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UPST trade ideas

Upstart USA Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision. #debadipb #profitsolutions
NASDAQ:UPST
by Sunstorminvest
UPST further downside?UPST is one of my favourite comapnies, with a unique business model and expertise. However, it is also a great example of a great busines not being a great investment all of the time. Based on simple work on the Daily timeframe, it appears the stock has a bit more to go on the downside. UPST has held the traendline going back to IPO fairly well, and now seems to have broken, tested, and confirmed this break. This opens up various target-74, 50, and theoretically 22 as well though that would appear to be unlikely.
NASDAQ:UPSTShort
by ibrahimmasood
1
Update to my recent ideaI posted a bullish UPST view recently, but I want to add some important observations that should be noted for anyone playing this tomorrow: -I can't pretend that unfilled gap from last April-May around 61 doesn't post a major risk here. However, take a look back at the price action last May earnings and you'll notice a common theme, namely, pre-earnings the price came off a bullish anti-cypher harmonic and tested that lower 80 level at the top of the gap for support going onto the report (not shown in chart but take a look for yourself)... due to the high short interest at the time and the earnings beat it absolutely took off to the upside post-ER. Fortunately for UPST bulls currently, heavily shorted and Friday it did the same thing where it tested that upper gap and held so I believe if they impress with this report it will not need to fill that gap (just yet). However, I will be hedging accordingly. The May 13 options are priced for a move to 61-107 (wow)... everyone's thinking it, I'm just saying it THIS REPORT NEEDS TO BE $$$$ - Support to the bullish view can be seen clearly in this 2 hour interval view with that stochastic RSI and the RSI primed for liftoff; furthermore, double completed bullish harmonics coming into this with the same anti-cypher pattern in the most recent harmonic - If this pops it needs to keep in the upper section of Gann fan for continuation - it needs to keep up with time - Please refer to the RSI at the 1D level (i.e. see my last post or refer to it on your own chart) - I did a full statistical eval. on the performance over the full history of UPST using RSI as a sole trade signal and it was very impressive. 88% reliability (measured this by the percentage of successful trades, e.g. if RSI purple crossed above yellow and upside move materialized that = successful trade, and vice versa for bearish crosses). 54% capture rate (this is actually extremely rare for trading with a sole indicator, but the idea is after a signal how much of the move on average did the signal capture, e.g. from open long to close long). Average upside move after bullish crosses was +65%... this thing can swing! Expectations Bullish case: gap to low 100s and if we see continuation it can run to 114, 120s, 150s, low 170s.. the extent of this continuation (i.e. which of those levels will actually be realized) will depend on market environment and/or if the short interest data are up to date (I'm seeing 28.5% short float, 2 days to cover so this can happen fast if it does move to mid 100s I wouldn't be surprised but I don't think it will be sustained unless whole market squeezes, 38% recent short increase). After bullish run ends (possibly low 170s but I'll be taking profits at 120-150 tbh) I would not be surprised if this whipsaws and fills that gap down to 61. Bearish case: on a miss this could get hit down to gap fill and, hate to say it, but that downward momentum could send it on continuation down to around 35.. I didn't include elliot wave in this but UPST is, after all, trying to complete a rather funky corrective cycle before beginning next bullish impulse cycle. If someone has that corrective count mapped out I would be very interested in seeing it because I couldn't quite pin it. Good luck to all, not financial advice but expect some very interesting and volatile price action in the weeks to come.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by JerryManders
7
Start her up...This has the setup to really go, point target = 155 by May 20 (the yellow highlighted date that is covered up (oops) is 5/20). - target range is 130s to 160s by May 11 - early June, depending on if the price can keep up with time! - initial/moderate target is 114, which is a statistical adj. target, I'll likely play calls with this as goal target by May 20 (and if I get more, i.e. 130-160, that's great) - if it falls out of fan off the recent low I'd expect a test of around 64 and would re-eval from there. Need to see how it reacts with market post-FOMC, plenty of upside to be patient here. Some aspects to note on the side/apart from chart: - Very heavily shorted this could easily squeeze to target but they need to deliver on this upcoming report - Irregularly bullish options activity spotted recently with up to $900K sweeps at strikes ranging from 90.00-150.00 Please provide any feedback, especially related to Gann (this is my first Gann idea so any criticism welcomed... Best, Bard's Apprentice
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by JerryManders
Upstart USASun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision. #debadipb #profitsolutions
NASDAQ:UPST
by Sunstorminvest
$UPST Bullish Cypher FormationsUpstart Holdings, Inc. operates a cloud- based artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform in the United States. The company's platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to its network of the company's AI- enabled bank partners. Its platform connects consumers, banks, and institutional investors through a shared AI lending platform. Upstart Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by BADQOMOCAWGOWLD
2