XLP potential topXLP is coming up to a potential top with a morning star starting to for on 24hr. Looks to be forming a broadening top as well. pushed up to a nice fib level for potential reversal with strong selling volume at the top. Momentum is drying up on the 1 hr and 4hr as well as multiple bearish divergences
XLP trade ideas
XLP BreakoutBeen watching this setup for a little while. not much you can do now unless you're already in XLP names from lower, but it's a great example of capital flows re-orienting around defensive names at the moment, in light of potential tapering / rates moves in the future. High mult continues to flounder.
It's time to be defensive next couple months- This chart is showing the price action for XLP/ SPY. XLP is the consumer staples ETF and is the sector that investors flock to during risk off situations in the market.
- What I'm trying to show here is the massive divergence between price and RSI. Momentum is building up for last few months which means a massive rally in XLP/ SPY is coming.
- A couple examples are from 2014- 2015 and 2007
XLP - Consumer Staples Ponzied - Made in China - Stuck at SeaCOGS/PPI etc. is through the roof. Shipping a product? Good luck. Atleast #cannabisreform is going on. $KERN- the CANNABIS DATA Software!!! GO USA MSOSs!!!!
Multi State Operators! #thegem #jobsandjustice *rising rates environment.
Go Small cap gems. #valueinvesting
XLP/SPY : Risk On Till XLP Starts Outperforming SPYXLP - Consumer Staples are up 40% from their covid low, SPY is up over 90% since April 2020.
A bottom in XLP/SPY has always signaled a larger degree market correction. Investors rush into XLP as a flight to safety.
The ratio XLP/SPY looks like its chugging down still and have followed in the weakness of defensive stocks these past weeks.
WAKE ME UP WHEN XLP STARTS TO OUTPERFORM SPY until then zZz
If you're bullish you do not want to see XLP/SPX bounce hereHere's another ratio pair I like to watch. Its SPDR Consumer Staples ETF vs SPX. This chart will rise when XLP out performs the SPX on a relative basis. As you can see the XLP/SPX has just come into a key support zone. If XLP/SPX breaks this support it's very bullish. However, if it bounces like is has in the past expect a sell off in stocks.
Note.. the lower chart is the SPX.
The defensive sectors continue to be weak.Until I get confirmation with price I have to maintain a bullish bias. Price of the major indexes continue to hold the highs
in the midst of uncertainty and a slew of bad news and the defensive sectors (XLU/XLP) remain weak signaling a
continued appetite for the riskier assets.
ridethepig | Consumer Staples🛒 Consumer staples is dealing with a remarkable situation on the macro front which we have discussed at earlier opportunities (see ALPHA PROTOCOL: SEEKING IMMEDIATE EXTRACTION).
One should be wary of the immediate risk for a waterfall as consumer staples hang onto the highs by a fingernail. After completing the 5 wave sequence to the topside, clearly the end of the road is approaching for this economic cycle and we must decline into 2021/2022 in order to untangle the flows for 2022 -> 2030. Time to start paying close attention for early signs of a turn.
Risk is threatening to breakdown in an impulsive fashion, our opponents are attempting to prevent the breakdown, but with stimulus delayed till after the elections the protective move is out of the question this week. Strong support from a technical perspective is found at 53/52 and 48/47.