$TSLA RETEST $250 TO CONFIRMThe NASDAQ:TSLA experienced a rapid surge without any accompanying news.
It's expected to retest the $250 level, after which a further evaluation will be necessary to determine its next move.
SELL NOW AND BUY LATER
TSLA trade ideas
$TSLA - A Sustained Breach of $269 Opens the Path for A Gap FillNASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:TSLA - A sustained breach of $269 opens the path for a gap fill towards 250-244.
TSLA at a Decision Point! Will This Support Break or Bounce?⚡Market Structure & Price Action:
TSLA has shown a breakdown from its recent consolidation following a Break of Structure (BOS) and two Change of Character (CHoCH) signals. Price is now compressing downward in a falling wedge toward a key support zone around $260, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation setup.
* Bearish order block from the $290–$300 zone remains unchallenged.
* Current price action is hovering right at a support level with small-bodied candles, indicating indecision.
GEX & Options Flow Insights:
* IVR: 37.8
* IVx avg: 22.6
* Put Positioning: 71% (very defensive positioning by institutions)
* GEX: 🔴🔴🔴 (Strong bearish gamma exposure)
🧨 Highest negative GEX zone and Put support are stacking around $554–$550, acting as a gamma magnet and potential short-term floor if selling pressure accelerates.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Support Zones:
* $260.01 (current bid zone)
* $249.89
* $230 (lower wedge support)
* Resistance Zones:
* $275 (gap fill resistance)
* $291.83 (strong supply + BOS origin)
* $304.50 (major swing resistance)
Indicator Insights:
* MACD: Bullish crossover forming but lacking strong momentum
* Stoch RSI: Oversold territory, curling upward, hinting a potential short-term bounce
* Volume: Increasing on red candles, showing heavy sell pressure dominance recently
Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish Play:
* Entry: Above $264.50
* Target 1: $275
* Target 2: $291
* Stop-loss: Below $255
Confirmation needed via bullish CHoCH and break above descending wedge.
🔽 Bearish Play:
* Entry: Below $258 breakdown of wedge
* Target 1: $249
* Target 2: $230
* Stop-loss: Above $267
Watch for continuation if macro weakness persists and options flow remains bearish.
GEX Outlook Summary:
TSLA is entering a low-liquidity pocket with strong bearish gamma exposure. High IVR and heavy put concentration suggest institutional hedging, increasing the chance of a further breakdown unless buyers show up at key reversal zones.
Conclusion:
TSLA is at a make-or-break zone. If bulls can reclaim $265+, we may see a relief bounce. However, bearish options pressure and gamma positioning suggest the path of least resistance could still be down, especially toward $250.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk wisely.
LONGTesla reached +487 points from the primary low, we made several publications about this level and what lies above and below it, the significance of this level and when they show up on time and price schedules.
Below are some shots of this monster level
We would take a tight long entries with targets at 385 price level.
Manage risk responsibly
$TSLA - Just watch for nowNASDAQ:TSLA is currently sitting on a support level. If it fails, it could revisit a recent low around the $210 area. The range from $260 to $210 is a demand zone.
In a bullish case, it breaks out of that channel and travels to the $330 area.
In a bearish case, it could retest the trendline around the $180 area.
Tesla's Tipping Point: The $662 Bet That Could Return $12K TSLA bearish play thesis focused on buying 2 contracts of the $190 PUT (May 2, 2025) at $3.31 each. This version scales up all profit/loss values and ROI calculations to reflect a 2-contract position (i.e., 200 shares total).
🧠 TSLA Bearish Earnings Thesis – 2 Contract Play
Earnings Date: April 28, 2025
Option Expiration: May 2, 2025
Strategy: Buy 2x TSLA $190 PUTs @ $3.31
Total Cost (Premium Paid): $662 ($3.31 × 100 × 2)
Breakeven: $186.69
Thesis: Multiple Converging Catalysts Suggest Sharp Downside Risk
Tesla is facing a perfect storm of fundamental, technical, and sentiment-driven challenges. These create a highly asymmetric opportunity for short-dated PUT buyers heading into earnings.
⚠️ 1. Earnings Risk – Underperformance Expected
Delivery Misses: Q1 delivery numbers fell short of analyst expectations. Slower ramp in key markets like China and Europe due to economic slowdowns.
Margin Compression: Aggressive price cuts to maintain volume are eating into margins. Expectations for gross margin contraction YoY are high.
Disrupted Guidance: Potential downside revision to full-year forecasts as competition heats up (BYD, Ford, Rivian, etc.).
❝ Street is pricing in perfection. Any earnings or margin disappointment could send shares sharply lower. ❞
🧨 2. Brand Boycotts & Political Fallout
Public Backlash: Tesla faces intensifying boycott pressure in parts of Europe and the U.S. due to Elon Musk's political affiliations and controversial stances.
Brand Dilution: Musk’s polarizing presence has damaged Tesla's once-premium EV image. High-income, eco-conscious buyers are switching brands.
Retail Sentiment Shift: Reddit, X (formerly Twitter), and retail forums show sharp decline in "diamond hand" loyalty.
❝ Tesla’s brand equity is eroding. Negative sentiment is now a structural overhang. ❞
🔺 3. Headline Volatility – The “Musk Premium” Now a Liability
SEC & DOJ Scrutiny: Multiple ongoing investigations. Any bad headline can crash the stock.
X (Twitter) Overhang: Distraction and capital risk tied to Musk’s ownership of X are ongoing market concerns.
AI Pivot Uncertainty: Musk’s recent AI pushes have created confusion about Tesla’s core vision, with no clear monetization path.
❝ Musk headlines, once a tailwind, are now a systemic volatility trigger. ❞
📊 Modeled P&L for 2 Contracts
TSLA Price on May 2 % Drop Option Value per Contract Total Value (x2) Net Profit ROI (%)
$220 -16.5% $30.00 $6,000 $5,338 806%
$210 -20.3% $40.00 $8,000 $7,338 1,108%
$200 -24.1% $50.00 $10,000 $9,338 1,410%
$190 -27.9% $60.00 $12,000 $11,338 1,712%
$186.69 (Breakeven) -29.2% $63.31 $12,662 $12,000 1,812%
$263.55 (No drop) 0% $0.00 $0 - $662 -100%
💡 Strategy Recap – 2 Contract Position
Metric Value
Strike $190 PUT
Contracts 2
Premium $3.31 × 100 × 2 = $662
Breakeven $186.69
Max Risk $662
Max Reward $12,662
Reward/Risk Ratio ~19:1
✅ Final Thesis (2 Contracts)
"With $662 risked, a move to $200–$210 can yield ~$8,000. A move to $190 or below offers potential returns of over $11,000, making this a powerful short-term asymmetric play post-earnings. While risky, it’s tightly capped with a clearly defined thesis."
TSLA - Rebound From Major SupportBullish Divergence along with Marubuzo candle formed.
High Probability for a bullish breakout
What Do You Think
HammeringWe are holding above a 2 year old resistance. It had extensively been exceeded in November last year and as fast retraced this year so far.
This looks as we have reached a level of market balance now.
The candle stick Hammer may now hammer out this resistance as the new long term bottom.
TSLA. Are we buying the dip?Retest on weekly/monthly trendline with clear as day bounce. Market sentiment shifted today with it being one of the best days since 2008 I believe. I consider i’m all in on a swing.
TSLA | Long | Technical Buy Zone + Volume Spike | (April 9, 2025
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Tesla is pulling back into a strong demand zone with rising volume, signaling potential accumulation. While fundamentally overvalued, the technicals show this could be a high reward-risk trade if price retests lower levels.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long (if retest happens)
Entry Zone: $220 – $223 (ideal buy zone on a potential pullback)
Stop Loss: Below $206 (breakdown from structure and invalidation of support)
TP: $440.36 (2x reward-to-risk potential)
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:15 (based on current setup)
Status: Not yet in position — watching for a retest into support zone
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Significant buy-side volume showing up around current levels
✅ Buy signals and price action bouncing from higher-timeframe demand
✅ Although TSLA is widely viewed as fundamentally overvalued, technical setups like this can still offer solid short- to mid-term returns
❌ Invalidation is clearly below $206 — that breaks the thesis and the base
📉 Waiting for confirmation of a pullback and bounce before entering; chasing here isn't ideal for the reward-risk profile
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
Watching price closely for a potential re-entry toward $220. Will update this trade idea if we get a clean test or breakout.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
TSLA 4/8/2025Per my mentor (He would kill me for calling him that lol)
TSLA Is currently in the middle of a 5 year range...
Meaning Bargain no question.
I like a buy right now.
Personally believe they will still lead EV sector by substantial #s a decade from now
Long term vision beats short term gain
TSLA descending wedge into heavy support bounce? 300-330 pttesla has been slaughtered by the tariffs and social justice warriors, but it seems to be finding footing.
here we see a triple bottom on very heavy volume combined with a possible descending wedge. with earnings coming up in a few weeks (4/22, surprisingly not sunday 4/20 ha), it seems the risk/reward here is looking reasonable.
one possible way to play this with minimal cash outlay is TSLL. this is a 2x leveraged etf that also has options available on it. thile not suitable for a long term 'buy and hold', it can work well for shorter term trades without having to blow out too much cash making the risk/reward here look somewhat attractive.
target 300-330, or about a 30-40% bump from here. stops should be around 200-210, or pessimistically sub 200.
TESLA Always Pay YOURSELF! Tsla Stock were you PAID? GOLD Lesson
⭐️I want to go into depth regarding the this topic but it is a long one with PROS & CONS for doing and not doing it.
Every trader must choose what's best for them but you will SEE when I finally get to the write up that MANY OF THE PROS are NOT FINANCIAL but PSYCHOLOGICAL❗️
Another of 🟢SeekingPips🟢 KEY RULES!
⚠️ Always Pay YOURSELF.⚠️
I know some of you chose to HOLD ONTO EVERYTHING and place your STOP at the base of the WEEKLY CANDLE we entered on or the week priors base.
If you did that and it was in your plan GREAT but... if it was NOT that is a TRADING MISTAKE and You need to UPDATE YOUR JOURNAL NOW.
You need to note EVERYTHING. What you wanted to see before your exit, explain why not taking anything was justified to you, were there EARLY exit signals that you did not act on. EVERYTHING.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 ALWAYS SAYS THE BEST TRADING BOOK YOU WILL EVER READ WILL BE YOUR COMPLETE & HONEST TRADING JOURNAL ⚠️
📉When you read it in black amd white you will have YOUR OWN RECORD of your BEST trades and TRADING TRIUMPHS and your WORST TRADES and TRADING ERRORS.📈
✅️ KEEPING an UPTO DATE JOURNAL is STEP ONE.
STUDYING IT IS JUST AS IMPORTANT👍
⭐️🌟⭐️🌟⭐️A sneak peek of the LESSON after will be HOW & WHEN TO ENTER WHEN THE OPEN BAR IS GOING THE OPPOSITE WAY OF YOUR IDEA.👌
🚥Looking at the TESLA CHART ABOVE you will see that we were interested in being a BUYER when the weekly bar was BEARISH (GREEN ARROW) and we started to consider TAKE PROFITS and EXITS when the (RED ARROW) Weekly bar was still BULLISH.🚥
First let's go down a little more and then retest broken supportFifth Elliott wave is forming. This wave may possibly extend to $160.
It is likely to test the support it broke later around $250.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Tesla Forecast 2025 - Key Support Level on $209
NASDAQ:TSLA and AMEX:SPY are both down significantly, with the former reflecting a market shift from a Keynesian economy—reliant on government spending that benefits a few well-connected corporations—to an Adam Smith-inspired liberal economy driven by the invisible hand. Could this transition, with all the buzz about tariffs, fuel inflation? That depends on how these new policies are executed, especially since $2.2 trillion of the Fed’s 2020–2022 QE remains in the system. Definitely, pushing for interest rate cuts now would be a premature shortcut.
This new approach to economic policy will sap vitality from large corporations that thrived on U.S. government spending—spanning defense contractors to retailers—while favoring innovative companies like $TSLA. Firms such as NASDAQ:TSLA , which focus on efficiency and generate real wealth rather than nominal gains, stand to gain. Technically, NASDAQ:TSLA ’s key support level on the five-year weekly chart is $209, a critical and pivotal threshold.
TSLA Enters the Breakdown Zone – Is $222 Next? Prepare or Avoid the Trap!
🧠 Market Insight:
The recent Trump tariff announcement has shocked the tech and EV sectors, triggering a broad sell-off across growth names. With sentiment rattled and gamma exposure skewing aggressively negative, traders are facing a high-risk, high-opportunity zone. TSLA is now sitting at a critical juncture—with both Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Options Market positioning flashing red flags. Caution is essential, but opportunity awaits the prepared.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart):
* Break of Structure (BOS) at $243 confirms bearish intent after multiple Chochs.
* Price is holding below a major supply zone ($250–$272), now turned resistance.
* Strong bearish channel structure forming, with price consolidating just below BOS—often a sign of continuation.
* MACD is below the signal line but slightly curling upward—showing potential for a relief bounce.
* Stoch RSI is oversold, indicating exhaustion in short-term bearish momentum. Watch for a bullish crossover.
🔐 Key Levels:
* Resistance: $243.32 (prior BOS), $249.89 (HVL / NETGEX wall), $272.5 (2nd Call Wall).
* Support: $235 zone (current), $222.28 (recent swing low), $215–$210 (GEX danger zone).
💣 Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Highest Negative NETGEX at $250 – now acting as a gamma barrier, suggesting strong dealer hedging may suppress rallies.
* Heavy put walls layered down from $235 to $210, with the 2nd PUT Wall (-66.72%) at $215, marking a likely magnetic downside zone.
* IVR: 95.2 with Call$ at 60.5% – Options are still expensive, and call bias may indicate dip-buying interest, but negative GEX outweighs that for now.
📈 Trading Scenarios:
🐻 Bearish Continuation (High Probability):
* Entry: Below $235
* Target: $222 → $215
* Stop: Above $243 BOS
* Reason: Clean break of BOS, trapped longs, negative gamma buildup
🐂 Bullish Reversal (Less Likely – Monitor):
* Entry: Bounce from $235 with strong volume + bullish MACD crossover
* Target: $243 → $249.89
* Stop: Below $230
* Reason: Oversold Stoch RSI + high IV environment may cause volatility pop
💡 Strategy Suggestions:
* Scalpers: Trade between gamma walls, especially $235 to $222 zone with tight stops.
* Swing traders: Wait for reclaim of $243 to consider long.
* Options: Buying puts carries risk due to inflated IV. Consider spreads (put debit or bear call).
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
TSLA has lost key support and sits in a high-volatility, dealer-driven gamma pocket. Directional plays are dangerous unless you're trading with the flow and reacting quickly. Be surgical, respect your stops, and scale into conviction—not noise.
🧨 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🧨
April 5th 2025 tsla chart analysisApr 5 th #tsla #tesla NASDAQ:TSLA chart analysis on the daily chart-
Resistance levels - 294.09,286.36,282.49
Support levels- 224.40,218.08,212.33,203.71,184.17,166.93,139.92
nazis arent from south africawhat do u want me to say...
weekly chart here w/ weekly trendlines (aggressive & conservative- dashed)
earnings report on the 22nd line up at 200$ for Q1. awfully close at the 173/169 dollar too.
what does the FOMC have to say on the 9th???
i have an alert at 200, i'll buy @ 175$ (wait n see a week or two)
the Left losing their minds!!!!!!!
TSLA is coming down to my buy zoneTSLA is coming down to my buy zone. I will be accumulating at 229 and below.
I will start first by selling cash covered naked puts to collect credits until it drops to that zone. The goal is to get assigned with the naked put options at a cost of 229 and below to purchase TSLA shares.
There is a good possibility that the next earnings of TSLA will disappoint and we might get a quick dip. In that case we may even see early 200s. I would be adding more shares there.
Note that this is a weekly chart so it will take some time to play out.
This is a long term hold for me.
Upside Target:
- Nearest upside target is 11.9% above the current price, approximately $267.86.
Downside Target:
- Nearest downside target is -1% below the current price, approximately $237.04.
- Next downside target is approximately $195.65-196
- Support and Resistance: Monitor the support at $217.02 and resistance at $291.85 for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
- Action: Given the bearish sentiment, consider waiting for a clearer bullish signal or confirmation of support holding before entering long positions. Up Volume to Down Volume Ratio 30-Days is 0.86 and 50-Days is 0.78, both below 0.8, indicating bearish sentiment in the near term so wait for it to come down to the buy zone.
TSLA - BUY NOW - $240 I have been waiting for the low in Tesla . TSLA. Today is good enough at $240. Had to keep lowering the entry . Todays Legacy Media bad news bears were my trigger. You can always count of Corruption to help refine your technical signals. Murrey Math, Elliotwave, Kumar wave being used. Sell $340 for now. May $340 calls are a good way to play. Entertainment purposes only. Just having fun. Comments always welcome.
Day Trade Review – TSLAThis video is a review of TSLA intraday price action based on a request. It examines how the stock could have been traded using a technical approach. The analysis covers the entire session from the open to the close, showing execution, trade management and decision-making without hindsight bias. It also includes additional insights on time and risk management trading intraday.
If you have any requests for future reviews, let me know.
Tsla Lesson Tesla Stock Always Pay YOURSELFI say this time and time again and this is a PRIME EXAMPLE SO FAR.
🌍Now I suggested THAT IF YOU WERE A TESLA BULL that you might want to start to PAY ATTENTION TO THE STOCK TWO WEEKS AGO.
❓️"OK SO WHAT'S THE LESSON"❓️
I emphasise ALWAYS that TIME TRUMPS PRICE...
TESLA has been rather docile since its initial POP.
But take a look at the HIGHER TIMEFRAME WEEKLY CHART❗️
Whats clear to see is that although the PRICE RANGE hasn't been MASSIVE there has been plenty OF ⏳️TIME TO CAPITALISE AND PAY YOURSELF. £$€¥ 💰
Two 📈HIGHER CLOSES ON THE WEEKLY and the call made whilst the weekly looked EXTREMELY BEARISH📉
EVEN RIGHT NOW we are currently UP ON THE WEEK UNTIL NOW.
ℹ️ If you WERE UNABLE to STRUCTURE A TRADE TO TAKE advantage of this PRICE RANGE whilst DAY TRADING you may need to LOOK BACK and STUDY WHY NOT.
⚠️You could have paid yourself several times over already and even if TESLA was to seek lower prices from here you SHOULD HAVE BACKED SOMETHING ALREADY.
✅️AS ALWAYS TRADE YOUR PLAN & WAIT FOR YOU SIGNAL✅️
