T trade ideas
Buy The Coming Dip For AT&TOn March 31, 2017, AT&T ( NYSE:T ) crossed below its 50 day moving average (MA) while its 100 day MA crossed over the 200 day MA. Both events have never occurred on the same day. Historically the stock has crossed below the 50 MA 330 times and the stock does not always drop. It has a median loss of 2.239% and maximum loss of 25.170 % over the next 8 trading days. Historically the 100 MA has crossed over the 200 MA 20 times and the stock does not always rise. It has a median gain of 3.959% and maximum gain of 21.067 % over the next 20 trading days.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 45.0401. RSI tends to determine overbought and oversold levels. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving down.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 3.9504. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock is slightly moving down.
The negative vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.0906. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The current reading declares the stock is moving down.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 22.22 and D value is 18.62. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The current reading declares the stock is coming out of an oversold level, meaning the stock should go higher in the next few days.
Considering the moving average crossover, RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction appears to be heading down in the very short term, but up in the long term. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could lose another 1% over the next 5 trading days. After this drop, the stock could move up toward the resistance level around 42.50. From the close on March 31, the stock could gain 2% within the next four weeks. If bought near the anticipated dip, the gain could be greater than 3.5%.
AT&T at descending triangle resistance lineAT&T is currently forming a descending triangle pattern (look at weekly / daily charts for confirmation). It is also at the resistance line for the descending pattern on the hourly chart.
Wait for break of convergence pattern below and then enter short. Set your stop loss slightly above the middle of the convergence pattern to avoid false breakouts, and set your price target slightly above resistance to avoid missing your exit.
US Stocl AT&T, H4 LongBig move of price observer on Weekly chart. After correction price created good imbalances to continued move up. I place buy order below FIBO 61.8.
A little more room for AT&T to run upHistorically when the VI reaches this level, the stock rises an average of 2.77% more with a minimal move of 1.22%. If either of those occur, it would be part of a new trend. The stock is now above the previous channel that I have drawn. A commonly hit level is my forecasted move but it is roughly 0.79% from the closing price on December 21.
Historics do not lie, but they are ever changing. If the market continues its rally to #DOW20K then anything is possible. I am personally anticipating a correction in the near term hence my conservative movement for AT&T below the minimal movement ever seen in this situation.
T short tradeHey there!
Generally speaking, I'm testing my new trading system.
IMHO, it is a great experience to write down all your trades, as it is much easier to analyze them later.
Thus, I'm publishing my ideas here. It will be also great if some of my trades will help all of us to get some profits)
I'm also attaching my risk calculations.
Normally, my risk per trade is 3.5% per trade.
It is much easier for me to trade when I understand what is my risk per position.
P.S. Target area is changing depending on entries (as you could notice I use multiple entries). I'm going to update all the data inculding targets as long as the trade remains opened.
Cheerz!
ANOTHER 1% GAIN IN THE CARDS FOR AT&T?Historically when TSI reaches this level the stock climbs an average of 4.93% with the minimal movement of 1.25% over the next few weeks. My technical analysis has T at the top of the downward trendchannel which would signal an immediate retreat.
Both options could still occur in the near future which ultimately lead down, but not before quickly breaching the top of the trendchannel and immediately heading down.
Based on my analysis, the stock could move up to around the 42.70 level which is a commonly hit level from earlier this year. I would expect it to provide a conservative resistance level.
T near buy entryAccording to MACD, RSI and Stochastic, plus a pitchfork and Fibonacci, T's actual price would be a good entry level for a long term investment.
