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UL/N trade ideas

Short Idea Unilever Marco - We have seen other consumer-related stocks suffer a lot doe to the upcoming session. We have seen the job-amount shrink, and we have seen consumer spending decrease all over the market spectrum. We will expect the jobless raise in an half hour. This will mean for stocks like Unilever that their earnings will go down soon. And so I expect the stock price will be. Techincal - uni is on a High right now, with heavy reaction on the market's tumbling. This could be a high risk high reward setup that A lot of traders will see. - We have seen large sell volume hit the book that impacted the price. - We expect less liquidity overtime doe tue market stress. - We expect the liquidity will be less between the 55 and the 50 range. Not knowing what will follow.
EURONEXT:UNAShort
by leohanhart1996
ULVR HuntLooking to catch some reversals at the shapes in this project for anyone interested in UK stock market. I have a higher level of confidence in the projections of simulated scenarios which should catch at least one more reversal at any of the shapes. Will update follow up analysis on any relevant or interesting Japanese Candlesticks patterns or setups. In this project the rectangles are not necessarily support and resistance zones as in most nen projects. This one on the other hand is focusing on the longer term on the daily time frame making the potential anticipation of any reversals, inflection or pivot points, quite a challenge. That being said, if the project catches more than one inflection point at an element, it raises the legitimate questions regarding the normal expected distribution of events and the probability of such a result while also considering the aspect of determinism in the grander context. Project dedicated for the curios minds, the thinkers, the questioners, and the observers. May the force of Mathematical Advantage or edge and profits be with you!
LSE:ULVR
by nen
Buying Unilever on dips.Unilever (ULVR) - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 44.71 (stop at 43.89) Daily signals are bullish. Levels below 45 continue to attract buyers. We look for a temporary move lower. We look to buy dips. Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction. Our profit targets will be 46.75 and 47.55 Resistance: 46.50 / 47.50 / 48.30 Support: 46.00 / 45.50 / 44.80 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
EURONEXT:UNALong
by Saxo
Unilever (ULVR.l) bearish scenario:The technical figure Rising Wedge can be found in the daily chart in the UK company Unilever PLC (ULVR.l). Unilever plc is a British multinational consumer goods company. Unilever products include food, condiments, ice cream, cleaning agents, beauty products, and personal care. Unilever is the largest producer of soap in the world, and its products are available in around 190 countries. The Rising Wedge broke through the support line on 04/10/2022. If the price holds below this level, you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 31 days towards 3 647.00 GBp. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 4 178.00 GBp if you decide to enter this position. In the first half of 2022, Unilever's growth accelerated again as its robust sales in the U.S., India, and other markets easily offset its lockdown-induced disruptions in China. It also raised its prices to offset the impact of inflation. For the full year, it expects underlying sales to grow by more than 6.5%. Unilever's underlying earnings per share (EPS) rose 5.5% in 2021, but grew just 1% year-over-year in the first half of 2022 as the inflation and currency headwinds squeezed its margins. It expects its underlying operating margin to decline about 240 basis points to 16% this year. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
LSE:ULVRShort
by legacyFXofficial
A short opportunity in Unilever.Unilever (ULVR) - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 44.49 (stop at 45.41) Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Short term momentum is bearish. 44.60 has been pivotal. 44.60 continues to hold back the bears. Posted a Double Bottom formation. A break of 44.60 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. Our profit targets will be 42.31 and 41.71 Resistance: 45.30 / 45.60 / 46.00 Support: 44.60 / 44.00 / 43.50 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses
EURONEXT:UNAShort
by Saxo
UnileverThis is a monthly chart of the entire price history of the company Unilever (UL). Unilever engages in the manufacture and sale of consumer goods. Applied to the chart is a log-linear regression channel. This channel helps me better visualize extreme price deviations from the mean. The red line is the mean price, the top blue line is the price that is 2 standard deviations above the mean, and the lower blue line is the price that is 2 standard deviations below the mean. Statistically, there is a 95% chance that the monthly closing price will remain in this channel. Currently, the channel is showing that the bearish sentiment right now is too extreme and Unilever's stock is trading too low. The price is currently more than 2 standard deviations below the mean. Statistically, price only trades this low less than 2.5% of the time. One can extrapolate that there is at least a 97.5% chance that Unilever's price will go up over time. Obviously, anything can happen, trends can end and companies can decline. However, I only trade based on probability and this stock has a very high probability of going up over the long term. Check out my post from May about Unilever. I posted this right when Unilever was near its bottom: I thought I'd post again in case anyone missed my post in May, and because I think price may potentially retest the low or at least consolidate for a few weeks, in which case, it's a good second chance to go long. My strategy has been to swing trade this stock because price so far below the mean carries less downside risk than price far above the mean. I bought back at the May bottom, sold at the end of July and am now starting to accumulate cautiously during the seasonal volatility between mid-August and late October. After October, assuming the price goes up, I'll switch from cautious accumulation to swing trading up until price reaches its mean (mean is actually all the way up at $100), or until the higher time frames print bearish signals, whichever comes first. It may take months to years to reach either one of these triggers so this is a long-term strategy. (P.S. If you're wondering what I mean by "cautious accumulation", the main thing I'm referring to is buying an asset using cash, and not using margin. A trader should never accumulate or average down using margin. If the price goes down too low while you're accumulating and triggers a margin call it can force you to sell right at the bottom and at a significant loss. Accumulating using cash allows you to just sit and hold the position until the price goes up. Another aspect of cautious accumulation is knowing when to stop buying more. If price gaps down, I don't just blindly add more. I may be forced to exit at a loss and then re-enter when price consolidates. Few people realize that exiting at a loss and re-entering higher can still be profitable. As long as it results in you always shifting money out of losing positions and into winning positions right when they breakout. Traders should always wait for consolidation to add a long position. If you're not waiting until the price is consolidating you are paying an opportunity cost, because you're throwing money at an asset that is falling in price when you could be throwing money at an asset that's ready to breakout.) Back to the analysis: Here's another interesting chart that makes me view Unilever as a good long-term investment option. The above chart shows two things: (1) Unilever historically outperforms the broader market (SPY) during the years leading up to and including recessions (see my post linked below for why I believe a more sizable recession is likely coming in the years ahead) (2) the yearly stochastic RSI looks ready to begin oscillating back up, which can provide a tailwind for Unilever to outperform the broader market over the long term. It's important to keep in mind that these yearly charts take a long time to manifest and are not suitable for trade entry, one needs to time entry using a chart on a lower timeframe. Additionally, even though Unilever may outperform the broader market, if the broader market is declining, Unilever's outperformance could just mean less of a decline, so this relative analysis does not mean the price will go up. I use relative charts more as a hedge to risk, meaning that I'd rather swing trade by using an asset that is likely to outperform the broader market over the long term. The risk of decline is always there for all assets, but I'd rather trade on assets that are shifting from underperforming to overperforming over the time during which I plan to swing trade. Finally, here's one last chart that shows that further downside risk is probably limited: Again, this is a monthly chart of Unilever. On the bottom is the indicator "WaveTrend" by @LazyBear. You can see that a buy signal was triggered while the oscillator was overextended to the bottom of its range. Although past data do not guarantee future price action, this type of buy signal is nonetheless quite rare and can lead to lucrative long-term investments. As @TradingView reminds us: look first, then leap. Do your own charting on this stock and consider if/when investing would work for your strategy and portfolio. As noted above, the best time to accumulate is as the price is consolidating, moving averages are converging, and price starts printing long lower wicks and bullish reversal candlesticks on the timeframe you trade on. Not a trade recommendation. The stock market always carries risk of loss. Trade at your own risk. Best of luck on your trades!
NYSE:UL
by SpyMasterTrades
14
Rare Buying Opportunity: Unilever (UL)This is a yearly chart of Unilever over the past 50+ years (non-logarithmic). The orange line is a smoothened 9-year moving average. This line provides the most conservative price at which Unilever will likely close the year (about 6% higher than the current price). The 9-year smoothened moving average has never failed to provide support in the past nearly half-century. This is a rare buying opportunity for long-term investors who want to buy and hold assets for years. Unilever is a high-dividend stock and the price of the stock will likely grow steadily for years to come. This long-term growth analysis has been validated by the Wave Trend Oscillator by @LazyBear. This extremely accurate oscillator indicates that Unilver's monthly price is overextended to the downside even more than the low of the Great Recession and that the downtrend will likely come to an end in the coming months if it has not yet already. Please share your thoughts below. Not financial advice. As always anything can happen and trends can end. Invest at your own risk.
NYSE:ULLong
by SpyMasterTrades
2
Unilever (ULVR) Intrinsic Value - DCF ModelUnilever DCF Assumptions: Tax Rate = 23.5% Discount Rate = 4.9% Perpetual Growth Rate = 1.5% EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x Transaction Date = 01/04/2022 Fiscal Year-End = 31/12/2022 Current Price = 41.92 Shares Outstanding = 2,610 Debt = 29,672 Cash = 4,495 Capex = 1,340 Base Case Scenario In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of 5%, 3%, 3%, 3%, 3%. These assumptions are lower than analysts’ forecasts. DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL: Terminal Value Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = €12,873 EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €160,909 Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value = €162,651 Plus: Cash = €4,495 Less: Debt = €29,672 Equity Value = €137,474 EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = €52.68 / £44.25 DCF (5Y) PERPETUAL GROWTH RATE MODEL Terminal Value Final Forecast FCFf (m) = €8,742 Perpetual Growth Rate = 0.5% TERMINAL VALUE (m) = €201,447 Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value = €195,001 Plus: Cash = €4,495 Less: Debt = €29,672 Equity Value = €169,824 EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $65.08 / £54.66 DISCLAIMER: All information is the author’s views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing, and Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information’s reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors. Any actions taken based on the information on the website are strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information on this site. DISCLOSURE: I/we have open long positions in Unilever. We have no immediate intentions of altering this position in the short term but have the right to change this if more information becomes available.
LSE:ULVR
by BULL_HEADED_BEAR