TSLA trade ideas
Expect TSLA to dip soon low 300s / high 200s....Lower highs and can see a constant break through SMA 65 and 10, more so than before. A bit of a support line around low 400s, but when it breaks (and it will) expect a 20-30% dip. Love the company and the tech, but it's too rich right now. Always do your DD and best of luck! You can use the inverse ETF to take advantage of this while the price is low.
TSLA Testing Key Gamma Levels! Critical Options and Price ActionTechnical Analysis for TSLA
* TSLA is trading within a descending channel but showing early signs of consolidation at $423.50. The stock has found short-term support near $410, with resistance levels around $438 and $460.
* Indicators:
* The MACD indicates potential bullish divergence, hinting at upward momentum.
* The 9 EMA and 21 EMA are narrowing, suggesting possible price stabilization or reversal.
Key Levels to Watch
* Support: $410 (strong demand zone).
* Resistance: $438 (near-term), $460 (next gamma resistance).
GEX Analysis for Options
* Gamma Walls:
* Positive Gamma Resistance at $460 and $488, indicating strong call wall resistance.
* Negative Gamma Support near $410 and $400, serving as a floor for price action.
* Options Oscillator Insights:
* IVR: 74.3, showing elevated implied volatility levels.
* Call/Put Ratio: Bullish bias at 88.1% Calls.
* GEX: -19.63%, leaning towards bearish gamma pressure, which could limit upside moves but stabilize near support.
Trading Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario
* Entry: Above $425.
* Target 1: $438, Target 2: $460.
* Stop-Loss: Below $415.
2. Bearish Scenario
* Entry: Below $410.
* Target 1: $400.
* Stop-Loss: Above $420.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage risks before trading.
Significance of a Simple Resistance lineGreetings mates, Let us deliberate upon the current weekly chart of Tesla. As it stands the price has resolutely positioned itself above a long-standing multi-year resistance level an area that also previously marked the stock's all-time high. In this context the significance of this resistance is magnified considerably. Furthermore, as today coincides with the final trading day of the month a close above this critical level would signify not merely a weekly triumph but a substantial monthly breakout, underscoring the bullish momentum.
From a technical perspective-: The price is positioned in close proximity to a significant resistance level suggesting the potential for a rebound either from this point or slightly nearer to the resistance. For any such bounce or reversal it is imperative that individuals adhere to their respective trading setups. Upon confirmation of the rebound the recent high of 488 can be established as the initial target on the charts. Furthermore should the price break above 488 a renewed upward momentum of approximately twenty percent similar to the movement observed following the current breakout can be anticipated. Fibonacci's important levels also sharing the same spot very well.
Following it's ascent to an all-time high in 2021 the stock experienced a precipitous decline losing approximately 75% of its value from that peak. However, it has recently managed to surpass that prior high once again. For a detailed analysis of the factors behind this dramatic trajectory I invite you to peruse my previously published insights recently the link to which is provided below.
Thanks for reading hope you like this publication.
Happy new year in advance hope you have wonderful trades in 2025 !
Best regards- Amit
$TSLA to $500NASDAQ:TSLA
$440 is our critical price point from here. Ideally, we test trend at $386, where we will gain support to trade past $440 up to $500. Autonomy and FSD alone puts Tesla at $300. Robotics is not even part of the equation yet. The $7,500 EV tax credit is set to be removed by Trump, so as that approaches, we might see pull forward demand on the EV side of the business.
"Don’t Delude Yourself": Elon Musk's Harsh Advice For TeslaBulls"Don’t delude yourself into thinking something’s working when it’s not, or you’re gonna get fixated on a bad solution." This stark warning from Elon Musk serves as a poignant reminder not just for his ventures but for investors and enthusiasts following Tesla. The allure of Tesla’s innovative spirit and its groundbreaking promises in self-driving technology and robotics has captured imaginations and driven its stock to impressive highs. However, a critical examination suggests that the company’s current trajectory might not be as promising as the stock prices suggest.
Firstly, Tesla's ambitious Full Self-Driving (FSD) capability continues to be a work in progress, much like the early days of a start-up experimenting in uncharted territories—not the polished product one might expect from a company valued as highly as Tesla. Despite years of development, Tesla remains significantly behind industry leaders like Waymo in terms of true autonomous driving technologies. Waymo, with its laser-focused approach on autonomy and years of extensive testing and data, has clearly established a substantial lead. Betting on Tesla catching up soon is more a gamble than a sound investment strategy.
Moreover, there is a significant cultural and political aspect to consider. The idea that conservative segments of the market, often characterized stereotypically as rednecks and Republicans, will suddenly pivot and embrace Tesla en masse is far-fetched. Market penetration into these demographics involves more than just offering a compelling product; it requires aligning with broader lifestyle choices and values, areas where Tesla has not traditionally held sway.
The optimism surrounding Tesla's AI robot, Optimus, also requires tempering. In its current form, Optimus is not poised to revolutionize the industry. Competitors are already showcasing more advanced and practical applications of robotics that overshadow Tesla’s attempts. The robot’s performance has not been encouraging, and banking on it to become a market leader is optimistic at best.
Considering these elements, Tesla's vision of dominating the robotaxi market appears overly ambitious. The technological lag, combined with regulatory hurdles and public skepticism, adds layers of uncertainty to this goal. With predictions like a less than 25% chance of Tesla launching its Cybercab before 2030, the company's future in this arena seems precarious.
Given these factors, it's an opportune moment for savvy investors to reflect on the wisdom of Bill Gates, who is reportedly shorting Tesla stock. The disparity between Tesla’s market valuation and its actual progress in critical areas suggests that the stock might be poised for a significant correction. Investors might do well to consider whether Tesla, at its current valuation, truly reflects its intrinsic worth or if it is, as Musk warns, a fixation on a "bad solution."
While Tesla undoubtedly continues to innovate and push boundaries in many areas, the pragmatic approach would be to prepare for a potential downturn in its stock value, possibly back to around $200. This would more accurately reflect the company's current state in the competitive landscape and its technological advancements, or lack thereof. As always, the key to successful investing is to see through the hype and base decisions on solid, realistic assessments of technology and market trends.
TSLA: Wave 1 complete?After a 4 year long corrective phase, we had a clear impulse move upward which signalled a clear break out, and perfectly executing the 1
618x fib extension.
It's possible we see a pull back from here as 2024 comes to a close. Final profit taking measures perhaps?
At any rate, look for supports on the way down for your buy signals. If we breach below 400, we may have the opportunity to buy as low as 300 (What a steal that would be!).
After completion of corrective sub-wave 2, the 3rd wave is typically longest and strongest and would potentially reach as high as $750+ with minimal pullback opportunities.
I believe 2025 is going a year full of surprises with many positive sentiment and catalyst's. The Department of Government Efficiency, FSD taxi's rolling out in California (🤞) and serious humanoid robot advancements, just to name a few...
2023 was the year for AI hardware, 2024 was for software, and 2025 will be for real world AI.
Best of luck, invest for the future!
Potential Tesla Supports It seems like Tesla reacts to the anchored VWAP on 11/06/24, the day Trump was declared the winner. I believe if the market continues to trend down I think we can see some possible support lines.
Tesla’s Next Move: $425 or $420 – Which Way Will It Break?Morning Trading Tesla is gearing up for a big move, and all eyes are on $425 and $420. These levels are the key to figuring out where the stock is headed next. Let’s break it down so it’s easy to follow.
If Tesla Breaks Above $425
This is where the bulls could take control. Here’s what to watch:
$439: First stop. If we clear this, it’s a sign of strength.
Above $439: Things could really heat up. Long trades make sense here as Tesla could climb higher.
If Tesla Breaks Below $420
The bears might step in, and we’ll be looking for lower levels. Watch these zones:
$417: The first area where buyers might show up.
$402: A deeper pullback, but still within range for a bounce.
$394: A critical level—if this breaks, we could see more selling.
$374: The big one. If it gets this low, it’ll be a major area of interest.
Here’s the Game Plan
Keep it simple: Watch $425 and $420. If one of these breaks, it’ll give us a clear direction. Don’t forget to plan your trades, set stop-losses, and stick to your strategy.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Tesla, other charts, or feeling stuck with trading? Send me a DM—I’d love to help!
Struggling with burnout, trading stress, or figuring out how to stay consistent as a trader? Reach out. I’m here to help you stay balanced and build a sustainable trading mindset.
Kirs/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
$TSLA Tradespoon - Long Entry $454.13Tradespoon model generated long signal for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) with 67% probability to stay above $454.13 today. Predicted range: $454.13–$499.45. Estimated change: +2.52%. NASDAQ:TSLA
Short Term Trading Strategy (LONG)its buying opportunity as we are very close to the big demand zone which rejected the price previously but look at the chart and watch the levels that I have mentioned
Short Term Trading Strategy (LONG)its buying opportunity as we are very close to the big demand zone which rejected the price previously but look at the chart and watch the levels that I have mentioned
TSLA Still bullish?A long upper shadow on the weekly chart can't hold back Tesla's strength.
Tesla has posted weekly candles with long upper shadows for two consecutive weeks, indicating significant selling pressure. Despite Friday's sharp drop, Tesla held firmly above the critical 415 level, closing at 431. This suggests strong buying interest around 415, further pushing the price higher and emphasizing the importance of this level.
Looking at the weekly chart, Tesla faces strong resistance during pullbacks at 415, 402, 385, and 360. However, from an upside perspective, aside from needing to digest overbought conditions and wait for moving averages to catch up, there appears to be little resistance ahead.
On the 1-hour chart, Tesla's price action shows a consolidation phase: it hasn't broken above previous highs (red arrows) but also hasn't dropped below recent lows. This points to a choppy, range-bound movement in the short term. If Tesla can maintain support at 415, the likelihood of continued consolidation is high, allowing time for moving averages to rise and overbought conditions to ease.
However, if 415 breaks, the consolidation range may widen, or we might see a minor pullback. Bullish investors should remain patient and wait for clearer signals.
TSLA at a Crossroads! Key Scalping, Swing, and Options SetupsScalping Analysis for TSLA:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
* Immediate support at $431 (put support from GEX and horizontal price level).
* Resistance near $440-$447.5 (Gamma resistance and call wall).
2. Key Indicators:
* 9 EMA & 21 EMA: TSLA is trading below these EMAs on the hourly timeframe, indicating bearish momentum. Watch for a pullback toward the EMAs before continuing the trend.
* MACD: Momentum is bearish, but the histogram is flattening, hinting at a potential reversal or consolidation.
3. Scalping Plan:
* Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: On rejection near $435-$437 or $440 (resistance zones).
* Target: $430, $427.
* Stop Loss: Above $442.
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Breakout above $440 with volume confirmation.
* Target: $445, $447.
* Stop Loss: Below $438.
Swing/Day Trading Analysis for TSLA:
1. Trendlines:
* Price is forming a descending wedge, signaling a potential bullish reversal if support holds at $430-$431.
2. GEX Analysis:
* Positive gamma resistance at $447.5 and $465 indicates sellers are dominant above these levels.
* Strong put support at $430 and $410 shows downside protection.
3. Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Swing:
* Entry: Near $430 on reversal candlestick or volume spike.
* Target: $447, $465.
* Stop Loss: $427 (below key support).
* Bearish Swing:
* Entry: Breakdown below $430 with retest confirmation.
* Target: $420, $410.
* Stop Loss: $435 (above breakdown zone).
Options Play with GEX Insights:
1. High GEX Areas:
* Call Wall: $447.5.
* Put Wall: $430.
2. Suggested Options Strategy:
* Bullish Play:
* Buy Jan 5th $445 Call if TSLA sustains above $440 with volume.
* Target: Move toward $447-$450.
* Risk: $435.
* Bearish Play:
* Buy Jan 5th $425 Put if TSLA breaks $430.
* Target: $420-$410.
* Risk: $435.
3. Options Oscillator Metrics:
* IVR is relatively low, indicating cheaper premiums for directional trades.
* Call Bias (88%) suggests participants lean bullish, but watch for volatility spikes near $430.
Insights:
* Price is at a critical confluence of GEX support and technical levels. A breakout or breakdown will define the next directional move.
* Risk Management: Tight stop losses are essential due to the proximity of strong gamma zones.
* Volume Confirmation: Monitor volume on breakout/breakdown for confidence.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk.
$TSLA EXPECTING SHARP PULLBACK FOR WAVE 4WHEN IT GOES UP IT COMES DOWN . tesla had parabolic run TO 161% PROJECTION WAVE 3 //now time for pullback ..keep an eye on MA50 AROUND $350 THATS WHERE 38% RETRACEMENT LEVELS FOR WAVE 4 FALL
TslaFirst
Weekly chart
Weekly candles here says a reversal is on the way back down
Shooting star followed by a long leg doji..
But that's not even the worst..
Monthly candle is completely extended outside it Bbands.. it wasn't even this extended in 2020- 2021..
When you see technicals this extended , one bad news story comes out and a 15-20% correction can come fast.
We all know ELON has attached his future and the immediate future of his company to the incoming presidency. But I just want to focus on the technicals...
Car sales are this upcoming week
And depending what the numbers are I think TSLA can see either 330 or 500..
414 is a crucial area.. that's the Previous ATH and the 20ma.. below that and we are looking at a double top back to the 50ma or 330.. like I said technically price should pullback to 330 and that would put price back inside monthly Bbands..
But let's say price rallies and pushes up to 500 , I still wouldn't linger long, I don't think we make it out of January with a flush back below 400
Tesla (TSLA) 2-Hour Chart Analysis: Buy OpportunityTesla is trending upward within a parallel channel, showing a strong bullish bias. The stock has experienced two rejections from the inclined resistance line and two bounces from the inclined support line.
(Current Market Scenario)
Tesla is currently retesting the support line for a potential reversal and a significant upward move.
(Technical Indicators Support Buy Opportunity)
The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is above the 100-period EMA, with the 50 EMA (red line) positioned above the 100 EMA (blue line). This bullish crossover indicates a buy opportunity.
(Trading Plan)
Buy Entry: 430
TP1: 460
TP2: 490
TP3: 530
S.L: 400
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Is Tesla's Stock Flying Too High?I think the stock remains sought after in shorter time cycles. So you want to make money but you don't want to chase the stock high and purchase it, you can choose a short cycle option trade.
TSLA Long Signals and Targets for the week of Dec 30, 2024Analysis: Signals Detected
My analysis identified the following key long signals and targets for the week of Dec 30, 2024:
Target 1: > 444.54
Target 2: > 467.14
Trading Plan:
Risk Management: Avoid excessive greed.
Profit Taking: Partially close positions upon reaching each subsequent target, unless there are further updates.
This strategy allows for securing profits while maintaining exposure for potential further upside.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This is ready to turn just look how obvious the short is 419-350The bearish sentiment from almost double top but worse still, a new forming chart of lower highs and higher lows onto the center line of the Bollinger but then solid support down until 350; look at early indications predicting this, like the curving downward nine ema and 21, the chart pattern, the downward moving stochastic and RSI the heikin-Ashi confirmation candle on the daily the MACD death cross the bringing it solid support areas right next to the support on the BB lower than the anticipated support line but then look at the trend it is in an upward trend. Hence, it can likely bounce below 419-412, and maybe two volatile candles bring it down before the strength starts to build, but the latter seems like it may or may not. The lower 400 is highly liked based on those scenarios.
TSLA: January CorrectionTSLA has risen well above larger SMA's and is due for a large correction in January. First PT is 385, then 336-326.
TESLA margin longLots of wild news going around. Wouldn't be surprised to see this stock claim new highs. Target 528$ no stop lose. There’s some unfinished business at the 786 fib, that’s where I’ll buy the dip around those levels.
