuation pattern which means the market will continue in the direction it was moving before the triangle started. This pattern should usually have at least 5 touches of support and resistance. (You can get any of this information from the internet.)
I think there are 3 aspects to trading:
1) Being able to read the charts so you have an idea where the market is going.
2) Being able to choose the correct trade strategy for the market conditions. You do not want to put a bullish trade when the market is bearish and vice versa. There are also certain trades where you can make money when the market is trading sideways with a non-directional trading strategy or a different trade if the market is extremely volatile. You can apply an iron condor, a credit spread, debit spread or butterfly trade depending on the market conditions. All trading strategies have their own risks and rewards.
3) Knowing details, both the positives and negatives about your brokerage which can really elevate your trading.
MORE THEORY … which I have stated before.
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks?
1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks.
2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better.
3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.)
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represent what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represent what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represent what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represent what will happen in the next week.
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering.
I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading.
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts.
I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of paying over $100 per course during the rest of the year. As well, you may be able to get access to Udemy through your local library depending on where you live. www.udemy.com
I always try to attend the free Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. I believe the next week long summit will be around April. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. www.wealth365.com
I really like writing up these charts and always learn something new with each chart I draw. The first one is always the hardest but I encourage everyone to draw a chart at least once. Drawing charts was one of the best things I did to improve my trading. Don’t be afraid to make a mistake. Mistakes don't need to be avoided or feared. They help move you forward.
Happy trading, everyone!
Retracement on SPY - loading put contracts Expecting retracement down to 607 if it breaks pass 604 liquidation it may fall all the way to 586 area to clear the large gap zone
Weekly Market Outlook: February 18 – 21, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation: President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China. These tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday, February 18, 2025.
🇷🇺🇺🇸 Diplomatic Talks: Senior U.S. and Russian officials are scheduled to meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 18 to discuss the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and explore potential resolutions.
🇩🇪🗳️ German Snap Election: Germany is set to hold a snap election this week, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) expected to perform well, potentially influencing European markets.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Tuesday, Feb 18:
🇺🇸🏭 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Measures manufacturing activity in New York State.
🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. President Trump Speech (3:00 PM ET): Insights into potential policy directions and economic outlook.
Wednesday, Feb 19:
🇺🇸🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Data on new residential construction projects.
🇺🇸📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting.
Thursday, Feb 20:
🇺🇸📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Weekly data on unemployment claims.
🇺🇸🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Indicator of manufacturing sector health in the Philadelphia region.
Friday, Feb 21:
🇺🇸🏭 S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Preliminary data on manufacturing sector performance.
🇺🇸🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Reports on the number of previously owned homes sold.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY $603 Support Trendline3 touches to the upside showing consistency on rebounds at the 608/609 area. Looking for a down movement to the $603 short term Trendline support area.
Markets are going PARABOLIC!AMEX:SPY SP:SPX : Jail Break!
🎯$630 incoming!
- Consolidation then breakout
- H5 about to flip green
- WCB thriving
- Volume shelf launch
Not financial advice
$SPY: price is heading up into resistance. Decision point.AMEX:SPY analyses are provided on three timeframes with the primary purpose of showing how simplicity & consistency may help to avoid mass media noise disruption and get a clear picture.
Currently, we have uptrends on a monthly and weekly basis. Simply following all-new swings, forming higher highs or lower highs, and higher lows or lower lows, we can see what the price is doing in reality, not in our expectations or mass media expert expectations, a ka forecasts. This exercise is useful for training your eye and providing a clear answer: where the price is NOW.
And where will the price be soon? First, it depends on deciding the exact timeframe, 1 sec, 1 min, 15 min, 4 hours, 1 day, 1 week, etc., and not to overthink things. It is funny, but not overthinking is not a very easy task, at least on my end.
For this theoretical exercise, the most fun is happening on a daily basis. Monthly and weekly are the lenses that help to figure out what is going on on a daily basis. The more possibility (not probabilities) right now is that the price will continue to rise. The detailed analysis is on the charts.
The sentiment data source is www.aaii.com And a cherry on the cake, we are in a very bearish environment right away, having a significant skew vs the historical average.
Why does it matter?
The answer is that when the sentiment is at its extremes, the move is likely to be in the opposite direction. I learned it by reading Twits by Linda B. Reschke, then checked on my own, and now I always keep an eye on this source.
Stay profitable!
No financial and investment advice here, only personal thoughts are provided for informational purposes only
SPY - 2 months CUP & HANDLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
═════════════════════════════
⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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SPY Entry StrategyConsider a tiered approach to capitalize on potential rebounds and corrections in the SPY. The proposed entry points are as follows:
603: This serves as an initial entry if the price demonstrates support and begins to bounce at this level.
600: If the momentum at 603 is not confirmed, a second entry at 600 may help lower your average entry price.
598: An additional entry at 598 can be considered to take advantage of a deeper pullback, provided that reversal signals are evident.
593: In the case of stronger downward pressure, entering at 593 may secure a more favorable price, assuming technical support is still intact.
Profit Target:
The profit-taking level is set at 615, which, combined with the entry levels, aims to deliver a favorable risk/reward ratio of 1:3. This means that for every unit of risk assumed, you could potentially earn three units of reward.
Capital and Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Always implement a stop-loss based on your individual risk tolerance to safeguard your capital.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Maintaining a minimum risk/reward ratio of 1:3 is highly recommended for each trade.
Diversification: Avoid risking a large percentage of your capital on a single trade. Ensure that your investments are diversified.
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risks, so it's crucial to perform your own analysis and apply proper risk management. Always trade with capital you can afford to lose and consult with a financial professional if needed.
Trade responsibly and good luck!
