The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next (chart)b]📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next
Video idea here:
Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know — we’re no longer relying on broken halving cycles or outdated narratives.
We’re now in the realm of The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a framework
Key stats
About ISHARES TRUST 20+ YEAR TREASURY BD ETF
Home page
Inception date
Jul 22, 2002
Structure
Open-Ended Fund
Dividend treatment
Distributes
Distribution tax treatment
Ordinary income
Income tax type
Capital Gains
Max ST capital gains rate
39.60%
Max LT capital gains rate
20.00%
Primary advisor
BlackRock Fund Advisors
Distributor
BlackRock Investments LLC
While taking a different approach from our benchmark, TLT effectively captures the far end of the Treasury curve in a liquid package. Exclusively holding bonds with 20+ years to maturity, TLT isby designvery sensitive to long-term interest-rate movements. The fund has higher duration than our benchmark, which holds bonds in the 10- to 30-year range. The fund changed its underlying index from the Barclays US 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index to the ICE US Treasury 20+ Year Index on March 31, 2016. This change did not alter the fund's exposure in a meaningful way. TLT is a great choice for investors who want long-term Treasury exposure.
Classification
What's in the fund
Exposure type
Government
Stock breakdown by region
Top 10 holdings
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next
Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know we’re not talking about your average halving theory anymore. We're entering a new era of Bitcoin cycle analysis — and this model may change the way we look at macro rotation forever
Potential Future Price Action for BondsA dip of TLT into the high 60's is certainly a possibility, and a prime opportunity for further accumulation.
These things come and these things go, do not be surprised and act as if you did not know.
The underlying economic indicators are certainly abysmal at this time and place. Pretending other
How Will Uncle Sam Strike Back? – U.S. Treasuries on the Edge📉 How Will Uncle Sam Strike Back? – U.S. Treasuries on the Edge
After covering leveraged loans ( BKLN ), junk bonds ( HYG ), and investment-grade corporates ( LQD ), we now focus on the most important piece of the U.S. credit puzzle: Treasuries.
Specifically, the long end of the curve — tracked b
Opening (IRA): TLT June 20th 79 Short Put... for a 1.61 credit.
Comments: High IVR. Starting to ladder out here, selling the 25 delta put ... .
Since I'm interested in acquiring more shares at 85 or below, I may let this run to expiry or approaching worthless (e.g., .05) ... . Can't believe it breaks 84.50 (which would be corresponden
New era: 'The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles'🏆 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR
Friends, today I’m sharing what may be the most important Bitcoin framework of 2025.
Forget the broken halving expectations. Forget the chaos of macro headlines.
What if the real signal has been here all along?
What if Bitcoin’s true rhythm follows
Is TLT Nearing a Rebound After Significant Selling Pressure?
-Key Insights: TLT’s persistent decline reflects heightened selling pressure
amid rising Treasury yields and bearish macroeconomic sentiment. Oversold
conditions suggest a potential technical floor near $84, creating an inflection
point for contrarian traders. Investors should closely monitor macro
Opening (IRA): TLT May 16th 84 Short Put... for a 1.59 credit.
Comments: High IVR; back in range of 52-week lows. Working both ends of the stick in 20 year+ paper with a covered call on one end of the stick, short puts on the other ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 82.41/contract
Max Profit: 1.59
ROC at Max: 1.93%
50% Max: .80
ROC
See all ideas
Summarizing what the indicators are suggesting.
Oscillators
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Oscillators
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Summary
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Moving Averages
Neutral
SellBuy
Strong sellStrong buy
Strong sellSellNeutralBuyStrong buy
Displays a symbol's price movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.